• 제목/요약/키워드: random censored

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Goodness-of-fit tests for randomly censored Weibull distributions with estimated parameters

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.519-531
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    • 2017
  • We consider goodness-of-fit test statistics for Weibull distributions when data are randomly censored and the parameters are unknown. Koziol and Green (Biometrika, 63, 465-474, 1976) proposed the $Cram\acute{e}r$-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version for a simple hypothesis based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit of the distribution function. We apply their idea to the other statistics based on the empirical distribution function such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Liao and Shimokawa (Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 64, 23-48, 1999) statistics. The latter is a hybrid of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov, $Cram\acute{e}r$-von Mises, and Anderson-Darling statistics. These statistics as well as the Koziol-Green statistic are considered as test statistics for randomly censored Weibull distributions with estimated parameters. The null distributions depend on the estimation method since the test statistics are not distribution free when the parameters are estimated. Maximum likelihood estimation and the graphical plotting method with the least squares are considered for parameter estimation. A simulation study enables the Liao-Shimokawa statistic to show a relatively high power in many alternatives; however, the null distribution heavily depends on the parameter estimation. Meanwhile, the Koziol-Green statistic provides moderate power and the null distribution does not significantly change upon the parameter estimation.

생존분석에서의 기계학습 (Machine learning in survival analysis)

  • 백재욱
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문은 중도중단 데이터가 포함된 생존데이터의 경우 적용할 수 있는 기계학습 방법에 대해 살펴보았다. 우선 탐색적인 자료분석으로 각 특성에 대한 분포, 여러 특성들 간의 관계 및 중요도 순위를 파악할 수 있었다. 다음으로 독립변수에 해당하는 여러 특성들과 종속변수에 해당하는 특성(사망여부) 간의 관계를 분류문제로 보고 logistic regression, K nearest neighbor 등의 기계학습 방법들을 적용해본 결과 적은 수의 데이터이지만 통상적인 기계학습 결과에서와 같이 logistic regression보다는 random forest가 성능이 더 좋게 나왔다. 하지만 근래에 성능이 좋다고 하는 artificial neural network나 gradient boost와 같은 기계학습 방법은 성능이 월등히 좋게 나오지 않았는데, 그 이유는 주어진 데이터가 빅데이터가 아니기 때문인 것으로 판명된다. 마지막으로 Kaplan-Meier나 Cox의 비례위험모델과 같은 통상적인 생존분석 방법을 적용하여 어떤 독립변수가 종속변수 (ti, δi)에 결정적인 영향을 미치는지 살펴볼 수 있었으며, 기계학습 방법에 속하는 random forest를 중도중단 데이터가 포함된 생존데이터에도 적용하여 성능을 평가할 수 있었다.

Random Effects Models for Multivariate Survival Data: Hierarchical-Likelihood Approach

  • 하일도;이영조;송재기
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2000년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2000
  • Modelling the dependence via random effects in censored multivariate survival data has recently received considerable attention in the biomedical literature. The random effects models model not only the conditional survival times but also the conditional hazard rate. Systematic likelihood inference for the models with random effects is possible using Lee and Nelder's (1996) hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood). The purpose of this presentation is to introduce Ha et al.'s (2000a,b) inferential methods for the random effects models via the h-likelihood, which provide a conceptually simple, numerically efficient and reliable inferential procedures.

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A Simple Estimator of Mean Residual Life Function under Random Censoring

  • Jeong, Dong-Myung;Song, Myung-Unn;Song, Jae-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 1997
  • We, in this paper, propose an estimator of mean residual life function by using the residual survival function under random censoring and prove the uniform consistency and weak convergence result of this estimator. Also an example is illustrated by the real data.

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Estimation of P(X

  • Kil Ho Cho;Jang Sik Cho;Young Joon Cha;Jae Man Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we derive the maximum likelihood estimator of P=P(X

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Reliability for Series System in Bivariate Weibull Model under Bivariate Random Censorship

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we consider two-components system which the lifetimes have a bivariate Weibull distribution with bivariate random censored data. Here the bivariate censoring times are independent of the lifetimes of the components. We obtain estimators and approximated confidence intervals for the reliability of series system based on likelihood function and relative frequency, respectively. Also we present a numerical study.

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A Study of Bayesian and Empirical Bayesian Prediction Analysis for the Rayleigh Model under the Random Censoring

  • Ko, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 1995
  • This paper deals with problems of predicting, based on the random censored sampling, a future observation and the p-th order statistic of n' future observations for the Rayleigh model. We consider the prediction intervals for the Rayleigh model with respect to an inverse gamma prior distribution. In additions, numerical examples are given in order to illustrate the proposed predictive procedure.

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생존자료분석을 위한 혼합효과 최소제곱 서포트벡터기계 (Mixed effects least squares support vector machine for survival data analysis)

  • 황창하;심주용
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.739-748
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    • 2012
  • 최소제곱 서포트벡터기계 (least squares support vector machine)는 분류 및 비선형 회귀분석에서 유용하게 사용되고 있는 통계적 기법이다. 본 논문에서는 각 집단별로 생존자료가 관측된 경우 적용할 수 있는 LS-SVM을 제안한다. 제안된 모형은 임의우측 중도절단자료를 비선형 회귀모형에 적용할 수 있게 Kaplan- Meier의 중도절단분포의 추정값을 이용하여 구해진 가중값을 사용하고, 집단 간의 변동을 나타내기 위하여 임의효과항을 포함한다. 벌칙상수와 커널모수의 최적값을 구하기 위하여 일반화 교차타당성함수가 사용되고 모의실험에서는 임의효과항을 포함하지 않은 LS-SVM과 성능을 비교함으로써 제안된 방법의 우수성을 보이기로 한다.

Conditional Bootstrap Methods for Censored Survival Data

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.197-218
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    • 1995
  • We first consider the random censorship model of survival analysis. Efron (1981) introduced two equivalent bootstrap methods for censored data. We propose a new bootstrap scheme, called Method 3, that acts conditionally on the censoring pattern when making inference about aspects of the unknown life-time distribution F. This article contains (a) a motivation for this refined bootstrap scheme ; (b) a proof that the bootstrapped Kaplan-Meier estimatro fo F formed by Method 3 has the same limiting distribution as the one by Efron's approach ; (c) description of and report on simulation studies assessing the small-sample performance of the Method 3 ; (d) an illustration on some Danish data. We also consider the model in which the survival times are censered by death times due to other caused and also by known fixed constants, and propose an appropriate bootstrap method for that model. This bootstrap method is a readily modified version of the Method 3.

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Estimator of Mean Residual Life for Some Parametric Families Using Censored Data

  • Cho, Byung Yup;Choi, Kuey Chung;Choi, Sook Hee;Son, Young Nam
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.80-90
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    • 1995
  • In this paper we consider a new estimator of mean residual life(MRL) under the random censorship model, based on the partial moment of the distribution. The parameters of a partial moment are estimated by its maximum likelihood estimators when the underlying distribution is known. Though the new estimator is not a consistent estimator of the MRL, it is shown to have smaller mean squared error than the well known empirical MRL estimator for a parametric family. We also compare the proposed estimator with some other estimators in terms of MSE for exponential and lognormal distributions using censored data.

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