• 제목/요약/키워드: rainfall modeling

검색결과 330건 처리시간 0.032초

Assessing the Suitability of Satellite Precipitation Products for Flood Modeling in the Tonle Sap Lake Basin, Cambodia

  • Oudom Satia Huong;Xuan-Hien Le;Giha Lee
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.176-176
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    • 2023
  • The Tonle Sap is the richest and diverseness of freshwater ecosystem in Southeast Asia, receiving nurturing water flows from the Mekong and its immediate basin. In addition, the rapid development in the Tonle Sap Lake (TSL) Basin, and flood inundation may threaten the natural diversities and characteristics. The impacts of flood inundation in 11 sub-basins contributing to the Tonle Sap Lake were assessed using the Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) model to quantify the potential magnitude and extent of the flooding. The RRI model is set up by using gauged rainfall data to simulate the information of river discharge and flood inundation of huge possible flood events. Moreover, two satellite precipitation products (SPPs), CHIRPS and GSMaP, within respectively spatial resolutions of 0.05° and 0.1°, are utilized as an input for the RRI model to simulate river discharge, flood depth, and flood extent for the great TSL Basin of Cambodia. This study used statistical indicators such as NSE, PBIAS, RSR, and R2 as crucial indices to evaluate the performance of the RRI model. Therefore, the findings of this study could provide promising guidance in hydrological modeling and the significant implications for flood risk management and disaster preparedness in the region.

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Short-term Distributed Rainfall Prediction using Stochastic Error Field Modeling

  • 김선민;다치카와 야수토;다카라 카오루
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.225-229
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    • 2005
  • 이류모형을 이용한 단기예측 레이더 강우자료와 관측 레이더자료의 비교를 통하여 얻어진 예측오차를 분석하였다. 임의 시점까지의 예측오차 장에 나타나는 확률분포 형태와 공간적 상관성을 분석하여 이들 특성을 반영하는 추후의 예측오차 장을 모의할 수 있었다. 모의된 예측오차 장과 합성된 단기예측 강우 장은 이류모형을 이용한 예측에 따른 불확실성 을 추계학적으로 반영한 예측강우를 제공한다.

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A SKEWED GENERALIZED t DISTRIBUTION

  • NADARAJAH SARALEES
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.311-329
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    • 2005
  • Skewed t distributions have attracted significant attention in the last few years. In this paper, a generalization - referred to as the skewed generalized t distribution - with the pdf f(x) = 2g(x)G(${\lambda}x$) is introduced, where g(${\cdot}$) and G (${\cdot}$) are taken, respectively, to be the pdf and the cdf of the generalized t distribution due to McDonald and Newey (1984, 1988). Several particular cases of this distribution are identified and various representations for its moments derived. An application is provided to rainfall data from Orlando, Florida.

강우레이더의 3차원 가시화를 위한 데이터 변환 및 표출기법 (Data Transformation and Display Technique for 3D Visualization of Rainfall Radar)

  • 김형훈;박현철;최영철;김태수;정윤재
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.352-362
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes an algorithm for automatically converting and displaying rainfall radar data on a 3D GIS platform. The weather information displayed like rainfall radar data is updated frequently and large-scale. Thus, in order to efficiently display the data, an algorithm to convert and output the data automatically, rather than manually, is required. In addition, since rainfall data is extracted from the space, the use of the display image fused with the 3D GIS data representing the space enhances the visibility of the user. To meet these requirements, this study developed the Auto Data Converter application that analyzes the raw data of the rainfall radar and convert them into a universal format. In addition, Unity 3D, which has good development accessibility, was used for dynamic 3D implementation of the converted rainfall radar data. The software applications developed in this study could automatically convert a large volume of rainfall data into a universal format in a short time and perform 3D modeling effectively according to the data conversion on the 3D platform. Furthermore, the rainfall radar data could be merged with other GIS data for effective visualization.

SWMM을 이용한 조만강 유역 강우-오염물 유출모델링시스템 구축 (Establishment of Rainfall and Contaminants Runoff Modeling System for the Joman River Watershed Using SWMM)

  • 이용진;윤영삼;이남주
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권9호
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    • pp.983-992
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of the present study is to analyze pollutant runoff characteristics from non-point sources in Joman River basin. The present study contains analyzed results of rainfall and SS, BOD, COD, TN, TP runoff from Joman River basin. This study contains a sensitivity analysis of parameters that affect the simulation results of rainfall and pollutants runoff. Result of the sensitivity analysis shows that proportion of watershed and impervious areas is the most sensitive to peak discharge and total flowrate for rainfall runoff and that WASHPO is the most sensitive parameter for pollutants runoff. For parameter estimation and verification, flowrate and water quality is measured at the Kangdong Bridge in Haeban stream. A single rainfall event is use to perform parameter estimation and verification. Results of the present study show that total pollutant loads of Joman River basin is 11,600 ton of SS, 452 ton of BOD, 1,084 ton of COD, 515 ton of TN, and 49 ton of TP, respectively. In addition, it is found that contribution ratio of non point source and total source is 89% of SS, 63% of BOD, 61% of COD, 21% of TN, and 32% of TP, respectively.

SWAT 모형을 이용한 대유역 강우-유출해석: 메콩강 유역을 중심으로 (Large Scale Rainfall-runoff Analysis Using SWAT Model: Case Study: Mekong River Basin)

  • 이대업;유완식;이기하
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권1호
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2018
  • This study implemented the rainfall-runoff analysis of the Mekong River basin using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). The runoff analysis was simulated for 2000~2007, and 11 parameters were calibrated using the SUFI-2 (Sequential Uncertainty Fitting-version 2) algorithm of SWAT-CUP (Calibration and Uncertainty Program). As a result of analyzing optimal parameters and sensitivity analysis for 6 cases, the parameter ALPHA_BF was found to be the most sensitive. The reproducibility of the rainfall-runoff results decreased with increasing number of stations used for parameter calibration. The rainfall-runoff simulation results of Case 6 showed that the RMSE of Nong Khai and Kratie stations were 0.97 and 0.9, respectively, and the runoff patterns were relatively accurately simulated. The runoff patterns of Mukdahan and Khong Chaim stations were underestimated during the flood season from 2004 to 2005 but it was acceptable in terms of the overall runoff pattern. These results suggest that the combination of SWAT and SWAT-CUP models is applicable to very large watersheds such as the Mekong for rainfall-runoff simulation, but further studies are needed to reduce the range of modeling uncertainty.

Fuzzy추론 시스템과 신경회로망을 결합한 하천유출량 예측 (Runoff Forecasting Model by the Combination of Fuzzy Inference System and Neural Network)

  • 허창환;임기석
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제49권3호
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2007
  • This study is aimed at the development of a runoff forecasting model by using the Fuzzy inference system and Neural Network model to solve the uncertainties occurring in the process of rainfall-runoff modeling and improve the modeling accuracy of the stream runoff forecasting. The Neuro-Fuzzy (NF) model were used in this study. The NF model, recently received a great deal of attention, improve the existing Neural Networks by the aid of the Fuzzy theory applied to each node. The study area is the downstreams of Naeseung-chun. Therefore, time-dependent data was obtained from the Wolpo water level gauging station. 11 and 2 out of total 13 flood events were selected for the training and testing set of model respectively. The schematic diagram method and the statistical analysis are conducted to evaluate the feasibility of rainfall-runoff modeling. The model accuracy was rapidly decreased as the forecasting time became longer. The NF model can give accurate runoff forecasts up to 4 hours ahead in standard above the Determination coefficient $(R^2)$ 0.7. In the comparison of the runoff forecasting using the NF and TANK models, characteristics of peak runoff in the TANK model was higher than ones in the NF models, but peak values of hydrograph in the NF models were similar.

비점원오염 저감효과 분석을 위한 시단위 SWAT 유역 모델링 (Hourly SWAT Watershed Modeling for Analyzing Reduction Effect of Nonpoint Source Pollution Discharge Loads)

  • 장선숙;안소라;최중대;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권1호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2015
  • This study is to assess the effect of non-point source pollution discharge loads between tillage and no-tillage applications for upland crop areas using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) watershed modeling. For Byulmi-cheon small rural catchment ($1.17km^2$) located in upstream of Gyeongan-cheon watershed, the rainfall, discharge and stream water quality have been monitored in the catchment outlet since 2011. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated in hourly basis using 19 rainfall events during 2011-2013. The average Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency and $R^2$ (determination coefficient) for streamflow were 0.67 and 0.79 respectively. Using the 10 % surface runoff reduction from experiment results for no-tillage condition in field plots of 3 % and 8 % slopes under sesami cultivation, the soil saturated hydraulic conductivity for upland crop areas was adjusted from 0.001 mm/hr to 0.0025 mm/hr in average. Under the condition, the catchment sediment, T-N (total nitrogen, TN), and T-P (total phosphorus, TP) discharge loads were reduced by 6.9 %, 7.4 %, and 7.7 % respectively.

Use of beta-P distribution for modeling hydrologic events

  • Murshed, Md. Sharwar;Seo, Yun Am;Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Youngsaeng
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2018
  • Parametric method of flood frequency analysis involves fitting of a probability distribution to observed flood data. When record length at a given site is relatively shorter and hard to apply the asymptotic theory, an alternative distribution to the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is often used. In this study, we consider the beta-P distribution (BPD) as an alternative to the GEV and other well-known distributions for modeling extreme events of small or moderate samples as well as highly skewed or heavy tailed data. The L-moments ratio diagram shows that special cases of the BPD include the generalized logistic, three-parameter log-normal, and GEV distributions. To estimate the parameters in the distribution, the method of moments, L-moments, and maximum likelihood estimation methods are considered. A Monte-Carlo study is then conducted to compare these three estimation methods. Our result suggests that the L-moments estimator works better than the other estimators for this model of small or moderate samples. Two applications to the annual maximum stream flow of Colorado and the rainfall data from cloud seeding experiments in Southern Florida are reported to show the usefulness of the BPD for modeling hydrologic events. In these examples, BPD turns out to work better than $beta-{\kappa}$, Gumbel, and GEV distributions.

MIKE SWMM모형을 이용한 도시유역 유출분석에 관한 연구 (Analysis on the Runoff of Urban Watershed using MIKE SWMM Model)

  • 김종석;최경록;안재현;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.862-866
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    • 2005
  • 도시유역의 유출분석을 위하여 국내에서 많이 사용하고 있는 모형들로는 ILLUDAS, SWMM이 대표적이라고 할 수 있다. 그러나 국내의 대부분의 도시하천의 경우 합류식의 배수계통을 가지고 있어, 홍수시에 하수관거용량을 초과하는 우수량은 하천을 통해 배수가 되고 있다. 이러한 배수계통을 갖는 하천에 대하여 대상유역의 배수관망 자료 부족과 Modeling의 어려움으로 인해 도시유출모형이 아닌 HEC-HMS모형과 같은 유역추적법을 통해 유출분석이 이루어지고 있다. 또한 기존 논문에서 제시한 도시유출모형에 하도추적을 결합한 강우-유출 모의는 정확성 결여 및 번거로운 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 보다 안정적인 해석 모형인 MIKE SWMM 모형을 사용하여 과거 침수자료와 DEM 자료 및 수치 배수관망 자료를 통한 유역 및 배수관망 자료를 구축하고 유역에 대해서는 Runoff Block을 사용하고, 하수관거와 본류에 대해서는 Dynamic 방정식을 이용한 Extran Block을 적용하여 유출분석을 실시하고 그 결과를 기존의 방법들과 비교하여 각각의 장단점 및 적용성을 밝히고 개선방향등을 제시하고자 하였다.

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