• Title/Summary/Keyword: rainfall distribution types

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Estimating Quantiles of Extreme Rainfall Using a Mixed Gumbel Distribution Model (혼합 검벨분포모형을 이용한 확률강우량의 산정)

  • Yoon, Phil-Yong;Kim, Tae-Woong;Yang, Jeong-Seok;Lee, Seung-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2012
  • Recently, due to various climate variabilities, extreme rainfall events have been occurring all over the world. Extreme rainfall events in Korea mainly result from the summer typhoon storms and the localized convective storms. In order to estimate appropriate quantiles for extreme rainfall, this study considered the probability behavior of daily rainfall from the typhoons and the convective storms which compose the annual maximum rainfalls (AMRs). The conventional rainfall frequency analysis estimates rainfall quantiles based on the assumption that the AMRs are extracted from an identified single population, whereas this study employed a mixed distribution function to incorporate the different statistical characteristics of two types of rainfalls into the hydrologic frequency analysis. Selecting 15 rainfall gauge stations where contain comparatively large number of measurements of daily rainfall, for various return periods, quantiles of daily rainfalls were estimated and analyzed in this study. The results indicate that the mixed Gumbel distribution locally results in significant gains and losses in quantiles. This would provide useful information in designing flood protection systems.

Regression Analysis of the Log-Normally Distributed Data and Mean Field Bias Correction of Radar Rainfall (대수정규분포를 따르는 자료의 회귀분석과 레이더 강우의 편의 보정)

  • Yoo, Chul Sang;Park, Cheol Soon;Yoon, Jung Soo;Ha, Eun Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2011
  • This study investigated the problem of mean-field bias correction under the assumption that the radar and rain gauge rainfall data follow the log-normal distribution. Regression curves for the average, median and mode of the radar and rain gauge rainfall were derived and evaluated for their usefulness. Additionally, these regression curves were compared with those derived under the assumption that the radar and rain gauge data follow the normal distribution. This study investigated the regression results for the Typhoon Meami occurred in 2003 as an example. As results, three regression lines with the radar rainfall as the independent variable were found to underestimate the rainfall, while those with the rain gauge rainfall as the independent variable to overestimate. Among three types of regression curves considered, the result for the average was most appropriate. However this case was found to be inferior to the regression line passing the origin under the assumption of the normal distribution with the rain gauge rainfall as its independent variable. So it was hard to conclude that the consideration of the log-normality on the correction of radar rainfall is beneficial.

Application of Percentile Rainfall Event for Analysis of Infiltration Facilities used by Prior Consultation for LID (Low Impact Development)

  • Kwon, Kyung-Ho;Song, Hye-Jin
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Retention and infiltration of small and frequently-occurring rainfall by LID facilities account for a large proportion of the annual precipitation volume. Based on 4 standard facilities such as Porous Pavement, Infiltration Trench, Cylindrical Infiltration Well, Rectangular Infiltration Well by Seoul Metropolitan Handbook of the Prior Consultation for LID. The total retention volume of each facility was calculated according to the type and size. The Purpose of this study is to find out the quantitative relationship between Percentile Rainfall Event and Design Volume of Infiltration Facilities. Methode: For the estimation of Percentile Rainfall Event, Daily Precipitation of Seoul from 2005 to 2014 was sorted ascending and the distribution of percentile was estimated by PERCENTILE spreadsheet function. The managed Rainfall Depth and Percentile of each facility was calculated at the several sizes. In response to the rainwater charge volume of 5.5mm/hr by the Category "Private large site", the 3 types of facilities were planned for example. The calculated Rainfall Depth and Percentile were 54.4mm and 90% by the use of developed Calculation-Module based on the Spreadsheet program. Result: With this Module the existing Designed Infiltration volume which was introduced from Japan was simply converted to the Percentile-Rainfall-Event used in USA.

Analysis of Rainfall Spatial Correlation Structure Using Minutely Data (분단위 자료를 이용한 강우의 공간상관구조 분석)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Kyoung-Jun;Jun, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.113-120
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    • 2008
  • This study analyzed the spatial correlograms of minutely rainfall data with respect to various accumulation times. A bivariate mixed lognormal distribution was applied for rainfall modelling. A total of 26 minutely rainfall data sets from rain gauge stations in the central part of Korean peninsula were analyzed, also repeated for several storm types like Jang-Ma, typhoon and convective storms for their comparison. The accumulation times 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 30 and 60 minutes were considered in this study. As results, it was found that the minutely rainfall data available was not good enough for estimating minutely rainfall intensity at ungaged locations. It seems more practical to use the hourly rainfall data with much higher rain gauge density, if proper methods for interpolation and data dis-aggregation are provided.

Comparison of Runoff Hydrographs based on the Moving Rainstorms (이동강우로 인한 유출수문곡선의 비교)

  • Cho, Yong-Soo;Jeon, Min-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1737-1741
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    • 2007
  • Using kinematic wave equation, the influence of moving rainstorms to runoff was analysised with a focus on watershed shapes and rainfall distribution types. Watershed shapes used are the oblong, square and elongated shape, and the distribution types of moving storms used are uniform, advanced and intermediate type. The runoff hydrographs according to the rainfall distribution types were simulated and the characteristics were explored for the storms moving down, up and cross the watershed with various velocity. And the hydrographs were compared in the case of varing the rainstorm intensity and varing the rainstorm length in order to make the same total runoff volume. When the rainstorm intensity was varied the shape, peak time and peak runoff of a runoff hydrograph are significantly influenced by spatial and temporal variability in rainfall and watershed shapes. The peak time of down and upstream moving strorms appeared latest in the case of the elongated shape basin, meanwhile at cross stream moving storms, the peak time of elongated shape basin is earlier than the others. For storms moving downstream peak time was more delayed than for other storm direction in the case of elongated watershed. The runoff volume and time base of the hydrograph decreased with the increasing storm speed.

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Influence of Soil Characteristic and Rainfall Intensity on Matric Suction of Unsaturated Weathered Soil Slope (불포화 풍화토 사면의 모관흡수력 분포에 대한 지반조건과 강우강도의 영향)

  • Kim, Yong Min;Lee, Kwang Woo;Kim, Jung Hwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.1017-1025
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    • 2013
  • The monolithically coupled finite element analysis for a deformable unsaturated soil slope is performed to investigate matric suction distribution on a soil slope subjected to rainfall infiltration, which can consider the hydraulic-mechanical characteristics for the analysis. The soil-water characteristic curves (SWCC) are experimentally determined to estimate three types of hydraulic properties of domestic areas. Based on the physical properties, the distribution of matric suction is investigated by considering the major factors, such as soil conditions, rainfall intensities, and slope angles. It is found from the results of this study that the matric suction rapidly decreases with an increase in rainfall intensity, regardless a slope angle. The slope surface is more easily saturated when its saturated hydraulic conductivity is smaller than rainfall intensity, and for the case of multi-layered soil slope, hydraulic characteristics of slope surface has a significant influence on matric suction distribution.

The Synoptic Meteorological Characteristics of Spring Rainfall in South Korea during 2008~2012 (최근 5년(2008~2012) 간 우리나라에 내린 봄비의 종관기상학적 특성)

  • Park, So-Yeon;Lee, Yong-Gon;Kim, Jung-Yun;Ahn, Suk-Hee;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2013
  • Spring rainfall events were comprehensively analyzed based on the distribution of precipitation amount and the related synoptic weather between 2008~2012. Forty-eight cases are selected among the rain events of the entire country, and each distribution of the 24-hour accumulated precipitation amount is classified into three types: evenly distributed rain(Type 1), more rain in the southern area and south coast region (Type 2), and more rain in the central region (Type 3), respectively. Type 1 constitutes the largest part(35 cases, 72.9%) with mean precipitation amount of 19.4 mm, and the 17 cases of Type 1 are observed in March. Although Type B and C constitutes small parts (11 cases, 22.9% and 2 cases, 4.2%), respectively. The precipitation amount of these types is greater than 34.5 mm and occurred usually in April. The main synoptic weather patterns affecting precipitation distribution are classified into five patterns according to the pathway of low pressures. The most influential pattern is type 4, and this usually occurs in March, April, and May (Low pressures from the north and the ones from the west and south consecutively affect South Korea, 37.5%). The pattern 3(Low pressures from the south affect South Korea, 25%) happens mostly in April, and the average precipitation is usually greater than 30 mm. This value is relatively higher than the values in any other patterns.

Runoff Analysis due to Moving Storms based on the Basin Shapes (I) - for the Symmetric Basin Shape - (유역형상에 따르는 이동강우의 유출영향분석(I) - 대칭유역형상 -)

  • Han, Kun Yeun;Jeon, Min Woo;Kim, Ji Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1B
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2006
  • Using kinematic wave equation, the influence of moving storms to runoff was analysised with a focus on watersheds. Watershed shapes used are the oblong, square and elongated shape, and the distribution types of moving storms used are uniform, advanced and intermediate type. The runoff hydrographs according to the rainfall distribution types were simulated and the characteristics were explored for the storms moving down, up and cross the watershed with various velocity. The shape, peak time and peak runoff of a runoff hydrograph are significantly influenced by spatial and temporal variability in rainfall and watershed shapes. A rain storm moving in the cross direction of channel flow produces a higher peak runoff than in the downstream direction and upstream direction. A peak runoff from a storm moving downstream exceeds that from a storm moving upstream. For storms moving downstream peak time was more delayed than for other storm direction in the case of elongated watershed. The runoff volume and time base of the hydrograph decreased with the increasing storm speed.

Comparative Study of the Storm Centered Areal Reduction Factors by Storm Types (호우 형태에 따른 호우중심형 면적감소계수 비교)

  • Lee, Dongjoo;Hyun, Sukhoon;Kang, Boosik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1219-1228
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    • 2015
  • The Fixed Area ARFs (Area Reduction Factors) method has limitations in providing exact information about spatial distribution due to the lack of enough density of rain gauge stations. In this study the storm-centered ARF was evaluated between frontal and typhoon storm events utilizing radar precipitation. In estimating storm-centered ARFs, in order to consider the horizontal advection, direction, and spatial distribution of rain cells, the rotational angle of rainfall of each rainfall event and the optimum areal rainfall within the spatial rain cell envelope was taken into account. Compared with the frontal storm, the ARF of typhoon storm shows narrow range of variability. It is noted that the ARFs of frontal storm increases with the rainfall duration, but those of typhoon storm shows opposite pattern. As a result the typhoon ARFs appear greater than frontal ARFs for 1~3 hours of duration, but less for more than 6 hours of duration.

Proposal of Early-Warning Criteria for Highway Debris Flow Using Rainfall Frequency (1): Proposal of Rainfall Criteria (확률 강우량을 이용한 고속도로 토석류 조기경보기준 제안 (1) : 강우기준 제안)

  • Choi, Jaesoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we propose rainfall frequency criteria for the development of early-warning system based on the evaluation of the highway debris flow that includes the contents of the rainfall recurrence cycle. The rainfall criterion was recommended based on the results of previous researches and the recommended rainfall criterion was 1 hour, 6 hours, and 3 days. At this time, the study subjects were located in Gangwon area and the probability rainfall of 8 stations in Gangwon area was collected. Also, the probabilistic distribution of the 1 hour, 6 hour, and 3 day rainfall criteria to be used for the early warning for the highway debris flow in Kangwon area was estimated through the probability analysis. In addition, we analyzed the correlation between 3 types of rainfall criteria selected from the rainfall data and the actual destructive damages of debris flow at 12 points in 7 lines of Gangwon highways. At this time, the rainfall criterion on the probability distribution was divided into an average value and a lower limit value. As a result of the review, it was found that the case of using the lower limit value of the rainfall according to the recurrence intervalwell simulates the situation of actual debris flow hazards.