• Title/Summary/Keyword: quantitative risk assessment

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An Evaluation of the Quantitative Risk of Plastic Process Manufacturing Industries by Means of the 4M Method

  • Lee, Dong-Ho;Kim, Jong-In
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.8-12
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    • 2007
  • This study includes a case study among plastic process manufacturing companies, based on which, the currently used 4M method is applied in terms of machine, media, man, and management, to conduct quantitative risk evaluation, and thus to contribute to reducing human and material loss as well as preventing accidents in industrial fields. The result of this study is analyzed based on the 4M-risk assessment to find out the hazardous risk elements, and the quantitative evaluation made it predictable the value of risk(frequency $\times$ intensity) in such classified levels as serious risk, critical risk, and intolerable risk. Further, Among the businesses with hazardous risk elements and high frequency of industrial disaster, risk analysis was conducted for each process, and as a result, 38 cases among 76, including those of serious risk, critical risk, and intolerable risk, were improved, and the risk was reduced. Besides, it is thought that with the engineering approach with 4M-Risk Assessment, the attempt to improve safety level contributes to prevention of accidents.

Development of safety system for Road Tunnel - The study of Quantitative risk assessment for middle scale road tunnel with natural ventilation system - (도로터널 방재시스템 개발 - 자연환기를 수행하는 중규모 도로터널의 정량적 위험도평가관한 연구 -)

  • Yoo, Ji-Oh;Shin, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Jong-Won
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.67-70
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    • 2008
  • As a part of the project on road tunnel fire safety system development, Quantitative Risk Assessment program was developed. In this study, We carried out Quantitative Risk Assessment with this program by using a factor of cross passage interval, warning announcement time and congestion ratio etc for 1km tunnel with natural ventilation. In the case of 250m below of cross passage interval, Risk value due to warning announcement time was a slightly changed. but if cross passage interval is more than 250m, expected fatalities in the same HRR(heat release rate) was sharp increased. As a result, Quantitative Risk Assessment program which was developed in this research project is possible to risk assessment with ventilation type, cross passage for evacuation and detection system response property etc. hereafter, this program look forward to use as a tool for road tunnel performance based design.

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A Study on Transportation Route of Chemicals using Quantitative Risk Assessment (정량적 위험성평가를 이용한 화학물질 운송경로에 관한 연구)

  • Byun, Yoon Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.46-52
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    • 2017
  • During the transportation of chemicals, quantitative risk assessment for chemical leakage accidents caused by traffic accidents was carried out and the appropriateness of chemical transportation route was evaluated. The quantitative risk assessment method applied to the chemical leakage accidents that may occur in the chemical handling equipments installed in the workplace was presented and applied to the chemical transportation. By analyzing the number of traffic accidents in transportation vehicles, the probability of chemical leakage accidents during chemical transportation was predicted and applied to the quantitative risk assessment of chlorine gas leakage accidents that may occur when transporting liquified chlorine bombe using vehicles. As a result, the most appropriate route of transporting the liquefied chlorine bombe was suggested on the basis of risk.

Case Studies of Risk Assessment in Analyzing Risks Associated with MSDS

  • Kim, Woo Jin;Jeong, Byung Yong
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.153-158
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    • 2013
  • Objective: This study aims to suggest different approaches in analyzing risks associated with musculoskeletal disorders (MSDS) for risk assessment. Background: Upon concluding that the changes in the industrial environments have made it hard to regulate diverse risk factors, the government has implemented a policy for risk assessment. Method: This study has proposed a method, creating programs using Excel that perform qualitative or quantitative analysis, for evaluating risk factors in risk assessments and has applied this in manufacture and service industries. Results: To verify the validity of the developed program, risk assessment has been performed on restaurant chefs as an example. For quantitative evaluation, the study has suggested approaches using the results for REBA evaluation and the analysis report on the work scenes of a fitting-shop in a shipbuilding industry. Application: Constructing and adapting a system using Excel in evaluating risk factors for risk assessments as this study suggests, is expected to contribute to revitalizing risk assessments.

Risk Assessment Method for Guaranteeing Safety in the Train Control System (열차제어시스템 안전성 확보를 위한 리스크 평가 방법 분석)

  • Jo, Hyun-Jeong;Hwang, Jong-Gyu;Yoon, Yong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2006.11b
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    • pp.870-877
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    • 2006
  • Recently, failures of equipments are linked directly to extensive damages of human lives or financial losses from the increasing uses of train control equipments utilizing computers. Then safety activities have to progress for guaranteeing safety during the system life-cycle. In this paper, we examine the methods for risk analysis and assessment of safety activities and propose optimized one method for risk assessment. There are original risk assessment methods; risk graph and risk matrix method under the qualitative analysis, IRF(Individual Risk Formula) calculations and statistical calculations method under the quantitative analysis. Best-Practice(BP) risk analysis method is proposed for combining advantages of the qualitative and the quantitative analysis. In the comparison of risk graph and risk matrix method for safety estimation, BP method has no applications published up to now, but we can expect that this method will be utilized widely for the risk assessment due to various strong points.

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Microbial Modeling in Quantitative Risk Assessment for the Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Point (HACCP) System: A Review

  • Min, Sea-Cheol;Choi, Young-Jin
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2009
  • Quantitative risk assessments are related to implementing hazard analysis and critical control points (HACCP) by its potential involvement in identifying critical control points (CCPs), validating critical limits at a CCP, enabling rational designs of new processes, and products to meet required level of safety, and evaluating processing operations for verification procedures. The quantitative risk assessment is becoming a standard research tool which provides useful predictions and analyses on microbial risks and, thus, a valuable aid in implementing a HACCP system. This paper provides a review of microbial modeling in quantitative risk assessments, which can be applied to HACCP systems.

Quantitative Approaches in Use to Assess Cancer Risk

  • Anderson Elizabeth L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02a
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    • pp.450-468
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    • 1994
  • Scientists have long used conventional toxicological methods to establish 'safe levels of exposure' for chemicals presumed to have threshold health effects or doses below which significant effects are unlikely to occur. These same methods cannot be used to establish safe levels of exposure for non-threshold pollutants. such as carcinogens. Therefore. Federal regulatory agencies in the United States are using risk assessment methods to provide information for public health policy decisions concerning increases in risk associated with increases in exposure to carcinogenic and other non-threshold pollutants. Acceptable exposure/risk levels are decided by policymakers who consider descriptions and estimates of risks together with social and economic benefits from the uses of the chemical. 1bis paper focuses on the development of quantitative risk assessment approaches by Federal regulatory agencies in the United States, and identifies the mathematical models currently being used for risk extrapolation. including their inherent uncertainties. The uncertainties and limitations of these methods have led some scientists to question the utility of quantitative risk extrapolation. The experience of the; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). as summarized in this paper. can provide a realistic basis for evaluating the pros and cons. Finally. shortcomings in current risk assessment methods and their use in policy decisions are explored. and areas for possible improvement. given current scientific knowledge. are identified.

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Methodologic Issues in Using Epidemiologic Studies for Quantitative Risk Assessment

  • Stayner Leslie
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02a
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    • pp.417-425
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    • 1994
  • Although animal studies have been used most often for quantitative risk assessment, it is generally recognized that well-conducted epidemiologic studies would provide the best basis for estimating human risk. However, there are several features related to the design and analysis of epidemiologic studies that frequently limit their usefulness for quantitating risks. The lack of accurate information on exposure in epidemiologic studies is perhaps the most frequently cited limitation of these studies for risk assessment. However. other features of epidemiologic study design, such as statistical power, length of follow-up, confounding, and effect modification, may also limit the inferences that can be drawn from these studies. Furthermore, even when the aforementioned limitations are overcome, substantial uncertainty exists concerning the choice of an appropriate statistical (or biologic) model for extrapolation beyond the range of exposures observed in a particular study. This paper focuses on presenting a review and discussion of the methodologic issues involved in using epidemiologic studies for risk assessment. This review concentrates on the use of retrospective, cohort, mortality studies of occupational groups for assessing cancer risk because this is the most common application of epidemiologic data for quantitative risk assessment (QRA). Epidemiologic data should not be viewed as a panacea for the problems inherent in using animal bioassay data for QRA. Rather, information that can be derived from epidemiologic and toxicologic studies complement one another, and both data sources need to be used to provide the best characterization of human risk.

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Market Expansion Strategies for Small or Medium-sized Construction Companies by Developing Quantitative Risk Assessment Model

  • Yoo, Jinhyuk;Koh, Seungyoon;Seo, Induck;Cha, Heesung
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.742-743
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    • 2015
  • Korean construction industry has developed with national economy growth for a couple of decades. However, because of slump of real estate, the domestic construction industry was intimidated. In this situation, many construction company has no choice but to go abroad to find construction projects. However, almost small or medium-sized construction companies are very hard to operate their business because they have small funding ability and weak labor power. Therefore, this study aims to propose an assessment tool through analyzing risk factors of overseas construction projects for small or medium-sized companies by examining preceding research and interviewing industry experts. Weights of the risk factors are determined through the surveys of the industry practitioners. All of the data is configured into the assessment tool and this converts the quantitative information which leads to the optimal of strategies choice. This paper provides a quantitative measurement of possible performance and detailed assessment of each itemized risk factors. This assessment tool is qualified for industry experts so that it can safely be applied to the future projects. Ultimately, many small or medium sized construction companies will benefit from the tool proposed in this study to examine the potential of the overseas market expansion.

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A Basic Study on the Model Development of Quantitative Risk Assessment for Small and Medium-sized Construction Sites. (중소형 건설사업장의 위험 정량화 모델 개발을 위한 기초 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-yeob;Bat, Bagana;Son, Kiyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.04a
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    • pp.206-207
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    • 2022
  • Currently, safety accidents in construction area are managed regardless of the size. Therefore, the objective of this study is to conduct for developing the quantitative risk assessment according to large and small and medium-sized construction sites. The scope of this study is limited to the fall accidents which is the biggest accidents in the construction sites. the regression analysis was conducted based on the collected data. As a result, it was confirmed that there was a statistically significant difference between larce and small and medium-sized construction sites. This study is expected to be used as basic data for research on the development of a risk quantitative model for small and medium-sized construction sites in the future.

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