• 한국안전학회지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.75-80
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• 2003

This paper presents a set of typical pseudo-accident scenarios related to major equipments in petrochemical plants, which would be useful for performing such quantitative risk analysis techniques as fault tree analysis, event tree analysis, etc. These typical scenarios address what the main hazard of each equipment might be and how the accident might develop from an "initiating event". The proposed set of accident scenarios consists of total thirteen (13) scenarios specific for five (5) major equipments like reactor, distillation column, etc., and has been determined and screened out of one hundred and twenty-five (125) potential accident scenarios that were generated by performing semi-quantitative risk analysis practically for twenty-five (25) petrochemical processes, considering advices from the operation experts. It is assumed that with simple consideration or incorporation of plant-specific conditions only, the proposed accident scenarios could be easily reorganized or adapted for the relevant process with less time and labor by the safety engineers concerned in the petrochemical industries.ndustries.

• 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산유체공학회 2011년 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.169-172
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• 2011

Recently, railroad long tunnels are increasing and growing longer due to topological feathers like a lot of mountain in Korea. But fire disaster of a long tunnel cause many people to injury and death. For that reason, at the early design stage of a long tunnel, risk assessment and mitigation measure of risk for satisfying tunnel safety are required. According to the railroad facility safety standard (Korean MLTM Announcement No. 2006-395), risk assessment for railroad-tunnel fire should be performed when design stage. Therefore, various methods of risk assessment for tunnel fire have been studied and applied. In the paper, QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) for fire risk assessment by using CFD code is presented and the usefulness of CFD is discussed.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 1997년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.27-34
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• 1997

In this paper, systematic and comprehensive approaches are suggested for the application of quantitative PRA techniques especially for those risk events that cannot be easily evaluated quantitatively In addition, dominant risk events are identified based on their occurrence frequency assessed by both actual survey of construction site conditions and the statistical data related with the probable accidents. Practical FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) and ETA(Event Tree Analysis) models are used for the assessment of the identified risks. When the risk events are lack of statistical data, appropriate Bayesian models incorporating engineering judgement and test results are also introduced in this paper. Moreover, a fuzzy probability technique is used for the quantitative risk assessment of those risk components which are difficult to evaluate quantitatively.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2022년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.208-209
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• 2022

This study aims to analyze the risk factors caused by object damage and third-party damage loss in actual bridge construction based on past insurance premium payment data from major domestic insurers for bridge construction projects, and develop a quantitative loss prediction model. For the development of quantitative bridge construction loss model, the dependent variable was selected as the loss ratio, and the independent variable adopted 1) Technical factors: superstructure type, foundation type, construction method, and bridge length 2) Natural hazards: flood anf Typhoon, 3) Project information: total construction duration, total cost and ranking. Among the selected independent variables, superstructure type, construction method, and project period were shown to affect the ratio of bridge construction losses, while superstructure, foundation, flood and ranking were shown to affect the ratio of the third-party losses.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.319-324
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• 2018

The collision problem is one of the design factors that must be carefully considered for the risk of collision occurring during the operation of ships and offshore structures. This paper presents the main results of the ship collision study, and its main goal is to analyze potential crash scenarios that may occur in the FLNG (Floating Liquefied Natural Gas) considering the likelihood and outcome. Consideration being given to vessels visiting the FLNG and surrounding vessels navigating around, such as functionally supported vessels and offloading carriers. The scope includes vessels visiting the FLNG facility such as in-field support vessels and off-loading carriers, as well as third party passing vessels. In this study, based on QRA (quantitative risk assessment), basic research methods and information on collision are provided. Based on the assumptions and methodologies documented in this study, it has been possible to clarify the frequency of collision and the damage category according to the type of visiting ship. Based on these results, the risk assessment results related to the collision have been derived.

• 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.232-239
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• 2022

This study performed qualitative and quantitative risk assessment of equipment for evaluating the protocol of hydrogen refueling stations and suggested measures to improve safety. Hazard and operability study was performed for qualitative risk assessment, and Hy-KoRAM was used for quantitative risk assessment. Through a qualitative risk assessment, additional ventilation devices were installed, simultaneous venting of the storage container was prohibited, and the number of repeated refilling of the evaluation equipment was identified to manage the number of fillings of the container. Through quantitative risk assessment, the area around the device was set as a restricted area when evaluating the station, and measures were suggested to reduce the frequency of accidents.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.13-18
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• 2006

원자력발전소의 화재방호규정은 정성적인 화재위험성평가와 정량적인 화재위험도분석에 기반을 두며, 화재위험은 심층화재방어개념인 화재 예방, 화재 진압, 및 피해 최소화의 3가지 요소에 균형을 유지하면서 화재방호계획에 의해 관리되고 있다. 최근 화재위험 상세평가는 일반적으로 존모델 또는 필드모델을 이용하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 이런 추세에 따라 최신 화재모델링 도구인 FDS를 이용하여 원자력 발전소의 방화지역에 대한 정량적 화재위험분석 및 화재영향 평가가 가능한지 그 여부를 확인하였다. 이의 결과 화재모델링을 이용한 정량적 위험분석은 원자력발전소의 방화지역에 대한 정량적 위험도 분석뿐만 아니라 화재로 인한 원자로 노심 손상빈도를 개선할 수 있는 응용 도구로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.140-152
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• 2009

Recently the occurrence ratio of mechanical accidents in industrial disaster of korea is increased, but very little accident information has been given regarding the prevention of mechanical accidents. In this study, mechanical accidents by the analysis of industrial accident case was examined. And it was proposed the risk assessment method and building database for investigation of risk factors in mechanical accident. As a result, from mechanical accidents database, it was found that the occurrence ratio of mechanical accident by constriction and falling etc. is very high and death ratio by mechanical accident is larger than that of usual accident. And we applied the quantitative risk assessment method proposed by this study in the mechanical accident analysis of a domestic manufacturer. From the results, the risk factors due to constriction, curling, falling and scattering are principal causes of mechanical accidents. These result is similar to that of the analysis of mechanical accidents for recent 12 years in korea.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제37권10호
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• pp.1291-1296
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• 2013

위험도 평가 기술은 주로 플랜트의 많은 운영설비 중 대형사고나 피해를 유발할 수 있는 위험설비를 선별하는 목적으로 개발되었다. 설비의 위험도를 평가하여 위험도의 크기에 따라 순위를 정하고 이 순위를 기준으로 정비자원을 투입하는 순서나 정비작업의 시급성을 판단한다. 위험도란 고장이 발생할 확률과 고장이 발생할 경우에 수반되는 파손피해의 곱으로 정의된다. 위험도 평가방법으로는 간단한 손상 및 고장 평가기법을 이용하여 기본적인 고장확률 데이터를 확보하고 정성적인 문진을 통해 이를 보완하는 준 정량적 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 준 정략적 평가를 이용하여 석탄화력발전소의 보일러설비에 대한 위험도 평가를 수행하고 이를 기반으로 설비 별차기 정비주기를 선정하였다.

• 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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• 제17권12호
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• pp.1494-1502
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• 2014

Since smartphones are utilized in the ranges from personal usages to governmental data exchanges, known but not patched vulnerabilities in smartphone operating systems are considered as major threats to the public. To minimize potential security breaches on smartphones, it is necessary to estimate possible security threats. So far, there have been numerous studies conducted to evaluate the security risks caused by mobile devices qualitatively, but there are few quantitative manners. For a large scale risk evaluation, a qualitative assessment is a never ending task. In this paper, we try to calculate relative risk levels triggered by software vulnerabilities from unsecured smartphone operating systems (Android and iOS) among 51 Asian countries. The proposed method combines widely accepted risk representation in both theory and industrial fields. When policy makers need to make a strategic decision on mobile security related agendas, they might find the presented approach useful.