• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.19-26
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• 1987

In analyzing time series, estimating the level or the current mean of the process plays an important role in understanding its structure and in being able to make forecasts. The studies the class of time series models where the level of the process is assumed to follow a random walk and the deviation from the level follow an ARMA process. The estimation and forecasting problem in a Bayesian framework and uses the Kalman filter to obtain forecasts based on estimates of level. In the analysis of time series, we usually make the assumption that the time series is generated by one model. However, in many situations the time series undergoes a structural change at one point in time. For example there may be a change in the distribution of random variables or in parameter values. Another example occurs when the level of the process changes abruptly at one period. In order to study such problems, the assumption that level follows a random walk process is relaxed to include a major level change at a particular point in time. The major level change is detected by examining the likelihood raio under a null hypothesis of no change and an alternative hypothesis of a major level change. The author proposes a method for estimation the size of the level change by adding one state variable to the state space model of the original Kalman filter. Detailed theoretical and numerical results are obtained for th first order autoregressive process wirth level changes.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.879-892
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• 2021

수주생산 환경에서 제조업체의 견적정보는 다양한 고객요구에 대응하여, 프로젝트의 입찰, 수주, 그리고 생산할 제품의 기초정보로 사용하는 중요한 정보이다. 이 견적정보는 고객요구, 제품생산 환경의 변화, 기술제휴사의 도면정보 변경, 그리고 제품의 기술 개선 등의 여러 요인에 의해 변경된다. 이러한 변경으로 인하여, 제조사가 고객의 요구사항을 반영하여 작성중인 견적정보에 다양한 변경이 발생한다. 이러한 다양한 변경요인에 따른 견적정보의 변경은 수주생산 기업의 입장에서 견적관리업무에 많은 부담을 주고 있다. 특히, 견적의 변경요인으로 인한 견적정보 변경은 고객중심의 주문생산 환경에서 고객의 요구사항에 의해 불가피하고 빈번하게 발생한다. 본 논문에서는 견적생성 프로세스를 기준으로 견적변경 프로세스를 제시하고, 일관적이고 효율적인 견적변경처리 방안을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위하여, 견적의 변경이 발생하는 요인을 정의하고, 각 요인에 대한 변경유형을 정의하였다. 그리고 견적변경에 대한 발생 요인별 사례를 통하여 견적변경 프로세스가 견적관리시스템에 적용되는 과정을 보여준다. 또한 제안된 견적변경 요인, 견적변경 유형, 견적변경 프로세스, 그리고 견적체계 관리의 유용성을 보여주기 위하여, 고객 중심의 수주생산기업인 'H'사의 선박엔진 부문의 통합 견적관리시스템에서의 견적변경처리 기능 및 절차에 적용하였다. 그 결과, 견적변경 요인에 따른 견적변경 처리 및 관리가 효율적으로 수행됨을 확인하였다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.825-833
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• 2003

Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a maximum likelihood estimator of the process change point when a Shewhart $\bar{X}$ chart with variable sample size (VSS) scheme signals a change in the process mean. Also we build a confidence interval for the process change point by using the likelihood function.

• 성인간호학회지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.345-356
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• 2006

Purpose: This study was conducted to compare the process of change, decisional balance, and self-efficacy according to the stages of change of exercise on the basis of the Transtheoretical Model in order to investigate factors associated with the change of exercise in adult diabetic patients. Method: Data were collected from January to April 2005. The subjects were 160 patients in the G university hospital and public health center in J city. Results: The entire process of change showed the significant difference depending on the stage of change(F=20.007, p=.000). For each process of change, the Consciousness Raising(F=14.602, p=.000), Dramatic Relief(F=7.751, p=.000), Environmental Re-evaluation(F=11.843, p=.000), Self Re-evaluation(F=16.035, p=.000), Social Liberation(F=10.968, p=.000), Counter-conditioning (F=24.090, p=.000), Helping Relationships(F= 7.625, p=.000), Reinforcement Management(F= 16.693, p=.000), Self Liberation(F=11.990, p= .000) and Stimulus Control(F=4.020, p=.002) demonstrated significant differences depending on the stages of change of exercise. For the decisional balance, the Pros showed the significant difference depending on the stage of change(F=14.121, p=.000). For the self efficacy showed significant difference depending on the stage of change(F=17.137, p=.000). Conclusion: In order to proceed the stage of change of exercise in patients with Diabetes Mellitus, intensive use of a specific process of change, a stage of change matching is needed.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2016년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.231-232
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• 2016

Configuration Management (CM) is a process of identifying and documenting the characteristics of a Structures, Systems and Components (SSCs), and of ensuring that changes to these characteristics are properly assessed, approved, issued, implemented and verified. There are requirement management, change control, facility configuration information management for CM activities. In order to improve safety of Nuclear Power Plant(NPP), it is necessary to manage change item systematically. Existing CM concept is focused on the NPP in operation. On the other hand, NPP under construction is difficult to efficiently manage the change because of different change process from varoius stake-holders. This research considers method of consolidation change process for NPP to ensure that approved changes are accurately reflected in the design requirements, facility configuration information, and the physical configuration.

• 한국과학교육학회지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.357-377
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• 2002

본 연구에서는 학생의 개념변화 과정을 연속적인 세련화와 정교화의 과정으로 보았다. 이러한 관점은 학생의 개념변화에 대한 학습심리학적 연구의 재고찰과 물리학 지식의 발달과정에 대한 물리학사적 사례 연구의 분석에 기초하였으며, 구체적으로 세련화와 정교화를 통한 개념변화 과정 사례를 추출할 수 있었다. 본 연구 결과는 실제 학생의 반응을 분석하는데 지침 역할을 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 대한물리치료과학회지
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• 제4권4호
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• pp.529-538
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• 1997

Rehabilitation after spinal cord injury(SCI) is complex process involving an array of adaptation to change in both physical and psychological function. It is generally accepted that psychological disorder and change are sificant psychological problem among the patients with spinal cord injury. The psychological problems that they have are depressor, anxiety, and fear etc. This study was designed to know of psychological state of patients with SCI after injury, such as psychological change and adaptation process, and change of needs.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.753-763
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• 2002

When there is one change-point in the hazard rate model, a change-point estimator with the partial score process is suggested and compared with the previously developed estimators. The limiting distribution of the partial score process we used is a function of the Brownian bridge. Simulation study gives the comparison of change-point estimators.

• 대한간호학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.1-6
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• 1979

The topic I have chosen for presentation to you today is entitled, the theory of change in nursing practice or to put it into simpler words. How do new ideas in nursing get started - Where do they come from\ulcorner - How are these ideas spread through the social system of nurses\ulcorner - What makes some Directors of Nursing more ready to accept change than others\ulcorner What factors in-fluence than to introduce change\ulcorner The process of change has been the subject of considerable research in such diverse disciplines and fields as anthropology and rural sociology, marketing and, also, education, for many years. The studies are called“diffusion”studies, or sometimes“adoption”studies, or“adoption of innovation”studies. They deal specifically with the transmission of innovations to members of a social system, and are considered a subset of research in the general field of communication, Although a number of studies have been undertaken in medicine, and, in the past decade, numerous ones in education, there have been few studies on the process of change in nursing. Yet, nursing has undergone tremendous changes in the past 10 years - the nursing process has been introduced, there is the expanded role of the nurse which is rapidly becoming a regular mode of practice - and many, many more changes, We seem to be always running to try. to keep up with changes that have already taken place. Yet little is known about known about the process of change itself - how practitioners learn about new ideas and techniques, or about the factors which influence nurses to accept some changes and reject others. The purpose of the study I am about. to describe was to analyze the process of change as it functioned in regard to nursing innovations in a selected segment of Canadian hospitals, and to relate the analysis to general research and theory about information transmission and the acceptance of change. Three aspects of the process were investigated : 1. The flow of information about changes in nursing practice through a network of hospitals. 2. Factors influencing the adoption of changes in nursing practice. 3. Factors influencing delay in the adoption process, the rejection of changes, or their discontinuance following adoption.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.155-167
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• 2007

Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the process change point when a control chart is used in monitoring the mean of a process in which the observations can be modeled as an AR(1) process plus an additional random error. The performance of the proposed MLE is compared to the performance of the built-in estimator when they are used in EWMA charts based on the residuals. The results show that the proposed MLE provides good performance in terms of both accuracy and precision of the estimator.