• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.201-205
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• 2003

We show how some probability nonreplacement sampling designs can be implemented using nonlinear programming, The efficiency of the proposed approach is compared with selected probability sampling schemes in the literature. The approach is simple to use and appears to have reasonable variance.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.55-69
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• 2009

A quasi ideal importance sampling simulation method combined in the conditional expectation is proposed for the structural reliability estimation. The quasi ideal importance sampling joint probability density function (p.d.f.) is so composed on the basis of the ideal importance sampling concept as to be proportional to the conditional failure probability multiplied by the p.d.f. of the sampling variables. The respective marginal p.d.f.s of the ideal importance sampling joint p.d.f. are determined numerically by the simulations and partly by the piecewise integrations. The quasi ideal importance sampling simulations combined in the conditional expectation are executed to estimate the failure probabilities of structures with multiple failure surfaces and it is shown that the proposed method gives accurate estimations efficiently.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.405-409
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• 2009

Reliability analysis of coastal structure using importance sampling was shown. When Monte Carlo simulation is used to evaluate overturng failure probability of coastal structure, very low failure probability leads to drastic increase in simulation time. However, importance sampling which uses randomly chosen design candidates around the failure surface makes it possible to analyze very low failure probability efficiently. In the numerical example, failure probability of caisson type quay wall was analyzed by using importance sampling and performance according to the level of failure probability was shown.

• Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.59 no.2
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• pp.285-301
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• 2022

In this paper, we mainly study the random sampling and reconstruction of signals living in the subspace V^p(𝚽, 𝚲) of L^p(ℝ^d), which is generated by a family of molecules 𝚽 located on a relatively separated subset 𝚲 ⊂ ℝ^d. The space V^p(𝚽, 𝚲) is used to model signals with finite rate of innovation, such as stream of pulses in GPS applications, cellular radio and ultra wide-band communication. The sampling set is independently and randomly drawn from a general probability distribution over ℝ^d. Under some proper conditions for the generators 𝚽 = {𝜙_λ : λ ∈ 𝚲} and the probability density function 𝜌, we first approximate V^p(𝚽, 𝚲) by a finite dimensional subspace V^p_N (𝚽, 𝚲) on any bounded domains. Then, we prove that the random sampling stability holds with high probability for all signals in V^p(𝚽, 𝚲) whose energy concentrate on a cube when the sampling size is large enough. Finally, a reconstruction algorithm based on random samples is given for signals in V^p_N (𝚽, 𝚲).

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.16 no.11
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• pp.4677-4683
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• 2015

When there is no sampling frame within a certain group or the group is concerned that making its population public would bring social stigma, we say the population is hidden. It is difficult to approach this kind of population survey-methodologically because the response rate is low and its members are not quite honest with their responses when probability sampling is used. The only alternative known to address the problems caused by previous methods such as snowball sampling is respondent-driven sampling (RDS), which was developed by Heckathorn and his colleagues. RDS is based on a Markov chain, and uses the social network information of the respondent. This characteristic allows for probability sampling when we survey a hidden population. We verified through computer simulation whether RDS can be used on a hidden population of cancer survivors. According to the simulation results of this thesis, the chain-referral sampling of RDS tends to minimize as the sample gets bigger, and it becomes stabilized as the wave progresses. Therefore, it shows that the final sample information can be completely independent from the initial seeds if a certain level of sample size is secured even if the initial seeds were selected through convenient sampling. Thus, RDS can be considered as an alternative which can improve upon both key informant sampling and ethnographic surveys, and it needs to be utilized for various cases domestically as well.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.125-140
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• 2011

This study presents an innovative method to estimate the reliability sensitivity based on the low-discrepancy sampling which is a new technique for structural reliability analysis. Two advantages are contributed to the method: one is that, by developing a general importance sampling procedure for reliability sensitivity analysis, the partial derivative of the failure probability with respect to the distribution parameter can be directly obtained with typically insignificant additional computations on the basis of structural reliability analysis; and the other is that, by combining various low-discrepancy sequences with the above importance sampling procedure, the proposed method is far more efficient than that based on the classical Monte Carlo method in estimating reliability sensitivity, especially for problems of small failure probability or problems that require a large number of costly finite element analyses. Examples involving both numerical and structural problems illustrate the application and effectiveness of the method developed, which indicate that the proposed method can provide accurate and computationally efficient estimates of reliability sensitivity.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.25-37
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• 1996

In this paper, we propose regression estimators based on a partial replacement sampling scheme over two successive occasions and derive the minimum variances of them. PPSWR, RHC, $\pi$PS and PPSWOR schemes are considered to select unequal probability samples on two occasions. Simulation results over four populations are given for comparison of composite estimators and regression estimators.

• Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.573-583
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• 2008

In this paper, we introduce the techniques of estimating the probability of failure in reliability analysis. The basic idea of each technique is explained and drawbacks of these techniques are examined.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2005.05a
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• pp.233-238
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• 2005

S${\"{a}}$rndal (1996) and Knottnerus (2003) had a critical look at the well known variance estimator of Sen (1953) and Yates and Grundy (1953) in probability proportional to size sampling. In this paper, we point out that although their approaches can avoid the difficulties in variance estimation with respect to the joint probabilities, there exist the disadvantages in practice. Also, we describe a sampling procedure available in statistical software that are useful for the variance estimation.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.359-371
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• 2003

We consider the probability that the total population of a stable Jackson network reaches a given large value. By using the fluid limit of the reversed network, we derive new upper and lower bounds on this probability, which are sharper than those in Glasserman and Kou (1995). In particular, the improved lower bound is useful for analyzing the performance of an importance sampling estimator for the overflow probability in Jackson tandem networks. Bounds on the expected time to overflow are also obtained.