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NEW BOUNDS ON THE OVERFLOW PROBABILITY IN JACKSON NETWORKS  

Lee, Ji-Yeon (Department of Statistics, Yeungnam University)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Statistical Society / v.32, no.4, 2003 , pp. 359-371 More about this Journal
Abstract
We consider the probability that the total population of a stable Jackson network reaches a given large value. By using the fluid limit of the reversed network, we derive new upper and lower bounds on this probability, which are sharper than those in Glasserman and Kou (1995). In particular, the improved lower bound is useful for analyzing the performance of an importance sampling estimator for the overflow probability in Jackson tandem networks. Bounds on the expected time to overflow are also obtained.
Keywords
Jackson network; overflow probability; importance sampling estimator; asymptotics;
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