• 제목/요약/키워드: probability sampling

검색결과 564건 처리시간 0.031초

Probability Sampling Using Nonlinear Programming : a Feasibility Study

  • Kim, Sun-Woong
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2003년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.201-205
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    • 2003
  • We show how some probability nonreplacement sampling designs can be implemented using nonlinear programming, The efficiency of the proposed approach is compared with selected probability sampling schemes in the literature. The approach is simple to use and appears to have reasonable variance.

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Structural reliability estimation based on quasi ideal importance sampling simulation

  • Yonezawa, Masaaki;Okuda, Shoya;Kobayashi, Hiroaki
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2009
  • A quasi ideal importance sampling simulation method combined in the conditional expectation is proposed for the structural reliability estimation. The quasi ideal importance sampling joint probability density function (p.d.f.) is so composed on the basis of the ideal importance sampling concept as to be proportional to the conditional failure probability multiplied by the p.d.f. of the sampling variables. The respective marginal p.d.f.s of the ideal importance sampling joint p.d.f. are determined numerically by the simulations and partly by the piecewise integrations. The quasi ideal importance sampling simulations combined in the conditional expectation are executed to estimate the failure probabilities of structures with multiple failure surfaces and it is shown that the proposed method gives accurate estimations efficiently.

케이슨식 안벽의 신뢰성해석을 위한 중요도추출법의 적용 (Application of Importance Sampling to Reliability Analysis of Caisson Quay Wall)

  • 김동현;윤길림
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.405-409
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    • 2009
  • 중요도추출법을 이용한 항만구조물의 신뢰성해석방법을 제시하였다. 몬테카를로모사법(Monte Carlo Simulation)을 이용하여 신뢰성해석을 수행할 때 전도파괴확률과 같이 매우 낮은 파괴확률을 가진 경우는 해석시간이 과다하게 소요되는 문제점이 있다. 항만구조물 신뢰성해석 시 나타나는 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위해 파괴면주위의 추출점을 이용하여 해석시간을 단축시킬 수 있는 중요도추출법을 적용하였다. 중요도추출법을 항만구조물에 적용한 경우 파괴확률이 매우 낮은 파괴모드에 대한 신뢰성해석을 효율적으로 수행할 수 있음을 보였다. 수치해석에서 케이슨 안벽의 신뢰성해석을 수행하였으며 파괴확률의 낮고 높음에 따른 중요도추출법의 효용성을 검증하였다.

RANDOM SAMPLING AND RECONSTRUCTION OF SIGNALS WITH FINITE RATE OF INNOVATION

  • Jiang, Yingchun;Zhao, Junjian
    • 대한수학회보
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    • 제59권2호
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    • pp.285-301
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we mainly study the random sampling and reconstruction of signals living in the subspace Vp(𝚽, 𝚲) of Lp(ℝd), which is generated by a family of molecules 𝚽 located on a relatively separated subset 𝚲 ⊂ ℝd. The space Vp(𝚽, 𝚲) is used to model signals with finite rate of innovation, such as stream of pulses in GPS applications, cellular radio and ultra wide-band communication. The sampling set is independently and randomly drawn from a general probability distribution over ℝd. Under some proper conditions for the generators 𝚽 = {𝜙λ : λ ∈ 𝚲} and the probability density function 𝜌, we first approximate Vp(𝚽, 𝚲) by a finite dimensional subspace VpN (𝚽, 𝚲) on any bounded domains. Then, we prove that the random sampling stability holds with high probability for all signals in Vp(𝚽, 𝚲) whose energy concentrate on a cube when the sampling size is large enough. Finally, a reconstruction algorithm based on random samples is given for signals in VpN (𝚽, 𝚲).

Probability Sampling Method for a Hidden Population Using Respondent-Driven Sampling: Simulation for Cancer Survivors

  • Jung, Minsoo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.4677-4683
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    • 2015
  • When there is no sampling frame within a certain group or the group is concerned that making its population public would bring social stigma, we say the population is hidden. It is difficult to approach this kind of population survey-methodologically because the response rate is low and its members are not quite honest with their responses when probability sampling is used. The only alternative known to address the problems caused by previous methods such as snowball sampling is respondent-driven sampling (RDS), which was developed by Heckathorn and his colleagues. RDS is based on a Markov chain, and uses the social network information of the respondent. This characteristic allows for probability sampling when we survey a hidden population. We verified through computer simulation whether RDS can be used on a hidden population of cancer survivors. According to the simulation results of this thesis, the chain-referral sampling of RDS tends to minimize as the sample gets bigger, and it becomes stabilized as the wave progresses. Therefore, it shows that the final sample information can be completely independent from the initial seeds if a certain level of sample size is secured even if the initial seeds were selected through convenient sampling. Thus, RDS can be considered as an alternative which can improve upon both key informant sampling and ethnographic surveys, and it needs to be utilized for various cases domestically as well.

Low-discrepancy sampling for structural reliability sensitivity analysis

  • Cao, Zhenggang;Dai, Hongzhe;Wang, Wei
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2011
  • This study presents an innovative method to estimate the reliability sensitivity based on the low-discrepancy sampling which is a new technique for structural reliability analysis. Two advantages are contributed to the method: one is that, by developing a general importance sampling procedure for reliability sensitivity analysis, the partial derivative of the failure probability with respect to the distribution parameter can be directly obtained with typically insignificant additional computations on the basis of structural reliability analysis; and the other is that, by combining various low-discrepancy sequences with the above importance sampling procedure, the proposed method is far more efficient than that based on the classical Monte Carlo method in estimating reliability sensitivity, especially for problems of small failure probability or problems that require a large number of costly finite element analyses. Examples involving both numerical and structural problems illustrate the application and effectiveness of the method developed, which indicate that the proposed method can provide accurate and computationally efficient estimates of reliability sensitivity.

Regression Estimators with Unequal Selection Probabilities on Two Successive Occasions

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we propose regression estimators based on a partial replacement sampling scheme over two successive occasions and derive the minimum variances of them. PPSWR, RHC, $\pi$PS and PPSWOR schemes are considered to select unequal probability samples on two occasions. Simulation results over four populations are given for comparison of composite estimators and regression estimators.

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A STUDY ON THE TECHNIQUES OF ESTIMATING THE PROBABILITY OF FAILURE

  • Lee, Yong-Kyun;Hwang, Dae-Sik
    • 충청수학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.573-583
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we introduce the techniques of estimating the probability of failure in reliability analysis. The basic idea of each technique is explained and drawbacks of these techniques are examined.

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Some Perspectives on Variance Estimation in Sampling with Probability Proportional to Size

  • Kim, Sun-Woong
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2005년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.233-238
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    • 2005
  • S${\"{a}}$rndal (1996) and Knottnerus (2003) had a critical look at the well known variance estimator of Sen (1953) and Yates and Grundy (1953) in probability proportional to size sampling. In this paper, we point out that although their approaches can avoid the difficulties in variance estimation with respect to the joint probabilities, there exist the disadvantages in practice. Also, we describe a sampling procedure available in statistical software that are useful for the variance estimation.

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NEW BOUNDS ON THE OVERFLOW PROBABILITY IN JACKSON NETWORKS

  • Lee, Ji-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.359-371
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    • 2003
  • We consider the probability that the total population of a stable Jackson network reaches a given large value. By using the fluid limit of the reversed network, we derive new upper and lower bounds on this probability, which are sharper than those in Glasserman and Kou (1995). In particular, the improved lower bound is useful for analyzing the performance of an importance sampling estimator for the overflow probability in Jackson tandem networks. Bounds on the expected time to overflow are also obtained.