• 한국경영과학회지
• /
• 제33권3호
• /
• pp.43-58
• /
• 2008

In this paper, we have presented a dynamic, predictive location update scheme that takes into account each user's mobility patterns. A user's past movement history is used to create two-dimensional transition probability matrix which makes use of two directional consecutive location areas. A mobile terminal utilizes the transition probability to develop a predictive path which consists of several predictive nodes and then the location update is saved as long as a mobile user follows the predictive path. Using continuous-time Markov chain, cost functions of location update and paging are derived and it is shown that the number of predictive nodes can be determined optimally. To evaluate the proposed scheme, simulations are designed and the numerical analysis is carried out. The numerical analysis features user's mobility patterns and regularity, call arrival rates, and cost ratio of location update to paging. Results show that the proposed scheme gives lower total location management cost, compared to the other location update schemes.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국철도학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.529-538
• /
• 2009

A trial run of locally-developed tilting train has been in process on Chungbuk line since the test vehicle was first produced. For the system stabilization, interface verification among the systems including track, structure, catenary and signaling system, not to mention the rolling stock, is very crucial. Therefore, in this study, the dynamic rail force of the tilting (Hanvit 200), high-speed (KTX) and general (Mugunghwa) vehicle caused by driving in transition curve track was measured. And, it compared the tilting response with the other by using the measured wheel load data in transition curve track, and then evaluated probability the range of wheel load fluctuation for the variable dynamic vertical and lateral wheel load. As a result, a range of wheel load by occured a change of cant from the high-speed and general vehicle which had fixed bogie structure was distributed throughout small deviation (${\Delta}8{\sim}13kN$). Otherwise, in case of the tilting train which was consisted of the pendulum bogie structure was distributed wide range about large deviation (${\Delta}25{\sim}28kN$) by changed of cant.

• EDISON SW 활용 경진대회 논문집
• /
• 제5회(2016년)
• /
• pp.147-154
• /
• 2016

Co-nonsolvency is a puzzling phenomenon that a polymer swells in a good solvent individually, but it collapses in a mixture of good solvents. This structural transition with changing solvent environment has been drawing attention due to practical application for stimuli-responsive polymer. The aim of this work is to describe the physical origin of the co-nonsolvency. In this work, we present Monte Carlo simulations for polymer solutions by using simple and general model. We simulate linear and ring polymers to compare their co-nonsolvency behaviors. Calculating Flory exponents and bridging fractions gives a good description for polymer structures. While the polymer structure shows non-monotonous behavior with increasing the cosolvent fraction, the chemical potential decreases monotonously. This indicates that coil-to-globule transition of polymers is purely controlled by free energy and can be regarded as a thermodynamics transition. We also present that ring polymers have higher looping probability than linear polymers, thus the bridging fraction remains higher at high cosolvent fraction. Our study provides a new perspective to understand polymer structure when the polymer "dissolves well" in any solvent.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제30권1호
• /
• pp.147-157
• /
• 2017

패널 마코프 체인의 구조를 소개하고 우도함수를 도출하여 전이확률을 추정하였다. 패널 마코프 체인의 전이확률의 동질성 검정통계량으로 LR 통계량을 제안하고 그 극한분포를 제시하였다. 동질성 검정통계량의 극한분포를 패널의 수를 달리하여 모의실험하였으며 패널의 수가 50개 이상인 경우 동질성 검정통계량의 분포가 카이제곱분포를 따르는 것을 확인하였다. 정상적인 경우 검정통계량이 우수한 검정력을 가지는 것을 보였고, 확률보행과정과 같이 비정상적인 경우 검정통계량이 전이확률의 비동질성을 잘 반영하는 것을 확인하였다.

• 한국세라믹학회지
• /
• 제31권8호
• /
• pp.861-868
• /
• 1994

CaO-Al2O3 glass is a good candidate as optical fiber amplifier and laser. In this study, optical properties for 4I13/2longrightarrow4I15/2 transition of Er3+ ions doped in CaO-Al2O3 glasses were investigated. Optical absorptions, radiative transition probabilities and lifetimes for 4I13/2 level were evaluated by using Judd-Ofelt theory. Also, induced- emmision cross-sections of 4I13/2longrightarrow4I15/2 transition were calculated. Radiative transition probability and lifetime of 4I13/2 level were 144.6s-1, 690$mutextrm{s}$ respectively for 60CaO.40Al2O3 glass(FS0) and 152.6s-1, 660 $mutextrm{s}$ for 54 CaO.36Al2O3.10SiO2 glass (FS10). Each induced-emission cross sections for FS0 and FS10 was 0.749$\times$10-20 $\textrm{cm}^2$, 0.892$\times$10-20 $\textrm{cm}^2$. Obtained values were comparable with those of ZBLA glass studied as optical fiber amplifier and laser material.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
• /
• pp.493-493
• /
• 2000

Multi-valued decision making for transitional stochastic events was newly derived based on conditional probability of database. The two values (on-off) decision making method without transition had been proposed by one of the author in a previous work for a purpose of realizing human on-off decision making. The current method is an extension of the previous on-off decision making. By combining the conditional probability and the transitional probability, the closed form of the algorithm for the multi-valued transitional decision making was derived. The proposed multi-valued decision making was successfully applied to the determination of the five levels of the vigilance of a subject during the EEG recording; awake stage, drowsy stage and sleeping stages (stage 1, stage 2/3, REM (rapid eye movement)). The method for determining the vigilance level can be directly usable for the two purposes; selection of awake EEG segments for automatic EEG interpretation, and determination of sleep stages through sleep EEG. The proposed multi-valued decision making with a mathematical background of the probability can be applicable widely, in industries and in medical fields for purposes of the multi-valued decision making.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
• /
• 제25권2호
• /
• pp.52-62
• /
• 2013

경사제 피복재의 시간에 따른 파괴확률을 산정할 수 있는 추계학적 Markov 확률모형을 개발하였다. 하중발생에 대한 CP/RP 해석과 누적피해사건에 대한 DP 해석을 결합하여 수학적 모형을 수립하고 경사제 피복재에 적용하였다. 피복재의 피해수준에 대한 정의와 MCS 기법을 이용하여 이행확률을 산정하고 분석하였다. 산정된 이행확률들은 확률적으로나 물리적으로 만족해야하는 제약조건들을 잘 충족한다. 또한 경사제 피복재의 설계와 관련하여 중요한 변수로 생각되는 재현기간 및 안전율의 변화에 따른 시간 의존 파괴확률을 산정하여 그 거동 특성을 자세히 비교 분석하였다. 특히 시간 의존 파괴확률이 이전단계의 피해수준에 의해 어떻게 달라지는지를 정량적으로 해석할 수 있었다. 마지막으로 유지관리에서 가장 중요한 보수보강 시점을 결정할 수 있는 두 가지 접근방법을 제시하고 경제성 분석을 포함한 다양한 해석이 수행되었다.

• Human Ecology Research
• /
• 제59권2호
• /
• pp.199-213
• /
• 2021

The purpose of the study was to apply latent transition analysis to the work-family balance of working mothers with a child in elementary school by focusing on the effect of antecedents on both work-family balance typology and the transition between typologies. Data from 400 working mothers who participated in the eighth and eleventh waves of the Panel Study on Korean Children were used. The results can be summarized as follows. First, the latent profile analysis of working mothers whose children were in the first grade classified the work-family balance types as 'contradictory' or 'beneficial' and of working mothers whose children were in the fourth grade as 'conflictual', 'contradictory', 'high beneficial', 'low beneficial' or 'beneficial'. Second, working mothers whose work-family balance was 'contradictory' or 'beneficial' when their children were in the first grade mostly had, respectively, a 'low beneficial' or a 'high beneficial' balance when their children were in the fourth grade. Third, the probability of being classified into each type differed according to subjective happiness and marital conflict in the first grade, and marital conflict and social support in the fourth grade. Moreover, marital conflict and social support were significant in the transition between the types of work-family balance. The study showed that the types of work-family balance differed for each time point for individual working mothers. The study also highlighted the importance of parenting-related personal, family and social factors in determining the work-family balance type and transition between types.

• 대한산업공학회지
• /
• 제42권1호
• /
• pp.38-49
• /
• 2016

This paper proposes a mathematical model-based solution for sourcing decisions with an objective of minimizing the manufacturer's total cost in the two-echelon supply chain with supply capacity risk. The risk impact is represented by uniform, beta, and triangular distributions. For the mathematical model, the probability vector of normal, risk, and recovery statuses are developed by using the status transition probability matrix and the equations for estimating the supply capacity under risk and recovery statuses are derived for each of the three probability distributions. Those formulas derived are validated using the sampling method. The results of the simulation study on the test problem show that the sourcing decisions using the proposed solution reduce the total cost by 1.6~3.7%, compared with the ones without a consideration of supply capacity risk. The total cost reduction increases approximately in a linear fashion as the probability of risk occurrence or reduction rate of supply capacity due to risk events is increased.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
• /
• 제17권6호
• /
• pp.145-152
• /
• 2012

네트워크를 통해 전송되는 스트리밍 미디어의 대용량화로 인해 기존의 전송 방법은 최적의 성능을 제시하지 못하고 있다. 이를 위해 대역폭의 소비와 네트워크 혼잡 및 트래픽을 감소시키는 비디오 프록시 서버가 운용된다. 본 논문은 비디오 프록시 서버의 효율적인 활용을 위해 미디어 스트리밍 시스템에서의 상태 천이 모델을 활용한 고속 분산 네트워크 파일 시스템을 제안한다. 제안하는 방법은 상태 천이 모델을 활용한 학습 과정, 기본 확률과 결정 확률의 생성, 그리고 확률을 기반으로 한 저장과 삭제의 3단계로 구성된다. 또한 비디오 프록시 서버의 저장 공간에서 발생되는 단편화를 막기 위하여 해당 공간을 세그먼트 별로 영역을 구분한다. 실험을 통해 제안하는 방법이 기존의 방법들에 비해 보다 높은 적중률을 보이는 동시에 보다 적은 삭제 횟수를 보임을 확인한다. 이를 통해 제안하는 방법이 초기 지연시간을 최소화하는 동시에 네트워크 대역폭을 효율적으로 활용하는 것을 보인다.