• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability of detection(POD)

Search Result 42, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Estimation of the Number of Physical Flaws Using Effective POD (유효 POD를 이용한 물리적 결함 수의 추정)

  • Lee, Jae-Bong;Park, Jae-Hak;Kim, Hong-Deok;Chung, Han-Sub
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.21 no.4 s.76
    • /
    • pp.42-48
    • /
    • 2006
  • The strategies of maintenance and operation are usually established based on the number of flaws and their size distribution obtained from nondestructive inspection in order to preserve safety of the plant. But non destructive inspection results are different from the physical flaws which really exist in the equipments. In case of a single inspection, it is easy to estimate the number of physical flaws using the POD curve. However, we may be faced with some difficulties in obtaining the number of physical flaws from the periodic in-service non destructive inspection data. In this study a simple method for estimating the number of physical flaws from periodic in-service nondestructive inspection data was proposed. In order to obtain the flaw growth history, the flaw growth was simulated using the Monte Carlo method and the flaw size and the corresponding POD value were obtained for each flaw at each periodic inspection time. The flaw growth rate used in the simulation was statistically calculated from the in-service inspection data. By repeating the simulation numerous flaw growth data could be generated and the effective POD curve was obtained as a function of flaw size. From the effective POD curve the number of physical flaws was obtained. The usefulness and convenience of the proposed method was evaluated from several applications and satisfactory results were obtained.

Real time crack detection using mountable comparative vacuum monitoring sensors

  • Roach, D.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.317-328
    • /
    • 2009
  • Current maintenance operations and integrity checks on a wide array of structures require personnel entry into normally-inaccessible or hazardous areas to perform necessary nondestructive inspections. To gain access for these inspections, structure must be disassembled and removed or personnel must be transported to remote locations. The use of in-situ sensors, coupled with remote interrogation, can be employed to overcome a myriad of inspection impediments stemming from accessibility limitations, complex geometries, the location and depth of hidden damage, and the isolated location of the structure. Furthermore, prevention of unexpected flaw growth and structural failure could be improved if on-board health monitoring systems were used to more regularly assess structural integrity. A research program has been completed to develop and validate Comparative Vacuum Monitoring (CVM) Sensors for surface crack detection. Statistical methods using one-sided tolerance intervals were employed to derive Probability of Detection (POD) levels for a wide array of application scenarios. Multi-year field tests were also conducted to study the deployment and long-term operation of CVM sensors on aircraft. This paper presents the quantitative crack detection capabilities of the CVM sensor, its performance in actual flight environments, and the prospects for structural health monitoring applications on aircraft and other civil structures.

Reliability Assessment of Ultrasonic Nondesturcive Inspection on Piping in NPP - The Result of PD-RR Test - (Part I) (원전 배관 초음파 비파괴검사의 신뢰도 평가 - PD-RR Test Results - (I))

  • Park, Ik-Keun;Park, Un-Su;Kim, Hyun-Mook;Park, Yoon-Won;Kang, Suk-Chull;Choi, Young-Hwan;Lee, Jin-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
    • /
    • 2001.11a
    • /
    • pp.246-251
    • /
    • 2001
  • The performance demonstration round robin test was conducted to quantify the capability of ultrasonic inspection for in-service and to address some aspects of reliability for nondestructive evaluation. The fifteen inspection teams who employed procedures that met or exceeded ASME Sec. XI code requirements detected the pinping of nuclear power plant with various cracks to evaluate the capability of detection. With data from PD-RR test, the performance of ultrasonic nondestructive inspection could be assessed using probability of detection and length and depth sizing of cracks.

  • PDF

Development of PM10 Forecasting Model for Seoul Based on DNN Using East Asian Wide Area Data (동아시아 광역 데이터를 활용한 DNN 기반의 서울지역 PM10 예보모델의 개발)

  • Yu, SukHyun
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1300-1312
    • /
    • 2019
  • BSTRACT In this paper, PM10 forecast model using DNN(Deep Neural Network) is developed for Seoul region. The previous Julian forecast model has been developed using weather and air quality data of Seoul region only. This model gives excellent results for accuracy and false alarm rates, but poor result for POD(Probability of Detection). To solve this problem, an WA(Wide Area) forecasting model that uses Chinese data is developed. The data is highly correlated with the emergence of high concentrations of PM10 in Korea. As a result, the WA model shows better accuracy, and POD improving of 3%(D+0), 21%(D+1), and 36%(D+2) for each forecast period compared with the Julian model.

Performance Evaluation of Snow Detection Using Himawari-8 AHI Data (Himawari-8 AHI 적설 탐지의 성능 평가)

  • Jin, Donghyun;Lee, Kyeong-sang;Seo, Minji;Choi, Sungwon;Seong, Noh-hun;Lee, Eunkyung;Han, Hyeon-gyeong;Han, Kyung-soo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.34 no.6_1
    • /
    • pp.1025-1032
    • /
    • 2018
  • Snow Cover is a form of precipitation that is defined by snow on the surface and is the single largest component of the cryosphere that plays an important role in maintaining the energy balance between the earth's surface and the atmosphere. It affects the regulation of the Earth's surface temperature. However, since snow cover is mainly distributed in area where human access is difficult, snow cover detection using satellites is actively performed, and snow cover detection in forest area is an important process as well as distinguishing between cloud and snow. In this study, we applied the Normalized Difference Snow Index (NDSI) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to the geostationary satellites for the snow detection of forest area in existing polar orbit satellites. On the rest of the forest area, the snow cover detection using $R_{1.61{\mu}m}$ anomaly technique and NDSI was performed. As a result of the indirect validation using the snow cover data and the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer (VIIRS) snow cover data, the probability of detection (POD) was 99.95 % and the False Alarm Ratio (FAR) was 16.63 %. We also performed qualitative validation using the Himawari-8 Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) RGB image. The result showed that the areas detected by the VIIRS Snow Cover miss pixel are mixed with the area detected by the research false pixel.

Model of Reliability Assessment in Ultrasonic Nondestructive Inspection (초음파 비파괴검사의 신뢰도 평가 모델)

  • Park, Ik-Keun;Park, Un-Su;Kim, Hyun-Mook;Park, Yoon-Won;Kang, Suk-Chull;Choi, Young-Hwan;Lee, Jin-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
    • /
    • 2001.11a
    • /
    • pp.240-245
    • /
    • 2001
  • Ultrasonic inspection system is consisted of the operator, equipment and procedure. The reliability of results in ultrasonic inspection is affected by its ability. Furthermore, the reliability of nondestructive testing is influenced by the inspection environment, other materials and types of defect. Therefore, it is very difficult to estimate the reliability of NDT due to various factors. In this study, the probability of detection, used logistic probability model and Monte Carlo simulation, estimated the reliability of ultrasonic inspection. The utility of the NDT reliability assesment is verified by the analysis of the data from round robin test applied these models.

  • PDF

Probabilistic Reliability Analysis of Ultrasonic Inspection System about Sizing Performance of Defects in Piping on Nuclear Power Plant (원전 배관 결함의 크기측정성능에 대한 초음파 검사시스템의 확률론적 신뢰도 평가)

  • 김현묵;정지홍;지용우;장경영;박익근;박윤원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
    • /
    • 2002.06a
    • /
    • pp.217-224
    • /
    • 2002
  • The performance demonstration round robin test was conducted to quantify the capability of ultrasonic inspection for in-service and to address some aspects of reliability for nondestructive evaluation. The fifteen inspection teams who employed procedures that met or exceeded ASME Sec. XI code requirements detected the piping of nuclear power plant with various cracks to evaluate the capability of detection. With data from PD-RR test, the performance of ultrasonic nondestructive inspection could be assessed using probability of length and depth sizing of cracks.

  • PDF

Feasibility Study for Detecting the Tropopause Folding Turbulence Using COMS Geostationary Satellite (천리안 위성 자료를 이용한 대류권계면 접힘 난류 탐지 가능성 연구)

  • Kim, Mijeong;Kim, Jae Hwan
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.119-131
    • /
    • 2017
  • We present and discuss the Tropopause Folding Turbulence Detection (TFTD) algorithm for the Korean Communication, Ocean, Meteorological Satellite (COMS) which is originally developed for the Tropopause Folding Turbulence Product (TFTP) from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R. The TFTD algorithm assumes that the tropopause folding is linked to the Clear Air Turbulence (CAT), and thereby the tropopause folding areas are detected from the rapid spatial gradients of the upper tropospheric specific humidity. The Layer Averaged Specific Humidity (LASH) is used to represent the upper tropospheric specific humidity calculated using COMS $6.7{\mu}m$ water vapor channel and ERA-interim reanalysis temperature at 300, 400, and 500 hPa. The comparison of LASH with the numerical model specific humidity shows a strong negative correlation of 80% or more. We apply the single threshold, which is determined from sensitivity analysis, for cloud-clearing to overcome strong gradient of LASH at the edge of clouds. The tropopause break lines are detected from the location of strong LASH-gradient using the Canny edge detection based on the image processing technique. The tropopause folding area is defined by expanding the break lines by 2-degree positive gradient direction. The validations of COMS TFTD is performed with Pilot Reports (PIREPs) filtered out Convective Induced Turbulence (CIT) from Dec 2013 to Nov 2014 over the South Korea. The score test shows 0.49 PODy (Probability of Detection 'Yes') and 0.64 PODn (Probability of Detection 'No'). Low POD results from various kinds of CAT reported from PIREPs and the characteristics of high sensitivity in edge detection algorithm.

A New Application of Unsupervised Learning to Nighttime Sea Fog Detection

  • Shin, Daegeun;Kim, Jae-Hwan
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
    • /
    • v.54 no.4
    • /
    • pp.527-544
    • /
    • 2018
  • This paper presents a nighttime sea fog detection algorithm incorporating unsupervised learning technique. The algorithm is based on data sets that combine brightness temperatures from the $3.7{\mu}m$ and $10.8{\mu}m$ channels of the meteorological imager (MI) onboard the Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS), with sea surface temperature from the Operational Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA). Previous algorithms generally employed threshold values including the brightness temperature difference between the near infrared and infrared. The threshold values were previously determined from climatological analysis or model simulation. Although this method using predetermined thresholds is very simple and effective in detecting low cloud, it has difficulty in distinguishing fog from stratus because they share similar characteristics of particle size and altitude. In order to improve this, the unsupervised learning approach, which allows a more effective interpretation from the insufficient information, has been utilized. The unsupervised learning method employed in this paper is the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm that is widely used in incomplete data problems. It identifies distinguishing features of the data by organizing and optimizing the data. This allows for the application of optimal threshold values for fog detection by considering the characteristics of a specific domain. The algorithm has been evaluated using the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) vertical profile products, which showed promising results within a local domain with probability of detection (POD) of 0.753 and critical success index (CSI) of 0.477, respectively.

Feasibility of Ultrasonic Inspection for Nuclear Grade Graphite (원자력급 흑연의 산화 정도에 따른 초음파특성 변화 및 초음파탐상의 타당성 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Seok;Yoon, Byung-Sik;Jang, Chang-Heui;Lee, Jong-Po
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.436-442
    • /
    • 2008
  • Graphite material has been recognized as a very competitive candidate for reflector, moderator, and structural material for very high temperature reactor (VHTR). Since VHTR is operated up to $900-950^{\circ}C$, small amount of impurity may accelerate the oxidation and degradation of carbon graphite, which results in increased porosity and lowered fracture toughness. In this study, ultrasonic wave propagation properties were investigated for both as-received and degradated material, and the feasibility of ultrasonic testing (UT) was estimated based on the result of ultrasonic property measurements. The ultrasonic properties of carbon graphite were half, more than 5 times, and 1/3 for velocity, attenuation, and signal-to-noise (S/N) ratio respectively. Degradation reduces the ultrasonic velocity slightly by 100 m/s, however the attenuation is about 2 times of as-receive state. The results of probability of detection (POD) estimation based on S/N ratio for side-drilled-hole (SDHs) of which depths were less than 100 mm were merely affected by oxidation and degradation. This result suggests that UT would be reliable method for nondestructive testing of carbon graphite material of which thickness is not over 100 mm. In accordance with the result produced by commercial automated ultrasonic testing (AUT) system, human error of ultrasonic testing is barely expected for the material of which thickness is not over 80 mm.