• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability distribution model

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Probability of performance failure of storm sewer according to accumulation of debris (토사 적체에 따른 우수관의 성능불능확률)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.509-517
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    • 2010
  • Statistical distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea was analyzed and applied to the reliability model which can calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. After the analysis, it was found that distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea is well matched with Gumbel distribution. Rational equation was used to estimate the load and Manning's equation was used to estimate the capacity in reliability function to calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. Reliability analysis was performed by developed model applying to the real storm sewer. It was found that probability of performance failure is abruptly increased if the diameter is smaller than certain size. Therefore, cleaning the inside of storm sewer to maintain the original diameter can be one of the best ways to reduce the probability of performance failure. In the present study, probability of performance failure according to accumulation of debris in storm sewer was calculated. It was found that increasing the amount of debris seriously decrease the capacity of storm sewer and significantly increase the probability of performance failure.

Probability Models of W-CDMA Signals in Realistic Wideband Multipath Channels (광대역 다중경로 실측채널에서 W-CDMA 수신 신호의 화률 모델)

  • 오동진;이주석;이귀상;김철성
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.27 no.4B
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    • pp.308-315
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes new probability models for wideband code division multiple access (W-CDMA) signals. The performance of a W-CDMA system is evaluated by calculating the average bit error rate(BER) which is derived from the probability distribution of the W-CDMA receiver output. If a probability model of the receiver output is available, the performance evaluation becomes much simpler and it enables diverse analyses of the system for channel coding and other purposes. In this paper, probability distributions of W-CDMA signals, more specifically those of the receiver output, are represented as Rayleigh and noncentral chi distribution, considering various bandwidths and channel environments. The adequacy of a probability model is verified by chi-square test of 1% significance level. The BER of the system obtained from the simulation results is compared to that obtained from the probability model to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed models.

Real-Time Motion Estimation Algorithm for Mobile Surveillance Robot (모바일 감시 로봇을 위한 실시간 움직임 추정 알고리즘)

  • Han, Cheol-Hoon;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.311-316
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the motion estimation algorithm on real-time for mobile surveillance robot using particle filter. the particle filter that based on the monte carlo's sampling method, use bayesian conditional probability model which having prior distribution probability and posterior distribution probability. However, the initial probability density was set to define randomly in the most of particle filter. In this paper, we find first the initial probability density using Sum of Absolute Difference(SAD). and we applied it in the partical filter. In result, more robust real-time estimation and tracking system on the randomly moving object was realized in the mobile surveillance robot environments.

Non-parametric Density Estimation with Application to Face Tracking on Mobile Robot

  • Feng, Xiongfeng;Kubik, K.Bogunia
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.49.1-49
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    • 2001
  • The skin color model is a very important concept in face detection, face recognition and face tracking. Usually, this model is obtained by estimating a probability density function of skin color distribution. In many cases, it is assumed that the underlying density function follows a Gaussian distribution. In this paper, a new method for non-parametric estimation of the probability density function, by using feed-forward neural network, is used to estimate the underlying skin color model. By using this method, the resulting skin color model is better than the Gaussian estimation and substantially approaches the real distribution. Applications to face detection and face ...

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A Generation-based Text Steganography by Maintaining Consistency of Probability Distribution

  • Yang, Boya;Peng, Wanli;Xue, Yiming;Zhong, Ping
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.4184-4202
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    • 2021
  • Text steganography combined with natural language generation has become increasingly popular. The existing methods usually embed secret information in the generated word by controlling the sampling in the process of text generation. A candidate pool will be constructed by greedy strategy, and only the words with high probability will be encoded, which damages the statistical law of the texts and seriously affects the security of steganography. In order to reduce the influence of the candidate pool on the statistical imperceptibility of steganography, we propose a steganography method based on a new sampling strategy. Instead of just consisting of words with high probability, we select words with relatively small difference from the actual sample of the language model to build a candidate pool, thus keeping consistency with the probability distribution of the language model. What's more, we encode the candidate words according to their probability similarity with the target word, which can further maintain the probability distribution. Experimental results show that the proposed method can outperform the state-of-the-art steganographic methods in terms of security performance.

Analysis of Probability Distribution of Muzzle Velocity for Chrome Plated Barrel (크롬도금 포열의 포구속도 확률분포 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Jaekab;Kim, Jaehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2021
  • To confirm the change of muzzle velocity and the most suitable probability distribution model of the 155 mm K9 howitzer barrel with chrome plating and changed rifling. Using a statistical program, the muzzle velocity were plotted on a normal distribution, a 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution on a probability paper. Also, statistical parameters were estimated and muzzle velocity fitness test and probability of K676 charge were plotted. In both the chrome-plated with standard rifling and changed rifling for K9 barrel, the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution were skewed to the left compared to the normal distribution. It was confirmed that the muzzle velocity of the K9 barrel with chromium-plated is suitable for the normal distribution and 3-parameter Weibull distribution model.

Probability Distribution of Operation codes in Edgebreaker (Edgebreaker에서 Operation 코드들의 확률분포)

  • Cho Cheol-Hyung;Kang Chang-Wook;Kim Deok-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.77-82
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    • 2004
  • Being in an internet era, the rapid transmission of 3D mesh models is getting more important and efforts toward the compression of various aspects of mesh models have been provided. Even though a mesh model usually consists of coordinates of vertices and properties such as colors and normals, topology plays the most important part in the compression of other information in the models. Despite the extensive studies on Edgebreaker, the most frequently used and rigorously evaluated topology compressor, the probability distribution of its five op-codes, C, R, E, S, and L, has never been rigorously analyzed yet. In this paper, we present probability distribution of the op-codes which is useful for both the optimization of the compression performance and a priori estimation of compressed file size.

On availability of Bayesian imperfect repair model

  • Cha, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.301-310
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    • 2001
  • Lim et al.(1998) proposed the Bayesian Imperfect Repair Model, in which a failed system is perfectly repaired with probability P and is minimally repaired with probability 1 - P, where P is not fixed but a random variable with a prior distribution II(p). In this note, the steady state availability of the model is derived and the measure is obtained for several particular prior distribution functions.

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Deriving a Probabilistic Model for Fatigue Life Based on Physical Failure Mechanism

  • Suneung Ahn
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.24 no.68
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2001
  • A probabilistic model for fatigue life of a structural component is derived when the component is in a variable-amplitude loading environment. The physical mechanism which governs fatigue failure is used to model the fatigue life. Especially, the judgement of rotational symmetry in the-stress-intensity-factors results in the probability distribution for fatigue life. The probability distribution is related to the familiar truncated Gaussian distribution, which has a single parameter with a direct physical meaning.

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Safety Analysis of Storm Sewer Using Probability of Failure and Multiple Failure Mode (파괴확률과 다중파괴유형을 이용한 우수관의 안전성 분석)

  • Kwon, Hyuk-Jae;Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.967-976
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    • 2010
  • AFDA (Approximate Full Distribution Approach) model of FORM (First-Order Reliability Model) which can quantitatively calculate the probability that storm sewer reach to performance limit state was developed in this study. It was defined as a failure if amount of inflow exceed the capacity of storm sewer. Manning's equation and rational equation were used to determine the capacity and inflow of reliability function. Furthermore, statistical characteristics and distribution for the random variables were analyzed as a reliability analysis. It was found that the statistical distribution for annual maximum rainfall intensity of 10 cities in Korea is matched well with Gumbel distribution. Reliability model developed in this study was applied to Y shaped storm sewer system to calculate the probability that storm sewer may exceed the performance limit state. Probability of failure according to diameter was calculated using Manning's equation. Especially, probability of failure of storm sewer in Mungyeong and Daejeon was calculated using rainfall intensity of 50-year return period. It was found that probability of failure can be significantly increased if diameter is decreased below the original diameter. Therefore, cleaning the debris in sewer pipes to maintain the original pipe diameter should be one of the best ways to reduce the probability of failure of storm sewer. In sewer system, two sewer pipes can flow into one sewer pipe. For this case, probability of system failure was calculated using multiple failure mode. Reliability model developed in this study can be applied to design, maintenance, management, and control of storm sewer system.