• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권7호
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• pp.1414-1422
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• 2017

Remote response technology has advanced to the extent that a robot system, if properly designed and deployed, may greatly help respond to beyond-design-basis accidents at nuclear power plants. Particularly in the aftermath of the Fukushima accident, there is increasing interest in developing disaster robots that can be deployed in lieu of a human operator to the field to perform mitigating actions in the harsh environment caused by extreme natural hazards. The nuclear robotics team of the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) is also endeavoring to construct disaster robots and, first of all, is interested in finding out to what extent safety benefits can be achieved by such a disaster robotic system. This paper discusses a new approach based on the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) technique, which can be used to quantify safety benefits associated with disaster robots, along with a case study for seismic-induced station blackout condition. The results indicate that to avoid core damage in this special case a robot system with reliability > 0.65 is needed because otherwise core damage is inevitable. Therefore, considerable efforts are needed to improve the reliability of disaster robots, because without assurance of high reliability, remote response techniques will not be practically used.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제83권2호
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• pp.229-244
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• 2022

This paper investigates the seismic performance of buildings designed using DDBD (Direct Displacement based Design) and FBD (Force based Design) approaches from the probabilistic viewpoint. It aims to estimate the collapse capacity of structures and assess the adequacy of seismic design codes. In this regard, (i) IDA (Incremental Dynamic Analysis) curves, (ii) interstory drift demand distribution curves, (iii) fragility curves, and (iv) the methodology provided by FEMA P-695 are applied to examine two groups of RC moment resistant frame buildings: 8-story structures with different plans, to study the effect of different span arrangements; and 3-, 7- and 12-story structures with a fixed plan, to study the dynamic behavior of the buildings. Structural modeling is performed in OpenSees software and validated using the results of an experimental model. It is concluded that increasing the building height would not significantly affect the response estimation of IDA and fragility curves of DDBD-designed structures, while the change in span arrangements is effective in estimating responses. In the investigation of the code adequacy, unlike the FBD approach, the DDBD can satisfy the performance criteria presented in FEMA P-695 and hence provide excellent performance.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권2호
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• pp.426-433
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• 2017

This paper describes the development process, the innovative techniques used and insights gained from the latest integrated, full scope, multistate Level 2 PSA analysis conducted at the Leibstadt Nuclear Power Plant (KKL), Switzerland. KKL is a modern single-unit General Electric Boiling Water Reactor (BWR/6) with Mark III Containment, and a power output of $3600MW_{th}/1200MW_e$, the highest among the five operating reactors in Switzerland. A Level 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) analyses accident phenomena in nuclear power plants, identifies ways in which radioactive releases from plants can occur and estimates release pathways, magnitude and frequency. This paper attempts to give an overview of the advanced modeling techniques that have been developed and implemented for the recent KKL Level 2 PSA update, with the aim of systematizing the analysis and modeling processes, as well as complying with the relatively prescriptive Swiss requirements for PSA. The analysis provides significant insights into the absolute and relative importances of risk contributors and accident prevention and mitigation measures. Thanks to several newly developed techniques and an integrated approach, the KKL Level 2 PSA report exhibits a high degree of reviewability and maintainability, and transparently highlights the most important risk contributors to Large Early Release Frequency (LERF) with respect to initiating events, components, operator actions or seismic component failure probabilities (fragilities).

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.94-101
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• 2021

현재 국내에서 내진성능관리 실무에 사용되고 있는 내진성능관리-의사결정 지원기술은 개별시설물의 내진성능을 정성적인 지수 값에 근거한 내진보강 우선순위만을 결정하고 있어 내진보강이 되었음에도 불구하고 지진 시 도로가 정상적인 교통통행기능을 수행하지 못하는 상황이 발생하고 있다. 이러한 단점을 극복하고 도로망관점에서 내진성능관리를 수행할 수 있도록 의사결정에 필요한 다양한 판단자료를 제공할 수 있는 새로운 내진성능관리 의사결정지원 기술이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 교량, 터널, 사면, 옹벽으로 구성된 포항시 도로망을 대상으로 "지진위험도평가"를 적용하여 정량적인 지진 전·후 직·간접 피해규모 산출, 내진보강 전후의 직·간접 피해규모 비교에 의한 내진보강효과 검토, 이를 통해 수행 할 수 있는 내진보강 우선순위 선정, 필요예산 계획, 방재도로선정 등의 다양한 의사결정 사항들을 제시하였다. 또한 지진 위험도평가 방법을 이용한 내진성능평가를 시각적으로 구현하여 의사결정자들이 직관적으로 의사결정을 수행할 수 있도록 지원하기위해 개발된 의사결정지원 소프트웨어를 소개하였다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.90-96
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• 2016

This study proposes a dynamic reliability analysis of control system as a method of quantitative evaluation of its performance in probabilistic terms. In this dynamic reliability analysis, the failure event is defined as an event that the dynamic response of the structural system exceeds a displacement limit, whereas the conventional reliability analysis method has limitations that do not properly assess the actual time history response of the structure subjected to dynamic loads, such as earthquakes and high winds, by taking the static response into account in the failure event. In this first paper, we discuss the control effect of the viscous damper on the seismic performance of the member-level failure where the failure event of the structural member consists of the union set of time-sequential member failures during the earthquake excitations and the failure probability of the earthquake-excited structural member is computed using system reliability approach to consider the statistical dependence of member failures between the subsequent time points. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed approach can present a reliable assessment of the control performance of the viscous damper system in comparison with MCS method. The most important advantage of the proposed approach can provide us more accurate estimate of failure probability of the structural control system by using the actual time-history responses obtained by dynamic response analysis.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제17권9호
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• pp.724-731
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• 2016

지진으로 인한 구조물의 피해가 지속적으로 증가하면서, 구조물의 취약성을 평가하는 일은 지진 대비에 필수적으로 여겨지고 있다. 지진 취약도 곡선은 지진에 대한 구조물의 안전도에 대한 확률 지표로써 널리 이용되고 있으며, 많은 연구자들에 의해 보다 정확하고 효율적인 취약도 곡선 도출을 위한 노력이 계속되고 있다. 하지만 기존의 대부분의 연구에서는 취약도 곡선 도출시 수치해석 시간 절약을 위해 단순화된 2차원 해석모델을 사용해 왔는데, 많은 경우에 있어 2차원 모델은 정확한 구조물의 내진 거동 및 지진 취약성을 평가하기에 적당하지 않을 수 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 3차원 해석 모델을 사용하여 더욱 정확하면서도 여전히 효과적으로 지진 취약도 곡선을 도출할 수 있는 방법을 제시한다. 이 방법은 신뢰성 해석 소프트웨어인 FERUM과 구조해석 소프트웨어인 ZEUS-NL을 서로 연동시켜 상호 자동적인 데이터 교환이 가능하게 하고, 샘플링 기법이 아닌 FORM 해석 기법을 통해 구조물의 파괴확률을 구한다. 이는 3차원 모델을 사용의 경우에도 효율적으로 구조 신뢰성 해석이 가능하게 해준다. 이를 이용해 RC 프레임 구조물의 3차원 해석 모델을 사용하여 지진 취약성 평가를 수행하였다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.169-184
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• 2022

The importance of seismicity in developing countries and the strengthening of buildings is a topic of major importance. Therefore, the study of several solutions with the development of new technologies is of great importance to investigate the damage on retrofitted structures by using probabilistic methods. The Federal Emergency Management Agency considers three types of performance levels by considering different scenarios, intensity and duration. The selection and scaling of ground motions mainly depends on the aim of the study. Intensity-based assessments are the most common and compute the response of buildings for a specified seismic intensity. Assessments based on scenarios estimate the response of buildings to different earthquake scenarios. A risk-based assessment is considered as one of the most effective. This research represents a practical method for developing countries where exists many active faults, tall buildings and lack of good implementable approaches. Therefore, to achieve the main goal, two high-rise steel buildings have been modeled and assessed. The contribution of buckling-restrained braces in the elastic design of both buildings is firstly verified. In the nonlinear static range, both buildings presented repairable damage at the central top part and some life safety hinges at the bottom. The nonlinear incremental dynamic analysis was applied by 15 representative/scaled accelerograms to obtain levels of performance and fragility curves. The results shown that by using probabilistic methods, it is possible to estimate the probability of collapse of retrofitted buildings by buckling-restrained braces and tuned mass dampers, which are practical retrofitting options to protect existing structures against earthquakes.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.303-316
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• 2023

Rapid post-earthquake damage estimation of subway stations is particularly necessary to improve short-term crisis management and safety measures of urban subway systems after a destructive earthquake. The conventional Performance-Based Earthquake Engineering (PBEE) framework with constant earthquake occurrence rate is invalid to estimate the aftershock risk because of the time-varying rate of aftershocks and the uncertainty of mainshock-damaged state before the occurrence of aftershocks. This study presents a time-varying probabilistic seismic risk assessment framework for underground structures considering mainshock and aftershock hazards. A discrete non-omogeneous Markov process is adopted to quantify the time-varying nature of aftershock hazard and the uncertainties of structural damage states following mainshock. The time-varying seismic risk of a typical rectangular frame subway station is assessed under mainshock-only (MS) hazard and mainshock-aftershock (MSAS) hazard. The results show that the probabilities of exceeding same limit states over the service life under MSAS hazard are larger than the values under MS hazard. For the same probability of exceedance, the higher response demands are found when aftershocks are considered. As the severity of damage state for the station structure increases, the difference of the probability of exceedance increases when aftershocks are considered. PSDR=1.0% is used as the collapse prevention performance criteria for the subway station is reasonable for both the MS hazard and MSAS hazard. However, if the effect of aftershock hazard is neglected, it can significantly underestimate the response demands and the uncertainties of potential damage states for the subway station over the service life.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.747-754
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• 2021

연구목적: 곡선 교량은 기하하적 특성으로 직선교량에 비해 복잡한 거동을 보이기 때문에 지진 안전성 평가가 반드시 이루어져야 한다. 본 연구에서는 곡선 거더를 갖는 교량의 강재 재료 특성의 불확실성을 고려한 지진 취약도 평가를 수행하였다. 연구방법: I형 곡선 거더를 갖는 교량의 유한요소 모델을 구축하였으며 선행연구에서 제시된 강재 특성의 통계적 매개변수를 이용하였다. 라틴 하이퍼큐브 기법을 이용하여 100개의 강재 재료 모델을 샘플링하였다. 경주지진의 지반가속도를 0.2g, 0.5g, 0.8g, 1.2g, 1.5g로 scale을 변화시켜 지진 취약도 평가를 수행하였다. 연구결과: 곡선거더의 지진 취약도 평가결과 한계상태가 190MPa일 때 0.03g 파괴가 시작되었으며 한계상태가 315MPa일 때 0.11g를 초과하면서 파괴가 시작되는 것으로 나타났다. 결론: 본 연구에서는 재료 불확실성을 고려한 지진 취약도 평가를 수행하였으며 추후 연구에서는 지진파의 불확실성과 재료의 불확실성을 동시에 고려한 지진 취약도 분석이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제80권6호
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• pp.645-655
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• 2021

Performance-based reliability analysis is a practical approach to investigate the seismic performance and stochastic nonlinear response of structures considering a random process. This is significant due to the uncertainties involved in every aspect of the analysis. Therefore, the present study aims to evaluate the performance-based reliability within a stochastic finite element (FE) framework for reinforced concrete (RC) shear walls that are considered as one of the most essential elements of structures. To accomplish this purpose, deterministic FE analyses are conducted for both squat and slender shear walls to validate numerical models through experimental results. The presented numerical analysis is performed by using the ABAQUS FE program. Afterwards, a random-effects investigation is carried out to consider the influence of different random variables on the lateral load-top displacement behavior of RC members. Using these results and through utilizing the Monte-Carlo simulation method, stochastic nonlinear analyses are also performed to generate random FE models based on input parameters and their probabilistic distributions. In order to evaluate the reliability of RC walls, failure probabilities and corresponding reliability indices are calculated at life safety and collapse prevention levels of performance as suggested by FEMA 356. Moreover, based on reliability indices, capacity reduction factors are determined subjected to shear for all specimens that are designed according to the ACI 318 Building Code. Obtained results show that the lateral load and the compressive strength of concrete have the highest effects on load-displacement responses compared to those of other random variables. It is also found that the probability of shear failure for the squat wall is slightly lower than that for slender walls. This implies that 𝛽 values are higher in a non-ductile mode of failure. Besides, the reliability of both squat and slender shear walls does not change significantly in the case of varying capacity reduction factors.