• 제목/요약/키워드: probabilistic models

검색결과 464건 처리시간 0.034초

RC deep beams with unconventional geometries: Experimental and numerical analyses

  • Vieira, Agno Alves;Melo, Guilherme Sales S.A.;Miranda, Antonio C.O.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.351-365
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    • 2020
  • This work presents numerical and experimental analyses of the behavior of reinforced-concrete deep beams with unconventional geometries. The main goal here is to experimentally and numerically study these geometries to find possible new behaviors due to the material nonlinearity of reinforced concrete with complex geometries. Usually, unconventional geometries result from innovative designs; in general, studies of reinforced concrete structures are performed only on conventional members such as beams, columns, and labs. To achieve the goal, four reinforced-concrete deep beams with geometries not addressed in the literature were tested. The models were numerically analyzed with the Adaptive Micro Truss Model (AMTM), which is the proposed method, to address new geometries. This work also studied the main parameters of the constitutive model of concrete based on a statistical analysis of the finite element (FE) results. To estimate the ultimate loads, FE simulations were performed using the Monte Carlo method. Based on the obtained ultimate loads, a probabilistic distribution was created, and the final ultimate loads were computed.

확률적 모델을 이용한 연속 숫자음 인식에 관한 연구 (A Study on Continuous Digits Speech Recognition using Probabilistic Models)

  • 이주승;이성권;김순협
    • 한국음향학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국음향학회 1999년도 학술발표대회 논문집 제18권 2호
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    • pp.109-112
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 음소 단위의 CHMM(Continuous Hidden Markov Model)을 이용한 한국어 연속 음성인식에 관한 내용이다. 연구실 환경에서 음성으로 전화를 걸기 위하여 연속 숫자음 인식을 수행하였다. ETRI 445 데이터를 사용하여 초기의 모델은 ML(Maximum Likelihood) 추정법을 이용하여 작성하였고 적응화를 위해 최대 사후 확률 추정법을 사용하였다. 연속 숫자음의 인식을 위하여 한국어 숫자음 음성의 음향학적 특성을 고려하여 발성 사전을 작성하였고, 음절 단위로 되어있는 한국어 숫자음의 모든 경우를 고려하여 복수개의 단어를 사전에 등록하였다. 또한 숫자음의 알 뒤 연음현상을 고려하여 작성한 21 종류의 7자리 숫자음과 이를 음절 단위로 세그먼트한 숫자음을 DB로 사용하여 적응화를 수행하였다. 이의 효율성을 입증하기 위하여 ETRI에서 작성한 35종류의 4연속 숫자음 목록을 대상으로 인식실험을 수행하였다.

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Time-variant structural fuzzy reliability analysis under stochastic loads applied several times

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Xiong, Jianbin;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.525-534
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    • 2015
  • A new structural dynamic fuzzy reliability analysis under stochastic loads which are applied several times is proposed in this paper. The fuzzy reliability prediction models based on time responses with and without strength degeneration are established using the stress-strength interference theory. The random loads are applied several times and fuzzy structural strength is analyzed. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated numerically through an example. The results have shown that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives a reasonably accurate prediction. The analysis shows that the probabilistic reliability is a special case of fuzzy reliability and fuzzy reliability of structural strength without degeneration is also a special case of fuzzy reliability with structural strength degeneration.

심전도 신호를 이용한 심장 질환 진단에 관한 연구 (A Study of ECG Based Cardiac Diseases Diagnoses)

  • 김현동;윤재복;김현동;김태선
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.328-330
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, ECG based cardiac disease diagnosis models are developed. Conventionally, ECG monitoring equipments can only measure and store ECG signals and they always require medical doctor's diagnosis actions which are not desirable for continuous ambulatory monitoring and diagnosis healthcare systems. In this paper, two kinds of neural based self cardiac disease diagnosis engines are developed and tested for four kinds of diseases, sinus bradycardia, sinus tachycardia, left bundle branch block and right bundle branch block. For diagnosis engines, error backpropagation neural network (BP) and probabilistic neural network (PNN) were applied. Five signal features including heart rate, QRS interval, PR interval, QT interval, and T wave types were selected for diagnosis characteristics. To show the validity of proposed diagnosis engine, MIT-BIH database were used to test. Test results showed that BP based diagnosis engine has 71% of diagnosis accuracy which is superior to accuracy of PNN based diagnosis engine. However, PNN based diagnosis engine showed superior diagnosis accuracy for complex-disease diagnoses than BP based diagnosis engine.

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GFRP 복합구조의 피로신뢰성 해석모형에 관한 연구 (Fatigue Reliability Analysis Model for GFRP Composite Structures)

  • 조효남;신재철;이승재
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1991년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.29-32
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    • 1991
  • It is well known that the fatigue damage process in composite materials is very complicated due to complex failure mechanisms that comprise debounding, matrix cracking, delamination and fiber splitting of laminates. Therefore, the residual strength, instead of a single dominant crack length, is chosen to describe the criticality of the damage accumulated in the sublaminate. In this study, two models for residual strength degradation established by Yang-Liu and Tanimoto-Ishikawa that are capable of predicting the statistical distribution of both fatigue life and residual strength have been investigated and compared. Statistical methodologies for fatigue life prediction of composite materials have frequently been adopted. However, these are usually based on a simplified probabilistic approach considering only the variation of fatigue test data. The main object of this work is to propose a fatigue reliability analysis model which accounts for the effect of all sources of variation such as fabrication and workmanship, error in the fatigue model, load itself, etc. The proposed model is examined using the previous experimental data of GFRP and it is shown that it can be practically applied for fatigue problems in composite materials.

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위험도 기반 접근법에 의한 선박 복원성의 확률 예측 (Probability Prediction of Stability of Ship by Risk Based Approach)

  • 용전군;정재훈;문병영
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.42-47
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    • 2013
  • Ship stability prediction is very complex in reality. In this paper, risk based approach is applied to predict the probability of a certified ship, which is effected by the forces of sea especially the wave loading. Safety assessment and risk analysis process are also applied for the probabilistic prediction of ship stability. The survival probability of ships encountering with different waves at sea is calculated by the existed statistics data and risk based models. Finally, ship capsizing probability is calculated according to single degree of freedom(SDF) rolling differential equation and basin erosion theory of nonlinear dynamics. Calculation results show that the survival probabilities of ship excited by the forces of the seas, especially in the beam seas status, can be predicted by the risk based method.

Robustness of Learning Systems Subject to Noise:Case study in forecasting chaos

  • Kim, Steven H.;Lee, Churl-Min;Oh, Heung-Sik
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 1997년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 홍익대학교, 서울; 1 Nov. 1997
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    • pp.181-184
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    • 1997
  • Practical applications of learning systems usually involve complex domains exhibiting nonlinear behavior and dilution by noise. Consequently, an intelligent system must be able to adapt to nonlinear processes as well as probabilistic phenomena. An important class of application for a knowledge based systems in prediction: forecasting the future trajectory of a process as well as the consequences of any decision made by e system. This paper examines the robustness of data mining tools under varying levels of noise while predicting nonlinear processes in the form of chaotic behavior. The evaluated models include the perceptron neural network using backpropagation (BPN), the recurrent neural network (RNN) and case based reasoning (CBR). The concepts are crystallized through a case study in predicting a Henon process in the presence of various patterns of noise.

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다회가공 평면연삭작업에서 표면조도의 실험적 예측 (Experimental Surface Roughness Estimation in Multi-Pass Horizontal Grinding Operations)

  • 최후곤;김재윤;여명구
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2000
  • Surface roughness is one of the most important characteristics in machining processes. This study presents probabilistic models to estimate surface roughness experimentally in multi-pass horizontal surface grinding operations from three independent distributions such as the initial surface roughness distributions of workpiece, the distributions of the wheel radius, and the distributions of distances between major active grains. To specify the model characteristics from surface roughness measurements, either the probability satisfying a given surface roughness or the range of surface roughness satisfying a given probability have been estimated while grinding conditions are fixed. Finally, the relationship between grinding conditions satisfying surface roughness range under a given probability can be established.

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A Novel Algorithm for Fault Type Fast Diagnosis in Overhead Transmission Lines Using Hidden Markov Models

  • Jannati, M.;Jazebi, S.;Vahidi, B.;Hosseinian, S.H.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제6권6호
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    • pp.742-749
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    • 2011
  • Power transmission lines are one of the most important components of electric power system. Failures in the operation of power transmission lines can result in serious power system problems. Hence, fault diagnosis (transient or permanent) in power transmission lines is very important to ensure the reliable operation of the power system. A hidden Markov model (HMM), a powerful pattern recognizer, classifies events in a probabilistic manner based on fault signal waveform and characteristics. This paper presents application of HMM to classify faults in overhead power transmission lines. The algorithm uses voltage samples of one-fourth cycle from the inception of the fault. The simulation performed in EMTPWorks and MATLAB environments validates the fast response of the classifier, which provides fast and accurate protection scheme for power transmission lines.

Windborne debris risk analysis - Part I. Introduction and methodology

  • Lin, Ning;Vanmarcke, Erik
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.191-206
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    • 2010
  • Windborne debris is a major cause of structural damage during severe windstorms and hurricanes owing to its direct impact on building envelopes as well as to the 'chain reaction' failure mechanism it induces by interacting with wind pressure damage. Estimation of debris risk is an important component in evaluating wind damage risk to residential developments. A debris risk model developed by the authors enables one to analytically aggregate damage threats to a building from different types of debris originating from neighboring buildings. This model is extended herein to a general debris risk analysis methodology that is then incorporated into a vulnerability model accounting for the temporal evolution of the interaction between pressure damage and debris damage during storm passage. The current paper (Part I) introduces the debris risk analysis methodology, establishing the mathematical modeling framework. Stochastic models are proposed to estimate the probability distributions of debris trajectory parameters used in the method. It is shown that model statistics can be estimated from available information from wind-tunnel experiments and post-damage surveys. The incorporation of the methodology into vulnerability modeling is described in Part II.