• Title/Summary/Keyword: probabilistic models

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Seismic assessment of R/C residential buildings with infill walls in Turkey

  • Korkmaz, Kasim Armagan;Kayhan, Ali Haydar;Ucar, Taner
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.681-695
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    • 2013
  • In 1999 Marmara and 2011 Van earthquakes in Turkey, majority of the existing buildings either sustained severe damage or collapsed. These buildings include masonry infill walls in both the interior and exterior R/C frames. The material of the masonry infill is the main variant, ranging from natural stones to bricks and blocks. It is demanding to design these buildings for satisfactory structural behavior. In general, masonry infill walls are considered by its weights not by interaction between walls and frames. In this study, R/C buildings with infill walls are considered in terms of structural behavior. Therefore, 5 and 8-story R/C buildings are regarded as the representative models in the analyses. The R/C representative buildings, both with and without infill walls were analyzed to determine the effects of structural behavior change. The differences in earthquake behavior of these representative buildings were investigated to determine the effects of infill walls leading structural capacity. First, pushover curves of the representative buildings were sketched. Aftermath, time history analyses were carried out to define the displacement demands. Finally, fragility analyses were performed. Throughout the fragility analyses, probabilistic seismic assessment for R/C building structures both with and without infill walls were provided. In this study, besides the deterministic assessment methodology, a probabilistic approach was followed to define structural effect of infill walls under seismic loads.

Design of Stochastic Movement Model Considering Sensor Node Reliability and Energy Efficiency

  • Cho, Do-Hyeoun;Yeol, Yun Dai;Hwang, Chi-Gon
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.156-162
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    • 2020
  • Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) field is mainly studied to monitor and characterize large-scale physical environments to track various environmental or physical conditions, such as temperature, pressure, wind speed and humidity. WSN can be used in various applications such as wild surveillance, military target tracking and monitoring, dangerous environmental exploration and natural disaster relief. We design probabilistic mobile models that apply to mobile ad hoc network mobile environments. A probabilistic shift model proposed by dividing the number of moving nodes and the distance of travel into two categories to express node movement characteristics. The proposed model of movement through simulation was compared with the existing random movement model, ensuring that the width and variation rate of the first node node node node (FND) was stable regardless of the node movement rate. In addition, when the proposed mobile model is applied to the routing protocol, the superiority of network life can be verified from measured FND values. We overcame the limitations of the existing random movement model, showing excellent characteristics in terms of energy efficiency and stable in terms of changes in node movement.

Probabilistic Analysis of Lifetime Extreme Live Loads of Multi-Story Columns (고층기둥 축하중의 사용기간 최대값에 대한 확률론적 분석)

  • 김상효;박흥석
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 1992
  • The live loads acting on structures are generally computed in terms of equivalent uniformly distributed loads for the simplicity in design process. The loads, therefore, tend to decrease with increasing influence area in both load intensity and variance. Since multi-story column loads result from accumulation of loadings action on several different floors, its influence area becomes wider and lifetime maximum decreases. In the design codes proposing the design loads according to types of structural members(i.e., slabs, beams, columns), rather than the change of influence area, some proper reduction factors are given for columns which support more than one floor. Using the live load models developed for columns supporting single floor, in this study, the probabilistic characteristics of multi-story column loads are analyzed. In addition reduction factors given for multistory columns in current practice are calibrated.

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Progressive Fatigue Reliability Analysis of Offshore Structures (해양구조물의 진전하는 피로파괴에 대한 신뢰도해석)

  • Ryu, Jeong Soo;Yun, Chung Bang
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1992
  • The primary objective of this study is the development of the system reliability analysis of offshore structures against progressive fatigue failure. Two methods based on the second moment reliability methods are used. One is the improved first order reliability method(IFORM) and the other is the modified probabilistic network evaluation technique(MPNET). Using idealized parallel member models, reliability analyses for progressive fatigue failures are carried out for various cases with multiple members composed of multiple connecting joints per member. Numerical results indicate that the effectiveness of the used methods over the conventional ones (i.e. the FORM and the PNET) increases very significantly as the number of failure modes of the system increases.

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Six Sigma Robust Design for Railway Vehicle Suspension (철도차량 현수장치의 식스시그마 강건 설계)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ki;Park, Chan-Kyoung;Han, Seung-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.10
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    • pp.1132-1138
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    • 2009
  • The spring constants of primary suspensions for a railway vehicle are optimized by a robust design process, in which the response surface models(RSMs) of their dynamic responses are constructed via the design of experiment(DOE). The robust design process requires an intensive computation to evaluate exactly a probabilistic feasibility for the robustness of dynamic responses with their probabilistic variances for the railway vehicle. In order to overcome the computational process, the process capability index $C_{pk}$ is introduced which enables not only to show the mean value and the scattering of the product quality to a certain extent, but also to normalize the objective functions irrespective of various different dimensions. This robust design, consequently, becomes to optimize the $C_{pk}$ subjected to constraints, i.e. 2, satisfying six sigma. The proposed method shows not only an improvement of some $C_{pk}$ violating the constraints obtained by the conventional optimization, but also a significant decrease of the variance of the $C_{pk}$.

Reliability-based assessment of damaged concrete buildings

  • Sakka, Zafer I.;Assakkaf, Ibrahim A.;Qazweeni, Jamal S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.65 no.6
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    • pp.751-760
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    • 2018
  • Damages in concrete structures due to aging and other factors could be a serious and immense matter. Making the best selection of the most viable and practical repairing and strengthening techniques are relatively difficult tasks using traditional methods of structural analyses. This is due to the fact that the traditional methods used for assessing aging structure are not fully capable when considering the randomness in strength, loads and cost. This paper presents a reliability-based methodology for assessing reinforced concrete members. The methodology of this study is based on probabilistic analysis, using statistics of the random variables in the performance function equations. Principles of reliability updating are used in the assessment process, as new information is taken into account and combined with prior probabilistic models. The methodology can result in a reliability index ${\beta}$ that can be used to assess the structural component by comparing its value with a standard value. In addition, these methods result in partial safety factor values that can be used for the purpose of strengthening the R/C elements of the existing structure. Calculations and computations of the reliability indices and the partial safety factors values are conducted using the First-order Reliability Method and Monte Carlo simulation.

Motion Parameter Estimation and Segmentation with Probabilistic Clustering (활률적 클러스터링에 의한 움직임 파라미터 추정과 세그맨테이션)

  • 정차근
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.50-60
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    • 1998
  • This paper addresses a problem of extraction of parameteric motion estimation and structural motion segmentation for compact image sequence representation and object-based generic video coding. In order to extract meaningful motion structure from image sequences, a direct parameteric motion estimation based on a pre-segmentation is proposed. The pre-segmentation which considers the motion of the moving objects is canied out based on probabilistic clustering with mixture models using optical flow and image intensities. Parametric motion segmentation can be obtained by iterated estimation of motion model parameters and region reassignment according to a criterion using Gauss-Newton iterative optimization algorithm. The efficiency of the proposed methoo is verified with computer simulation using elF real image sequences.

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Probabilistic Prediction of Stability of Ship by Risk Based Approach

  • Long, Zhan-Jun;Lee, Seung-Keon;Lee, Sung-Jong;Jeong, Jae-Hun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.255-261
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    • 2009
  • Prediction of the stability for ships is very complex in reality. In this paper, risk based approach is applied to predict the probability of capsize for a certified ship, which is effected by the forces of sea especially the wave loading Safety assessment and risk analysis process are also applied for the probabilistic prediction of stability for ships. The probability of shipsencountering different waves at sea is calculated by the existed statistics data and risk based models. Finally, ship capsizing probability is calculated according to single degree of freedom(SDF) rolling differential equation and basin erosion theory of nonlinear dynamics. Calculation results show that the survival probabilities of ship excited by the forces of the seas, especially in the beam seas status, can be predicted by the risk based method.

Experimental approach to evaluate software reliability in hardware-software integrated environment

  • Seo, Jeongil;Kang, Hyun Gook;Lee, Eun-Chan;Lee, Seung Jun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.1462-1470
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    • 2020
  • Reliability in safety-critical systems and equipment is of vital importance, so the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been widely used for many years in the nuclear industry to address reliability in a quantitative manner. As many nuclear power plants (NPPs) become digitalized, evaluating the reliability of safety-critical software has become an emerging issue. Due to a lack of available methods, in many conventional PSA models only hardware reliability is addressed with the assumption that software reliability is perfect or very high compared to hardware reliability. This study focused on developing a new method of safety-critical software reliability quantification, derived from hardware-software integrated environment testing. Since the complexity of hardware and software interaction makes the possible number of test cases for exhaustive testing well beyond a practically achievable range, an importance-oriented testing method that assures the most efficient test coverage was developed. Application to the test of an actual NPP reactor protection system demonstrated the applicability of the developed method and provided insight into complex software-based system reliability.

Probabilistic Analyrgis of Slope Stactility for Progressive Failure (진행성 파괴에 대한 사면안정의 확률론적 해석)

  • 김영수
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 1988
  • A probabilistic model for the progressive failure in a homogeneous soil slope consisting of strain-softening material is presented. The local safety margin of any slice above failure surface is assumed to follow a normal distribution. Uncertainties of the shear strength along potential failure surface are expressed by one-dimensional random field models. In this paper, only the case where failure initiates at toe and propagates up to the crest is considerd. The joint distribution of the safety margin of any two adjacent slices above the failure surface is assumed to be bivariate normal. The overall probability of the sliding failure is expressed as a product of probabilities of a series of conditional el.eats. Finally, the developed procedure has been applied in a case study to yield the reliability of a cut slope.

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