• Advances in concrete construction
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.183-189
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• 2019

In this study, it has been tried to prepare an analytical fragility curves for isolated straight continues highway bridges by considering different spectral intensity measures. A three-span concrete isolated bridge has been selected and the seismic performance of the bridge has been improved by Lead Rubber Bearing (LRB). Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) is applied to the bridge in longitudinal direction. A suite of 14 earthquake ground motions from medium to sever motions are scaled and used for nonlinear time history analysis. Fragility function considers the relationship of earthquake intensity measures (IM) and probability of exceeding certain Damage State (DS). A full three dimensional finite element model of the isolated bridge has been developed and analyzed. A wide range of different intensity measures are selected and the optimal intensity measure which has the less dispersion is proposed.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.1043-1050
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• 2022

Markov chains and Monte Carlo Simulation were applied to account for the probabilistic nature of pavement deterioration over time using data collected in the field. The primary purpose of this study was to evaluate pavement network performance of Western Australia (WA) by applying the existing pavement management tools relevant to WA road construction networks. Two approaches were used to analyze the pavement networks: evaluating current pavement performance data to assess WA State Road networks and predicting the future states using past and current pavement data. The Markov chains process and Monte Carlo Simulation methods were used to predicting future conditions. The results indicated that Markov chains and Monte Carlo Simulation prediction models perform well compared to pavement performance data from the last four decades. The results also revealed the impact of design, traffic demand, and climate and construction standards on urban pavement performance. This study recommends an appropriate and effective pavement engineering management system for proper pavement design and analysis, preliminary planning, future pavement maintenance and rehabilitation, service life, and sustainable pavement construction functionality.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics C
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• v.36C no.11
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• pp.35-45
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• 1999

This paper presents an interconnection network for load balancing on a multimedia server and proposes a simple probabilistic model of the interconnection network for analysing the traffic characteristics. Because the switch uses deflection algorithm for routing, the traffic load on the switch seriously affects deflection probability. In this paper, we trace the deflection probability as a function of the traffic load according to the model. By comparing the result with the empirical result, we prove that the model is useful for estimating the deflection probability and traffic saturation point against the amount of packets getting into the switch.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.181-191
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• 2014

This research presents the nonlinear analysis model for reinforced concrete shear wall systems with special boundary elements as proposed by the Korean Building Code (KBC, 2009). In order to verify the analysis model, analytical results were compared with the experimental results obtained from previous studies. Established analytical model was used to perform nonlinear static and dynamic analyses. Analytical results showed that the semi-special shear wall improved significantly the performance in terms of ductility and energy dissipation as expected based on previous test results. Furthermore, nonlinear incremental dynamic analysis was performed using 20 ground motions. Based on computer analytical results, the ordinary shear wall, special shear wall and newly proposed semi-special shear wall systems were evaluated based on the methods in FEMA P965. The results based on the probabilistic approaches accounting for inherent uncertainties showed that the semi-special shear wall systems provide a high capacity/demand (ACMR) ratio owing to their details, which provide enough capacity to sustain large inelastic deformations.

• The Proceeding of the Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.48-65
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• 1995

This paper deals with the analysis of the unintentional radiation from the TDX-1B subscriber Board. According to the demand of digital systems and developement of high speed switching devices, electro- magnetic noise intensity and it's bandwidth occupancy in spectrum are increasing and so there is a serious possibility causing the various EMI phenomena. More accurate radiation model was established by using the Finite Difference Time Domain (FDTD) analysis, and the EMI probabilistic analysis of the digital switching system was performed. For validating the proposed model and its calculated results, on-promises test was performed and compared with the calculated results. These results may be applicable to be used for EMI model in large digital system, and prediction of EMI effect from a large digital system, and the EMI control design when designing digital system to meet inter- national EMI regulation.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.485-510
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• 2014

In performance-based seismic design procedures Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and pseudo-Spectral acceleration ($S_a$) are commonly used to predict the response of structures to earthquake. Recently, research has been carried out to evaluate the predictive capability of these standard Intensity Measures (IMs) with respect to different types of structures and Engineering Demand Parameter (EDP) commonly used to measure damage. Efforts have been also spent to propose alternative IMs that are able to improve the results of the response predictions. However, most of these IMs are not usually employed in probabilistic seismic demand analyses because of the lack of reliable Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs). In order to define seismic hazard and thus to calculate demand hazard curves it is essential, in fact, to establish a GMPE for the earthquake intensity. In the light of this need, new GMPEs are proposed here for the elastic input energy spectra, energy-based intensity measures that have been shown to be good predictors of both structural and non-structural damage for many types of structures. The proposed GMPEs are developed using mixed-effects models by empirical regressions on a large number of strong-motions selected from the NGA database. Parametric analyses are carried out to show the effect of some properties variation, such as fault mechanism, type of soil, earthquake magnitude and distance, on the considered IMs. Results of comparisons between the proposed GMPEs and other from the literature are finally shown.

• Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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• v.15 no.7
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• pp.478-488
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• 2009

Using solar power in wireless sensor networks (WSNs) requires adaptation to a highly varying energy supply and to a battery constraint. From an application's perspective, however, it is often preferred to operate at a constant quality level as opposed to changing application behavior frequently. Reconciling the varying supply with the fixed demand requires good tools for allocating energy such that average of energy supply is computed and demand is fixed accordingly. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic observation-based model for harvested solar energy. Based on this model, we develop a time-slot-based energy allocation scheme to use the periodically harvested solar energy optimally, while minimizing the variance in energy allocation. We also implement the testbed and demonstrate the efficiency of the approach by using it.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.488-498
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• 2009

The characteristics of intercity rail network are different from those of public transit network in urban area. In this paper, we proposed a new transit assignment model which is generalized form of deterministic assignment model by introducing line selection probability on route section. This model consider various characteristics of intercity rail and simplify network expansion for appling search algorithms developed in road assignment model. We showed the model availability by comparing with existing models using virtual networks. The tests on a small scale network show that this model is superior to existing models for predicting intercity rail demand.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.389-400
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• 2014

This study finds a way to increase the usability of a subway commuter pass. Usability of the commuter pass on a probabilistic statistical model is calculated when the pass is allowed to used in a different mode(bus). A sunk cost of commuter pass is used to reduce the vehicle travels from public transit. 324 people aged 25 to 35 were surveyed and utilized to build a Nested Logit Model on STRADA 3.5 platform. Main results are as follows. First, commuter passes were issued in various forms. Second, the model turns out to be statistically significant in four explanatory variables (discount rate, inter-usablity between modes, forms of payment and periods). Lastly, the more valid on different modes, the more increased of the rail commuter pass.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1999.04a
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• pp.426-426
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• 1999

;There are many sources of uncertainty in a typical production and inventory system. There is uncertainty as to how many items customers will demand during the next day, week, month, or year. There is uncertainty about delivery times of the product. Uncertainty exacts a toll from management in a variety of ways. A spurt in a demand or a delay in production may lead to stockouts, with the potential for lost revenue and customer dissatisfaction. Firms typically hold inventory to provide protection against uncertainty. A cushion of inventory on hand allows management to face unexpected demands or delays in delivery with a reduced chance of incurring a stockout. The proposed strategies are used for the design of a probabilistic inventory system. In the traditional approach to the design of an inventory system, the goal is to find the best setting of various inventory control policy parameters such as the re-order level, review period, order quantity, etc. which would minimize the total inventory cost. The goals of the analysis need to be defined, so that robustness becomes an important design criterion. Moreover, one has to conceptualize and identify appropriate noise variables. There are two main goals for the inventory policy design. One is to minimize the average inventory cost and the stockouts. The other is to the variability for the average inventory cost and the stockouts The total average inventory cost is the sum of three components: the ordering cost, the holding cost, and the shortage costs. The shortage costs include the cost of the lost sales, cost of loss of goodwill, cost of customer dissatisfaction, etc. The noise factors for this design problem are identified to be: the mean demand rate and the mean lead time. Both the demand and the lead time are assumed to be normal random variables. Thus robustness for this inventory system is interpreted as insensitivity of the average inventory cost and the stockout to uncontrollable fluctuations in the mean demand rate and mean lead time. To make this inventory system for robustness, the concept of utility theory will be used. Utility theory is an analytical method for making a decision concerning an action to take, given a set of multiple criteria upon which the decision is to be based. Utility theory is appropriate for design having different scale such as demand rate and lead time since utility theory represents different scale across decision making attributes with zero to one ranks, higher preference modeled with a higher rank. Using utility theory, three design strategies, such as distance strategy, response strategy, and priority-based strategy. for the robust inventory system will be developed.loped.