• Title/Summary/Keyword: price index

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Development of Outbound Tourism Forecasting Models in Korea

  • Yoon, Ji-Hwan;Lee, Jung Seung;Yoon, Kyung Seon
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2014
  • This research analyzes the effects of factors on the demands for outbound to the countries such as Japan, China, the United States of America, Thailand, Philippines, Hong Kong, Singapore and Australia, the countries preferred by many Koreans. The factors for this research are (1) economic variables such as Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), which could have influences on outbound tourism and exchange rate and (2) unpredictable events such as diseases, financial crisis and terrors. Regression analysis was used to identify relationship based on the monthly data from January 2001 to December 2010. The results of the analysis show that both exchange rate and KOSPI have impacts on the demands for outbound travel. In the case of travels to the United States of America and Philippines, Korean tourists usually have particular purposes such as studying, visiting relatives, playing golf or honeymoon, thus they are less influenced by the exchange rate. Moreover, Korean tourists tend not to visit particular locations for some time when shock reaction happens. As the demands for outbound travels are different from country to country accompanied by economic variables and shock variables, differentiated measure to should be considered to come close to the target numbers of tourists by switching as well as creating the demands. For further study we plan to build outbound tourism forecasting models using Artificial Neural Networks.

A Flash-based B+-Tree using Sibling-Leaf Blocks for Efficient Node Updates and Range Searches

  • Lim, Seong-Chae
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.12-24
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    • 2016
  • Recently, as the price per bit is decreasing at a fast rate, flash memory is considered to be used as primary storage of large-scale database systems. Although flash memory shows off its high speeds of page reads, however, it has a problem of noticeable performance degradation in the presence of increasing update workloads. When updates are requested for pages with random page IDs, in particular, the shortcoming of flash tends to impair significantly the overall performance of a flash-based database system. Therefore, it is important to have a way to efficiently update the B+-tree, when it is stored in flash storage. This is because most of updates in the B+-tree arise at leaf nodes, whose page IDs are in random. In this light, we propose a new flash B+-tree that stores up-to-date versions of leaf nodes in sibling-leaf blocks (SLBs), while updating them. The use of SLBs improves the update performance of B-trees and provides the mechanism for fast key range searches. To verify the performance advantages of the proposed flash B+-tree, we developed a mathematical performance evaluation model that is suited for assessing B-tree operations. The performance comparisons from it show that the proposed flash B+-tree provides faster range searches and reduces more than 50% of update costs.

Prospects for the Budget Allocation of the Social Overhead Capita] in Korea - Focusing on the Investment between Highway and Railway sectors - (도로${\cdot}$철도 부문에 대한 SOC 투자분담율 전망에 관한 연구)

  • Lee YongJae;Kim Sang-Key;Chu Jun-Yeun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.957-962
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    • 2005
  • Since the nation's currency crisis in 1997. Korea reioined the USD 10.000 per capita income group after collapse of per capita income to USD 6.000 due to the minus GDP growth and sharp hike of exchange rate. It has also been expected for Korea to achieve per capita income of USD 20.000. provided that it maintains $10\%$ export increase rate. $5\%$ nominal GDP growth rate. $3\%$ consumer price index. $2\%$ increase in KRW/USD exchange rate. and $1\%$ net population increase rate. Yet. it should be noted that the nation needs to fulfill the necessity of various SOC infrastructure investment in order to achieve this goal. This paper will address the prospects for the future direction of the national SOC policies through the historical examination of the industrialized nations. such as U.S.A.. U.K.. France. and Japan. with regard to the relationships between economic growth and SOC provision. Some efforts will be made to forecast the optimal budget allocation of the national SOC, in particular, between highway and railway sectors.

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Financial Development in Vietnam: An Overview

  • BUI, Toan Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we provide an overview of financial development in Vietnam. Particularly, a new approach of this study is to measure financial development through improvements in depth, efficiency and access of the banking system and stock market. Further, the study examines the factors significantly affecting financial development in Vietnam. The data are collected in Vietnam, an emerging country with a limited financial development. We employ the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, which generates a high reliability and suits data characteristics of emerging countries like Vietnam. We observe that Vietnam's banking system plays a key role in supplying credits to the economy while the nascent stock market at a limited size shows its potential for a considerable growth in the future. We also find the influential determinants of financial development in Vietnam including real estate market (RE), economic growth (EG), consumer price index (CPI), and global financial crisis (GFC). These findings are essential for Vietnamese authorities in providing practical solutions in order to build a sustainable and synchronous financial development. They are also first empirical evidence relating to an overview of financial development in an emerging country, so they are not only valuable to Vietnam but also crucial to other emerging economies.

The Effectiveness of Decision Support System for the Supplier Selection in e-Marketplace: A Case Study

  • Park Hae-Yeon;Lee Zoonky;Lim Sung-Il;Lee Sang-Goo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.79-93
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    • 2005
  • Despite the fact that the sourcing process in B2B e-Marketplaces is one of the most important tasks, the evaluation and selection process of suppliers have been ad-hoc based and mainly dependent on the experience of sourcing managers' subjective knowledge. To remedy the problem, we developed a decision support System (called Wise - I) that helps sourcing managers evaluate suppliers in a more systematic way. The system reflects company's strategy and know-how by adopting company enforced weighted scores for different factors and employing a more scientific method of considering factors other than price and on-time delivery rate, utilizing the AHP method. This paper reports the effectiveness of the system as well as the detailed description of the system. To investigate the effectiveness of the system, we collected information through interview and questionnaire survey. The information was also augmented through the firm key index system, which monitors average delivery lead time and on-time delivery rate. The result indicates that the system leads to the efficiency of purchasing section and the transparency of buying process, therefore reduces delivery time and cost.

A Study on A method to Evaluate Market Dominance Transfer through Bundling Services in a Telecommunication Market (통신시장 결합상품을 통한 지배력 전이 검증 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Minsoo;Kim, Iljung
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2015
  • The number of contracts for bundling services in a domestic telecommunication market records 1.3 miilion as of the first half year in 2007, and steadily increased to 8.97 million in 2010, to 12.76 million in 2013. In 2014, 70.4% of telecommunication service consumers are found to subscribe to bundling service. Bundling services provide consumers with benefits such as price discount, convenience, increase ARPU. However, a market dominant player in a specific market may transfer its market power to another market by selling bundling services. SSNIP has been adopted to provide a market definition. However, SSNIP is not suitable to measure the effect of market power transition through bundling services because SSNIP cannot measure the effect of changeover sales of bundling services. Thus, in this study, we have investigated the effect of market power transition through bundling services reflecting market power effect and quality upgrade using Gross Upward Market Power Pressure Index metho and reviewed UPP and derivative UPP models.

Performance Analysis of Economic VaR Estimation using Risk Neutral Probability Distributions

  • Heo, Se-Jeong;Yeo, Sung-Chil;Kang, Tae-Hun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.757-773
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    • 2012
  • Traditional value at risk(S-VaR) has a difficulity in predicting the future risk of financial asset prices since S-VaR is a backward looking measure based on the historical data of the underlying asset prices. In order to resolve the deficiency of S-VaR, an economic value at risk(E-VaR) using the risk neutral probability distributions is suggested since E-VaR is a forward looking measure based on the option price data. In this study E-VaR is estimated by assuming the generalized gamma distribution(GGD) as risk neutral density function which is implied in the option. The estimated E-VaR with GGD was compared with E-VaR estimates under the Black-Scholes model, two-lognormal mixture distribution, generalized extreme value distribution and S-VaR estimates under the normal distribution and GARCH(1, 1) model, respectively. The option market data of the KOSPI 200 index are used in order to compare the performances of the above VaR estimates. The results of the empirical analysis show that GGD seems to have a tendency to estimate VaR conservatively; however, GGD is superior to other models in the overall sense.

A Multi-Resolution Approach to Non-Stationary Financial Time Series Using the Hilbert-Huang Transform

  • Oh, Hee-Seok;Suh, Jeong-Ho;Kim, Dong-Hoh
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.499-513
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    • 2009
  • An economic signal in the real world usually reflects complex phenomena. One may have difficulty both extracting and interpreting information embedded in such a signal. A natural way to reduce complexity is to decompose the original signal into several simple components, and then analyze each component. Spectral analysis (Priestley, 1981) provides a tool to analyze such signals under the assumption that the time series is stationary. However when the signal is subject to non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics such as amplitude and frequency modulation along time scale, spectral analysis is not suitable. Huang et al. (1998b, 1999) proposed a data-adaptive decomposition method called empirical mode decomposition and then applied Hilbert spectral analysis to decomposed signals called intrinsic mode function. Huang et al. (1998b, 1999) named this two step procedure the Hilbert-Huang transform(HHT). Because of its robustness in the presence of nonlinearity and non-stationarity, HHT has been used in various fields. In this paper, we discuss the applications of the HHT and demonstrate its promising potential for non-stationary financial time series data provided through a Korean stock price index.

Income-related health inequalities across regions in Korea - a case of adolescents (우리나라 건강 불균등의 요인과 지역별 비교 - 청소년을 중심으로)

  • Ahn, Byung-Chul;Joung, Hyo-Jee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of School Health
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to estimate income-related health inequalities among adolescent population across regions in Korea. Methods: Data of 8,456 adolescents from 1998, 2001, 2005, 2007 Korean Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were used for the analysis. True health status was proxied by self-rated health and overweight status. Per capita income was computed from household monthly average income adjusted by consumer price with base year 2005. Adolescent health inequalities were estimated by Concentration Index (CI) across income and space. Results: Ill health score was related with age (p<0.0001), gender (p=0.0155) and income (p<0.0001). Negative relationship between income and ill-health indicated that higher income group tended to enjoy better health and less overweight. These evidences suggested ill health were accumulated on the economically disadvantaged adolescents. The size of health inequalities (ill-health score) were estimated as CI=-0.057 and CI=-0.030 across income groups and regions, respectively. Comparable measures of within region health disparities were also observed. Conclusion: Since health disparity among adolescent population was small compared to adult population, lessening adolescent health inequality could be a helpful way of mitigating health disparities in later stage. Considering life stage of adolescents, school system and local communities could play important roles toward adolescent health distribution. Although health disparity between regions existed, health disparity within a region should not be neglected.

Current Status and Prospect of Quality Evaluation in Malting Barley (맥주보리 품질평가 현황과 전망)

  • 손영구;서세정;백성범;이춘우;박문웅;한상익
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.47
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2002
  • With lower quality and three to four times higher price than those of imported malting barley, the competitiveness of domestic malting barley is decreasing. Although the causes can be found in that the domestic environments are much unfavorable to cultivate the malting barley compared with those of USA or Canada, it is mainly reasoned from poorer developments in variety of high quality malting barley as well as in cultivation technology. For assuring the competitiveness of domestic malting barley, therefore, not only the development of high quality malting barley suitable to the climatic environment of this country but also the political supports of the government are required. Also, in addition to the breeding of the good quality malting barley haying higher germinative energy, and heavier and larger kernels of good plumpness as well as lower protein content, the modification of quality inspection standards from the system relying only on the visual characteristics such as kernel size distribution rate, shrimped kernel rate, foreign materials and so on, to such system as those of developed countries haying quality criteria such as protein content for inspection is absolutely required for the quality improvement of domestic malting barley.