• Title/Summary/Keyword: price effects

Search Result 1,350, Processing Time 0.39 seconds

Effects of the Methods for Generating and Selecting Multiple Preliminary Prices on Budget Prices in Bidding Processes (복수예비가격 생성 및 추첨방법이 예정가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Minseok;Riew, Moon Charn
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.89-97
    • /
    • 2015
  • In bidding processes conducted by government agencies, local governments or public agencies, budget prices are critical to both ordering bodies and bidders since budget prices are bases for selecting a successful bidder. Since a high budget price goes against ordering bodies and a low one goes against bidders, most ordering bodies adopt a system using multiple preliminary prices for determining a budget price to ensure fair and transparent manners. Discussed are how budget prices change depending on the methods of sampling 15 preliminary prices and the methods of sampling 4 out of 15 prices. Computer simulation is conducted to analyze budget prices for various methods to determine multiple preliminary prices. It is more likely for budget prices to be close to base prices when splitting a range of generating preliminary prices into 15 intervals and taking 4 preliminary prices from 15 intervals than when taking 4 preliminary prices from a whole range. In cases when splitting a range of generating preliminary prices, if we take 2 preliminary prices out of intervals above 100% and take 2 out of intervals below 100%, the expected budget prices are equal to a base price and the standard deviations are about half in comparison with those when taking 4 out of 15 intervals.

An Empirical Study on the Effect of Respondent Bias in PSM : Case in Apartment Pricing (PSM 가격평가 주체에 따른 아파트 가격결정 효용성 실증연구)

  • Cho, Han-Jin;Kim, Jong-Lim
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.217-223
    • /
    • 2016
  • PSM is widely used pricing tool in field by the reason of data collection convenience and analytical intuitiveness. However, In high involvement environment, strategic respondent bias influence in reducing the price. By using 3 empirical cases of LH apartment for sale, We found that latent consumers' recognition of the range of acceptable and the range of optimal price are lower than real estate agent representative respondents'. This phenomenon is considered loss aversion effect of prospect theory to reduce loss by reducing price, and more influenced in high involvement situation than latent consumer respondents'. Also we found PSM result using real estate representative data is more useful in real market than latent consumers data distorted by loss aversion effects. The meaning of this study is finding some limitation in PSM using consumer data generally used. In further study, development of PSM measurement tool to minimize the effect of strategic bias are need to be studied. Also some new approaches in reinterpretation of the range of acceptable price and the range of optimal price are need to be followed.

Land-use Enhancement Benefit According to Flood Safety (치수안전도에 따른 토지이용의 편익 분석)

  • Lee, Jin Ouk;Kim, Hung Soo;Shim, Myung Pil;Choi, Seung An
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.45-57
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study analyzed the effect of land-use enhancement benefits with the flood safety which it is not quantified in the flood damage analysis, Korea. The land-use enhancement benefits mean the enhancement of land-use value according to the rise of flood safety of the protected area by the flood control projects and we performed the analysis of land-use enhancement benefits with the publicly announced land price which can objectively represent the land-use value of a specific area. We verified the statistical significance of the floating rate of land price according to the effects of flood control projects and the characteristics of a river through the analysis of variance. As a result of the verification, the increase of land-use value was represented by the net annual average floating rate of land price. The flood safety was classified as flood damage potential and flood prevention capacity. The flood damage potential was classified according to the rate of urbanization and flood prevention capacity was represented by the conditional annual non-exceedance probability obtained from the frequency analysis with uncertainty for the flood discharge. The study areas were small urban cities and we calculated the conditional annual non-exceedance probabilities of 200-year flood event for the levees constructed with the conditions of 10- and 50-year design frequency. The result was shown that the net annual average floating rate of land price would be raised nearly 5 times for 10%-increase of the conditional annual non-exceedance probability in small city areas.

  • PDF

The study on the characteristics of the price discovery role in the KOSPI 200 index futures (주가지수선물의 가격발견기능에 관한 특성 고찰)

  • 김규태
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.196-204
    • /
    • 2002
  • This paper examines the price discovery role of the KOSPI 200 futures index for its cash index. It was used the intrady data for KOSPI 200 and futures index from July 1998 to June 2001. The existing Preceding study for KOSPI 200 futures index was used the data of early market installation, but this study is distinguished to use a recent data accompanied with the great volume of transaction and various investors. We established three hypothesis to examine whether there is the price discovery role in the KOPSI 200 futures index and the characteristics of that. First, to examine whether the lead-lag relation is induced by the infrequent trading of component stocks, observations are sorted by the size of the trading volume of cash index. In a low trading volume, the long lead time is reported and the short lead time in a high volume. It is explained that the infrequent trading effect have an influence on the price discovery role. Second, to examine whether the lead-lag relation is different under bad news and good news, observations are sorted by the sign and size of cash index returns. In a bad news the long lead time is reported and the short lead time in a good news. This is explained by the restriction of"short selling" of the cash index Third, we compared estimates of the lead and lag relationships on the expiration day with those on days prior to expiration using a minute-to-minute data. The futures-to-spot lead time on the expiration day was at least as long as other days Prior to expiration, suggesting that "expiration day effects" did not demonstrate a temporal character substantially different form earlier days. Thus, while arbitrage activity may be presumed to be the greatest at expiration, such arbitrage transactions were not sufficiently strong or Pervasive to alter the empirical price relationship for the entire day. for the entire day.

  • PDF

The Intraday Lead-Lag Relationships between the Stock Index and the Stock Index Futures Market in Korea and China (한국과 중국의 현물시장과 주가지수선물시장간의 선-후행관계에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Sang-Gu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.189-207
    • /
    • 2013
  • Using high-frequency data for 2 years, this study investigates intraday lead-lag relationship between stock index and stock index futures markets in Korea and China. We found that there are some differences in price discovery and volatility transmission between Korea and China after the stock index futures markets was introduced. Following Stoll-Whaley(1990) and Chan(1992), the multiple regression is estimated to examine the lead-lag patterns between the two markets by Newey-West's(1987) heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix(HAC matrix). Empirical results of KOSPI 200 shows that the futures market leads the cash market and weak evidence that the cash market leads the futures market. New market information disseminates in the futures market before the stock market with index arbitrageurs then stepping in quickly to bring the cost-of-carry relation back into alignment. The regression tests for the conditional volatility which is estimated using EGARCH model do not show that there is a clear pattern of the futures market leading the stock market in terms of the volatility even though controlling nonsynchronous trading effects. This implies that information in price innovations that originate in the futures market is transmitted to the volatility of the cash market. Empirical results of CSI 300 shows that the cash market is found to play a more dominant role in the price discovery process after the Chinese index started a sharp decline immediately after the stock index futures were introduced. The new stock index futures markets does not function well in its price discovery performance at its infancy stage, apparently due to high barriers to entry into this emerging futures markets. Based on EGAECH model, the results uncover strong bi-directional dependence in the intraday volatility of both markets.

  • PDF

An study on purchasing activity of Private Brand clothing in large discount store (소비자들의 대형마트 PB의류 구매행동에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Hwan;Kim, Pan-Jin
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.117-128
    • /
    • 2008
  • The purpose of the research is to furnish basic data for efficient and effective marketing by examining the correlation how a certain element effects on customer's selection behavior, when they choose private label branded clothes at the store of giant discount store like E-.mart, Home-plus, Lotte-mart and 2001 outlet. We come to the following conclusions through such procedures; What we found on this study is that main factors of decision related purchasing garment of private brand in giant discount store is based on the sales price, quality of products and needs of customer's using. Further to this, in terms of choice activity in private brand clothes, we realized the price value is depend on the resonable price with the items because nowadays most customers can be compare to other discount store around their shopping place including trend of garment and quality of products. The order of the general inclination in selection behavior of private branded garment in giant discount store is as follows; Sales price > style & trend > quality of product and substantial convenience > display and prompt buying. Judging from the conclusion of the research we noted that customer's satisfaction comes from their target price to supply substantial needs and in terms of styling of clothes should be considered current trendy compared to national brand as well.

  • PDF

Estimating Elasticities of Car Travel Demand Using Pseudo-Panel Data (가상패널자료를 이용한 승용차 통행수요 탄력성 추정 연구)

  • Han, Sang-Yong;Lee, Jai-Min;Kim, Tae-Seung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.7-20
    • /
    • 2012
  • The objective of this paper is to construct pseudo-panel data set and estimate price and income elasticities of car travel demand, using 1995-2007 household income and expenditure survey data, in order to provide quantitative information for analyzing related policy effects in the transport sector. We categorized household survey data into 14 cohorts based on the birth year of the household head. As the result, a total of 133 pseudo-panel data sets was created for estimating price and income elasticities of car travel demand. Especially, price and income elasticities of car travel demand were separately estimated both short-term and long-term. We analyzed the panel model considering fixed effect within cohorts, using explanatory variables such as previous year's fuel consumption, real household income after tax, education level of the household head, the number of children under five, and the share of household type averaged by cohorts. As results, the short-term and long-term price elasticities of car travel demand were calculated as 0.2974-0.4280 and 0.4087-0.6275, respectively. Similarly, the short-term and long-term income elasticities were calculated as 0.3364-0.6281 and 0.7098, respectively.

Analysis of Effect of Infrastructure Property on an Apartment Housing Price - Focused on Urban Subway System in Seoul Metropolitan Area - (사회기반시설 이용특성에 따른 공동주택의 가격 영향에 관한 연구 - 수도권 도시철도를 중심으로 -)

  • Bae, Sangyoung;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-35
    • /
    • 2021
  • The study intends to identify the effects of infrastructure property on an apartment house by analyzing the price variation affected by factors constituting the quality of the transit services of each individual station in urban railway system based on hedonic price model. The research findings indicate that the prices depending on the transit users have increased from 7.8% to 12.2% in Seoul and decreased from 6.1% to 12.9% in Gyeonggi, which implies that a lower number of transfer users has a positive effect on housing prices in Seoul unlike Gyeonggi. It also is noteworthy that the distance to the urban railway station had a negative effect on housing prices in Seoul and positive effect in Gyeonggi. Taking these results together, in Seoul, the increase in the number of transit users had a negative effect on neighborhood housing prices. When analyzed by segments, however, an additional negative effect was observed only in the apartments located within the radius of 100 meters. It is also found that the impact of transit users varies according to the regional characteristics, such as the density of commercial facilities and the population density, and the spatial extent of negative effect also showed regional differences. These results provide implications for the planning of new stations, new cities, and land use of existing areas around stations.

The Impact of Government Development Policy on Land Investment and Land Price: Evidences from Linyi (토지개발 및 토지가격에 대해서 정부 개발 정책의 영향 린이시 중심으로)

  • Zhong, Shengyang;Zheng, Ziyang;Liu, Zhao
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.21 no.12
    • /
    • pp.337-347
    • /
    • 2021
  • Land is key natural resource that Chinese government actually owns. Real estate and land development have played an important part in China's urban development and economic development. The Chinese local governments' land development policies can mainly be characterized as the establishment of economic development zones and the development of new towns. Given the great importance of these measures, we can expect that these policies can generate noticeable impacts on land development and land price. However, little research has explored these impacts empirically. Using the data collected from land development projects of three districts in Linyi city-old town, new town, economic development zone, this paper attempts to investigate the impact of government development policy on land development and land price. This research chooses investment amount and land price as dependent variables. The multiple regression results demonstrate that the local government's land Development policies can affect land investment size and land price significantly. As we have noticed, the target of government development policy is to make use of urban land resources more scientifically and efficiently. Based on my empirical analysis, some useful insights can be provided for improving our understanding concerning the effects of these government land development policies.

A Study on the Determinants of Apartment Price during COVID-19 Pandemic Using Dynamic Panel Model: Focusing on the Large-scale Apartment Complex of More than 3,000 Households in Seoul (동적패널모형을 활용한 코로나19 팬데믹 기간 아파트가격 결정요인 연구: 서울특별시 3000세대 이상 대규모 아파트 단지를 중심으로)

  • Jung-A, Park;Jong-Jin, Kim
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-46
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study investigated price factors for large apartment complexes in Seoul during the COVID-19 pandemic and compared Gangnam and non-Gangnam areas, which have been recognized as heterogeneous markets. We find that the change in apartment prices in large-scale complexes did not significantly affect the individual characteristics of apartments, unlike previous studies, but was affected by macroeconomic variables such as interest rates and money. On the other hand, considering the units of the interest rate and total monetary volume variables, the effects of two variables on the apartment sales price is significantly high. In addition, the Gangnam area model analysis shows that apartment prices are greatly affected by interest rates and currency volume, and, the non-Gangnam area model analysis shows that apartment prices are greatly affected by interest rates and currency volume, but the degrees are different from the Gangnam area model. Overall, our study shows that interest rates and money supply were the main factors of apartment price changes, but apartment prices in non-Gangnam areas are more sensitive to changes in interest rates and money supply.