• Title/Summary/Keyword: premium

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A study of Bayesian inference on auto insurance credibility application (자동차보험 신뢰도 적용에 대한 베이지안 추론 방식 연구)

  • Kim, Myung Joon;Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.689-699
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    • 2013
  • This paper studies the partial credibility application method by assuming the empirical prior or noninformative prior informations in auto insurnace business where intensive rating segmentation is expanded because of premium competition. Expanding of rating factor segmetation brings the increase of pricing cells, as a result, the number of cells for partial credibility application will increase correspondingly. This study is trying to suggest more accurate estimation method by considering the Bayesian framework. By using empirically well-known or noninformative information, inducing the proper posterior distribution and applying the Bayes estimate which is minimizing the error loss into the credibility method, we will show the advantage of Bayesian inference by comparison with current approaches. The comparison is implemented with square root rule which is a widely accepted method in insurance business. The convergence level towarding to the true risk will be compared among various approaches. This study introduces the alternative way of redcuing the error to the auto insurance business fields in need of various methods because of more segmentations.

The Interpretation of Different Recreation Benefits According to Time Horizon in the Contingent Valuation Method (가상가치평가법(假想價値評價法)에서 시간범위(時間範圍)에 따른 휴양가치(休養價値)의 차이(差異) 해석(解析))

  • Kim, Joon-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.88 no.1
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 1999
  • Consumer surplus is to be a value concerning a time horizon. Especially it is very important how long time horizon would be chosen in contingent market. This study aimed to provide causes of difference recreation benefits through discount rate in many aspects. The data were collected by personal interviews with visitors in Songnisan National Park. The respondents answered yes or no, dichotomous choice, on recreation benefits according to a chosen time horizon, one year or five years. The probit model was used in the analysis. In order to avoid the truncation bias of upper bound, the median was chosen as the recreation benefits of visitor. As the result, the value was evaluated to be 16,569 Won for one year and 27,111 Won for five years. The discount rate is estimated 153% annually to coincide different recreation benefits. The reasons of the high discount rate were to be interpreted as following five types : (1)uncertainty of future consumption (2)increasing of probability of the substitution owing to increasing of time horizon (3)recognization of different time horizons (4) effect by the price ratio of goods and utility function (5) overestimation of the recreation benefits owing to a basic premium of payment vehicle.

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The Impact of Corporate's Name Change on Cost of Capital (상호변경이 내재자본비용에 미치는 영향)

  • Yu, Soon-Mi
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.21-38
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates whether and how a firm's cost of equity is influenced by the extent of a firms's name change. Even though corporate name change doesn't give any benefit to investors, it can be a signaling about firm's future valuation. And also, if that signaling has high credibility, it can be decrease information cost and the firm's cost of equity. on the contrary to this, if corporate name change is kind of break with the past and corporate image laundering, it is bad signaling to investors. So it can be increase information risk and the firm's cost of equity. Using yearly cross-sectional regressions of the cost of equity on our proxies for corporate name change, size, beta, market-to-book ratio and other innate risk factor over the 2005-2010, we find that the cost of capital is positively associated with corporate name change after controlling for all other factors. This result implies that corporate name change increase information risk of the business, and thus increase information asymmetries between managers and outside investors with respect to a firm's true future value. This increases information risk, and creates an adverse selection problem, on the part of outside investors. Rational investors therefore demand a premium for bearing this corporate name change-related information risk, which in turn leads us to observe a positive relation between the intensity of corporate name change and the cost of equity.

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Characteristics of Cucumber mosaic virus-GTN and Resistance Evaluation of Chilli Pepper Cultivars to Two Cucumber mosaic virus Isolates (고추에서 분리한 오이모자이크바이러스(CMV-GTN)의 특성과 고추 품종의 저항성 평가)

  • Choi, Gug-Seoun;Kwon, Sun-Jung;Choi, Seung-Kook;Cho, In-Sook;Yoon, Ju-Yeon
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.99-102
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    • 2015
  • Cucumber mosaic virus (CMV) is one of the most destructive viruses in chilli pepper. An isolate of CMV was obtained from the chilli pepper cv. Chungyang showing top necrosis symptom in 2013 and designated as CMV-GTN. CMV-GTN was compared with the well-characterized isolate, CMV-Ca-P1, by investigating their amino acid sequences of the coat protein (CP) and biological reactions in several host plants. The CP of CMV-Ca-P1 composed of 217 amino acids but that of CMV-GTN composed of 218 amino acids by including additional valine in the $57^{th}$ amino acid position. Amino acid sequence similarity of the CP gene among CMV-GTN and other CMV isolates recorded in the GeneBank database ranged from 96% to 99%. CMV-GTN was selected as a representative isolate to screen the resistance pepper cultivars to CMV because it was highly pathogenic to tomatoes and peppers upon biological assays. The virulence of CMV-GTN was tested on 135 pepper cultivars which has been bred in Korea and compared with that of CMV-Ca-P1. Only the cv. Premium was resistant and three cvs. Hot star, Kaiser, and Good choice were moderately resistant to CMV-GTN, whereas two cvs. Baerotta and Kaiser were resistant to CMV-Ca-P1.

Synthesized Oil Manufacturing Technology from Natural Gas, GTL (천연가스로부터 합성유 제조 기술, GTL(Gas To Liquids))

  • Bae, Ji-Han;Lee, Won-Su;Lee, Heoung-Yeoun;Kim, Yong-Heon
    • The Korean Journal of Petroleum Geology
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2008
  • The GTL(Gas to Liquids) technology, manufacturing synthesized oil from natural gas, had been developed about 1920 for the military purpose by Fischer and Tropsch, German scientists. And 1960, Sasol company had started commercializing the FT(Fischer-Tropsch) synthesis technology, for the transport fuel in South Africa. Until a recent date, the commercialization of GTL technology had been delayed by low oil price. But concern about depletion of petroleum resources, and development in synthesizing technology lead to spotlight on the GTL businesses. Especially, Qatar, which has rich natural gas fields, aims at utilizing natural gas like conventional oil resources. Therefore, around this nation, GTL plants construction has been promoted. There are mainly 3 processes to make GTL products(Diesel, Naphtha, lube oil, etc) from natural gas. The first is synthesis gas generation unit reforming hydrogen and carbomonoxide from natural gas. The second is FT synthesis unit converting synthesized gas to polymeric chain-hydrocarbon. The third is product upgrading unit making oil products from the FT synthesized oil. There are quite a little sulfur, nitrogen, and aromatic compounds in GTL products. GTL product has environmental premium in discharging less harmful particles than refinery oil products from crude to the human body. In short, the GTL is a clean technology, easier transportation mean, and has higher stability comparing to LNG works.

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The Determinants of Purchasing Private Health Insurance in Korean Cancer Patients (암 환자의 민간의료보험 가입 실태와 관련 요인)

  • Lim, Jin-Hwa;Kim, Sung-Gyeong;Lee, Eun-Mi;Bae, Sin-Young;Park, Jae-Hyun;Choi, Kui-Son;Hahm, Myung-Il;Park, Eun-Cheol
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.150-154
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : The aim of this study is to identify factors determining the purchase of private health insurance under the mandatory National Health Insurance(NHI) system in Korea. Methods : The data were collected by the National Cancer Center in Korea. It includes cancer patients who were newly diagnosed with stomach (ICD code, C16), lung(C33-C34), liver (C22), colorectal cancer(C18-C20) or breast(C50) cancer. Data were gathered from the hospital Order Communication System (OCS), medical records, and face-to-face interviews, using a structured questionnaire. Clinical, socio-demographic and private health insurance related factors were also gathered. Results : Overall, 43.9% of patients had purchased one or more private health insurance schemes related to cancer, with an average monthly premium of \65,311 and an average benefit amount of \19million. Females, younger aged, high income earners, national health insurers and metropolitan citizens were more likely to purchase private health insurance than their counterparts. Conclusions : About half of Korean people have supple-mentary private health insurance and their benefits are sufficient to cover the out-of-pocket fees required for cancer treatment, but inequality remains in the purchase of private health insurance. Further studies are needed to investigate the impacts of private health insurance on NHI, and the relationship between cancer patients' burden and benefits.

International case studies for deep sea water industry -Focusing on the Taiwan case- (해양심층수 산업 해외 사례 연구 -대만 사례의 분석과 시사점을 중심으로-)

  • Ju, HyunHee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.537-547
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    • 2016
  • Deep Sea Water (DSW) has been exploited mainly by industry in a few countries including the U.S., Japan, Taiwan, and Korea. The development strategy of these states has pursued various goals based on their unique industrial environments and visions. Among them, Taiwan recently started their DSW industrialization, but has rapidly developed a variety of technologies and products. On the contrary, the Korean DSW industry has remained stagnant in the initial and growing stages for years, and now appears to need new plans and strategies for further development. The current literature lacks the strategy and policies required to foster the development of the domestic DSW industry. Relying upon the case of advanced foreign DSW industries, this study delineates the current status of the Korean DSW industry and discusses its future direction. Taiwan in particular has moved forward with policy development, financial and operation systems. This study attempts to provide a set of guidelines for the Korean DSW industry by focusing on the case of its Taiwanese equivalent. The Taiwanese strategical plans include premium drinkable water, government driven industrialization, diversification of DSW technologies and development of value-added products. This study provides a new direction for the DSW industry.

A Study of System and Practices of the Old Age Pension in North Korea (북한 년로년금의 제도와 실태에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Ki-Chae;Cho, Sung-Eun;Han, Kyoung-Hun
    • Korean Journal of Family Social Work
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    • no.60
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    • pp.133-173
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    • 2018
  • This paper analyzes the consistency and the discrepancy between system and practices of the old age pension(Nyunronyungeum) in North Korea. The literature review is conducted to analyze the system. Specifically, the North Korean law and North Korean dictionaries were carefully examined. The interviews with 25 North Korean refugees were conducted to grasp the exact state of the old age pension in North Korea. Major findings are as follows: the consistency between system and practices of the old age pension in North Korea is identified only certain portions of that. Beneficiaries(blue-collar workers, white-collar workers, farmers, soldiers, and employees in foreign-invested enterprises), contribution periods, earning-related schemes, the totalization of periods of coverage(workplace transitions), the absence of double benefits and early retirement pension, and the delivery system around Civic Service offices(Dong offices) are confirmed by complete consistency. Preservation age, variations in the implementation of the pension system by region, and premium of the old age pension are confirmed by partial consistency. The length of service, the labor regulation, lump-sum payment, and double dipping are confirmed by discrepancies. It's important that this study brings about a better understanding the old age pension in North Korea through various original texts of North Korea and interviews with refugees. The results of this study are expected to contribute to the policy production for the age income security system after the unification and to the spread of unification perspectives.

Systematic Improvement for Effective Operation of Long-Term Continuous Construction Contracts (장기계속공사계약의 효율적 운영을 위한 제도 개선)

  • Cho, Youngjun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2019
  • The entire duration of the long-term continuous construction contract project cannot be expected when calculating the initial budget as the construction of the contract is carried out annually according to the budget composition. In addition, the statutes related to the defect liability and execution of contracts have not been established systematically in relation to the contract. Therefore, there are many problems at the actual construction site with regard to the defect liability or the performance of the contract in relation to the contract. In this study, the following improvement directions were presented for the efficient operation of the contracts: First, the defect liability is legal and should be specified in an Act rather than an enforcement decree. Second, if the parties to the contract vary in the following order in the contract, the special agreement should be specified in the enforcement decree. Third, in the event of an indirect cost due to the extension of the period of the long-term continuous work, the contingency items of the total project cost management policy should be utilized. Fourth, in the case of general construction contract conditions, clauses related to the purchase of the premium of the CAR, inspection, taking over, defect repair, and defect inspection shall be supplemented.

A Study on Price Competitiveness for LNG Bunkering in the Busan Port (부산항의 LNG 벙커링 가격 경쟁력 확보 방안)

  • KIM, Geun-Sub
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2016
  • LNG(Liquefied Natural Gas) bunkering has become an important issue with the enforcement of environment regulations in shipping industry required by the International Maritime Organization (IMO). With increased attention on LNG bunkering, many studies that focus on safety, regulation, demand forecasting, and the feasibility of LNG fueled ships have been carried out. However, most of the existing research has not included considerations of the price of LNG bunkering and its competitiveness. This paper, therefore, suggests ways to increase price competitiveness in the LNG bunkering market in the Busan Port. This paper analyzes the LNG bunkering supply mechanism by investigating various LNG bunkering terminal business in the LNG supply market. Factors that determine LNG bunkering price and its elasticity are also identified. Market players who want to operate LNG bunkering terminals in the Busan Port should introduce a merchandising trade method that is able to exclude the "Korea premium" in order to increase price competitiveness. This paper also suggests adoptable strategies such as the use of TPS (Terminal to Ship via Pipeline) type of bunkering service and the importance of location for minimizing initial investment cost.