• 제목/요약/키워드: predictive power

검색결과 695건 처리시간 0.028초

전압원 인버터의 모델 예측 제어에서 스위칭 손실을 줄이기 위한 최적의 제로 벡터 선택 방법 (Optimal Zero Vector Selecting Method to Reduce Switching Loss on Model Predictive Control of VSI)

  • 박준철;박찬배;백제훈;곽상신
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.273-279
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    • 2015
  • A zero vector selection method to reduce switching losses for model predictive control (MPC) of voltage source inverter is proposed. A conventional MPC of voltage source inverter has not been proposed, and a method to select the redundancy of the zero vector is required for this study. In this paper, the redundancy of the zero vectors is selected with generating a zero sequence voltage to reduce switching losses. The zero vector of 2-level inverter is determined by determining sign of the zero sequence voltage. In the proposed method, the quality of the current is retained and switching loss can be reduced compared with the conventional method. This result was verified by P-sim simulation and experiments.

The Importance of a Borrower's Track Record on Repayment Performance: Evidence in P2P Lending Market

  • KIM, Dongwoo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2020
  • In peer-to-peer (P2P) loan markets, as most lenders are unskilled and inexperienced ordinary individuals, it is important to know the characteristics of borrowers that significantly impact their repayment performance. This study investigates the effects and importance of borrowers' past repayment performance track record within the platform to identify its predictive power. To this end, I analyze the detailed loan repayment data from two leading P2P lending platforms in Korea using a Cox proportional hazard, multiple linear regression, and logit models. Furthermore, the predictive power of the factors proxied by borrowers' track records are evaluated through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. As a result, it is found that the borrowers' past track record within the platform have the most important impact on the repayment performance of their current loans. In addition, this study also reveals that the borrowers' track record is much more predictive of their repayment performance than any other factor. The findings of this study emphasize that individual lenders must take into account the quality of borrowers' past transaction history when making a funding decision, and that platform operators should actively share the borrowers' past records within the markets with lenders.

Finite Control Set Model Predictive Control of AC/DC Matrix Converter for Grid-Connected Battery Energy Storage Application

  • Feng, Bo;Lin, Hua
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.1006-1017
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a finite control set model predictive control (FCS-MPC) strategy for the AC/DC matrix converter used in grid-connected battery energy storage system (BESS). First, to control the grid current properly, the DC current is also included in the cost function because of input and output direct coupling. The DC current reference is generated based on the dynamic relationship of the two currents, so the grid current gains improved transient state performance. Furthermore, the steady state error is reduced by adding a closed-loop. Second, a Luenberger observer is adopted to detect the AC input voltage instead of sensors, so the cost is reduced and the reliability can be enhanced. Third, a switching state pre-selection method that only needs to evaluate half of the active switching states is presented, with the advantages of shorter calculation time, no high dv/dt at the DC terminal, and less switching loss. The robustness under grid voltage distortion and parameter sensibility are discussed as well. Simulation and experimental results confirm the good performance of the proposed scheme for battery charging and discharging control.

예측 전류 기법을 적용한 3-션트 전류검출 3상 인버터의 전류 복원 방법 (Three Phase Current Reconstruction Method of Three Shunt Sensing 3-Phase Inverter by Predictive Current Technique)

  • 추경민;홍성우;장영희;원일권;김도윤;원충연
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2017
  • The measurement of three-phase current is important to control the instantaneous torque of a interior permanent magnet synchronous motor(IPMSM) using a three-phase inverter. Therefore, shunt resistors are used in low-cost motor-driving systems to measure three-phase current instead of additional current sensors that are too expensive for these systems. However, in certain regions of a space vector plane, shunt resistors cannot reconstruct three-phase current in high-speed driving mode. In this paper, predictive current control is used to compensate for the three-phase current in those regions, which results in a reduction of current ripple in a three-shunt sensing inverter(TSSI) and torque ripple in IPMSM.

시계열 데이터를 활용한 포항항 물동량 예측: SARIMA, Prophet, Neural Prophet의 적용 (Throughput Prediction of Pohang Port using Time Series Data: Application of SARIMA, Prophet and Neural Prophet)

  • 오진호;최정원;강태현;서영준;곽동욱
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권6호
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    • pp.291-305
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the volume of Pohang Port was predicted. All cargo of Pohang port, iron ore, steel, and bituminous coals were selected as prediction targets. SARIMA, Prophet, and Neural Prophet were used as analysis methods. The predictive power of each model was verified, and a predictive model with high performance was used to predict the volume of goods in Pohang port. As a result of the analysis, it was found that Neural Prophet showed the highest performance in all predictive power. As a result of predicting the future volume of goods until August 2027 using Neural Prophet, it was found that the volume of all items in Pohang port was decreasing. In particular, it was analyzed that the decline in steel cargo was steep. In order to increase the volume of cargo at Pohang port, it is necessary to diversify the cargo handled at Pohang port and check the policy of increasing the volume of cargo.

머신러닝과 딥러닝 기법을 이용한 부산 전략산업과 수출에 의한 고용과 소득 예측 (Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models to Predict Income and Employment with Busan's Strategic Industry and Export)

  • 이재득
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2021
  • This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning and deep learning methods to forecast the income and employment using the strategic industries as well as investment, export, and exchange rates. The decision tree, artificial neural network, support vector machine, and deep learning models were used to forecast the income and employment in Busan. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the decision tree models predict the income and employment well. The forecasting values for the income and employment appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees and several conditions of strategic industries as well as investment, export, and exchange rates. Second, since the artificial neural network models show that the coefficients are somewhat low and RMSE are somewhat high, these models are not good forecasting the income and employment. Third, the support vector machine models show the high predictive power with the high coefficients of determination and low RMSE. Fourth, the deep neural network models show the higher predictive power with appropriate epochs and batch sizes. Thus, since the machine learning and deep learning models can predict the employment well, we need to adopt the machine learning and deep learning models to forecast the income and employment.

5-레벨 NPC/H-브릿지 인버터의 예측 제어 (Predictive Control of 5-level NPC/H-bridge inverter)

  • 조현기;곽상신
    • 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 전력전자학회 2014년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.21-22
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문은 5-레벨 NPC/H-브릿지 (Neutral Point Clamped/H-bridge) 인버터의 최적 제어 세트 (finite-control-set) 모델 예측 제어 (MPC: Model Predictive Control) 방법을 제안한다. NPC/H-브릿지 인버터의 출력 전류 제어 및 DC-link 커패시터 전압 균형을 유지하기 위해 출력 전류와 DC-link 커패시터 전압을 예측하고, 하나의 비용 함수 (cost function)을 통해 최적의 스위칭 상태를 출력한다. PSIM 시뮬레이션을 통해 제안된 제어 알고리즘의 검증하였다.

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Model Predictive Voltage Control for Seamless Transfer of DC-DC Converters in ESS Applications

  • Le, Duc Dung;Lee, Dong-Choon
    • 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 전력전자학회 2017년도 전력전자학술대회
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    • pp.369-370
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, a model predictive voltage control (MPVC) for the DC-DC buck-boost converters is proposed. It provides a fast seamless bidirectional control method to maintain the DC grid voltage, battery voltage and current within predefined limits. In addition, an inner current control loop is not employed, so that the bandwidth of controller can be higher compared with the PI controller.

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한국주식시장 내재변동성의 포트폴리오 수익률 예측능력에 관한 연구 (The Predictive Power of Implied Volatility of Portfolio Return in Korean Stock Market)

  • 유시용;김두용
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.5671-5676
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    • 2011
  • 변동성지수는 옵션가격에 내재된 미래 기초자산의 변동성을 나타내는 지수이며, 투자자들이 예상하는 향후 주가 변동 가능성을 측정한 시장의 기댓값이다. 현재 한국거래소(KRX)에서 한국시장구조에 맞는 변동성지수를 개발하여 2009년 4월 13일부터 변동성지수(VKOSPI)를 발표하고 있다. 본 연구는 2002년부터 2008년까지 일별 데이터를 이용하여 기업규모, 시장기치 대 장부가치 비율 및 베타의 특징들로 그룹화된 포트폴리오의 미래 수익률에 대한 변동성지수의 예측력을 검증하였다. 그 결과 VKOSPI의 변화율은 미래수익률에 대해 강한 음(-)의 예측력을 갖고 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 이러한 결과는 Ang et al.[2]의 결과와 일치하고, 이는 VKOSPI가 수익률 결정요인이라 할 수 있다. 시장총변동성 추정치의 부호에 대해 Ang et al.은 시장 총변동성위험과 개별주식 수익률간의 음(-)의 관계로 설명하였다. 이는 시장 총변동성위험이 높아질 때, 시장변동성과 상관관계가 높은 주식은 시장위험에 대한 주식의 민감도, 즉 베타가 낮아져 개별주식 수익률이 하락한다는 것이다. 또한 포트폴리오를 그룹화하는데 베타가 포함되어진다면, 미래 수익률에 대한 VKOSPI의 예측력이 강하다는 것으로 나타났다.

XGBoost 회귀를 활용한 편의점 계약전력 예측 모델의 최적화에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Optimization of a Contracted Power Prediction Model for Convenience Store using XGBoost Regression)

  • 김상민;박찬권;이지은
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.91-103
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    • 2022
  • This study proposes a model for predicting contracted power using electric power data collected in real time from convenience stores nationwide. By optimizing the prediction model using machine learning, it will be possible to predict the contracted power required to renew the contract of the existing convenience store. Contracted power is predicted through the XGBoost regression model. For the learning of XGBoost model, the electric power data collected for 16 months through a real-time monitoring system for convenience stores nationwide were used. The hyperparameters of the XGBoost model were tuned using the GridesearchCV, and the main features of the prediction model were identified using the xgb.importance function. In addition, it was also confirmed whether the preprocessing method of missing values and outliers affects the prediction of reduced power. As a result of hyperparameter tuning, an optimal model with improved predictive performance was obtained. It was found that the features of power.2020.09, power.2021.02, area, and operating time had an effect on the prediction of contracted power. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the preprocessing policy of missing values and outliers did not affect the prediction result. The proposed XGBoost regression model showed high predictive performance for contract power. Even if the preprocessing method for missing values and outliers was changed, there was no significant difference in the prediction results through hyperparameters tuning.