• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive modeling

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Predictive control and modeling of a point absorber wave energy harvesting connected to the grid using a LPMSG-based power converter

  • Abderrahmane Berkani;Mofareh Hassan Ghazwani;Karim Negadi;Lazreg Hadji;Ali Alnujaie;Hassan Ali Ghazwani
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.17-52
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, the authors explore the modeling and control of a point absorber wave energy converter, which is connected to the electric grid via a power converter that is based on a linear permanent magnet synchronous generator (LPMSG). The device utilizes a buoyant mechanism to convert the energy of ocean waves into electrical power, and the LPMSG-based power converter is utilized to change the variable frequency and voltage output from the wave energy converter to a fixed frequency and voltage suitable for the electric grid. The article concentrates on the creation of a predictive control system that regulates the speed, voltage, and current of the LPMSG, and the modeling of the system to simulate its behavior and optimize its design. The predictive model control is created to guarantee maximum energy output and stable grid connection, using Matlab Simulink to validate the proposed strategy, including control side generator and predictive current grid-side converter loops.

Informally Patients Prediction Model of Admission Patients (입원환자 데이터를 이용한 예약부도환자 이탈방지 모형 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Yeob;Ham, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.3465-3472
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    • 2009
  • The aims of this study is to medical record data warehouse which had been collected from hospital information systems. continuous patient 2,118 60.5%, informally patient 1,385 39.5%. In using survival factors sex, age, area, insurance, admission-course, medical treatment, out-patient lesson, out-patient form, conference diagnosis, operation, cancer, medical reservation. As a result of making a predictive modeling using the logistic regression, the fitness of the predictive modeling of informally patient was 66.0% and neural network, the predictive was 66.72% and CHAID, the predictive was 63.25%, which is a data mining. The expected modeling of the informally patients, the hospital through the continuous patient management and trust of hospital.

Application of machine learning models for estimating house price (단독주택가격 추정을 위한 기계학습 모형의 응용)

  • Lee, Chang Ro;Park, Key Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.219-233
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    • 2016
  • In social science fields, statistical models are used almost exclusively for causal explanation, and explanatory modeling has been a mainstream until now. In contrast, predictive modeling has been rare in the fields. Hence, we focus on constructing the predictive non-parametric model, instead of the explanatory model. Gangnam-gu, Seoul was chosen as a study area and we collected single-family house sales data sold between 2011 and 2014. We applied non-parametric models proposed in machine learning area including generalized additive model(GAM), random forest, multivariate adaptive regression splines(MARS) and support vector machines(SVM). Models developed recently such as MARS and SVM were found to be superior in predictive power for house price estimation. Finally, spatial autocorrelation was accounted for in the non-parametric models additionally, and the result showed that their predictive power was enhanced further. We hope that this study will prompt methodology for property price estimation to be extended from traditional parametric models into non-parametric ones.

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Spacecraft Attitude Determination Study using Predictive Filter (Predictive Filter를 이용한 인공위성 자세결정 연구)

  • Choi , Yoon-Hyuk;Bang, Hyo-Choong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 2005
  • Predictive filter theory proposed recently can be characterized by inherent advantages of estimating modelling error and overcoming the disadvantage of the Kalman filter theory. A one-step ahead error is minimized to produce optimized filter performance in the form of the predictive filter. The main advantage of this filter lies in the ability to estimate both state vector and system model error. In this paper, attitude estimation results based upon the predictive filter theory is addressed. Mathematical formulation for estimating bias signal is peformed by using the predictive filter theory, and attitude estimation based upon vector observation is presented. From the results of this study, the potential applicability of the predictive filter is highlighted.

Predictive Spacecraft Attitude Control under External Disturbances

  • Sam, Myung-Hyun;Suk, Oh-Choong;Choong, Bang-Hyo;Jea, Tahk-Min
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.62.3-62
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    • 2001
  • The predictive control is one of the nonlinear three-axis rotation methods. The desired trace of a satellite is pre-determined, and the control inputs are designed so that the satellite follows the ´predictive´ trace. The predictive control has been adapted to the research for the three-axis attitude control. In that case, the control variables are the quaternion represented the angular rates and attitude angles of the body about the three-axes. The objective of this paper is to propose to design a predictive controller for the three-axis attitude control under external disturbances. In order to do that, this paper proposes how to construct a predictive control law including disturbances and to discern them. The basic algorithm of the existent predictive control is partially modified, and the presumption and modeling of disturbances are performed ...

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Predictive Modeling for Microbial Risk Assessment (MRA) from the Literature Experimental Data

  • Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 2009
  • One of the most important aspects of conducting this microbial risk assessment (MRA) is determining the model in microbial behaviors in food systems. However, to fully these modeling, large expenditures or newly laboratory experiments will be spent to do it. To overcome these problems, it has to be considered to develop the new strategies that can be used data in the published literatures. This study is to show whether or not the data set from the published experimental data has more value for modeling for MRA. To illustrate this suggestion, as example of data set, 4 published Salmonella survival in Cheddar cheese reports were used. Finally, using the GInaFiT tool, survival was modeled by nonlinear polynomial regression model describing the effect of temperature on Weibull model parameters. This model used data in the literatures is useful in describing behavior of Salmonella during different time and temperature conditions of cheese ripening.

Shelf-life Estimation of Frankfurter Sausage Containing Dietary Fiber from Rice Bran Using Predictive Modeling (예측미생물을 이용한 미강식이섬유 함유 프랑크푸르터 소시지의 유통기한 설정)

  • Heo, Chan;Kim, Hyoun-Wook;Choi, Yun-Sang;Kim, Cheon-Jei;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2009
  • Predictive modeling was applied to study the growth of microorganisms related to spoilage in frankfurter sausage containing various levels of dietary fiber (0, 1, 2, and 3%) from rice bran and to estimate its shelf-life. Using the Baranyi model, total viable cells, anaerobic and psychrotrophic bacteria were measured during 35 days of cold storage ($<4{\pm}1^{\circ}C$). The lag times (LT) demonstrated by control and treatment groups were 6.28, 623, 6.24, and 6.25 days, respectively. The growth rate of total viable cells in each group were 0.95, 0.91, 0.92, and 0.91 (Log CFU/g/day), respectively. The anaerobic and psychrotrophic bacteria had lower initial ($y_0$) and maximal bacterial counts ($y_{max}$) than total viable cells. Also, the anaerobic and psychrotrophic bacteria possessed lower growth rate and longer lag time than total viable cells. The estimated shelf-life of frankfurter containing rice bran fiber by the growth rate of total viable cells was 7.8, 7.9, 7.9, and 7.7 days, respectively. There were no significant differences in shelf-life as a function of fiber content. In other words, the addition of dietary fiber in sausage did not show the critically hazardous results in growth of microorganism. The 12 predictive models were then characterized by high $R^2$, and small RMSE. Furthermore, $B_f$ and $A_f$ values showed a very close relationship between the predictive and observed data.

A Study on the Predictive Modeling of Material Removal and Surface Roughness in Powder Blasting of Glass by Design of Experiments (파우더 블라스팅에 의한 유리가공시 실험계획법에 의한 재료 제거량 및 표면 거칠기 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jin Quan-Qia;Seong Eun-Je;Han Jin-Yong;Yoo Woo-Sik;Park Dong-Sam
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2006
  • The old technique of sandblasting which has been used for paint or scale removing, deburring and glass decorating has recently been developed into a powder blasting technique for brittle materials, capable of producing micro structures larger than $100{\mu}m$. In this paper, we studied on the predictive modeling of material removal and surface roughness in powder blasting of glass by design of experiments. The surface characteristics and surface shape of powder blasted glass surface were tested under different blasting parameter. Finally, we proposed a predictive model for powder blasting process, and compared with experimental results.

MSET PERFORMANCE OPTIMIZATION THROUGH REGULARIZATION

  • HINES J. WESLEY;USYNIN ALEXANDER
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2005
  • The Multivariate State Estimation Technique (MSET) is being used in Nuclear Power Plants for sensor and equipment condition monitoring. This paper presents the use of regularization methods for optimizing MSET's predictive performance. The techniques are applied to a simulated data set and a data set obtained from a nuclear power plant currently implementing empirical, on-line, equipment condition monitoring techniques. The results show that regularization greatly enhances the predictive performance. Additionally, the selection of prototype vectors is investigated and a local modeling method is presented that can be applied when computational speed is desired.

Obstacle Parameter Modeling for Model Predictive Control of the Unmanned Vehicle (무인자동차의 모델 예측제어를 위한 장애물 파라미터 모델링 기법)

  • Yeu, Jung-Yun;Kim, Woo-Hyun;Im, Jun-Hyuck;Lee, Dal-Ho;Jee, Gyu-In
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.1132-1138
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    • 2012
  • The MPC (Model Predictive Control) is one of the techniques that can be used to control an unmanned vehicle. It predicts the future vehicle trajectory using the dynamic characteristic of the vehicle and generate the control value to track the reference path. If some obstacles are detected on the reference paths, the MPC can generate control value to avoid the obstacles imposing the inequality constraints on the MPC cost function. In this paper, we propose an obstacle modeling algorithm for MPC with inequality constraints for obstacle avoidance and a method to set selective constraint on the MPC for stable obstacle avoidance. Simulations with the field test data show successful obstacle avoidance and way point tracking performance.