• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive model

Search Result 2,200, Processing Time 0.037 seconds

A Study on the Predictive Causal Model of Codependency for introducing Implications in Family Welfare Policy - Basing on the application of Triple ABC-X Model -

  • Ju, Sunyoung;Kweon, Seong-Ok;Park, Hwieseo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.139-145
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a predictive causal model of codependency that is a main issue of family problem on the base of Triple ABC-X model which is a kind of family stress model. For the purpose of this study, we reviewed the concept and characteristics of codependency, affecting factors of codependency, and then reviewed the basic concept and logic of Triple ABC-X Model as theoretical viewpoint for the purpose of establishing a predictive causal model of codependency. We established it through examining main variables of codependency from Triple ABC-X Model. Main ingredients of the predictive causal model include boundary ambiguity, internal working model, internal and external locus of control, self-regard, social support, individual maladjustment etc. We established a predictive model of codependency basing on logic inferences among the variables. This study is expected to be used basic data to introduce some implications and for hereafter research.

Collision Avoidance using Model Predictive Control (모델 예측 제어를 활용한 충돌 회피)

  • Choi, Jaewoong;Seo, Jongsang;Yi, Kyongsu
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.32-38
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper presents collision avoidance using model predictive control algorithm. A model predictive control algorithm determines lateral tire force and yaw moment and steering angle input and differential braking input is determined from lateral tire force and yaw moment. A constraint for model predictive control is designed for obstacle avoidance. A objective function is designed to minimize lateral tire force and yaw moment input and to follow changed lane after collision avoidance. The performance of proposed algorithm has been investigated via computer simulation conducted to vehicle dynamic software CARSIM and Matlab/Simulink.

Robust Predictive Speed Control for SPMSM Drives Based on Extended State Observers

  • Xu, Yanping;Hou, Yongle;Li, Zehui
    • Journal of Power Electronics
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.497-508
    • /
    • 2019
  • The predictive speed control (PSC) strategy can realize the simultaneous control of speed and current by using one cost function. As a model-based control method, the performance of the PSC is vulnerable to model mismatches such as load torque disturbances and parameter uncertainties. To solve this problem, this paper presents a robust predictive speed control (RPSC) strategy for surface-mounted permanent magnet synchronous motor (SPMSM) drives. The proposed RPSC uses extended state observers (ESOs) to estimate the lumped disturbances caused by load torque changes and parameter mismatches. The observer-based prediction model is then compensated by using the estimated disturbances. The introduction of ESOs can achieve robustness against predictive model uncertainties. In addition, a modified cost function is designed to further suppress load torque disturbances. The performance of the proposed RPSC scheme has been corroborated by experimental results under the condition of load torque changes and parameter mismatches.

PREDICTING KOREAN FRUIT PRICES USING LSTM ALGORITHM

  • PARK, TAE-SU;KEUM, JONGHAE;KIM, HOISUB;KIM, YOUNG ROCK;MIN, YOUNGHO
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.23-48
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, we provide predictive models for the market price of fruits, and analyze the performance of each fruit price predictive model. The data used to create the predictive models are fruit price data, weather data, and Korea composite stock price index (KOSPI) data. We collect these data through Open-API for 10 years period from year 2011 to year 2020. Six types of fruit price predictive models are constructed using the LSTM algorithm, a special form of deep learning RNN algorithm, and the performance is measured using the root mean square error. For each model, the data from year 2011 to year 2018 are trained to predict the fruit price in year 2019, and the data from year 2011 to year 2019 are trained to predict the fruit price in year 2020. By comparing the fruit price predictive models of year 2019 and those models of year 2020, the model with excellent efficiency is identified and the best model to provide the service is selected. The model we made will be available in other countries and regions as well.

A Model Predictive Controller for The Water Level of Nuclear Steam Generators

  • Na, Man-Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.33 no.1
    • /
    • pp.102-110
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this work, the model predictive control method was applied to a linear model and a nonlinear model of steam generators. The parameters of a linear model for steam generators are very different according to the power levels. The model predictive controller was designed for the linear steam generator model at a fixed power level. The proposed controller at the fixed power level showed good performance for any other power levels by designed changing only the input-weighting factor. As the input-weighting factor usually increases, its relative stability does so. The steam generator has some nonlinear characteristics. Therefore, the proposed algorithm has been implemented for a nonlinear model of the nuclear steam generator to verify its real performance and also, showed good performance.

  • PDF

Performance tests on the ANN model prediction accuracy for cooling load of buildings during the setback period (셋백기간 중 건물 냉방시스템 부하 예측을 위한 인공신경망모델 성능 평가)

  • Park, Bo Rang;Choi, Eunji;Moon, Jin Woo
    • KIEAE Journal
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.83-88
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose: The objective of this study is to develop a predictive model for calculating the amount of cooling load for the different setback temperatures during the setback period. An artificial neural network (ANN) is applied as a predictive model. The predictive model is designed to be employed in the control algorithm, in which the amount of cooling load for the different setback temperature is compared and works as a determinant for finding the most energy-efficient optimal setback temperature. Method: Three major steps were conducted for proposing the ANN-based predictive model - i) initial model development, ii) model optimization, and iii) performance evaluation. Result:The proposed model proved its prediction accuracy with the lower coefficient of variation of the root mean square errors (CVRMSEs) of the simulated results (Mi) and the predicted results (Si) under generally accepted levels. In conclusion, the ANN model presented its applicability to the thermal control algorithm for setting up the most energy-efficient setback temperature.

A semiparametric method to measure predictive accuracy of covariates for doubly censored survival outcomes

  • Han, Seungbong;Lee, JungBok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.343-353
    • /
    • 2016
  • In doubly-censored data, an originating event time and a terminating event time are interval-censored. In certain analyses of such data, a researcher might be interested in the elapsed time between the originating and terminating events as well as regression modeling with risk factors. Therefore, in this study, we introduce a model evaluation method to measure the predictive ability of a model based on negative predictive values. We use a semiparametric estimate of the predictive accuracy to provide a simple and flexible method for model evaluation of doubly-censored survival outcomes. Additionally, we used simulation studies and tested data from a prostate cancer trial to illustrate the practical advantages of our approach. We believe that this method could be widely used to build prediction models or nomograms.

Temperature control of a batch polymerization reactor using nonlinear predictive control algorithm (비선형 예측제어 알고리즘을 이용한 회분식 중합 반응기의 온도제어)

  • 나상섭;노형준;이현구
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 1996.10b
    • /
    • pp.1000-1003
    • /
    • 1996
  • Nonlinear unified predictive control(UPC) algorithm was applied to the temperature control of a batch polymerization reactor for polymethylmethacrylate(PMMA). Before the polymerization reaction is initiated, the parameters of the process model are determined by the recursive least squares(RLS) method. During the reaction, nonlinearities due to generation of heat of reaction and variation of heat transfer coefficients are predicted through the nonlinear model developed. These nonlinearities are added to the process output from the linear process model. And then, the predicted process output is used to calculate the control output sequence. The performance of nonlinear control algorithm was verified by simulation and compared with that of the linear unified predictive control algorithm. In the experiment of a batch PMMA polymerization, nonlinear unified predictive control was implemented to regulate the temperature of the reactor, and the validity of the nonlinear model was verified through the experimental results. The performance of the nonlinear controller turned out to be superior to that of the linear controller for tracking abrupt changes in setpoint.

  • PDF

A Prediction for Manpower Profile of Software Development Using Predictive Filter (예측필터를 이용한 소프트웨어 개발 인력분포 예측)

  • Lee Sang-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.416-422
    • /
    • 2006
  • Most of the existing statistical models of software manpower profile are based on the assumptions of the usage and development process. Therefore, there is no universally applicable estimation and prediction model. To develop a prediction model, this paper suggests the predictive filter as a prediction model for software manpower profile. Firs of all, we investigate the software manpower profile and we suggest the input-output of predictive filter and method for parameter determination. Then, its usefulness is empirically verified by analyzing the actual data obtained from the software projects. Based on the average relative prediction error and Pred(0.25), the suggested predictive filter is compared with other well-known statistical estimation models. As a result, the predictive filter generally has a simple structure and on the other hand, it adapts the software manpower profile very well.

The methods to improve the performance of predictive model using machine learning for the quality properties of products (머신러닝을 활용한 제품 특성 예측모델의 성능향상 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Jong Hoon;Oh, Hayoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.749-756
    • /
    • 2021
  • Thanks to PLC and IoT Sensor, huge amounts of data has been accumulated onto the companies' databases. Machine Learning Algorithms for the predictive model with good performance have been widely utilized in the manufacturing process. We present how to improve the performance of machine learning predictive models. To improve the performance of the predictive model, typical techniques such as increasing the sample size, optimizing the hyper parameters for the algorithm, and selecting a proper machine learning algorithm for the predictive model would be shown. We suggest some new ways to make the model performance much better. With the proposed methods, we can build a better predictive model for predicting and controlling product qualities and save incredibly large amount of quality failure cost.