• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction technique

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Spatiotemporal Pattern Mining Technique for Location-Based Service System

  • Vu, Nhan Thi Hong;Lee, Jun-Wook;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.421-431
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we offer a new technique to discover frequent spatiotemporal patterns from a moving object database. Though the search space for spatiotemporal knowledge is extremely challenging, imposing spatial and timing constraints on moving sequences makes the computation feasible. The proposed technique includes two algorithms, AllMOP and MaxMOP, to find all frequent patterns and maximal patterns, respectively. In addition, to support the service provider in sending information to a user in a push-driven manner, we propose a rule-based location prediction technique to predict the future location of the user. The idea is to employ the algorithm AllMOP to discover the frequent movement patterns in the user's historical movements, from which frequent movement rules are generated. These rules are then used to estimate the future location of the user. The performance is assessed with respect to precision and recall. The proposed techniques could be quite efficiently applied in a location-based service (LBS) system in which diverse types of data are integrated to support a variety of LBSs.

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Development of Artificial Neural Network Model for Simulating the Flow Behavior in Open Channel Infested by Submerged Aquatic Weeds

  • Abdeen Mostafa A. M.
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.1576-1589
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    • 2006
  • Most of surface water ways in Egypt suffer from the infestation of aquatic weeds especially submerged ones which cause lots of problems for the open channels and the water structures such as increasing water losses, obstructing the water flow, and reducing the efficiency of the water structures. Accurate simulation of the water flow behavior in such channels is very essential for water distribution decision makers. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has been widely utilized in the past ten years in civil engineering applications for the simulation and prediction of the different physical phenomena and has proven its capabilities in the different fields. The present study aims towards introducing the use of ANN technique to model and predict the impact of the existence of submerged aquatic weeds on the hydraulic performance of open channels. Specifically the current paper investigates utilizing the ANN technique in developing a simulation and prediction model for the flow behavior in an open channel experiment that simulates the existence of submerged weeds as branched flexible elements. This experiment was considered as an example for implementing the same methodology and technique in a real open channel system. The results of current manuscript showed that ANN technique was very successful in simulating the flow behavior of the pre-mentioned open channel experiment with the existence of the submerged weeds. In addition, the developed ANN models were capable of predicting the open channel flow behavior in all the submerged weeds' cases that were considered in the ANN development process.

Precise prediction of radiation interaction position in plastic rod scintillators using a fast and simple technique: Artificial neural network

  • Peyvandi, R. Gholipour;rad, S.Z. Islami
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.1154-1159
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    • 2018
  • Precise prediction of the radiation interaction position in scintillators plays an important role in medical and industrial imaging systems. In this research, the incident position of the gamma rays was predicted precisely in a plastic rod scintillator by using attenuation technique and multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network, for the first time. Also, this procedure was performed using nonlinear regression (NLR) method. The experimental setup is comprised of a plastic rod scintillator (BC400) coupled with two PMTs at two sides, a $^{60}Co$ gamma source and two counters that record count rates. Using two proposed techniques (ANN and NLR), the radiation interaction position was predicted in a plastic rod scintillator with a mean relative error percentage less than 4.6% and 14.6%, respectively. The mean absolute error was measured less than 2.5 and 5.5. The correlation coefficient was calculated 0.998 and 0.984, respectively. Also, the ANN technique was confirmed by leave-one-out (LOO) method with 1% error. These results presented the superiority of the ANN method in comparison with NLR and the other methods. The technique and set up used are simpler and faster than other the previous position sensitive detectors. Thus, the time, cost and shielding and electronics requirements are minimized and optimized.

Rock Classification Prediction in Tunnel Excavation Using CNN (CNN 기법을 활용한 터널 암판정 예측기술 개발)

  • Kim, Hayoung;Cho, Laehun;Kim, Kyu-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2019
  • Quick identification of the condition of tunnel face and optimized determination of support patterns during tunnel excavation in underground construction projects help engineers prevent tunnel collapse and safely excavate tunnels. This study investigates a CNN technique for quick determination of rock quality classification depending on the condition of tunnel face, and presents the procedure for rock quality classification using a deep learning technique and the improved method for accurate prediction. The VGG16 model developed by tens of thousands prestudied images was used for deep learning, and 1,469 tunnel face images were used to classify the five types of rock quality condition. In this study, the prediction accuracy using this technique was up to 83.9%. It is expected that this technique can be used for an error-minimizing rock quality classification system not depending on experienced professionals in rock quality rating.

Roof Crush Analysis Technique Using Simple Model with Plastic Hinge Concepts (소성 힌지를 갖는 단순 보 모델을 이용한 루프 붕괴 해석 기술)

  • 강성종
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents a computational technique to predict roof crush resistance in early design stage of passenger car development. This technique use a simple F.E. model with nonlinear spring elements which represent plastic hinge behavior at weak areas. By assuming actual sections as equivalent simple sections, maximum bending moments which weak areas in major members can stand are theoretically calculated. Results from prediction of roof crush resistance are correlated well with test results.

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Design of a Sliding Mode Speed Controller for the BLDC Motor Using the Space Vector Modulation Technique (공간벡터 변조법을 적용한 BLDC 전동기에 대한 슬라이딩 모드 속도 제어기 설계)

  • 최중경;박승엽;황정원
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1999.06a
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    • pp.1125-1128
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents a speed controller for the Sinusoidal type BLDC motor using the sliding mode. Since the sliding mode control has some practical limitations such as the chattering phenomenon and reaching phase problems, the technique of overcoming these limitations is proposed in a practical realization. This proposed speed control technique is composed of an smooth integral variable structure control(IVSC), and chattering prediction method.

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Credit Prediction Based on Kohonen Network and Survival Analysis (코호넨네트워크와 생존분석을 활용한 신용 예측)

  • Ha, Sung-Ho;Yang, Jeong-Won;Min, Ji-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.35-54
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    • 2009
  • The recent economic crisis not only reduces the profit of department stores but also incurs the significance losses caused by the increasing late-payment rate of credit cards. Under this pressure, the scope of credit prediction needs to be broadened from the simple prediction of whether this customer has a good credit or not to the accurate prediction of how much profit can be gained from this customer. This study classifies the delinquent customers of credit card in a Korean department store into homogeneous clusters. Using this information, this study analyzes the repayment patterns for each cluster and develops the credit prediction system to manage the delinquent customers. The model presented by this study uses Kohonen network, which is one of artificial neural networks of data mining technique, to cluster the credit delinquent customers into clusters. Cox proportional hazard model is also used, which is one of survival analysis used in medical statistics, to analyze the repayment patterns of the delinquent customers in each cluster. The presented model estimates the repayment period of delinquent customers for each cluster and introduces the influencing variables on the repayment pattern prediction. Although there are some differences among clusters, the variables about the purchasing frequency in a month and the average number of installment repayment are the most predictive variables for the repayment pattern. The accuracy of the presented system leaches 97.5%.

Two dimensional reduction technique of Support Vector Machines for Bankruptcy Prediction

  • Ahn, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Lee, Ki-Chun
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.608-613
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    • 2007
  • Prediction of corporate bankruptcies has long been an important topic and has been studied extensively in the finance and management literature because it is an essential basis for the risk management of financial institutions. Recently, support vector machines (SVMs) are becoming popular as a tool for bankruptcy prediction because they use a risk function consisting of the empirical error and a regularized term which is derived from the structural risk minimization principle. In addition, they don't require huge training samples and have little possibility of overfitting. However. in order to Use SVM, a user should determine several factors such as the parameters ofa kernel function, appropriate feature subset, and proper instance subset by heuristics, which hinders accurate prediction results when using SVM In this study, we propose a novel hybrid SVM classifier with simultaneous optimization of feature subsets, instance subsets, and kernel parameters. This study introduces genetic algorithms (GAs) to optimize the feature selection, instance selection, and kernel parameters simultaneously. Our study applies the proposed model to the real-world case for bankruptcy prediction. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of conventional SVM may be improved significantly by using our model.

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User Similarity-based Path Prediction Method (사용자 유사도 기반 경로 예측 기법)

  • Nam, Sumin;Lee, Sukhoon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Information Technology
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2019
  • A path prediction method using lifelog requires a large amount of training data for accurate path prediction, and the path prediction performance is degraded when the training data is insufficient. The lack of training data can be solved using data of other users having similar user movement patterns. Therefore, this paper proposes a path prediction algorithm based on user similarity. The proposed algorithm learns the path in a triple grid pattern and measures the similarity between users using the cosine similarity technique. Then, it predicts the path with applying measured similarity to the learned model. For the evaluation, we measure and compare the path prediction accuracy of proposed method with the existing algorithms. As a result, the proposed method has 66.6% accuracy, and it is evaluated that its accuracy is 1.8% higher than other methods.

Development of a Lightweight Prediction Model of Fuel Injection Rates from High Pressure Fuel Injectors (고압 인젝터의 분사율 예측을 위한 경량 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Sanggwon;Bae, Gyuhan;Atac, Omer Faruk;Moon, Seoksu;Kang, Jinsuk
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.188-195
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    • 2020
  • To meet stringent emission regulations of automotive engines, fuel injection control techniques have advanced based on reliable and fast computing prediction models. This study aims to develop a reliable lightweight prediction model of fuel injection rates using a small number of input parameters and based on simple fluid dynamic theories. The prediction model uses the geometry of the injector nozzle, needle motion data, injection conditions and the fuel properties. A commercial diesel injector and US No. 2 diesel were used as the test injector and fuel, respectively. The needle motion data were measured using X-ray phase-contrast imaging technique under various fuel injection pressures and injection pulse durations. The actual injector rate profiles were measured using an injection rate meter for the validation of the model prediction results. In the case of long injection durations with the steady-state operation, the model prediction results showed over 99 % consistency with the measurement results. However, in the case of short injection cases with the transient operation, the prediction model overestimated the injection rate that needs to be further improved.