• Title/Summary/Keyword: predicting technique

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Load Shedding via Predicting the Frequency of Tuple for Efficient Analsis over Data Streams (효율적 데이터 스트림 분석을 위한 발생빈도 예측 기법을 이용한 과부하 처리)

  • Chang, Joong-Hyuk
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.13D no.6 s.109
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    • pp.755-764
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    • 2006
  • In recent, data streams are generated in various application fields such as a ubiquitous computing and a sensor network, and various algorithms are actively proposed for processing data streams efficiently. They mainly focus on the restriction of their memory usage and minimization of their processing time per data element. However, in the algorithms, if data elements of a data stream are generated in a rapid rate for a time unit, some of the data elements cannot be processed in real time. Therefore, an efficient load shedding technique is required to process data streams effcientlv. For this purpose, a load shedding technique over a data stream is proposed in this paper, which is based on the predicting technique of the frequency of data element considering its current frequency. In the proposed technique, considering the change of the data stream, its threshold for tuple alive is controlled adaptively. It can help to prevent unnecessary load shedding.

Detecting and predicting the crude oil type inside composite pipes using ECS and ANN

  • Altabey, Wael A.
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.377-393
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    • 2016
  • The present work develops an expert system for detecting and predicting the crude oil types and properties at normal temperature ${\theta}=25^{\circ}C$, by evaluating the dielectric properties of the fluid transfused inside glass fiber reinforced epoxy (GFRE) composite pipelines, by using electrical capacitance sensor (ECS) technique, then used the data measurements from ECS to predict the types of the other crude oil transfused inside the pipeline, by designing an efficient artificial neural network (ANN) architecture. The variation in the dielectric signatures are employed to design an electrical capacitance sensor (ECS) with high sensitivity to detect such problem. ECS consists of 12 electrodes mounted on the outer surface of the pipe. A finite element (FE) simulation model is developed to measure the capacitance values and node potential distribution of ECS electrodes by ANSYS and MATLAB, which are combined to simulate sensor characteristic. Radial Basis neural network (RBNN), structure is applied, trained and tested to predict the finite element (FE) results of crude oil types transfused inside (GFRE) pipe under room temperature using MATLAB neural network toolbox. The FE results are in excellent agreement with an RBNN results, thus validating the accuracy and reliability of the proposed technique.

Bayesian Approach to Users' Perspective on Movie Genres

  • Lenskiy, Artem A.;Makita, Eric
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2017
  • Movie ratings are crucial for recommendation engines that track the behavior of all users and utilize the information to suggest items the users might like. It is intuitively appealing that information about the viewing preferences in terms of movie genres is sufficient for predicting a genre of an unlabeled movie. In order to predict movie genres, we treat ratings as a feature vector, apply a Bernoulli event model to estimate the likelihood of a movie being assigned a certain genre, and evaluate the posterior probability of the genre of a given movie by using the Bayes rule. The goal of the proposed technique is to efficiently use movie ratings for the task of predicting movie genres. In our approach, we attempted to answer the question: "Given the set of users who watched a movie, is it possible to predict the genre of a movie on the basis of its ratings?" The simulation results with MovieLens 1M data demonstrated the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed technique, achieving an 83.8% prediction rate for exact prediction and 84.8% when including correlated genres.

Predicting the Impact of Subsurface heterogeneous Hydraulic Conductivity on the Stochastic Behavior of Well Draw down in a Confined Aquifer Using Artificial Neural Networks

  • Abdin Alaa El-Din;Abdeen Mostafa A. M.
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.1582-1596
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    • 2005
  • Groundwater flow and behavior have to be investigated based on heterogeneous subsurface formation since the homogeneity assumption of this formation is not valid. Over the past twenty years, stochastic approach and Monte Carlo technique have been utilized very efficiently to understand the groundwater flow behavior. However, these techniques require lots of computational and numerical efforts according to the various researchers' comments. Therefore, utilizing new techniques with much less computational efforts such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in the prediction of the stochastic behavior for the groundwater based on heterogeneous subsurface formation is highly appreciated. The current paper introduces the ANN technique to investigate and predict the stochastic behavior of a well draw down in a confined aquifer based on subsurface heterogeneous hydraulic conductivity. Several ANN models are developed in this research to predict the unsteady two dimensional well draw down and its stochastic characteristics in a confined aquifer. The results of this study showed that ANN method with less computational efforts was very efficiently capable of simulating and predicting the stochastic behavior of the well draw down resulted from the continuous constant pumping in the middle of a confined aquifer with subsurface heterogeneous hydraulic conductivity.

SVM based Bankruptcy Prediction Model for Small & Micro Businesses Using Credit Card Sales Information (신용카드 매출정보를 이용한 SVM 기반 소상공인 부실예측모형)

  • Yoon, Jong-Sik;Kwon, Young-Sik;Roh, Tae-Hyup
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.448-457
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    • 2007
  • The small & micro business has the characteristics of both consumer credit risk and business credit risk. In predicting the bankruptcy for small-micro businesses, the problem is that in most cases, the financial data for evaluating business credit risks of small & micro businesses are not available. To alleviate such problem, we propose a bankruptcy prediction mechanism using the credit card sales information available, because most small businesses are member store of some credit card issuers, which is the main purpose of this study. In order to perform this study, we derive some variables and analyze the relationship between good and bad signs. We employ the new statistical learning technique, support vector machines (SVM) as a classifier. We use grid search technique to find out better parameter for SVM. The experimental result shows that credit card sales information could be a good substitute for the financial data for evaluating business credit risk in predicting the bankruptcy for small-micro businesses. In addition, we also find out that SVM performs best, when compared with other classifiers such as neural networks, CART, C5.0 multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA), and logistic regression.

Prediction Model for Gastric Cancer via Class Balancing Techniques

  • Danish, Jamil ;Sellappan, Palaniappan;Sanjoy Kumar, Debnath;Muhammad, Naseem;Susama, Bagchi ;Asiah, Lokman
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2023
  • Many researchers are trying hard to minimize the incidence of cancers, mainly Gastric Cancer (GC). For GC, the five-year survival rate is generally 5-25%, but for Early Gastric Cancer (EGC), it is almost 90%. Predicting the onset of stomach cancer based on risk factors will allow for an early diagnosis and more effective treatment. Although there are several models for predicting stomach cancer, most of these models are based on unbalanced datasets, which favours the majority class. However, it is imperative to correctly identify cancer patients who are in the minority class. This research aims to apply three class-balancing approaches to the NHS dataset before developing supervised learning strategies: Oversampling (Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique or SMOTE), Undersampling (SpreadSubsample), and Hybrid System (SMOTE + SpreadSubsample). This study uses Naive Bayes, Bayesian Network, Random Forest, and Decision Tree (C4.5) methods. We measured these classifiers' efficacy using their Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curves, sensitivity, and specificity. The validation data was used to test several ways of balancing the classifiers. The final prediction model was built on the one that did the best overall.

Prediction of English Premier League Game Using an Ensemble Technique (앙상블 기법을 통한 잉글리시 프리미어리그 경기결과 예측)

  • Yi, Jae Hyun;Lee, Soo Won
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2020
  • Predicting outcome of the sports enables teams to establish their strategy by analyzing variables that affect overall game flow and wins and losses. Many studies have been conducted on the prediction of the outcome of sports events through statistical techniques and machine learning techniques. Predictive performance is the most important in a game prediction model. However, statistical and machine learning models show different optimal performance depending on the characteristics of the data used for learning. In this paper, we propose a new ensemble model to predict English Premier League soccer games using statistical models and the machine learning models which showed good performance in predicting the results of the soccer games and this model is possible to select a model that performs best when predicting the data even if the data are different. The proposed ensemble model predicts game results by learning the final prediction model with the game prediction results of each single model and the actual game results. Experimental results for the proposed model show higher performance than the single models.

Analysis of Incident Impact Factors and Development of SMOGN-DNN Model for Prediction of Incident Clearance Time (돌발상황 처리시간 예측을 위한 영향요인 분석 및 SMOGN-DNN 모델 개발)

  • Yun, Gyu Ri;Bae, Sang Hoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.46-56
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    • 2021
  • Predicting the incident clearance time is important for eliminating the high transportation costs and congestion from non-repetitive congestion caused by incidents. In this study, the factors influencing the clearance time suitable for domestic road conditions were analyzed, using a training dataset for predicting the incident clearance time using artificial neural networks. In a previous study, the under-prediction problem for high incident clearance time was used. In the present study, over-sampling training data applied using the SMOGN technique was obtained and applied to the model as a solution. As a result, the DNN model applying the SMOGN technique could compensate for the limitations of the previously developed prediction model by predicting the clearance time with the highest accuracy among the models developed in the research process with MAE = 18.3 minutes.

A Study on the Safety Enhancement of Chemical Plants Using Risk Based Inspection Method (Risk Based Inspection 기법을 이용한 화학공장의 안전성 향상에 관한 연구)

  • 노용해;유진환;서재민;임차순;고재욱
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2002
  • The RBI technique proposed by API is composed of three steps. The qualitative RBI method can be used for the purpose of screening the components with high risk. And the quantitative RBI method employs complex risk evaluation model for predicting component risk in a quantitative manner. The inspection program can be optimized based on the results obtained by these RBI technique. The forementioned RBI technique has been applied to a common hydrodesulfurizer unit and the technique is critically evaluated for studying its benefits and limitations, which is the main issue of this thesis. It's conducted that the RBI method can provide a method for defining and measuring the component risk, and also provide a powerful tool for managing many of the important elements of a process plant.

Finite Element Analysis for Performance Evaluation of Type III Hydrogen Pressure Vessel for the Clean Tech Fuel Cell Vehicles (친환경 연료전지 자동차용 Type III 수소 압력용기의 구조성능 평가를 위한 유한 요소 해석)

  • Son, Dae-Sung;Chang, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.29 no.9
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    • pp.938-945
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    • 2012
  • To design and estimate material failures of Type III pressure vessels, which have excellent stability and performance, various modeling techniques have been introduced. This paper provided a hybrid modeling technique composed of ply-based modeling for a cylinder part and laminate-base modeling technique for a dome part for enhancing modeling efficiency. The ply-based modeling technique provided accurate ply stresses directly for predicting material failure, on the other hand, additional manipulations in stress calculations, which may cause some errors, were needed for the case of the laminate-based modeling technique. The ply stresses in fiber, transverse and in-plane shear directions were compared with the corresponding material strengths to predict material failure.