• Title/Summary/Keyword: predicting formula

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A Study on the Corrosion of Corrugated Steel Structures in Buried Environment (매설 환경에 따른 파형강 구조물의 부식 특성 연구)

  • Park, Yeon-Soo;Kim, Byong-Ha;Han, Sang-Ho;Park, Sun-Joon;Suh, Byoung-Chal
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2003
  • In this research, multiple corrosion factors of buried environments were measured in order to establish a formula for the corrosion character of corrugated steel structures in domestic environments. By substituting corrosion factors for each predicting formula, the durable lifetime was measured, and the measured lifetime was compared with the estimated lifetime by applying existing thickness-measuring techniques. A new usage standard was proposed with these results, in order to create the conclusion below. There are known differences in the soil factors used as variables in estimating the duration caused by the seasonal effects of rainfall and temperature. Comparing the durable lifetime estimated by each predicting formula, the findings show that the California technique is conservative. This study demonstrates that the error range of the AISI technique, which is mostly used as a duration technique, is a very narrow predicting technique as compared with many other countries. Considering that there is on average, a 13% error margin in this study, a proposed safety factor of 0.87 could be used to more accurately predict the duration. The laying time in the California technique is not longer than the whole durability, and as a result, this error margin exists. It is concluded that this study on the open area has been overdue. Based on these findings, it's proposed that this error margin should be applied to the domestic environment through periodic observation, in order to establish the predicting techniques of durable lifetime.

On the Weld-Induced Deformation Control of Ship's Thin Plate Block (II) (선체 박판구조의 용접변형 제어에 관한 연구(II))

  • Lee, Joo-Sung;Kim, Cheul-Ho
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.504-508
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    • 2007
  • In the case of thin plate blocks, buckling deformation due to longitudinal shrinkage is the most important weld-induced deformation. This paper is concerned with developing the formula to predict the longitudinal shrinkage due to welding, in which mechanical tension effect in welding direction is accounted for. For this purpose, bead on plate welding test has been carried out for the 27 thin plate specimens with varying welding conditions and magnitude of tensile load. Empirical formula of predicting the longitudinal shrinkage has been derived based on the results of welding test, in which effect of mechanical tension is included. The derived formula can be usefully used in predicting the level of tensile load to reduce the longitudinal shrinkage.

Predicting the rate of inbreeding in populations undergoing four-path selection on genomically enhanced breeding values

  • Togashi, Kenji;Adachi, Kazunori;Kurogi, Kazuhito;Yasumori, Takanori;Watanabe, Toshio;Toda, Shohei;Matsubara, Satoshi;Hirohama, Kiyohide;Takahashi, Tsutomu;Matsuo, Shoichi
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.804-813
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    • 2022
  • Objective: A formula is needed that is practical for current livestock breeding methods and that predicts the approximate rate of inbreeding (ΔF) in populations where selection is performed according to four-path programs (sires to breed sons, sires to breed daughters, dams to breed sons, and dams to breed daughters). The formula widely used to predict inbreeding neglects selection, we need to develop a new formula that can be applied with or without selection. Methods: The core of the prediction is to incorporate the long-tern genetic influence of the selected parents in four-selection paths executed as sires to breed sons, sires to breed daughters, dams to breed sons, and dams to breed daughters. The rate of inbreeding was computed as the magnitude that is proportional to the sum of squared long-term genetic contributions of the parents of four-selection paths to the selected offspring. Results: We developed a formula to predict the rate of inbreeding in populations undergoing four-path selection on genomically enhanced breeding values and with discrete generations. The new formula can be applied with or without selection. Neglecting the effects of selection led to underestimation of the rate of inbreeding by 40% to 45%. Conclusion: The formula we developed here would be highly useful as a practical method for predicting the approximate rate of inbreeding (ΔF) in populations where selection is performed according to four-path programs.

Modeling strength of high-performance concrete using genetic operation trees with pruning techniques

  • Peng, Chien-Hua;Yeh, I-Cheng;Lien, Li-Chuan
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 2009
  • Regression analysis (RA) can establish an explicit formula to predict the strength of High-Performance Concrete (HPC); however, the accuracy of the formula is poor. Back-Propagation Networks (BPNs) can establish a highly accurate model to predict the strength of HPC, but cannot generate an explicit formula. Genetic Operation Trees (GOTs) can establish an explicit formula to predict the strength of HPC that achieves a level of accuracy in between the two aforementioned approaches. Although GOT can produce an explicit formula but the formula is often too complicated so that unable to explain the substantial meaning of the formula. This study developed a Backward Pruning Technique (BPT) to simplify the complexity of GOT formula by replacing each variable of the tip node of operation tree with the median of the variable in the training dataset belonging to the node, and then pruning the node with the most accurate test dataset. Such pruning reduces formula complexity while maintaining the accuracy. 404 experimental datasets were used to compare accuracy and complexity of three model building techniques, RA, BPN and GOT. Results show that the pruned GOT can generate simple and accurate formula for predicting the strength of HPC.

Study on slamming pressure calculation formula of plunging breaking wave on sloping sea dike

  • Yang, Xing
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.439-445
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    • 2017
  • Plunging breaker slamming pressures on vertical or sloping sea dikes are one of the most severe and dangerous loads that sea dike structures can suffer. Many studies have investigated the impact forces caused by breaking waves for maritime structures including sea dikes and most predictions of the breaker forces are based on empirical or semi-empirical formulae calibrated from laboratory experiments. However, the wave breaking mechanism is complex and more research efforts are still needed to improve the accuracy in predicting breaker forces. This study proposes a semi-empirical formula, which is based on impulse-momentum relation, to calculate the slamming pressure due to plunging wave breaking on a sloping sea dike. Compared with some measured slamming pressure data in two literature, the calculation results by the new formula show reasonable agreements. Also, by analysing probability distribution function of wave heights, the proposed formula can be converted into a probabilistic expression form for convenience only.

Curvature ductility prediction of high strength concrete beams

  • Bouzid, Haytham;Kassoul, Amar
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.66 no.2
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    • pp.195-201
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    • 2018
  • From the structural safety point of view, ductility is an important parameter, a relatively high level of curvature ductility would provide to the structure an increased chance of survival against accidental impact and seismic attack. The ductility of reinforced concrete beams is very important, because it is the property that allows structures to dissipate energy in seismic zone. This paper presents a revision of an earlier formula for predicting the curvature ductility factor of unconfined HSC beams to make it simpler in the use. The new formula is compared with the earlier formula and other numerical and experimental results. The new formula regroups all parameters can affecting the curvature ductility of unconfined HSC beams and it has the same domain of application as the earlier formula.

Using FEM and artificial networks to predict on elastic buckling load of perforated rectangular plates under linearly varying in-plane normal load

  • Sonmez, Mustafa;Aydin Komur, M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.159-174
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    • 2010
  • Elastic buckling load of perforated steel plates is typically predicted using the finite element or conjugate load/displacement methods. In this paper an artificial neural network (ANN)-based formula is presented for the prediction of the elastic buckling load of rectangular plates having a circular cutout. By using this formula, the elastic buckling load of perforated plates can be calculated easily without setting up an ANN platform. In this study, the center of a circular cutout was chosen at different locations along the longitudinal x-axis of plates subjected to linearly varying loading. The results of the finite element method (FEM) produced by the commercial software package ANSYS are used to train and test the network. The accuracy of the proposed formula based on the trained ANN model is evaluated by comparing with the results of different researchers. The results show that the presented ANN-based formula is practical in predicting the elastic buckling load of perforated plates without the need of an ANN platform.

A new empirical formula for prediction of the axial compression capacity of CCFT columns

  • Tran, Viet-Linh;Thai, Duc-Kien;Kim, Seung-Eock
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.181-194
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents an efficient approach to generate a new empirical formula to predict the axial compression capacity (ACC) of circular concrete-filled tube (CCFT) columns using the artificial neural network (ANN). A total of 258 test results extracted from the literature were used to develop the ANN models. The ANN model having the highest correlation coefficient (R) and the lowest mean square error (MSE) was determined as the best model. Stability analysis, sensitivity analysis, and a parametric study were carried out to estimate the stability of the ANN model and to investigate the main contributing factors on the ACC of CCFT columns. Stability analysis revealed that the ANN model was more stable than several existing formulae. Whereas, the sensitivity analysis and parametric study showed that the outer diameter of the steel tube was the most sensitive parameter. Additionally, using the validated ANN model, a new empirical formula was derived for predicting the ACC of CCFT columns. Obviously, a higher accuracy of the proposed empirical formula was achieved compared to the existing formulae.

A Study on the Elasticity Disuniformity for Catenary using by Beam Model (빔 모델을 이용한 전차선 불균일율에 관한 연구)

  • 권삼영;이기원;조용현;정흥채
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 1999
  • A catenary system should be designed to be an uniform elasticity over a span in order to maintain the lowest possible loss of contact between a pantograph and a contact wire. A elasticity disuniformity of a catenary can be regarded as a important design factor used for predicting the current collection performance for a catenary. There are a couple of formulas to calculate elasticity disuniformity of a catenary according to the literature survey, The effectiveness of these formulas is reviewed by performing catenary elasticity and loss of contact analysis for 5 different configurations of catenary systems using a beam element based FEM program, KRRI developed program, and the loss of contact by GASENDO, RTRI developed program, respective]y. The results reveals that these formulas are not suitable to predict the current collection performance for a catenary. Therefore, a new formula based on the standard deviation of the elasticity over a span is proposed in this study. The analysis results show that the new formula for an elasticity disuniformity of a catenary is very effective in predicting the current collection performance for a catenary.

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An Empirical Formulation for Predicting the Ultimate Compressive Strength of Plates and Stiffened Plates (판 및 보강판의 압축최종강도 실험식)

  • J.K. Paik;J.M. Lee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.8-21
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    • 1996
  • The aim of this study is to derive an empirical formula for predicting ultimate strength of plates and stiffened plates subjected to uniaxial compression. The test data of ultimate compressive strength for unstiffened and stiffened plates previously obtained by others have been collected. Many test data are necessary so that the derived formula will be available in wide range of plate dimensions. Additional collapse tests for a plate specimen with one flat bar stiffener, varying dimensions of plate and stiffener were performed in this study. On the basis of the present and previous experimental data, a more useful empirical formula than the existing ones was derived by applying the least square method.

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