• Title/Summary/Keyword: posterior probability

Search Result 224, Processing Time 0.034 seconds

Thorea indica sp. nov. (Thoreales, Rhodophyta) from Uttar Pradesh, India

  • Necchi, Orlando Jr;Paiano, Monica O.;West, John A.;Ganesan, E. K.;Goer, Susan Loiseaux-de
    • ALGAE
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.265-274
    • /
    • 2015
  • Thorea indica sp. nov. is described from the Sai River, Uttar Pradesh, India (26°39′00.7″ N, 80°47′38.3″ E). Its classification is based on molecular sequences of the plastid-encoded RuBisCO large-subunit gene, rbcL and the barcode region of the mitochondrial encoded cytochrome c oxidase subunit 1, cox1, and morphological data. The sequence analyses confirm a new species of Thorea. The cox1 barcode sequence had 90.4-90.8% identity with Thorea sp. from Australia and Thorea hispida from Hawaii and China. Based on rbcL sequences the Indian specimen was positioned in a major clade with high support (>95 bootstrap and 0.95 posterior probability) containing two other species: T. okadae from Japan and T. hispida from the continental USA, Hawaii, the UK, and China. The divergences among these sequences were T. indica vs. T. okadae (2.8%) and T. indica vs. T. hispida (2.9-3.4%). The comparison of morphological characters of Thorea from India was not conclusive due to the inadequate descriptions in previous reports: most specimens reported as T. hispida fit within the circumscription of T. indica as described here. The previous report of T. siamensis from the Sai River is incorrect and the specimens fit within our description of T. indica. Thorea indica and T. okadae can be distinguished by minor morphometric characters and sexuality (dioecious vs. monoecious).

Nonignorable Nonresponse Imputation and Rotation Group Bias Estimation on the Rotation Sample Survey (무시할 수 없는 무응답을 가지고 있는 교체표본조사에서의 무응답 대체와 교체그룹 편향 추정)

  • Choi, Bo-Seung;Kim, Dae-Young;Kim, Kee-Whan;Park, You-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.361-375
    • /
    • 2008
  • We propose proper methods to impute the item nonresponse in 4-8-4 rotation sample survey. We consider nonignorable nonresponse mechanism that can happen when survey deals with sensitive question (e.g. income, labor force). We utilize modeling imputation method based on Bayesian approach to avoid a boundary solution problem. We also estimate a interview time bias using imputed data and calculate cell expectation and marginal probability on fixed time after removing estimated bias. We compare the mean squared errors and bias between maximum likelihood method and Bayesian methods using simulation studies.

JPDAS Multi-Target Tracking Algorithm for Cluster Bombs Tracking (자탄 추적을 위한 JPDAS 다중표적 추적알고리즘)

  • Kim, Hyoung-Rae;Chun, Joo-Hwan;Ryu, Chung-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Oh
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
    • /
    • v.27 no.6
    • /
    • pp.545-556
    • /
    • 2016
  • JPDAF is a method of updating target's state estimation by using posterior probability that measurements are originated from existing target in multi-target tracking. In this paper, we propose a multi-target tracking algorithm for falling cluster bombs separated from a mother bomb based on JPDAS method which is obtained by applying fixed-interval smoothing technique to JPDAF. The performance of JPDAF and JPDAS multi-target tracking algorithm is compared by observing the average of the difference between targets' state estimations obtained from 100 independent executions of two algorithms and targets' true states. Based on this, results of simulations for a radar tracking problem that show proposed JPDAS has better tracking performance than JPDAF is presented.

A Bayesian Approach to Geophysical Inverse Problems (베이지안 방식에 의한 지구물리 역산 문제의 접근)

  • Oh Seokhoon;Chung Seung-Hwan;Kwon Byung-Doo;Lee Heuisoon;Jung Ho Jun;Lee Duk Kee
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.262-271
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study presents a practical procedure for the Bayesian inversion of geophysical data. We have applied geostatistical techniques for the acquisition of prior model information, then the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method was adopted to infer the characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters. For the Bayesian inversion of dipole-dipole array resistivity data, we have used the indicator kriging and simulation techniques to generate cumulative density functions from Schlumberger array resistivity data and well logging data, and obtained prior information by cokriging and simulations from covariogram models. The indicator approach makes it possible to incorporate non-parametric information into the probabilistic density function. We have also adopted the MCMC approach, based on Gibbs sampling, to examine the characteristics of a posteriori probability density function and the marginal distribution of each parameter.

Segmentation of Color Image using the Deterministic Annealing EM Algorithm (결정적 어닐링 EM 알고리즘을 이요한 칼라 영상의 분할)

  • Cho, Wan-Hyun;Park, Jong-Hyun;Park, Soon-Young
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.324-333
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper we present a novel color image segmentation algorithm based on a Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). It is introduced a Deterministic Annealing Expectation Maximization(DAEM) algorithm which is developed using the principle of maximum entropy to overcome the local maxima problem associated with the standard EM algorithm. In our approach, the GMM is used to represent the multi-colored objects statistically and its parameters are estimated by DAEM algorithm. We also develop the automatic determination method of the number of components in Gaussian mixtures models. The segmentation of image is based on the maximum posterior probability distribution which is calculated by using the GMM. The experimental results show that the proposed DAEM can estimate the parameters more accurately than the standard EM and the determination method of the number of mixture models is very efficient. When tested on two natural images, the proposed algorithm performs much better than the traditional algorithm in segmenting the image fields.

  • PDF

A Long-term Durability Prediction for RC Structures Exposed to Carbonation Using Probabilistic Approach (확률론적 기법을 이용한 탄산화 RC 구조물의 내구성 예측)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Gyu-Seon
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.119-127
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper provides a new approach for durability prediction of reinforced concrete structures exposed to carbonation. In this method, the prediction can be updated successively by a Bayes' theorem when additional data are available. The stochastic properties of model parameters are explicitly taken into account in the model. To simplify the procedure of the model, the probability of the durability limit is determined based on the samples obtained from the Latin Hypercube Sampling(LHS) technique. The new method may be very useful in design of important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures which have been monitored. For using the new method, in which the prior distribution is developed to represent the uncertainties of the carbonation velocity using data of concrete structures(3700 specimens) in Korea and the likelihood function is used to monitor in-situ data. The posterior distribution is obtained by combining a prior distribution and a likelihood function. Efficiency of the LHS technique for simulation was confirmed through a comparison between the LHS and the Monte Calro Simulation(MCS) technique.

Analysis of LC-MS/MS in Discrimination of the Origin of Commercial Red Ginseng Concentrates (시판 홍삼농축액의 원산지 판별을 위한 LC-MS/MS 분석)

  • Moon, Ji Young;Han, Hyun Jung;Dong, Hyemin;Park, Su Won;Kim, Hyun Jung;Bang, Kyong-Hwan;Noh, Bong Soo
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.46 no.5
    • /
    • pp.549-555
    • /
    • 2014
  • The geographical origin of commercial red ginseng concentrate was studied using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). The ginsenoside content of domestic and Chinese red ginseng concentrates was determined. Four types of suspected origin samples could be selected this technique. The LC-MS/MS data were statistically analyzed on the basis of canonical function analysis and principal component analysis. Domestic and Chinese samples could be discriminated via canonical function analysis using posterior probability. In addition, the mixture ratio (Korean or Chinese origin) of the unknown origin specimen could be predicted based on the relationship between the mixing concentration of red ginseng concentrates and principal component 1.

Feasibility Mapping of Groundwater Yield Characteristics using Weight of Evidence Technique based on GIS in the Pocheon Area (GIS 기반 Weight of Evidence 기법을 이용한 포천 지역의 지하수 산출특성 예측도 작성)

  • Heo Seon-Hee;Lee Kiwon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.21 no.6
    • /
    • pp.493-503
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this study, the weight of evidence(WofE) technique based on GIS was applied to spatially estimate the groundwater yield characteristics at the Pocheon area In Gyunggi-do. The groundwater preservation depends on many hydro-geologic factors that include hydrologic data, land-use data, topographic data, geological map and other natural materials collected at the site, even with man-made things. All these data can be digitally processed and managed by GIS database. In the applied technique of WofE, the prior probabilities were estimated as the factors that affect the yield on lineament, geology, drainage pattern or river system density, landuse and soil. We calculated the value of the weight values, W+ and W-, of each factor and estimated the contrast value of it. Results by the groundwater yield characteristic computation using this scheme were presented feasibility map in the form of the posterior probability to the consideration of in-situ samples. It is concluded that this technique is regarded as one of the effective techniques for the feasibility mapping related to the estimation of groundwater-bearing potential zones and its spatial pattern.

Structural modal identification and MCMC-based model updating by a Bayesian approach

  • Zhang, F.L.;Yang, Y.P.;Ye, X.W.;Yang, J.H.;Han, B.K.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.631-639
    • /
    • 2019
  • Finite element analysis is one of the important methods to study the structural performance. Due to the simplification, discretization and error of structural parameters, numerical model errors always exist. Besides, structural characteristics may also change because of material aging, structural damage, etc., making the initial finite element model cannot simulate the operational response of the structure accurately. Based on Bayesian methods, the initial model can be updated to obtain a more accurate numerical model. This paper presents the work on the field test, modal identification and model updating of a Chinese reinforced concrete pagoda. Based on the ambient vibration test, the acceleration response of the structure under operational environment was collected. The first six translational modes of the structure were identified by the enhanced frequency domain decomposition method. The initial finite element model of the pagoda was established, and the elastic modulus of columns, beams and slabs were selected as model parameters to be updated. Assuming the error between the measured mode and the calculated one follows a Gaussian distribution, the posterior probability density function (PDF) of the parameter to be updated is obtained and the uncertainty is quantitatively evaluated based on the Bayesian statistical theory and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, and then the optimal values of model parameters can be obtained. The results show that the difference between the calculated frequency of the finite element model and the measured one is reduced, and the modal correlation of the mode shape is improved. The updated numerical model can be used to evaluate the safety of the structure as a benchmark model for structural health monitoring (SHM).

A study on Gaussian mixture model deep neural network hybrid-based feature compensation for robust speech recognition in noisy environments (잡음 환경에 효과적인 음성 인식을 위한 Gaussian mixture model deep neural network 하이브리드 기반의 특징 보상)

  • Yoon, Ki-mu;Kim, Wooil
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.37 no.6
    • /
    • pp.506-511
    • /
    • 2018
  • This paper proposes an GMM(Gaussian Mixture Model)-DNN(Deep Neural Network) hybrid-based feature compensation method for effective speech recognition in noisy environments. In the proposed algorithm, the posterior probability for the conventional GMM-based feature compensation method is calculated using DNN. The experimental results using the Aurora 2.0 framework and database demonstrate that the proposed GMM-DNN hybrid-based feature compensation method shows more effective in Known and Unknown noisy environments compared to the GMM-based method. In particular, the experiments of the Unknown environments show 9.13 % of relative improvement in the average of WER (Word Error Rate) and considerable improvements in lower SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio) conditions such as 0 and 5 dB SNR.