• 제목/요약/키워드: population-based

검색결과 6,024건 처리시간 0.038초

환경 측면에서 한국의 적정인구 추계 (Optimum Population Projection in Korea: An Environmental Perspective)

  • 정대연
    • 한국인구학
    • /
    • 제29권1호
    • /
    • pp.269-292
    • /
    • 2006
  • 오늘날 환경문제는 범지구적이며 인류의 생존 자체를 위협할 만큼 심각하다. 산업화가 환경문제 발생의 근원적 원인이다. 그러나 자연관 자연에 대한 지식 증가, 기술개발, 경제성장과 불평등, 인구 등 산업화의 과정 또는 결과로 인해 초래되는 개별 요소들도 환경문제 발생의 중요한 원인들로 지적되고 있다. 특히 인구를 환경문제 발생의 한 원인으로 보는 관점은 적정인구의 초과를 주장하고 있다. 그 이유는 인구가 지탱되는 데 필요한 의식주의 자원은 전적으로 자연에 의존하고 있고, 풍요롭고 편리한 의식주를 위한 재화와 용역의 생산, 유통, 소비 과정에서 배출되는 폐기물도 모두 자연으로 되돌아가는데 오늘날 인구수는 자연이 감당할 수 있는 자원공급과 폐기물 흡수 처리용량을 초과하고 있기 때문이다. 그러나 몇 명이 적정인구인가에 관한 연구는 국내외적으로 아직 없다. 이런 맥락에서 본 연구는 환경 측면에서 한국이 수용가능한 적정인구를 두 차원에서 추계하였다. 하나는 환경상태 및 이와 관련된 변인들에 기초한 추계이고, 다른 하나는 국민들이 바람직하다고 생각하는 환경상태와 이와 관련된 변인들에 기초한 추계이다. 전자는 객관적 상태에 기초한 추계이고, 후자는 사회적 합의에 의한 추계라고 할 수 있다. 객관적 상태에 의한 최소 적정인구는 약 4,749만 명으로 추계되었고, 사회적 합의에 의한 적정인구는 4,850만 명으로 추계되었다. 그러나 정부환경예산을 2.00%로 증액시키면 수용가능한 적정인구는 5,046만 명으로 증가한다. 이처럼 적정인구는 변인들의 값에 따라 증감한다. 적정인구 결정에 가장 강한 영향을 주는 변인이 정부의 환경예산이고, 다음으로 청정에너지공급 등이다. 그러나 본 연구는 1993년부터 2002년까지 10년간 시계일 자료에 기초한 적정인구 추계이기 때문에 다른 연도의 시계열 자료에 기초하면 적정인구 추계모형이 달라지고, 그 결과 적정인구수도 다르게 추계될 수 있다.

2008 서울서베이 표본추출틀 구축 및 표본추출 사례 연구 (A Case Study on the Construction of the Sampling Frame and Sampling Design for 2008 Seoul Survey)

  • 강현철;박승열;김지연;김인수;이동수;황재일;박민규
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
    • /
    • 제10권3호
    • /
    • pp.157-172
    • /
    • 2009
  • 추출된 표본을 바탕으로 관심 모집단의 특성을 파악하는 조사연구에 있어서는 실제로 표본이 추출되는 표본추출틀의 모집단 대표성이 매우 중요하다. 표본추출틀이 관심 모집단을 적절한 수준으로 포함하지 못하는 경우 심각한 표본추출틀 편향이 발생하게 되고 이로 인하여 효율적인 추출법에 의하여 추출된 표본의 통계적 신뢰도 역시 손상된다. 그러나 대규모 조사를 위한 표본추출틀의 구축은 시간과 비용의 측면에서 비효율적이고 따라서 국가에서 제공하는 전수 조사 기반의 표본추출틀이 흔히 사용된다. 대표적으로 국내의 가구조사를 위한 표본추출틀로는 매 5년마다 시행되는 인구주택총조사 기반의 자료가 사용된다. 그러나 인구주택총조사 기반 표본추출틀의 경우 인구주택총조사 시점과 실제 조사 시점과의 시간적 차이로 인한 표본추출틀의 모집단 대표성에 문제가 발생하게 된다. 특별히 인구 유동성이 심한 서울과 같은 대도시의 경우 시간의 경과에 따른 모집단 분포의 변화가 심하게 나타나리라 예측할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 2008 서울서베이 가구 조사를 위해 새롭게 표본추출틀을 구축한 것과 새 표본추출틀을 기초로 하여 표본을 추출한 사례를 다룬다. 기존 인구주택총조사 기반 표본추출틀이 시간이 지남에 따라 대표성을 상실하는 문제점을 지적하고 주민등록 DB와 과세대장 DB를 기반으로 한 새로운 표본추출틀을 2008년 서울서베이 가구조사를 위한 표본추출틀로 제시하였다. 새롭게 작성된 표본추출틀로부터의 가구표본추출과정과 가중치 및 모평균 추정량 또한 제시되었다.

  • PDF

GIS 데이터에 기반한 건물인구 가중치 적용 ERAM 모델에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Application of Building Population Weighting to ERAM Model Based on GIS Data)

  • 문성훈;박근송;최재필
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
    • /
    • 제35권1호
    • /
    • pp.47-54
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study proposes a new ERAM model with building population weighting. Previous studies of applying weightings on ERAM model on the scale of urban space were focused on the relationship between the street and the human behavior. However, this study focuses on the influences that buildings give to human behavior and develops a building population weighted ERAM model. This research starts by analyzing ERAM model to its basic compositions, which are adjacency matrix and row vector. It applies building population weighting to the row vector, while previous studies put weightings in the adjacency matrix. Building population weighted ERAM model calculates the building population weighting based on GIS data, which provides objective and massive data of buildings in the urban scale. For the verification of the model, Insa-dong and Myeong-dong were analyzed with both ERAM model and building population weighted ERAM model. The results were analyzed through the correlation test with actual pedestrian population data of the two districts. As a result, the explanation ability of building population weighted ERAM model for the pedestrian population turned out to be higher than the ERAM model. Since building population weighted ERAM model has the structure that can be combined with other weighted ERAM models, it is expected to develop a multi-weighted ERAM model with better explanation ability as a further study.

노인과 청년간의 측두하악장애증 발현양상 비교 (Comparison of Prevention of TMD Between Elderly and Young Population)

  • Sun-Ha Kim;Jae-Kap Cho
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
    • /
    • 제14권1호
    • /
    • pp.25-34
    • /
    • 1989
  • The author performed on epidemiological study of the TMD in 189 elderly people and 195 young people with Helkimo index. The clinical dysfunction index was based on data from clinical examination and the anamestic dysfunction index was based on data from the interview with the investigated person. The results were as follows : 1. In the elderly population, 27.5% reported that they had subjectively symptom of TMD but 43.4% had sign and symptoms of TMD in clinical examination. 2. The mean values for maximal opening differed significantly between elderly and young populations, 47.22mm and 51.44mm (p<0.001) and less than a 40mm opening was observed 7.9% in elderly population, 0.5% in young population (p<0.001). 3. The mean values for lateral movement to the right and left did not differ with age, which were 8.56mm and 8.47mm in elderly population, 8.90mm and 8.81mm in young population, but the mean value for protrusion differed significantly between elderly and young populations, 6.89mm and 7.64mm (p<0.01). 4. A higher incidence of TMJ noise was recorded in the elderly and young populations than young population, especially crepitus, but a higher incidence of clicking was recorded in young population (p<0.05).

  • PDF

농촌지역 인구변화 특성 및 기초생활서비스 분포 특성을 고려한 이주 의사 결정 요인 분석 (Analyzing Migration Decision-Making Characteristics Based on Population Change Pattern and Distribution of Basic Living Services in Rural Areas)

  • 김수연;최진아
    • 농촌계획
    • /
    • 제28권4호
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2022
  • Rural decline due to the decrease of the local population is an inevitable phenomenon, and a vicious cycle has been formed between a lack of basic living services and a population decrease in rural areas. Therefore, the study aims to derive the migration decision-making characteristics based on basic living service infrastructure data in rural areas. To do this, the population change over the past 20 years was categorized into six types, and the relationship between the classified population change types and the number of basic living service infrastructures was analyzed using decision tree analysis. Of the total 3,501 regions, 801 regions were the continuous decline type, of which 740 were rural areas. On the other hand, among 569 regions that were the continuous increase type, 401 regions were urban areas, confirming the population imbalance between rural and urban areas. As a result of the decision tree analysis on the relationship between population change types and the distribution of basic living service infrastructure, the number of daycare centers was derived as an important variable to classify the continuous increase type. Hospitals, parks, and public transportation were also found to be major basic living services affecting the classification of population change types.

GIS와 3차원 소음지도를 이용한 소음 노출 인구 산정 방법에 관한 연구 - 공장 소음을 중심으로 - (Efficient Method to Estimate the Number of Exposed People to Industrial Noise Using the GIS and Three Dimensional Noise Mapping - Focusing on the Industrial Noise -)

  • 고준희;전형준;장서일
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제17권6호
    • /
    • pp.491-497
    • /
    • 2007
  • Reasonably accurate estimation of the exposed population to the distinct levels of noise is essential to the efficient management of urban environmental noise. This study proposes a method of calculating the number of exposed people to industrial noise by using GIS tool and noise mapping. The exposed population of noise based on estimation of the number of people that lived in each building in urban area is compared with the one based on density of population. This study suggests the five step method that consists of gathering the fundamental data, extracting the property from the digital map, noise mapping based on the three dimensional topography, estimating population that lives in each building, merging the various results with GIS tool, and estimating exposed population to industrial noise through analyzing the noise map with GIS tools.

Effective Population Size of Korean Populations

  • Park, Leeyoung
    • Genomics & Informatics
    • /
    • 제12권4호
    • /
    • pp.208-215
    • /
    • 2014
  • Recently, new methods have been developed for estimating the current and recent changes in effective population sizes. Based on the methods, the effective population sizes of Korean populations were estimated using data from the Korean Association Resource (KARE) project. The overall changes in the population sizes of the total populations were similar to CHB (Han Chinese in Beijing, China) and JPT (Japanese in Tokyo, Japan) of the HapMap project. There were no differences in past changes in population sizes with a comparison between an urban area and a rural area. Age-dependent current and recent effective population sizes represent the modern history of Korean populations, including the effects of World War II, the Korean War, and urbanization. The oldest age group showed that the population growth of Koreans had already been substantial at least since the end of the 19th century.

농촌지역 인구이동 유형과 인구 불균형성 간의 연관성 분석 - 충북 읍면지역 중심으로 - (Analysis of The Relationship Between Pattern of Migration and Inequality of Population in Rural Areas - Based on the Eups and Myeons in Chungbuk -)

  • 취뤼;이상현;리재웅;배승종;이성윤
    • 농촌계획
    • /
    • 제30권1호
    • /
    • pp.33-42
    • /
    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the possible relationship between population migration and population inequality in rural areas. This study conducted a case study on the eup·myeon(rural)areas in Chungcheongbuk-do. First, the population migration was divided into four patterns, and the characteristics of population migration in rural areas were analyzed based on the net migration. The analysis results showed that there was serious migration between rural areas, and the population in rural areas mainly moved out to urban areas within the province, but the urban population outside the province moved out to rural areas. The main areas of population inflows included areas such as Deoksan-eup, Jincheon-gun, Osong-eup and Ochang-eup, Cheongju-si. Second, the Theil index was used to quantitatively analyze the level of population inequality between rural areas. The Theil index of the population aged 0~14 increased from 0.38 to 0.53, that of population aged 15-64 increased from 0.22 to 0.30, and that of population aged over 65 increased from 0.07 to 0.09, indicating an increase in population inequality. Finally, due to the continued large-scale inflows of population into Osong-eup and Ochang-eup, the Theil index of total population in Cheongju-si increased from 0.13 in 2009 to 0.23 in 2020, which meant that the level of population inequality had increased. Similarly, due to the continued large population inflows into Deoksan-eup, the Theil index of total population in Jincheon-gun increased from 0.14 in 2009 to 0.18 in 2020, which meant that the level of population inequality had increased. In conclusion, large-scale population inflows into specific areas will lead to an increase in the level of population inequality.

제3차 저출산·고령사회 기본계획 수립 배경과 구강보건의 의의 (Background and Oral Health Implication of the 3rd Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing)

  • 한동헌
    • 대한치과의사협회지
    • /
    • 제54권6호
    • /
    • pp.468-474
    • /
    • 2016
  • Korean government enacted the 1st Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing in 2005 due to the long-lasting ultra-low birth rate. Based on the Act, Korean government set up a step-by-step strategic goal and establish a basic plan, every five years, to achieve the sustainable development of society corresponding to low fertility and aging society. Over the past decade, the 1st Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing (2006-2010) and the 2nd Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing (2011-2015) was executed. This year, based on the achievements and limitations of the 1st and 2nd Basic Plan, the 3rd Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing begins. In this manuscript, I discuss the background of the 3rd Basic Plan and its significance in oral health area.

  • PDF

베타-이항분포의 공액성을 근거로 한 유한 모집단의 신뢰성 입증 시험 (Reliability Demonstration Test for a Finite Population Based on the Conjugacy of the Beta-Binomial Distribution)

  • 전종선;안선응
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제35권2호
    • /
    • pp.98-105
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper describes the Bayesian approach for reliability demonstration test based on the samples from a finite population. The Bayesian approach involves the technical method about how to combine the prior distribution and the likelihood function to produce the posterior distribution. In this paper, the hypergeometric distribution is adopted as a likelihood function for a finite population. The conjugacy of the beta-binomial distribution and the hypergeometric distribution is shown and is used to make a decision about whether to accept or reject the finite population judging from a viewpoint of faulty goods. A numerical example is also given.