• Title/Summary/Keyword: population growth

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Evaluation of Urban Growth Management Policy using Urban Dynamics Model (도시동태모형을 이용한 도시성장관리정책의 평가)

  • 문태훈
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.5-27
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    • 2002
  • This paper evaluate and compare effectiveness of urban growth management measures in Korea using system dynamics model. Simple urban dynamics model was used to compare urban growth management measures. Since the late 1960s, Korean government has been implementing various urban growth management measures without much success. In the 1960s, factories, universities, and public agencies were strongly encouraged to move out to local areas. During the 1970s, regulations on greenbelt area was adopted to prevent urban sprawl. Besides, regulations to prevent location of population inducing facilities, and promoting dislocation of those facilities were implemented simultaneously. During the 1990, regulations on total number of factories in the metropolitan area, development fees were adopted. These various method of urban management were compared. Simulation results shows that promoting decentralization of population, preventing population immigration, expanding greenbelt area are effectiveness ones compared to controlling total number of population inducing facilities, and preventing construction of new industries. Some implications of the findings were discussed.

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FRACTIONAL POLYNOMIAL METHOD FOR SOLVING FRACTIONAL ORDER POPULATION GROWTH MODEL

  • Krishnarajulu, Krishnaveni;Krithivasan, Kannan;Sevugan, Raja Balachandar
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.869-878
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents an ecient fractional shifted Legendre polynomial method to solve the fractional Volterra's model for population growth model. The fractional derivatives are described based on the Caputo sense by using Riemann-Liouville fractional integral operator. The theoretical analysis, such as convergence analysis and error bound for the proposed technique has been demonstrated. In applications, the reliability of the technique is demonstrated by the error function based on the accuracy of the approximate solution. The numerical applications have provided the eciency of the method with dierent coecients of the population growth model. Finally, the obtained results reveal that the proposed technique is very convenient and quite accurate to such considered problems.

Population Forecasting System Based on Growth Curve Models (성장곡선모형에 의한 인구예측 시스템)

  • 최종후;최봉호;양우성;김유진
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.197-215
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    • 2000
  • 이 논문에서는 선형·비선형 성장곡선모형의 종류와 특성을 살펴보고, 이들을 비교·검토하고, 모형선호기준 통계량에 입각하여 추정결과를 비교한다. 또한 최종사용자 환경을 위한 SAS/AF로 구현한 성장곡선모형에 의한 인구예측시스템을 소개한다.

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Impacts of Population Aging on Real Interest Rates (인구 고령화가 실질 금리에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Myunghyun;Kwon, Ohik
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.133-166
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    • 2020
  • Since the mid-1990s, Korea has been aging rapidly. At the same time, real interest rates have declined sharply. This paper studies whether population aging has contributed to the real interest rate decrease in Korea. We first present empirical evidence that increases in life expectancy and the old-age-dependency ratio, and a fall in population growth, i.e., the population aging, decrease real interest rates. Then we calibrate a life-cycle model to capture the features of the old-age-dependency ratio and population growth in Korea, and show that population aging accounts for about one third of the fall in real interest rates between 1995 and 2018. Furthermore, according to simulation results, increased life expectancy is more important than decreased population growth in affecting the real interest rate decrease during the period.

A Theoretical Study of the Process and Determinants of Population Policy in a Developing Country (개발도상국 인구정책의 과정과 요인에 대한 이론적 논의)

  • 구자용
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.68-78
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    • 1985
  • It is well recognized that, in most developing countries, rapid population growth has been a serious problem. And there is a growing tendency to regard the problem as a political issue in these coun-tries. So far, many developing countries have formulated and implemented population policies aiming at an reduction of such population growth. This study attempts, in policy perspective, to examine theoretically the process and determinants of population policy making and implementation in those developing countries. In doing this, it gives emphasis on explaining population policy determinants and therefore, deals with (1) decision makers' perceptions and attitudes, (2) governmental structure and capability, (3) mass fertiliry behavior, and (4) foreign aid agencies' role.

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Growth and Maturation of Natural Population of Meristotheca papulosa in Jeju Island (제주도 유용 해조류 갈래곰보(Meristotheca papulosa) 야외개체군의 생장과 성숙)

  • Kim, Bo Yeon;Choi, Han Gil;Ko, Jun-Cheol
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2019
  • The growth and maturation pattern of a commercial and endemic red algae Meristotheca papulosa were investigated in Jeju Island. Ecological researches were performed in a natural population of 10 m water depth in Sinheung from march 2014 to November 2015. Maximal blade length and weight of M. papulosa were 8.7 cm and 5.49 g in July 2014 and 10.7 cm and 10.17 g in September 2015, respectively. Growth in blade area of the species reached a maximum of $43.84cm^2$ and $67.41cm^2$ in July 2014 and 2015, respectively. Thalli in the field population were rarely observed from October to December but new recruits were found from January, following year. Carposporophytes were observed from June to September when bottom seawater temperatures were around $20^{\circ}C$. At the study site, seawater temperature was in the range of $14.9-25.7^{\circ}C$. Growth parameters of M. papulosa and relative abundance of carposporophytes showed significant correlation with environmental factors (temperature, salinity, DIN). In this result, we clarified the growth and maturation period of M. palpulosa, and provided effective data on the protection and management of natural populations and basic data for mass culture of the alga.

Studies on the Dry Matter Production and Structure of Rice Plants I. Growth Rate and Productive Structure of Rice Population (수도(水稻)의 물질생산(物質生産)과 그 구조(構造)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) I. 수도개체군(水稻個體群)의 생장속도(生長速度)와 생산구조(生産構造))

  • Ahn, Su Bong
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 1981
  • In order to analyze growth and yield of rice population at the stand point of productive ecology, productive structure and growth rate of rice plants and effects of their related factors were studied. The results obtained were summarized as follows: 1. High crop growth rate was maintained throughout growing season when rice plants grew in population compared to a single rice plant. Since crop growth rate in rice stands were also higher at ripening stage, higher yields were obtained. 2. Higher crop growth rate of rice plants in population was maintained by the increase of leaf area rather than by net assimilation rate. 3. As the overgrowth of upper leaves of plant population in some rice varieties transmission of light into lower leaves was inhibited and thus most of them were eventually died before flowering. 4. In the case of rice population, the ratio of productive organ to non-productive organ, light transmission rate and nitrogen contents of active leaf blade were lower than individual rice plants under isolated condition.

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Aquatic Plants for Wastewater Treatment (수생식물을 이용한 수질정화에 관한 연구)

  • 나규환;권성환;이장훈
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 1996
  • Water parsley(Oenanthe javanica(Blume) DC) was raised with varying population density(S) in the laboratory aquarium unit to determine the growth equation. The population density was measure after 7 days. The resultant growth curve was well fit to the equation 1/S = A+B (1/S0) with a high correlation coefficient ($R^2$ = 0.999). The maximum specific absorption rate was $9.011 \times 10^{-5}$ kg $NO_x-N/kg$ water parsley$\cdot$day and $1.31 \times 10^{-5}$ kg $PO_4-P/kg$ water parsley$\cdot$day when the average population density was $2.62 kg/m^2$. The relationship between population density and nutrient absorption rate, the absorption rate of $NO_x-N$ was 5.04~5.24 mg/l$\cdot$day when the population density was $7.51~10.0 $mg/m^2\cdot day$ and the absorption rate of $PO_4-P$ was 0.56~0.78 mg/l$\cdot$day when the population density was 5.02~10.0 $kg/m^2\cdot day$. Taking into account the nutrient absorption rate and growth rate, the population density between $7.0 kg/m^2\cdot day$ and $8.0 kg/m^2 \cdot day$ was selected. The removal rate of nutrient was investigated after 7 days culture. Removal rate of $NO_x-N$ was 95.6~99.95% with initial concentration of 35 mg $NO_x-N/l$, and the removal rate of $PO_4-P$ was also high, indicating 80.24~98.9% with initial concentration of 5.95 mg $PO_x-P/l$.

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Population Density Changes of Bacteria and Soybean Sprout Rotting Bacteria on Soybean Leaves (콩 잎에 서식하는 세균 및 콩나물 부패균의 밀도 변화)

  • 최재을;이은정;신철우
    • Korean Journal of Plant Resources
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.152-160
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    • 1999
  • Bacterial population density on soybean leaves was $10^2~10^5CFU/cm^2$. Bacterial population density was increased by progress of plant growth stage. Population density of soybean sprout rotting bacteria on soybean leaves was $0~10^3CFU/cm^2$. Population density of soybean sprouts rotting bacteria was related to cultivating area, but not related to plant growth stage. Cultivar and population density of soybean sprout rotting bacteria were less corelated, and varied by plant growth stages and plant parts. Erwina cypripedii, E. carotovora subsp. carotovora, Xanthomonas campestris pv. glycines, Staphylococcus sp., and Micrococcus sp. were identified as pathogenic bacteria causing soybean sprout rot. In generally population density of E. cypripedii, E. carotovora subsp. carotovora, Micrococcus sp., and X. campestris pv. glycines were high.

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Impact of Population Growth on Labor Force and Employment in Korea; Transition and Prospect (장기인구성장과 노동력 수급 전망)

  • 박래영
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.47-65
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    • 1985
  • Three stages of population growth during last forty years affected differently to the labor force and employment in Korea. The first impact of rapid population growth on the labor force occured after the end of World War II. Sudden growth of population due to repartriation and refugees directly increased the labor force. Deteriorating labor market conditions were caused not only by the explosive labor supply but also by the shortage of employment opportunities due to a lack of productive facilities. This severe excess supply of labor continued until the early 196Os. Population growth in the second stage which caused by high fertility during the post Korean War baby boom period induced an eventual increase in the labor supply with time lag of more than fifteen years. Younger persons born during baby boom period were flooded the labor market. Fortunately, job opportunities were expanded more rapidly than the labor force supply because high rates of economic growth and speedy industrialization were continued until the later half of 1970s. Unemployment, therefore, decreased dramatically during this period. The effect of third stage which is characterized as mitigated population growth due to birth control has appeared in the labor market since late 1970s. The growth rate of labor force has been going down and the proportion of younger workers was also been decreasing. From the early 1980s, furthermore, partial disharmony between supply of and demand for the younger workers is closing up. Less educated younger workers who works at low wage are lacking while more educated youngers who want to work at high wage are being excess, because a lot of younger prefer higher education rather than productive job. It is expected that the structural inharmony will be diversified in the future in Korea. The labor force will be changed to middleaged, highly educated and womenized till year 2000, and, after then, to old-aged. On the demand side, industries and jobs will transferred to be labor-saving and soft. These structural changes of labor supply and demand will not matching in time. Aggregate supply of labor force will be steadily increasing more rapidly than aggregate demand for labor until year 2000, and this trend will continue to the first one or two decades of the 2lth century because the persons born dufing the baby boom pariod are being eligible couples in recent. Therefore, conclusion is that appropriate manpower development policy as well as sustained birth control policy is necessary for harmonizing the structural unbalance and the disequilibrium between aggregate labor supply and demand in the future.

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