• 제목/요약/키워드: population change

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인구균형식을 이용한 어가인구 전망 연구 (A Study on the Prospect of Fishery Household Population with the Population Balancing Equation)

  • 정명생
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.155-166
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    • 2005
  • Since 1980's, fishery household population have been continuously in a down slope with a 5$\%$ annual decreasing rate in Korea. With a particular situation that the scale of over 60s population has been soaring compared with that of under 16 aged population plunging, some difficulties have been raised with the respect of labor supply into fishery communities. This study is aimed at analyzing the tendency of fisheries population with the change of economic development rates and prospect a future fisheries population with the consideration of present decreasing rate. Model results indicate that the tendency of future fishery household population would be decreased by 4.96$\%$ annually through a decade from 2000. Interestingly, it is predicted that the decreasing rate of male fishery household population would be faster than that of female. Consequently, women would hold a greater part in Fishery household population in 2010. In addition, the fishery household population of 40s and 50s would increase from 36$\%$ to 49$\%$, that of over 60s from 21$\%$ to 37$\%$. In conclusion, as a population over 40's encompass almost 90$\%$ in the total population, the fishing communities have a difficulty in shortage of the young workforce.

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기후변화에 따른 농업생태계 내 해충 발생 예측을 위한 연구 현황 및 향후 과제 (Research Status and Future Subjects to Predict Pest Occurrences in Agricultural Ecosystems Under Climate Change)

  • 정종국;이효석;이준호
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.368-383
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    • 2014
  • 기후변화는 곤충의 밀도와 분포, 몸의 형태와 개체의 크기 등 생물학적인 형질 변화, 생식 및 유전적 특성, 그리고 멸종 등에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상되고 있다. 기후변화의 영향을 예측하여 피해를 줄이기 위해서는 분산되어 있는 곤충 종별 기본적인 생물학적/생태학적 정보들을 종합하여 검토할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 기후 및 환경의 변화에 대한 곤충, 특히 해충의 발생 변화 예측에 필요한 생물학적 정보를 정리하여 이를 활용한 미래 피해 예측을 위한 기초 자료를 제공하고자 수행하였다. 또한 국내외 문헌을 비교 분석하여 국내에서 기후변화 연구를 수행하는데 있어 제한 요인들을 확인하고 향후 필요한 연구소요를 제시하고자 하였다. 국내의 연구들은 단기 모니터링 자료를 이용하여 환경 요인과의 관계를 분석하는 수준에 그치고 있는 반면, 국외 연구들은 장기 모니터링 자료를 이용한 분포 변화 분석이나 기 개발된 생물 종의 파라미터를 이용한 발생 및 분포 변화 예측 그리고 곤충 군집의 구성 변화를 모니터링하는 등 다양한 내용을 주제로 기후변화의 영향을 연구하고 있었다. 결론적으로 기후변화에 대응하기 위해서는 체계적인 모니터링 기술 개발을 통해 곤충의 계절발생, 분포, 월동 특성 및 유전적 구조 변화에 대한 연구가 필수적이며, 주요 해충 및 잠재적인 해충에 대한 기후변화의 영향을 예측하기 위해 곤충 개체군 모델의 개발 역시 중요한 부분이 될 것이다.

한국의 도시인구 집중도에 관한 연구 -센서스 자과를 중심으로- (A Study on the Urban Population Concentration in Korea -Based on the data of Population Census-)

  • 박주문;이시백
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.69-88
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    • 1986
  • The purpose of the present study is to find out and analyze the degree of population concentration of 10 selected cities. The data used for the present study were derived from the Government publications including the population and Housing Census Reports from 1966 through 1980 and the Korea Urbanic Yearbooks from 1969 through 1981. The major findings of the study were summarized as follows: The data revealed that changes of population size were more rapidly proceeded in Seoul than any other city and regarding to population composition, these selected cities had more male population than female population. The proportion of the productive age group of these selected cities were found to be higher than that of whole country each year, especially the proportion 20∼24 aged group was higher in 1980 than any other year. The number of net migrants in these cities during last 20 years, 1960∼80 was 910, 656 as Seoul obtained the largest net migrants and among the selected cities, Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Daejeon and Jeonju had a big change in volume of net migration population, especially in 30∼39 aged group in 1980. According to Gini Concentration Ratio and Index of Concentration, the population concentration was the highest in 1980 and the population concentration was intensively accelerated during 1966∼ 1970.

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한국인의 초혼 연령 Pattern의 변동에 관한 인구학적 연구 (A Demographic Study of Changes in Nuptiality patterns in Korea)

  • 최순
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.3-42
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    • 1983
  • The purposes of this paper is to introduce a technique for construction of nuptiality tables using proportion single of synthetic cohorts between times at two consecutive censuses, and to observe patterns of change in marriage habit of Korean through the nuptiality tables for single population from 1925 to 1980. In this paper abridged gross and net nuptiality tables for single population of Korea have been constructed for the four quinquinial period: 1925-1930, 1955-1960, 1970-1975, and 1975-1980. Significant time trend has been observed in the nuptiality rates among the single population. The major findings observed in each table are as follows; (1)During 1925-1930, the rates are initially small, but increase rapidly until they reach a maximum at ages 25-29 for bachelors and 20-24 for spinsters, following which they are still in high level. (2)During 1955-1960, the age pattern of nuptiality begins to change; for female population, the rates increase rapidly in the same pattern as in l925-l930 untill they reach the highest level at ages 25-29, after which they gradually decline. During the period, however, there were an unprecedented high level of marriage rates for male population at a relatively later ages. (3)During 1970-1975, Korea had experienced a transition in marriage habits; at this times, nuptiality rates for both sexes showed the same pyramid shaped patterns as in western countries as age increases. The mean ages at marriage for both sexes also reached the highest level of 27.5 years for males and 24.1 years for females. (4)During 1975-1980, the age patterns of nuptiality showed almost the same patterns as in 1970-1975. In the later age group, however, age-specific marriage rates for both sexes greatly declined compared to the level of 1970-1975, while the rate in age group of 20-24 for male population greatly increased.

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여성인구변동과 노동시장 (The Effects of Demographic Factors on the Change of Female Labor Market)

  • 장지연
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.5-36
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    • 1998
  • 본 논문은 지난 30여년간 여성노동시장의 변화의 추이를 출산력 감소 등 인구학적 요인의 변화의 영향을 중심으로 살펴 보았다. 여성의 경제활동 참가율에 영향을 미칠 것으로 여겨지는 인구학적 요인들로는 교육, 혼인상태, 출산 등이 중요하다. 여성의 학력 수준이 평균적으로 높아지고, 결혼을 늦게 하는 추세이며, 자녀 수는 줄어드는 추세이다. 이러한 경향이 인구의 구성에 미치는 영향은 경제활동가능인구 중 고학력 여성의 비율이 증가하고 어린 자녀를 둔 여성의 비율은 줄었으며, 기혼 여성의 비율은 큰 변화가 없는 상황이다. 이러한 인구 구성의 변화가 여성의 경제활동참가율을 증가 시킨 것은 사실이다. 이에 더하여, 같은 인구학적 특성을 갖는 여성 집단의 노동력공급행태도 변화하였다. 고학력으로 분류할 수 있는 고졸, 대졸 여성의 경제활동참여율이 초졸, 중졸 여성의 참여율보다 빠르게 증가하였고, 혼인하여 배우자가 있는 여성의 경제활동참가율이 미혼여성의 그것보다 빨랐다. 출산이 경제활동참여를 억제하는 정도도 줄어든 것 같다. 즉, 지난 30년간 여성인구구성의 변화나 행위양식의 변화는 여성의 경제활동의 증가를 지원하는 방향으로 변하였다. 그러나 경기가 하강국면에 접어들 때, 여성은 더 먼저 노동시장 밖으로 밀려나는 경향이 있으며, 이 때 저연령, 저학력 등 인적자본이 열세인 여성, 그리고 여성노동자의 비율이 높은 산업, 직업에 속해 있는 여성이 더욱 취약한 것으로 보인다.

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평택항 개항에 따른 배후 지역의 변화에 대한 연구 (A Study on the change of a hinterland according to the opening of a Pyeongtaek port)

  • 신영재
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.416-435
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    • 2013
  • 1986년에 개항된 평택항은 국제무역항으로서의 역할을 다하고 있다. 평택항의 배후 지역인 평택시는 도시와 농촌이 공존하는 지역이다. 본 연구의 목적은 평택항 개항에 따른 평택시의 지역의 변화를 살펴보는 것이다. 평택항과 지역 간 평균 거리(23.7km) 기준으로 인구와 지가의 변화를, 입지 계수를 통해 산업별 지역별 산업의 변화를 살펴보았다. 인구와 산업별 종사자수는 평택항에 가까울수록 증가율이 높았으며, 지가 상승률의 차이는 크지 않았다. 입지 계수로 보면, 제조업은 촌락 지역인 읍 면 지역에서, 3차 산업은 도시 지역인 동 지역에서 특화가 이루어졌다.

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우리나라 사망수준의 추이에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Changing Patterns of Mortality in Korea)

  • 윤영희
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 1986
  • This study was carried out to determine the mortality level and it's related demographic factors in Korea since 1942. In order to clarify the changes in structure of mortality and the causes of death, the indices such as Crude Death Rate(CDR) or Life Expectancy at Birth were used. The author examined the mortality levels and major causes of death and performed the relevant demographic analysis. The followings are the summary of this study: 1. The CDR declined rapidly till 1960's. Such improvement slowed down from 1960's to mid 1970's and stabilized afterwards. It was due to the change of age composition, namely, the increase of aging population. 2. The Life Expectancy at Birth increased rapidly till mid 1960's. But elongation of the Life Expectancy slowed down after then. Especially in female, it slowed down more. 3. Changing patterns of major causes of death summarize that, till 1960's infectious diseases were major causes of death, but recently non-infectious diseases like chronic degenerative diseases became more prevalent. 4. The elongation of Life Expectancy at Birth till mid 1960's was mainly resulted by $_4{q}_1$. But the major contributing factor of the improvement in Life Expectancy at Birth in female is he reduction of $_$\infty${q}_{50}$ recently. In male, the improvement in Life Expectancy at Birth is due to the reduction of $_1{q}_0$. recently. 5. The age-sex-specific mortality rates revealed that $_n{q}_x$ declined in common throughout the period, even though there exists some variability of their ranges as age changes. Consequently, this study seems to suggest that the demographic transition in Korea occurred between late 1960's and early 1970's. In other words, the rapid change before late 1960's was eased in early 1970's. The slow change in this period caused a stabilizing pattern. Therefore, the population change is expected to be stabilized continuously.

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지방소멸지수를 이용한 행정리 마을 소멸위험 변화 분석 - 충청남도를 대상으로 - (Analysis of changes in the risk of extinction in Haengjeong-ri unit villages using the local extinction index - A case study on Chungcheongnam-do -)

  • 윤정미;조영재
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.103-116
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze and diagnose the actual state of extinction risk in rural villages by analyzing time series population characteristics and extinction risk index of rural villages(Haengjeong-ri). As a research method, a time series analysis was performed on the 'population over 65' and the 'female population aged 20 to 39' related to the local extinction index. In addition, the disappearance of Haengjeong-ri village was analyzed using the existing local extinction index. For the study, Haengjeong-ri village-level GIS spatial data was constructed, and population attribute data in 2010, 2015, and 2020 were constructed. In order to derive implications, the change of the 'high risk of extinction 'village in the 2020 local extinction index, the distribution of the population of 'high risk of extinction' villages by three years, the population analysis of 'high risk of extinction' villages continuously from 2010 to 2020, and 'high risk of extinction' An analysis of the increase and decrease of the population of the village and the change of the local extinction index of Haengjeong-ri, where the city, county, and towns are located were analyzed. As a result of the analysis of this study, it was found that the number of villages with an aging of more than 50% increased by 2 to 3 times over 10 years. As a result of the analysis of the local extinction index, in 2010, the southwestern and central regions of South Chungcheongnam-do were high-risk extinction areas, but in 2020, all cities except Cheonan and Asan were converted to high risk extinction areas. Research has shown that Chungnam is facing a serious aging and village extinction crisis, and since the disappearance of villages gradually spreads, an initial response policy is needed. This result will be the same not only in Chungcheongnam-do but also in other rural villages. Therefore, in the case of rural villages, it is necessary to analyze and diagnose the Haengjeong-ri village unit, not the Eup-Myeon unit, and a response policy through diagnosis must be prepared urgently.

p관리도의 불량률의 변화 탐지 (Detection of Changes of the Population Fraction Nonconforming in the p Control Chart)

  • 장경;양문희
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 1997
  • In this paper we calculate the subgroup size necessary for detecting the change of percent defective with several detection probabilities for orginal population fraction nonconforming p, changed population fraction nonconforming $p^*$, and the ratio k=$p^*$/p in the usage of p control charts. From our calculation we can know the error level of normal a, pp.oximation in detection probability calculation and recommend the subgroup size with lower error levels of normal a, pp.oximation, and then we show the reasonable subgroup size necessary for p, $p^*$, k, and the detection probability of the change of fraction nonconforming in a process. The information that we here show in tables will be useful when p control chart users decide the subgroup size in the p control chart users decide the subgroup size in the p control chart.

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Population Genetic Structure and Evidence of Demographic Expansion of the Ayu (Plecoglossus altivelis) in East Asia

  • Kwan, Ye-Seul;Song, Hye-Kyung;Lee, Hyun-Jung;Lee, Wan-Ok;Won, Yong-Jin
    • Animal Systematics, Evolution and Diversity
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.279-290
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    • 2012
  • Plecoglossus altivelis (ayu) is an amphidromous fish widely distributed in Northeastern Asia from the East China Sea to the northern Japanese coastal waters, encompassing the Korean Peninsula within its range. The shore lines of northeastern region in Asia have severely fluctuated following glaciations in the Quaternary. In the present study, we investigate the population genetic structure and historical demographic change of P. altivelis at a population level in East Asia. Analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA) based on 244 mitochondrial control region DNA sequences clearly showed that as the sampling scope extended to a larger geographic area, genetic differentiation began to become significant, particularly among Northeastern populations. A series of hierarchical AMOVA could detect the genetic relationship of three closely located islands between Korea and Japan that might have been tightly connected by the regional Tsushima current. Neutrality and mismatch distribution analyses revealed a strong signature of a recent population expansion of P. altivelis in East Asia, estimated at 126 to 391 thousand years ago during the late Pleistocene. Therefore it suggests that the present population of P. altivelis traces back to its approximate demographic change long before the last glacial maximum. This contrasts our a priori expectation that the most recent glacial event might have the most crucial effect on the present day demography of marine organisms through bottleneck and subsequent increase of effective population size in this region.