• Title/Summary/Keyword: population at risk

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A Note on Risk Factors for Calf Mortality in Large-Scale Dairy Farms in the Tropics : A Case Study on Rift Valley Area of Kenya

  • Bebe, B.O.;Abdulrazak, S.A.;Ogore, P.O.;Ondiek, J.O.;Fujihara, T.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.855-857
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    • 2001
  • The aim of this study was to assess the associations of some potential risk factors and occurrence of calf mortality in large-scale dairy farms. Njoro area of the Rift valley, Kenya was selected due to its potential of large-scale dairy farms, since the time of the Europeans settlers. The study was retrospective and focused on the calves dying from January 1996 through October 1998. Sample of studied population consisted of 105 calves extracted from the farm records. Data was collected using a questionnaire and were grouped into farm-level and animal-level factors. Calf mortality was 15.6% and important risk factors for calf mortality were sex of calf, season of birth, pneumonia disease, age of dam when calf was born and house type for calves. Female calve born during colder wet seasons and born to dams of 2-4.5 years of age were equally at higher risk. Calves raised in movable pens compared to those raised in permanent pens were at higher risk of mortality from pneumonia. Animal level factors were major causes of calf mortality in commercial farms used in this study and therefore details study is needed in these factors in controlling the calf mortality rates.

Risk Assessment for Abolition of Gross Containment Leak Monitoring System Test in CANDU Design Plant (중수로 원자로건물 총누설감시계통 시험 중지에 따른 리스크 영향 평가)

  • Bae, Yeon-Kyoung;Na, Jang-Hwan;Bahng, Ki-In
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2015
  • Wolsong Unit 2,3&4 has been performing a containment integrity test during power operation. This test could impact to the safe operation during test. If an accident occurs during pressure dropping phase, reactor trip can be delayed because of the increased pressure difference which causes a time delay to reach the trip set-point. On the contrary, if an accident occurs during pressure increasing phase, reactor trip could be accelerated because the pressure difference to the trip set-point decrease. Point Lepreau nuclear power plant, which installed GCLMS (Gross Containment Leakage Monitoring System) in 1990, has discontinued the test since 1992 due to these adverse effects. Therefore, we evaluated the risk to obviate the GCLMS test based on PWR's ILRT (Integrated Leak Rate Test) extension methodologies. The results demonstrate that risk increase rate is not high in case of performing only ILRT test at every 5 years instead of doing GCLMS test at every 1.5 years. In addition, the result shows that GCLMS test can be removed on a risk-informed perspective since risk increasement is in acceptable area of regulatory acceptance criteria.

New Record of Sargassum filicinum Harvey (Fucales, Phaeophyceae) in the Pacific Coast of Mexico

  • Aguilar-Rosas, Luis E.;Aguilar-Rosas, Raul;Kawai, Hiroshi;Uwai, Shinya;Valenzuela-Espinoza, Enrique
    • ALGAE
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.17-21
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    • 2007
  • Sargassum filicinum Harvey, a brown alga (Phaeophyceae) native to Northeastern Asia, has been recently reported from the coast of Southern California (USA). Here we report the occurrence and range extension of this introduced species, as we found the alga at La Jolla and Rancho Packard in Todos Santos Bay, Baja California, Mexico. The first collections of S. filicinum correspond to several immature plants, found on September 8, 2005, drifting in the intertidal zone at La Jolla. Later on November 9, 2006, we found a well-established population in Rancho Packard in the middle intertidal zone to 2 m depth. Since S. filicinum is an annual monoecious species with air bladders, the risk there is a high risk of spreading rapidly along the Pacific, as in the case for S. muticum. The population in Rancho Packard extends 500 m along the coast, consisting mainly of young plants with an average length of 30 cm and a density of 5 thallus/m2. This is the first record of this invasive species for the Mexican Pacific coast, and it represents the southern limit along the Pacific coast of North America. This finding suggests that this invasive species has successfully colonized the Pacific coast of North America and its distributional range is still expanding.

An Off-Site Consequence Modeling for Accident Using Monte Carlo Method (몬테칼로 방법을 사용할 사고후 영향 평가모델)

  • Chang Sun Kang;Sae Yul Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.136-140
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    • 1984
  • A new medal is presented in order to evaluate the risk from a nuclear facility following accidents directly combining the on-site meteorological data using the Monte Carlo Method. To estimate the radiological detriment to the surrounding population-at-large (collective dose equivalent), in this study the probability distribution of each meteorological element based upon on-site data is analyzed to generate atmospheric dispersion conditions. The random sampling is used to select the dispersion conditions at any given time of effluent releases. In this study it is considered that the meteorological conditions such as wind direction, speed and stability are mutually independent and each condition satisfies the Markov condition. As a sample study, the risk of KNU-1 following the large LOCA was calculated, The calculated collective dose equivalent in the 50 mile region population from the large LOCA with 50 percent confidence level is 2.0$\times$10$^2$ man-sievert.

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Determining Nursing Care Priorities among Women in the High Risk of Coronary Heart Disease (일 건강검진센터에 내원한 여성을 대상으로 심혈관질환 위험요인을 활용한 고위험군 간호의 우선순위 설정)

  • Youm, Soon Gyo;Han, Yong Hee
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: This study was designed as a epidemiologic study for determining priorities of nursing care in women with high risk groups of coronary heart disease(CHD) using risk factors. Method: Subjects were 1015 women who received health screenings at a hospital in Kyunggi, Korea, over one year period from January to December 2006. Results: The 37.9% of women had multiple risk factors for developing coronary heart disease. The most significant risk factors on CHD were the age older than 70 years (OR=11.45), the age between 60-69 (OR=4.65), the age between 50-59 (OR=3.20), having $HbA_1C$ over 7% (OR=2.38), high risk groups of L/H ratio (OR=1.98), and the waist to stature ratio (WSR) over 0.5 (OR=1.33). Conclusion: The findings suggest that women older than 50 years should be considered as an overt target population for CHD prevention, even in the absence of other risk factors. Also, $HbA_1C$ and WSR can be efficient indicators for CHD screening.

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Compliance with Screening Recommendations According to Breast Cancer Risk Levels in Izmir, Turkey

  • Acikgoz, Ayla;Ergor, Gul
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1737-1742
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    • 2013
  • Early diagnosis has a major role in improving prognosis of breast cancer. The purpose of this study was to assess the risk status of women 35-69 years of age using risk assessment models and the prevalence of mammography in a community setting. The sample of this cross sectional study consisted of 227 women, 35-69 years of age residing in Izmir, a city located in western region of Turkey. A questionnaire was used to collect data and the Gail and Cuzick-Tyrer models were applied to assess the risk of breast cancer. In this study, 52.7% of women had mammography at least once, and 41.3% of the women over the age of 40 had mammography screening in the last two years. The five years risk for breast cancer was high in 15.8% of women according to the Gail model and ten years risk was high in 21.7% with the Cuzick-Tyrer model. In the present study, the breast cancer risk levels were assessed in a population setting for the first time in Turkey using breast cancer risk level assessment models. Being in 60-69 age group, having low education and not being in menopause were significant risk factors for not having mammography according to logistic regression analysis. Mammography utilization rate was low. Women must be educated about breast cancer screening methods and early diagnosis. The women in the high risk group should be informed on their risk status which may increase their attendance at breast cancer screening.

Suicide in the Australian Mining Industry: Assessment of Rates among Male Workers Using 19 Years of Coronial Data

  • Tania King;Humaira Maheen;Yamna Taouk;Anthony D. LaMontagne
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2023
  • Background: International evidence shows that mining workers are at greater risk of suicide than other workers; however, it is not known whether this applies to the Australian mining sector. Methods: Using data from the National Coronial Information System, rates of suicide among male mining workers were compared to those of three comparators: construction workers, mining and construction workers combined, and all other workers. Age-standardized suicide rates were calculated for 2001-2019 and across three intervals '2001-2006', '2007-2011', and '2012-2019'. Incidence rate ratios for suicide were calculated to compare incidence rates for mining workers, to those of the three comparative groups. Results: The suicide rate for male mining workers in Australia was estimated to be between 11 and 25 per 100,000 (likely closer to 25 per 100,000) over the period of 2001-2019. There was also evidence that the suicide rate among mining workers is increasing, and the suicide rate among mining workers for the period 2012-2019 was significantly higher than the other worker group. Conclusions: Based on available data, we tentatively deduce that suicide mortality among male mining workers is of concern. More information is needed on both industry and occupation of suicide decedents in order to better assess whether, and the extent to which, mining workers (and other industries and occupations) are at increased risk of suicide.

Association of Risk of Gastric Cancer and Consumption of Tobacco, Alcohol and Tea in the Chinese Population

  • Tong, Gui-Xian;Liang, Han;Chai, Jing;Cheng, Jing;Feng, Rui;Chen, Peng-Lai;Geng, Qing-Qing;Shen, Xing-Rong;Wang, De-Bin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.20
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    • pp.8765-8774
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    • 2014
  • This study aimed at summarizing epidemiological research findings on associations between tobacco, alcohol and tea consumption and risk of gastric cancer (GC) in the Chinese population. The review searched PubMed, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) and China Biology Medicine (CBM) databases and reference lists of review papers for all studies published in English or Chinese languages. Information extracted, via two independent researchers, from retrieved articles included first author, year of publication, study design, sample size, source of controls and adjusted odds ratio (OR) or relative risk (RR) with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for each category. Statistical analyses used software STATA version 12.0. The systematic search found 89 articles containing 25,821 GC cases and 135,298 non-cases. The overall random effects in terms of pooled OR and 95%CI for tobacco, alcohol and tea consumption were 1.62 (95%CI: 1.50-1.74), 1.57 (95%CI: 1.41-1.76) and 0.67 (95%CI: 0.59-0.76) respectively; while the heterogeneity among included studies ranged from 80.1% to 87.5%. The majority of subgroup analyses revealed consistent results with the overall analyses. All three behavioral factors showed statistically significant dose-dependent effects on GC (P<0.05). The study revealed that tobacco smoking and alcohol drinking were associated with over 1/2 added risk of GC, while tea drinking conferred about 1/3 lower risk of GC in the Chinese population. However, these results should be interpreted with caution given the fact that most of the included studies were based on a retrospective design and heterogeneity among studies was relatively high.

The Status of Endangered Plants Distributed in the Middle Eastern Area of Korea and Evaluation of the Risk Factors (우리나라 중동부지역에 분포하는 멸종위기야생식물 현황과 위험요인 평가)

  • Kim, Young-Chul;Chae, Hyun-Hee;Hong, Bo-Ram;Oh, Hyun-Kyung;Lee, Kyeong-Hwa;Lee, Kyu-Song
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.291-307
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    • 2016
  • Evaluation of the extinction risk of endangered plants at international, national as well as at regional levels is essential to the implementation of plans for direct conservation activities. Reports indicate that 34 endangered plants are distributed in the middle eastern area of Korea. For each endangered plant, we investigated the sites, area of extents, population size, and factors that affect population extinction. We assessed risk factors based on 10 evaluation criteria including the results from the investigation and the life traits each endangered plant has. As a result of evaluating the risk factors, these 34 endangered plants are classified into 3 groups: the first category comprises 12 endangered plants that require active and urgent conservation of habitats due to multiple risk factors; the second group has 16 endangered plants that should be able to persist with the removal of a few direct risk factors; the third category has 6 endangered plants that can persist with minimal management due to comparatively large distributed area and numerous individuals. It was found that most major risk factors in the population of endangered plants are caused by disruption of habitats and population extinction due to the increase of human habitation in the concerned areas, development and illegal harvesting. Futhermore, ecological collapse from decreasing habitats and malfunctioning mechanism of extinction and regeneration due to the changes of vegetational environment can be the other causes. From the area of the present investigations, we selected 5 regions according to the number of species and the frequency of appearance and importance of conservation measures. Also, we suggested a conservation strategy according to the regional characteristics. We suggest that the method for evaluating extinction risk of endangered plants includes distributional data and life traits of species. In addition, we underscore the necessity for understanding population dynamics and ecological niche of the each target species.

Prevalence of Cardiovascular Risk Factors in School-aged Children (학령기 아동의 심혈관계 질환 위험인자의 유병률)

  • Yun, E-Hwa;An, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Bong-Suk;Tak, Young-Ran
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.366-372
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    • 2005
  • Objectives : This study was conducted to assess the distribution of cardiovascular risk factors (serum lipid profiles, BMI, blood pressure, fasting blood sugar) and evaluate the risk profile of CVD by the clustering of the cardiovascular risk factors in school-aged children in the Kyoung-Gi area. Methods : The study sample consists of 208 11 year-old children (51.4% boys, 48.6% girls) who participated in a cross-sectional screening of cardiovascular risk factors. We surveyed their socio-demographic characteristics, measured the anthropometric variables and analyzed the biochemical markers. Results : Of the cardiovascular risk factors, the percentage risk of the BMI, dyslipidememia and hypertension were highest. The prevalence rates of total cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol in girls was higher than in boys. Also, the associations of the BMI, total cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, triglycerides, systolic and diastolic blood pressures were highly significant. In addition, the proportion of subjects with 1, 2, 3 and 4 or more risk factors were 29.3, 12.5, 2.9 and 1.9%, respectively; therefore, a total of 97 subjects (46.6%) had at least one more risk factor. Conclusions : From these findings, we concluded that the rates of hypercholesterolemia, cardiovascular risk groups and obesity prevalence of these groups were relatively high. These data provide further evidence that the early intervention for cardiovascular health prevention and promotion in school-aged children is necessary at the population level.