• Title/Summary/Keyword: physical uncertainty

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DESIGN AND VALIDATION OF ROBUST AND AUTONOMOUS CONTROL FOR NUCLEAR REACTORS

  • SHAFFER ROMAN A.;EDWARDS ROBERT M.;LEE KWANG Y.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 2005
  • A robust control design procedure for a nuclear reactor has been developed and experimentally validated on the Penn State TRIGA research reactor. The utilization of the robust controller as a component of an autonomous control system is also demonstrated. Two methods of specifying a low order (fourth-order) nominal-plant model for a robust control design were evaluated: 1) by approximation based on the 'physics' of the process and 2) by an optimal Hankel approximation of a higher order plant model. The uncertainty between the nominal plant models and the higher order plant model is supplied as a specification to the ,u-synthesis robust control design procedure. Two methods of quantifying uncertainty were evaluated: 1) a combination of additive and multiplicative uncertainty and 2) multiplicative uncertainty alone. The conclusions are that the optimal Hankel approximation and a combination of additive and multiplicative uncertainty are the best approach to design robust control for this application. The results from nonlinear simulation testing and the physical experiments are consistent and thus help to confirm the correctness of the robust control design procedures and conclusions.

A Systems Engineering Approach for Uncertainty Analysis of a Station Blackout Scenario

  • de Sousa, J. Ricardo Tavares;Diab, Aya
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2019
  • After Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP accident, the need for implementation of diverse and flexible coping strategies (FLEX) became evident. However, to ensure the effectiveness of the safety strategy, it is essential to quantify the uncertainties associated with the station blackout (SBO) scenario as well as the operator actions. In this paper, a systems engineering approach for uncertainty analysis (UA) of a SBO scenario in advanced pressurized water reactor is performed. MARS-KS is used as a best estimate thermal-hydraulic code and is loosely-coupled with Dakota software which is employed to develop the uncertainty quantification framework. Furthermore, the systems engineering approach is adopted to identify the requirements, functions and physical architecture, and to develop the verification and validation plan. For the preliminary analysis, 13 uncertainty parameters are propagated through the model to evaluate the stability and convergence of the framework. The developed framework will ultimately be used to quantify the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties associated with an extended SBO accident scenario and assess the coping capability of APR1400 and the effectiveness of the implemented FLEX strategies.

Correlation between Uncertainty and Quality of Life of the Elderly People (노인의 불확실성과 삶의 질과의 관계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Seung;Cho, Sung-Hyoun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Integrative Medicine
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.153-163
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    • 2022
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to investigate the differences between uncertainty of chronic diseases and quality of life with regard to elderly people. Methods : The participants of this study were 350 elderly people, aged over 65 years. The collected data were analyzed using the SPSS Window program and the general characteristics of the participants and sub-domains of quality of life were analyzed by several frequency analyses and descriptive statistics such as mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis. Further, the differences between the sub-domains of uncertainty and sub-domains of quality of life were analyzed through independent t-test and one-way ANOVA. In order to reach conclusive results, post-test was analyzed by the Scheffe test. In addition, Pearson's correlation analysis was performed to determine the correlation between the target categories. A significance level of 𝛼=.05 was used to verify statistical significance. Results : As a result of examining "uncertainty" with respect to general characteristics, such as older age, low educational background, and chronic diseases, it was observed that the more intense these factors became, the more the level of uncertainty increased. In addition, it was also noted that except "accompanying diseases" in social domain, the participants enjoyed a high level of quality of life. The correlation was noted between domains of complexity and sociality (p<.01), domains of inconsistency and sociality (p<.01), domains of complexity and living environment (p<.01), domains of inconsistency and living environment (p<.01), and total score of uncertainty and total quality of life (p<.01). Conclusion : In this study, differences were found between "uncertainty" and "quality of life" of elderly people; the correlation between the sub-domains based on general traits was found to be negative (-). This suggests that objective evidence can be presented for the prevention of diseases by using mental health programs for the elderly in future.

The Analysis of Groundwater Hydrograph According to the Variation of Hydrologic Physical Characteristics (수문학적 물리적 특성치의 변화에 따른 지하수 수문곡선 분석)

  • 김재한
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 1987.07a
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 1987
  • The groundwater hydrographs due to the recharge of water table aquifer resulting from rainfall are simulated by relating the existing linearized method, which is originally the non-linear equation suggested by Boussinesq, to the basin charcteristics. To thes end, the recharge curve is assumed as the skewed distribution of sine curve, and the parameters contained in the equation are determined from the geomorphologic and soil maps. The whole drainage area is divied in order to consider the spatial variation of parameters. The obtained parameters are tried for several cases with different values given arbitrarily to study the aspects of hydrographs according to their variation. This procedures are applied to the natural basin of Bocheong watershed(area:475.5$\textrm{km}^2$) in Korea. As a result, it is shown that considerable uncertainty is expressed for the results obtained with the given values of parameters. Thus, such uncertainty should be precluded to a certain extent by examining and observing the physical characteristics as much as possible for the determination of groundwater flows.

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Measurement uncertainty analysis of radiophotoluminescent glass dosimeter reader system based on GD-352M for estimation of protection quantity

  • Kim, Jae Seok;Park, Byeong Ryong;Yoo, Jaeryong;Ha, Wi-Ho;Jang, Seongjae;Jang, Won Il;Cho, Gyu Seok;Kim, Hyun;Chang, Insu;Kim, Yong Kyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.479-485
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    • 2022
  • At the Korea Institute of Radiological and Medical Sciences, physical human phantoms were developed to evaluate various radiation protection quantities, based on the mesh-type reference computational phantoms of the International Commission on Radiological Protection. The physical human phantoms were fabricated such that a radiophotoluminescent glass dosimeter (RPLGD) with a Tin filter, namely GD-352M, could be inserted into them. A Tin filter is used to eliminate the overestimated signals in low-energy photons below 100 keV. The measurement uncertainty of the RPLGD reader system based on GD-352M should be analyzed for obtaining reliable protection quantities before using it for practical applications. Generally, the measurement uncertainty of RPLGD systems without Tin filters is analyzed for quality assurance of radiotherapy units using a high-energy photon beam. However, in this study, the measurement uncertainty of GD-352M was analyzed for evaluating the protection quantities. The measurement uncertainty factors in the RPLGD include the reference irradiation, regression curve, reproducibility, uniformity, energy dependence, and angular dependence, as described by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO). These factors were calculated using the Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement method, applying ISO/ASTM standards 51261(2013), 51707(2015), and SS-ISO 22127(2019). The measurement uncertainties of the RPLGD reader system with a coverage factor of k = 2 were calculated to be 9.26% from 0.005 to 1 Gy and 8.16% from 1 to 10 Gy. A blind test was conducted to validate the RPLGD reader system, which demonstrated that the readout doses included blind doses of 0.1, 1, 2, and 5 Gy. Overall, the En values were considered satisfactory.

Study on the Available Safe Egress Time (ASET) Considering the Input Parameters and Model Uncertainties in Fire Simulation (화재시뮬레이션에서 입력변수 및 모델 불확실도가 고려된 허용피난시간(ASET)에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Ho-Sik;Hwang, Cheol-Hong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.112-120
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    • 2019
  • To improve the reliability of a safety assessment using a fire simulation in domestic PBD, the evaluation method of ASET considering the uncertainties of the input parameters and numerical model of fire simulation was carried out. To this end, a cinema and officetel were selected as the representative fire spaces. The main results were as follows. Considering the uncertainty of the heat release rate, which has the greatest effect on the major physical quantities presented in the life safety standard, significant changes in temperature, CO, and visibility occurred. In addition, when the bias factors reflecting the uncertainty of the numerical model were applied, there were no significant changes in temperature and CO concentration. On the other hand, the visibility was increased considerably due to the low prediction performance of smoke concentration in FDS. Finally, the reason why the physical quantity determining the ASET in domestic PBD is mainly visibility was discussed, and the application of uncertainty of the input parameters and numerical model in a fire simulation was suggested for an accurate ASET evaluation.

An Overview of Bootstrapping Method Applicable to Survey Researches in Rehabilitation Science

  • Choi, Bong-sam
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2016
  • Background: Parametric statistical procedures are typically conducted under the condition in which a sample distribution is statistically identical with its population. In reality, investigators use inferential statistics to estimate parameters based on the sample drawn because population distributions are unknown. The uncertainty of limited data from the sample such as lack of sample size may be a challenge in most rehabilitation studies. Objects: The purpose of this study is to review the bootstrapping method to overcome shortcomings of limited sample size in rehabilitation studies. Methods: Articles were reviewed. Results: Bootstrapping method is a statistical procedure that permits the iterative re-sampling with replacement from a sample when the population distribution is unknown. This statistical procedure is to enhance the representativeness of the population being studied and to determine estimates of the parameters when sample size are too limited to generalize the study outcome to target population. The bootstrapping method would overcome limitations such as type II error resulting from small sample sizes. An application on a typical data of a study represented how to deal with challenges of estimating a parameter from small sample size and enhance the uncertainty with optimal confidence intervals and levels. Conclusion: Bootstrapping method may be an effective statistical procedure reducing the standard error of population parameters under the condition requiring both acceptable confidence intervals and confidence level (i.e., p=.05).

Development of Conductivity Standards for Metals using the van der Pauw Method (van der Pauw method를 이용한 금속도전율 표준시편 개발)

  • Kang, Jeon-Hong;Yu, Kwang-Min;Lee, Sang-Hwa
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.11
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    • pp.1617-1620
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    • 2013
  • The widely-used measurement methods for conductivity of non-magnetic metals are van der Pauw method, Two Point Probe method and Eddy Current method. Among them a more simpler and easier method is the Eddy Current method and an instrument using the method is a Conductivity Meter which can measure a conductivity by contacting its probe on a sample surface. However, conductivity standards are essentially needed to confirm the meter's performance or to calibrate it. In this study, six kinds of the standards which are made of Cu, Al-1, Al-2, brass, Zn and SUS-316 are developed and conductivity ranges for the standards are 2.27 %IACS ~ 101.6 %IACS with measurement uncertainty of less than 0.3 %.

Performance Assessment on Temperature Calibration Capability of the Calibration Laboratories Using High-Precision Platinum Resistance Thermometers (고정밀 백금저항온도계를 이용한 교정기관의 온도교정능력 수행평가)

  • Gam, Kee Sool;Lee, Young Hee;Yang, Inseok
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.415-420
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    • 2013
  • Calibration capabilities for thermometer calibration by comparison method were assessed using high-precision industrial platinum resistance thermometers (IPRT). It was found in the performance assessment that out of 31 laboratories who participated, 28 laboratories resulted magnitude of En number less than 1 at every calibration points they submitted results in the range from 50 to $500^{\circ}C$. The results of about 75% of the laboratories showed the difference from the assigned values less than 1/10 of the tolerance level of the class B IPRT. This indicates that the participating calibration laboratories performed with satisfactory level that was enough to calibrate IPRTs to significant precision. The sensors used in this work were manufactured and chosen by the criteria of long-term instability less than 4 mK and hysteresis less than 8 mK in the temperature range used in this work. Furthermore, the change in the resistance of the sensors in the calibration temperature range were less than the uncertainty of the calibration, 25 mK (k=2).

Evaluation of the Uncertainties in Rainfall-Runoff Model Using Meta-Gaussian Approach (Meta-Gaussian 방법을 이용한 강우-유출 모형에서의 불확실성 산정)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.49-64
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    • 2009
  • Rainfall-runoff models are used for efficient management, distribution, planning, and design of water resources in accordance with the process of hydrologic cycle. The models simplify the transition of rainfall to runoff as rainfall through different processes including evaporation, transpiration, interception, and infiltration. As the models simplify complex physical processes, gaps between the models and actual rainfall events exist. For more accurate simulation, appropriate models that suit analysis goals are selected and reliable long-term hydrological data are collected. However, uncertainty is inherent in models. It is therefore necessary to evaluate reliability of simulation results from models. A number of studies have evaluated uncertainty ingrained in rainfall-runoff models. In this paper, Meta-Gaussian method proposed by Montanari and Brath(2004) was used to assess uncertainty of simulation outputs from rainfall-runoff models. The model, which estimates upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval from probabilistic distribution of a model's error, can quantify global uncertainty of hydrological models. In this paper, Meta-Gaussian method was applied to analyze uncertainty of simulated runoff outputs from $Vflo^{TM}$, a physically-based distribution model and HEC-HMS model, a conceptual lumped model.

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