• Title/Summary/Keyword: physical uncertainty

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A SE Approach for Machine Learning Prediction of the Response of an NPP Undergoing CEA Ejection Accident

  • Ditsietsi Malale;Aya Diab
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.18-31
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    • 2023
  • Exploring artificial intelligence and machine learning for nuclear safety has witnessed increased interest in recent years. To contribute to this area of research, a machine learning model capable of accurately predicting nuclear power plant response with minimal computational cost is proposed. To develop a robust machine learning model, the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach was used to generate a database to train three models and select the best of the three. The BEPU analysis was performed by coupling Dakota platform with the best estimate thermal hydraulics code RELAP/SCDAPSIM/MOD 3.4. The Code Scaling Applicability and Uncertainty approach was adopted, along with Wilks' theorem to obtain a statistically representative sample that satisfies the USNRC 95/95 rule with 95% probability and 95% confidence level. The generated database was used to train three models based on Recurrent Neural Networks; specifically, Long Short-Term Memory, Gated Recurrent Unit, and a hybrid model with Long Short-Term Memory coupled to Convolutional Neural Network. In this paper, the System Engineering approach was utilized to identify requirements, stakeholders, and functional and physical architecture to develop this project and ensure success in verification and validation activities necessary to ensure the efficient development of ML meta-models capable of predicting of the nuclear power plant response.

Convergent Effects of Anxiety, Depression, Uncertainty, and Social support on Quality of Life in Women with Thyroid cancer (여성 갑상선암 환자의 불안, 우울, 불확실성, 사회적 지지가 삶의 질에 미치는 융복합적 영향)

  • Lee, Insook;Park, Chang-Seung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.163-176
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the anxiety, depression, uncertainty, social support, and QoL and to identify the factors influencing QoL in women with thyroid cancer. A descriptive survey was performed from April to October in 2014 with self-reporting questionnaires for depression, uncertainty, social support, and QoL. Participants were 106 women with thyroid cancer who visited a outpatient department of endocrine surgery in a hospital. Data were analyzed using SPSS 22.0. As the results of this study, the mean scores of global QoL were moderate. Anxiety was significantly influenced physical functioning, emotional functioning, and social functioning. Uncertainty was significantly influenced physical functioning and cognitive functioning. Therefore, from the results of this study, nursing practice focused on anxiety and uncertainty relieving care for female thyroid cancer patients to improving QoL. And also, in order to understand the QoL of women with thyroid cancer, it is necessary to deeply understand the QoL through qualitative and quantitative research to determine the QoL by treatment period and treatment type.

Standard Field Generation Using a Micro-TEM Cell and Its Measurement Uncertainty Evaluation (Micro-TEM Cell을 사용한 표준 전자기장의 발생 및 측정불확도 평가)

  • Kang, Jin-Seob;Kim, Jeong-Hwan;Kang, Ung-Taek;Kang, No-Weon;Kang, Tae-Weon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, a standard field generation method using a micro-TEM ceil is described and its measurement uncertainty is evaluated. The standard field generation system consists of an auto-leveling signal source, a micro-TEM cell operating up to 1.2 GHz, and a power measuring Instrument using a thermistor mount. Measurement results of a field strength key comparison (CCEM.RF-K20) for the field strength of 20 V/m at frequencies between 10 MHz and 1 GHz are presented for validating the standard field generation method.

Development of Laser Power Meter Calibration System with 12-diode Laser Sources (12개 다이오드 레이저를 활용하는 레이저 복사출력계 교정시스템 개발)

  • Kanghee Lee;Jae-Keun Yoo;In-Ho Bae;Seongchong Park;Dong-Hoon Lee
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2024
  • We demonstrate a laser power meter calibration system based on 12-diode laser sources coupled to single-mode fibres in a wavelength range from 400 to 1,600 nm. In our system, three laser power controllers ensure that the output power uncertainty of all laser sources is less than 0.1% (k=2). In addition, all laser beams are adjusted to have similar beam sizes of approximately 2 mm (1/e2-width) at the measurement position to minimise unmeasured laser power on a detector. As a reference detector, we use an integrating sphere combined with silicon and indium gallium arsenide photodiodes to minimise the non-uniformity and non-linearity of responsivity. The minimum uncertainty of the calibration system is estimated to be 1.1% (k=2) for most laser wavelengths.

Representation of Model Uncertainty in the Short-Range Ensemble Prediction for Typhoon Rusa (2002) (단기 앙상블 예보에서 모형의 불확실성 표현: 태풍 루사)

  • Kim, Sena;Lim, Gyu-Ho
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2015
  • The most objective way to overcome the limitation of numerical weather prediction model is to represent the uncertainty of prediction by introducing probabilistic forecast. The uncertainty of the numerical weather prediction system developed due to the parameterization of unresolved scale motions and the energy losses from the sub-scale physical processes. In this study, we focused on the growth of model errors. We performed ensemble forecast to represent model uncertainty. By employing the multi-physics scheme (PHYS) and the stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme (SKEBS) in simulating typhoon Rusa (2002), we assessed the performance level of the two schemes. The both schemes produced better results than the control run did in the ensemble mean forecast of the track. The results using PHYS improved by 28% and those based on SKEBS did by 7%. Both of the ensemble mean errors of the both schemes increased rapidly at the forecast time 84 hrs. The both ensemble spreads increased gradually during integration. The results based on SKEBS represented model errors very well during the forecast time of 96 hrs. After the period, it produced an under-dispersive pattern. The simulation based on PHYS overestimated the ensemble mean error during integration and represented the real situation well at the forecast time of 120 hrs. The displacement speed of the typhoon based on PHYS was closest to the best track, especially after landfall. In the sensitivity tests of the model uncertainty of SKEBS, ensemble mean forecast was sensitive to the physics parameterization. By adjusting the forcing parameter of SKEBS, the default experiment improved in the ensemble spread, ensemble mean errors, and moving speed.

An Uncertainty Assessment of Temperature and Precipitation over East Asia (동아시아 기온과 강수의 불확실성 평가)

  • Shin, Jin-Ho;Kim, Min-Ji;Lee, Hyo-Shin;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.299-303
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    • 2008
  • In this study, an uncertainty assessment for surface air temperature(T2m) and precipitation(PCP) over East Asia is carried out. The data simulated by the intergovermental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) Atmosphere-Ocean coupled general circulation Model (AOGCM) are used to assess the uncertainty. Examination of the seasonal uncertainty of T2m and PCP variabilities shows that spring-summer cold bias and fall warm bias of T2m are found over both East Asia and the Korea peninsula. In contrast, distinctly summer dry bias and winter-spring wet bias of PCP over the Korea peninsula is found. To investigate the PCP seasonal variability over East Asia, the cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function(CSEOF) analysis is employed. The CSEOF analysis can extract physical modes (spatio-temporal patterns) and their undulation (PC time series) of PCP, showing the evolution of PCP. A comparison between spatio-temporal patterns of observed and modeled PCP anomalies shows that positive PCP anomalies located in northeastern China (north of Korea) of the multi-model ensemble(MME) cannot explain properly the contribution to summer monsoon rainfalls across Korea and Japan. The uncertainty of modeled PCP indicates that there is disagreement between observed and MME anomalies. The spatio-temporal deviation of the PCP is significantly associated with lower- and upper-level circulations. In particular, lower-level moisture transports from the warm pool of the western Pacific and corresponding moisture convergence significantly contribute to summer rainfalls. These lower- and upper-level circulations physically consistent with PCP give a insight of the reason why differences between modeled and observed PCP occur.

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Recent Trends in Numerical Simulation of Liquid Sprays (분무 해석 시뮬레이션 기술의 최근 동향)

  • Huh, K.Y.
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.12-32
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    • 2000
  • The recent trends in numerical simulation of various spray phenomena are reviewed in this article. Major subtopics are atomization/breakup, collision/coalescence, wall collision, interfacial transfer, droplet dispersion, two-phase injection and spray combustion. Each submodel has been under continuous refinement and validation against more extensive data base by advanced laser diagnostic techniques. Most uncertainty in current spray simulations come from these physical submodels, not from excessive computational constraints.

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Properties of Ginkgo Wood (은행나무 목재의 재질)

  • 김규혁;조재성;김재진
    • Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2000
  • Ginkgo trees have long been planted in Korea as roadside trees and ornamental trees, but the wood was seldom used except some utilization for small artifacts. Soaring prices of imported wood and future uncertainty about long-term supply of foreign woods have stimulated research on value-added utilization of less-utilized domestic wood resources such as Ginkgo wood. The properties of Ginkgo wood were investigated to determine its utilization potential in this study, and the results of anatomical, physical, and mechanical studies were presented with chemical compositions.

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Study on Timing Failures in Cyber-Physical Systems

  • Kong, Joon-Ik
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2022
  • Cyber-physical systems (CPSs) can solve real problems by utilizing closely connected resources in the cyber world. Most problems arise because the physical world is uncertain and unpredictable. To address this uncertainty, information pouring from numerous devices must be collected in real-time, and each interconnected device must share the information. At this time, CPS must meet timing-related techniques and strict timing constraints that can deliver accurate information within predefined deadlines in order to interact closely beyond simply connecting the cyber and physical worlds. Timing errors in safety-critical systems, such as automobiles, aviation, and medical systems, can lead to catastrophic disasters. In this paper, we classify timing problems into two types: real-time delay and synchronization problems. The results of this study can be used in the entire process of CPS system design, implementation, operation, verification, and maintenance. As a result, it can contribute to securing the safety and reliability of CPS.

A Study on the Effect of Experience-specificity and Uncertainty on Choice in Experiential Products -From Transaction Cost Perspective- (경험재 거래의 경험특유성, 불확실성이 선택에 주는 영향에 관한 연구 -거래비용적 관점에서-)

  • Jeong, Yun-Hee;Park, JI-Yeon
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.152-159
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of transaction characteristics on transaction cost and choice intention by applying transaction cost theory to experiential product. Experience-specificity, transaction uncertainty, and personal uncertainty are proposed to reflect the characteristics of experiential products, and the effects of these variables on transaction costs and transaction costs are assumed to have an influence on the choice intention. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, experience-specificity(site, physical equipment, knowledge skill, temporal), transactional uncertainty(product-, process-), personal uncertainty (preference-, and situation-) have a significant positive effect on transaction cost. Second, transaction costs (search, comparison, examination, negotiation, payment, delivery) have a significant negative effect on the choice intention of the experiential product. The results of this study show that the increase of transaction costs can reduce the choice of experiential products and the strategic consideration of experience specificity, transaction uncertainty and individual uncertainty are required to reduce transaction costs. In addition, experiential products lacked access from a transactional and cost-based point of view, and this study contributes theoretically by compensating for the lack.