• 제목/요약/키워드: parsimonious model

검색결과 57건 처리시간 0.022초

Poor Treatment Outcome of Neuroblastoma and Other Peripheral Nerve Cell Tumors May be Related to Under Usage of Radiotherapy and Socio-Economic Disparity: A US SEER Data Analysis

  • Cheung, Rex
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제13권9호
    • /
    • pp.4587-4592
    • /
    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study used receiver operating characteristic curve to analyze Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) neuroblastoma (NB) and other peripheral nerve cell tumors (PNCT) outcome data. This study found under usage of radiotherapy in these patients. Materials and methods: This study analyzed socio-economic, staging and treatment factors available in the SEER database for NB and other PNCT. For the risk modeling, each factor was fitted by a generalized linear model to predict the outcome (soft tissue specific death, yes/no). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was computed. Similar strata were combined to construct the most parsimonious models. A random sampling algorithm was used to estimate the modeling errors. Risk of neuroendocrine (other endocrine including thymus as coded in SEER) death was computed for the predictors. Results: There were 5261 patients diagnosed from 1973 to 2009 were included in this study. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 83.8 (97.6) months. The mean (SD) age was 18 (25) years. About 30.45% of patients were un-staged. The SEER staging has high ROC (SD) area of 0.58 (0.01) among the factors tested. We simplified the 4-layered risk levels (local, regional, distant, un-staged/others) to a simpler 3-tiered model with comparable ROC area of 0.59 (0.01). Less than 50% of PNCT patients received radiotherapy (RT) including the ones with localized disease. This avoidance of RT use occurred in adults and children. Conclusion: The high under-staging rate may have precented patients from selecting definitive radiotherapy (RT) after surgery. Using RT for, especially, adult PNCT patients is a potential way to improve outcome.

Multi-Scaling Models of TCP/IP and Sub-Frame VBR Video Traffic

  • Erramilli, Ashok;Narayan, Onuttom;Neidhardt, Arnold;Saniee, Iraj
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
    • /
    • 제3권4호
    • /
    • pp.383-395
    • /
    • 2001
  • Recent measurement and simulation studies have revealed that wide area network traffic displays complex statistical characteristics-possibly multifractal scaling-on fine timescales, in addition to the well-known properly of self-similar scaling on coarser timescales. In this paper we investigate the performance and network engineering significance of these fine timescale features using measured TCP anti MPEG2 video traces, queueing simulations and analytical arguments. We demonstrate that the fine timescale features can affect performance substantially at low and intermediate utilizations, while the longer timescale self-similarity is important at intermediate and high utilizations. We relate the fine timescale structure in the measured TCP traces to flow controls, and show that UDP traffic-which is not flow controlled-lacks such fine timescale structure. Likewise we relate the fine timescale structure in video MPEG2 traces to sub-frame encoding. We show that it is possibly to construct a relatively parsimonious multi-fractal cascade model of fine timescale features that matches the queueing performance of both the TCP and video traces. We outline an analytical method ta estimate performance for traffic that is self-similar on coarse timescales and multi-fractal on fine timescales, and show that the engineering problem of setting safe operating points for planning or admission controls can be significantly influenced by fine timescale fluctuations in network traffic. The work reported here can be used to model the relevant characteristics of wide area traffic across a full range of engineering timescales, and can be the basis of more accurate network performance analysis and engineering.

  • PDF

의약분업제도 도입효과에 대한 실증 분석 (An Empirical Study on the Effect of the Separation of Dispensary from Medical Practice)

  • 윤지웅;김양균;백병수
    • 보건행정학회지
    • /
    • 제21권2호
    • /
    • pp.179-194
    • /
    • 2011
  • Although there have been studies regarding the separating policy of dispensary and medical practice, little study have provided a concrete empirical evidence to what extent the policy objectives are achieved. In this paper, we try to provide empirical evidence whether the policy separating dispensary from medical practice achieved the policy objectives, which representatively are reducing the mis-use or over-use of anti-biotic prescriptions and medicines, and decreasing the government spending for the cost of pharmaceutical support. By comparing the average of the rate of change of the number of medicines prescribed, the rate of anti-biotics prescribed, and the government spending for the cost of pharmaceutical support between the areas where the separation policy was implemented and the exceptional areas, we concluded that it is difficult to conclude that the policy separating dispensary and medical practice achieved its policy objects, as it first announced to achieve in the introduction of the policy in 2000. However, the limitation of this study is that the data, that can thoroughly analyze the effect of separating policy of dispensary from medical practice, cannot be collected as expected. Hence, we could not use a parsimonious empirical model to evaluate the effect of the policy introduced in 2000. Rather we used a simple statistical method to extract enough empirical evidence fro m the data available. In the near future, we would expect to see more research that analyze the exact effect of policy separating dispensary and medical practice with concrete empirical model using more sophisticated dataset.

소방대원의 출동충격스트레스와 소진에 관한 구조모형 (A Model for Post-Traumatic Stress and Burnout in Firefighters)

  • 최은숙
    • 한국응급구조학회지
    • /
    • 제5권1호
    • /
    • pp.147-164
    • /
    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the hypothetical model designed to explain the post-traumatic stress and burnout in firefighters. Six exogenous variables such as career, control, impact mobilization frequency, life event, work burden, social support, and four endogenous variables, eg., mobilization impact, coping, post-traumatic stress, burnout were considered for the study. The target population for the distribution of the questionnaire was 428 firefighters in Daejeon, Chungnam Province, Seoul and Kyonggi Province. The data was collected about five weeks, July 12-August 25, 1999. The survey instrument was 8 control items by Seo(1995), 10 life event items by Brugha and Cragg(1990), 20 work burden items by Choi(2000), 12 social support items by Park(1985), post-traumatic stress of 17 items by Foa et al.(1998) and 45 items by Kang(1997). The reliability of the survey instrument and the cronbach's alpha was .62 - .93 level. SAS PC Program and LISREL 8.12a program were used for descriptive statistics and linear structural relationship(LISREL) modeling. Based on the data collected, the following results were obtained. 1. The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was good (${\chi}^2=54.65$ [df=17, p=0.000007], RMSEA=0.07, standardized RMR=0.03, GFI=0.98, AGFI=0.91, NFI=0.90, NNFI=0.75). 2. After considering statistical significance and theoretical meaningfulness of paths of the model, a modified model was sought. Compared to the hypothetical model, the modified model has become parsimonious and had a better fit to the data(${\chi}^2=55.90$ [df=20, p=0.0003], RMSEA=0.06, standardized RMR=0.03, GFI=0.98, AGFI=0.93, NFI=0.90, NNFI=0.80). 3. The results of statistical testing of hypotheses were as follows: (1) Work burden, career had a significantly direct effect on mobilization impact. These variables explained 9% of the total variance of mobilization impact. (2) Control, social support, work burden, mobilization impact had a significantly direct effect on coping. These variables explained 15% of the total variance of coping. (3) Control, work burden, social support, coping had a significantly direct effect on post-traumatic stress. These variables explained 49% of the total variance of post-traumatic stress. (4) Coping, post-traumatic stress had a significantly direct effect on burnout. These variables explained 60% of the total variance of burnout.

  • PDF

영화 흥행성과 예측을 위한 온라인 리뷰 마이닝 연구: 개봉 첫 주 온라인 리뷰를 활용하여 (Predicting Movie Revenue by Online Review Mining: Using the Opening Week Online Review)

  • 조승연;김현구;김범수;김희웅
    • 경영정보학연구
    • /
    • 제16권3호
    • /
    • pp.113-134
    • /
    • 2014
  • 온라인 리뷰는 네트워크 기술의 발전을 통해 그 영향력이 확대되고 있다. 특히, 사전 정보로 통해 소비가 결정되는 영화는 온라인 리뷰가 소비자들의 영화 결정에도 중요한 영향을 미치고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 영화관련 온라인 리뷰를 영화 소비 후 소비자들의 평가 정보라 가정하고, 이를 활용한 영화 흥행성과 예측모형을 제시하고자 한다. 선행 연구를 통하여 영화관련 온라인 리뷰에 감독, 배우, 스토리, 효과 등의 독립적인 속성 및 종합적인 평가가 있음을 확인하였으며, 본 연구에서는 각 속성을 2개 이상 평가하고 있는 복합형 리뷰 10가지를 추가하여 총 15가지로 온라인 리뷰 분류하였다. 2010년부터 2013년까지 개봉한 한국영화 중 상업영화 209개의 개봉 첫 주 온라인 리뷰를 온라인 리뷰 마이닝을 진행하고, 최종적으로 리뷰 마이닝 결과를 판별분석을 통한 영화 흥행성적 예측모형을 제시한다. 판별분석을 실시한 결과, 온라인 리뷰로부터 도출된 감독, 배우, 효과 및 스토리 관련 평가와 개봉 첫 주 전체 온라인 리뷰 수가 유의미하게 변별하였다.

중년후기 여성의 건강증진행위 모형구축 (A Model for Health Promoting Behaviors in Late-middle Aged Woman)

  • 박재순
    • 여성건강간호학회지
    • /
    • 제2권2호
    • /
    • pp.298-331
    • /
    • 1996
  • Recent improvements in living standard and development in medical care led to an increased interest in life expectancy and personal health, and also led to a more demand for higher quality of life. Thus, the problem of women's health draw a fresh interest nowadays. Since late-middle aged women experience various physical and socio-psychological changes and tend to have chronic illnesses, these women have to take initiatives for their health control by realizing their own responsibility. The basic elements for a healthy life of these women are understanding of their physical and psychological changes and acceptance of these changes. Health promoting behaviors of an individual or a group are actions toward increasing the level of well-being and self-actualization, and are affected by various variables. In Pender's health promoting model, variables are categorized into cognitive factors(individual perceptions), modifying factors, and variables affecting the likelihood for actions, and the model assumes the health promoting behaviors are affected by cognitive factors which are again affected by demographic factors. Since Pender's model was proposed based on a tool broad conceptual frame, many studies done afterwards have included only a limited number of variables of Pender's model. Furthermore, Pender's model did not precisely explain the possibilities of direct and indirect paths effects. The objectives of this study are to evaluate Pender's model and thus propose a model that explains health promoting behaviors among late-middle aged women in order to facilitate nursing intervention for this group of population. The hypothetical model was developed based on the Pender's health promoting model and the findings from past studies on women's health. Data were collected by self-reported questionnaires from 417 women living in Seoul, between July and November 1994. Questionnaires were developed based on instruments of Walker and others' health promotion lifestyle profile, Wallston and others' multidimensional health locus of control, Maoz's menopausal symptom check list and Speake and others' health self-rating scale. IN addition, items measuring self-efficacy were made by the present author based on past studies. In a pretest, the questionnaire items were reliable with Cronbach's alpha ranging from .786 to .934. The models for health promoting behaviors were tested by using structural equation modelling technique with LISREL 7.20. The results were summarized as follows : 1. The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was good (chi-square=4.42, df=5, p=.490, GFI=.995, AGFI=.962, RMSR=.024). 2. Paths of the model were modified by considering both its theoretical implication and statistical significance of the parameter estimates. Compared to the hypothetical model, the revised model has become parsimonious and had a better fit to the data (chi-square =4.55, df=6, p=.602, GFI=.995, AGFI=.967, RMSR=.024). 3. The results of statistical testing were as follows : 1) Family function internal health locus of control, self-efficacy, and education level exerted significant effects on health promoting behaviors(${\gamma}_{43}$=.272, T=3.714; ${\beta}_[41}$=.211, T=2.797; ${\beta}_{42}$=.199, T=2.717; ${\gamma}_{41}$=.136, T=1.986). The effect of economic status, physical menopausal symptoms, and perceived health status on health promoting behavior were insignificant(${\gamma}_{42}$=.095, T=1.456; ${\gamma}_{44}$=.101, T=1.143; ${\gamma}_{43}$=.082, T=.967). 2) Family function had a significance direct effect on internal health locus of control (${\gamma}_{13}$=.307, T=3.784). The direct effect of education level on internal health locus of control was insignificant(${\gamma}_{11}$=-.006, T=-.081). 3) The directs effects of family functions & internal health locus of control on self-efficacy were significant(${\gamma}_{23}$=.208, T=2.607; ${\beta}_{21}$=.191, T=2.2693). But education level and economic status did not exert a significant effect on self-efficacy(${\gamma}_{21}$=.137, T=1.814; ${\beta}_{22}$=.137, T=1.814; ${\gamma}_{22}$=.112, T=1.499). 4) Education level had a direct and positive effect on perceived health status, but physical menopausal symptoms had a negative effect on perceived health status and these effects were all significant(${\gamma}_{31}$=.171, T=2.496; ${\gamma}_{34}$=.524, T=-7.120). Internal health locus and self-efficacy had an insignificant direct effect on perceived health status(${\beta}_{31}$=.028, T=.363; ${\beta}_{32}$=.041, T=.557). 5) All predictive variables of health promoting behaviors explained 51.8% of the total variance in the model. The above findings show that health promoting behaviors are explained by personal, environmental and perceptual factors : family function, internal health locus of control, self-efficacy, and education level had stronger effects on health promoting behaviors than predictors in the model. A significant effect of family function on health promoting behaviors reflects an important role of the Korean late-middle aged women in family relationships. Therefore, health professionals first need to have a proper evaluation of family function in order to reflect the family function style into nursing interventions and development of strategies. These interventions and strategies will enhance internal health locus of control and self-efficacy for promoting health behaviors. Possible strategies include management of health promoting programs, use of a health information booklets, and individual health counseling, which will enhance internal health locus of control and self-efficacy of the late-middle aged women by making them aware of health responsibilities and value for oneself. In this study, an insignificant effect of physical menopausal symptoms and perceived health status on health promoting behaviors implies that they are not motive factors for health promoting behaviors. Further analytic researches are required to clarify the influence of physical menopausal symptoms and perceived health status on health promoting behaviors with-middle aged women.

  • PDF

KEDI 리더십특성검사(간편형) 개발 및 타당화 연구 (A Development and Validation of the KEDI Leadership Inventory (Simplified))

  • 전미란;유경재;유효현
    • 영재교육연구
    • /
    • 제23권1호
    • /
    • pp.109-128
    • /
    • 2013
  • 본 연구의 목적은 초등학생용 및 중 고등학생용 'KEDI 리더십특성검사(KEDI Leadership Inventory (Simplified)'를 개발하고 그 타당성을 검증하기 위한 것이다. 이를 위해 선행 연구 및 기 개발된 리더십특성검사의 분석을 토대로 'KEDI 리더십 특성검사(간편형)'를 개발하였고, 그 신뢰도와 타당도를 검증하되, 내적일치도, 내용타당도, 구인타당도, 준거타당도의 측면에서 분석하였다. 본 검사의 신뢰도를 분석한 결과, 초등학생용은 .610-.838에 이르는 높은 신뢰도를 보여주었고, 중 고등학생용은 .734-.936에 이르는 높은 신뢰도를 보였다. 내용타당도 분석을 위해 교사 3인의 심의를 통해 수정 보완하였고, 교육학 전공 전문가 2명에게 문항별로 적절성 정도에 따라 5점 척도로 평정하였다. 그 결과, 리더십 전체 검사 평균이 각각 4.23, 4.17을 받아 비교적 높은 수치를 보였고, 두 전문가 평정점수의 상관계수가 .676로(Spearman 상관관계 계수) 내용타당성을 검증하였다. 구인타당도 분석을 위해 확인적 요인분석으로 모형적합도 분석을 실시하였고, 초등학생의 경우 CFI, TLI, RMSEA 지수가 각각 .954, .943, .068로 양호하게 나타났고, 중학생의 경우 CFI, TLI, RMSEA 지수가 각각 .935, .915, .070으로 양호하게 나타났다. 마지막으로 준거타당도 분석을 위해 학교 안팎에서 리더로 활동하는 직책과의 관련성을 분석하였다. 그 결과, 리더십 검사점수결과는 모든 리더 직책과 유의미한 정적 상관성을 보여주었으나 특히 학급 내에서의 직책과 상관성이 높게 나타났다(p<.01). 또한 영재교육경험의 유무에 따라 리더십 요인별 점수 차이가 있는지 살펴본 결과, 영재교육을 받아본 경험이 있는 학생들이 영재교육을 받지 않은 학생들보다 약 0.5점정도 유의미하게 높은 점수를 보였다. 본 연구에서 개발하고 검증한 'KEDI 리더십특성검사(간편형)'은 개인이 내적으로 지니고 있는 특성과 타인과의 관계 속에서 외적으로 드러나는 개인 간 특성을 쉽고 간편하게 파악할 수 있도록 하는 데 있어서 타당성과 신뢰성을 확보한 검사도구라는 점에서 의의가 있다.