• Title/Summary/Keyword: parametric bootstrap

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Improving the Performance of Threshold Bootstrap for Simulation Output Analysis (시뮬레이션 출력분석을 위한 임계값 부트스트랩의 성능개선)

  • Kim, Yun-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.755-767
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    • 1997
  • Analyzing autocorrelated data set is still an open problem. Developing on easy and efficient method for severe positive correlated data set, which is common in simulation output, is vital for the simulation society. Bootstrap is on easy and powerful tool for constructing non-parametric inferential procedures in modern statistical data analysis. Conventional bootstrap algorithm requires iid assumption in the original data set. Proper choice of resampling units for generating replicates has much to do with the structure of the original data set, iid data or autocorrelated. In this paper, a new bootstrap resampling scheme is proposed to analyze the autocorrelated data set : the Threshold Bootstrap. A thorough literature search of bootstrap method focusing on the case of autocorrelated data set is also provided. Theoretical foundations of Threshold Bootstrap is studied and compared with other leading bootstrap sampling techniques for autocorrelated data sets. The performance of TB is reported using M/M/1 queueing model, else the comparison of other resampling techniques of ARMA data set is also reported.

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Bootstrap Inference on the Poisson Rates for Grouped Data

  • Lee, Kee-Won;Kim, Woo-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2001
  • We present how bootstrap methods can be used to conduct inference on the rates of Poisson distributions when only the grouped data are available. A theoretical justification for the validity of bootstrap is given with an illustration of proposed method using a data set obtained fro ma pathology laboratory test. Traditional asymptotic methods are compared with bootstrap methods in computing the estimated standard errors and achieved significance levels for one sample and two sample tests. Bootstrap methods are shown to possess a nice property that he small sample distribution of the relevant statistics can be readily obtained from the bootstrap copies.

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Asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH(1, 1) models: parametric bootstrap to evaluate forecasting performance (비대칭-비정상 변동성 모형 평가를 위한 모수적-붓스트랩)

  • Choi, Sun Woo;Yoon, Jae Eun;Lee, Sung Duck;Hwang, Sun Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2021
  • With a wide recognition that financial time series typically exhibits asymmetry patterns in volatility so called leverage effects, various asymmetric GARCH(1, 1) processes have been introduced to investigate asymmetric volatilities. A lot of researches have also been directed to non-stationary volatilities to deal with frequent high ups and downs in financial time series. This article is concerned with both asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH-type models. As a subsequent paper of Choi et al. (2020), we review various asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH(1, 1) processes, and in turn propose how to compare competing models using a parametric bootstrap methodology. As an illustration, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is analyzed.

A parametric bootstrap test for comparing differentially private histograms (모수적 부트스트랩을 이용한 차등정보보호 히스토그램의 동질성 검정)

  • Son, Juhee;Park, Min-Jeong;Jung, Sungkyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2022
  • We propose a test of consistency for two differentially private histograms using parametric bootstrap. The test can be applied when the original raw histograms are not available but only the differentially private histograms and the privacy level α are available. We also extend the test for the case where the privacy levels are different for different histograms. The resident population data of Korea and U.S in year 2020 are used to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed test procedure. The proposed test controls the type I error rate at the nominal level and has a high power, while a conventional test procedure fails. While the differential privacy framework formally controls the risk of privacy leakage, the utility of such framework is questionable. This work also suggests that the power of a carefully designed test may be a viable measure of utility.

Performance Evaluation of $\bar{x}$ and EWMA Control Charts using Bootstrap Technique in the Presence of Correlation (상관관계의 존재하에서 붓스트랩 기법을 이용한 $\bar{x}$ 와 EWMA관리도의 수행도 평가)

  • Shon Han-Deak;Song Suh-Ill
    • Proceedings of the Society of Korea Industrial and System Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 2002
  • In this study, according to MARMA(1,0) model which was suggested by Seppala, in case of existing autocorrelation in X control chart and EWMA control chart, the standard method and the non-parametric bootstrap method were compared and analysed using the bootstrap method which use the resampling prediction residual.

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Design of Combined Shewhart-CUSUM Control Chart using Bootstrap Method (Bootstrap 방법을 이용한 결합 Shewhart-CUSUM 관리도의 설계)

  • 송서일;조영찬;박현규
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2002
  • Statistical process control is used widely as an effective tool to solve the quality problems in practice fields. All the control charts used in statistical process control are parametric methods, suppose that the process distributes normal and observations are independent. But these assumptions, practically, are often violated if the test of normality of the observations is rejected and/or the serial correlation is existed within observed data. Thus, in this study, to screening process, the Combined Shewhart - CUSUM quality control chart is described and evaluated that used bootstrap method. In this scheme the CUSUM chart will quickly detect small shifts form the goal while the addition of Shewhart limits increases the speed of detecting large shifts. Therefor, the CSC control chart is detected both small and large shifts in process, and the simulation results for its performance are exhibited. The bootstrap CSC control chart proposed in this paper is superior to the standard method for both normal and skewed distribution, and brings in terms of ARL to the same result.

Reference Intervals from Hospital-Based Data for Hematologic and Serum Chemistry Values in Dogs (병원자료에 근거한 혈액 및 혈액화학 검사항목의 참고구간 설정)

  • Kwon, Young-Wook;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.66-70
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    • 2010
  • Reference interval is critical for interpreting laboratory results, monitoring response to therapy and predicting the prognosis of the patients in clinical settings. The aim of the present study was to update established reference intervals for routine hematologic and serum chemistry values for a population of clinically healthy dogs (range, 1-8 years) seen in an animal hospital. Blood was obtained by venipuncture while animals were physically restrained, and samples were analyzed for 9 chemistries on MS9-5H (Melot Schloesing Lab, France) and 6 hematology on Vet Test 8008 (IDEXX, USA). Data from 105 dogs (52 males and 53 females) for hematology and 113 dogs (37 males and 76 females) for chemistry were used to determine reference intervals using the parametric, nonparametric and bootstrap methods. Prior to analysis, all parameters were tested for normal distribution using Anderson-Darling criterion. Of the 9 biochemical analytes, alkaline phosphatase, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, creatinine, total protein, and glucose concentrations did not fit normal distribution for both original and transformed data. All but eosinophil count satisfied normal distribution for either original or transformed data. Parametric method can be used for original cholesterol concentrations, RBC, WBC, and neutrophil counts. This technique can also be used for power-transformed values of blood urea nitrogen concentrations and for logarithm of lymphocyte and monocyte counts. Non-parametric or bootstrap method was the preferred choice for the remaining 7 biochemical parameters and eosinophil count as they did not follow normal distributions. All three statistical techniques performed in similar reference intervals. When establishing reference intervals for clinical laboratory data, it is essential to assess the distribution of the original data to increase the accuracy of the interval, and non-parametric or bootstrap methods are of alternative for the data that do not fit normal distribution.

-Performance Evaluation of $\bar{x}$ and EWMA Control Charts for Time series Model using Bootstrap Technique- (시계열 모형에서 붓스트랩 기법을 이용한 $\bar{x}$ 와 EWMA 관리도의 수행도 평가)

  • 송서일;손한덕
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.57
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2000
  • The Bootstrap method proposed by Efron is non-parametric method which doesn't depend on the estimation of prior distribution refer to population. A typical statistical process control chart which is generally used is developed under the assumption that observations follow mutually independent and identically distributed within a sample and between samples. However, autocorrelation greatly affect the developed control chart under the assumption that observations are mutually independent. Many researchers showed that the result which was analyzed by using a typical control chart for the observations which has the correlation violated to the independence assumption can not be true. Therefore, we compared the standard method with bootstrap method and then evaluated them for x control chart and EWMA control chart by using bootstrap method which was proposed by Efron in the AR(1) model when the observations have correlation.

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Assessment of Uncertainty for Applying Nash's Model Using the Hydrologic Similarity of Basins (유역의 수문학적 상사성을 이용한 Nash 모형의 불확실성 평가)

  • Seong, Kee-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.3 s.134
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    • pp.399-411
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    • 2003
  • An approach determining a confidence interval of Nash's observed mean instantaneous unit hydrograph is developed. In the approach, both two parameters are treated as correlated gaussian random variables based on the theory of Box-Cox transformation and the regional similarity relation, so that linear statistical parameter estimation is possible. A parametric bootstrap method is adopted to give the confidence interval of the mean observed hydrograph. The proposed methodology is also applicable to estimate the parameters of Nash's model for un-gauged basins. An application to a watershed has shown that the proposed approach is adequate to assess the uncertainty of the Nash's hydrograph and to evaluate parameters for un-gauged basins.

Estimation of Small Area Proportions Based on Logistic Mixed Model

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo;Son, Jung-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.153-161
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    • 2009
  • We consider a logistic model with random effects as the superpopulation for estimating the small area pro-portions. The best linear unbiased predictor under linear mired model is popular in small area estimation. We use this type of estimator under logistic mixed motel for the small area proportions, on which the estimation of mean squared error is also discussed. Two kinds of estimation methods, the parametric bootstrap and the linear approximation will be compared through a Monte Carlo study in the respects of the normality assumption on the random effects distribution and also the magnitude of sample sizes on the approximation.