• Title/Summary/Keyword: parameter uncertainty

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Design of DNP Controller for Robust Control of Auto-Equipment Systems (자동화 설비시스템의 강인제어를 위한 DNP 제어기 설계)

  • 조현섭
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 1999
  • In order to perform a elaborate task like as assembly, manufacturing and so forth of components, tracking control on the trajectory of power coming in contact with a target as well as tracking control on the movement course trajectory of end-effector is indispensable. In this paper, to bring under robust ard accurate control of auto-equipnent systems which disturbance, parameter alteration of system, uncertainty ard so forth exist, neural network controller called dynamic neural processor(DNP) is designed. Also, the learning architecture to compute inverse kinematic coordinates transfonnations in the manirclator of auto-equipnent systems is developed ard the example that DNP can be used is explained The architocture and learning algorithm of the proposed dynamic neural network, the DNP, are described and computer simllations are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed learning method using the DNP.he DNP.

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Probabilistic Safety Assessment for High Level Nuclear Waste Repository System

  • Kim, Taw-Woon;Woo, Kab-Koo;Lee, Kun-Jai
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.53-72
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    • 1991
  • An integrated model is developed in this paper for the performance assessment of high level radioactive waste repository. This integrated model consists of two simple mathematical models. One is a multiple-barrier failure model of the repository system based on constant failure rates which provides source terms to biosphere. The other is a biosphere model which has multiple pathways for radionuclides to reach to human. For the parametric uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for the risk assessment of high level radioactive waste repository, Latin hypercube sampling and rank correlation techniques are applied to this model. The former is cost-effective for large computer programs because it gives smaller error in estimating output distribution even with smaller number of runs compared to crude Monte Carlo technique. The latter is good for generating dependence structure among samples of input parameters. It is also used to find out the most sensitive, or important, parameter groups among given input parameters. The methodology of the mathematical modelling with statistical analysis will provide useful insights to the decision-making of radioactive waste repository selection and future researches related to uncertain and sensitive input parameters.

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A Computerized Construction Cost Estimating Method based on the Actual Cost Data (실적 공사비에 의한 예정공사비 산정 전산화 방안)

  • Chun Jae-Youl;Cho Jae-ho;Park Sang-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.2 no.2 s.6
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    • pp.90-97
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    • 2001
  • The paper considers non-deterministic methods of analysing the risk exposure in a cost estimate. The method(referred to as the 'Monte Carlo simulation' method) interprets cost data indirectly, to generate a probability distribution for total costs from the deficient elemental experience cost distribution. The Monte Carlo method is popular method for incorporating uncertainty relative to parameter values in risk assessment modelling. Non-deterministic methods, they are here presented as possibly effective foundation on which to risk management in cost estimating. The objectives of this research is to develop a computerized algorithms to forecast the probabilistic total construction cost and the elemental work cost at the planning stage.

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Analysis and Optimization of Cooperative Spectrum Sensing with Noisy Decision Transmission

  • Liu, Quan;Gao, Jun;Guo, Yunwei;Liu, Siyang
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.649-664
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    • 2011
  • Cooperative spectrum sensing (CSS) with decision fusion is considered as a key technology for tackling the challenges caused by fading/shadowing effects and noise uncertainty in spectrum sensing in cognitive radio. However, most existing solutions assume an error-free decision transmission, which is obviously not the case in realistic scenarios. This paper extends the general decision-fusion-based CSS scheme by considering the fading/shadowing effects and noise corruption in the common control channels. With this more practical model, the fusion centre first estimates the local decisions using a binary minimum error probability detector, and then combines them to get the final result. Theoretical analysis and simulation of this CSS scheme are performed over typical channels, which suggest some performance deterioration compared with the pure case that assumes an error-free decision transmission. Furthermore, the fusion strategy optimization in the proposed cooperation model is also investigated using the Bayesian criteria. The numerical results show that the total error rate of noisy CSS is higher than that of the pure case, and the optimal values of fusion parameter in the counting rule under both cases decrease as the local detection threshold increases.

Evaluation of Parameter Estimation Methods Using Uncertainty Analysis of Rainfall-Frequency Curves (강우-빈도 곡선의 불확실성 분석을 이용한 매개변수 추정법의 평가)

  • Han, Jeong-Woo;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1272-1276
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    • 2009
  • 극치강우사상에 의한 설계 홍수량의 갑작스런 증 감은 홍수, 가뭄과 같은 기상학적 요인에 기인한 재난을 발생시킨다. 많은 연구자들은 보다 정확한 확률강우량의 예측과 유출량의 예측을 위해 많은 노력을 하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 강원도 강릉 강우관측소를 대상으로 강우-빈도곡선의 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 관측 자료의 수집에서 발생하는 불확실성을 최소화 하고자 ARMA 모형을 이용하여 합성강우자료를 구축하였으며, 발생된 합성강우량을 Bootstrap 방법을 이용하여 대규모의 자료집단으로 발생시킴으로서 신뢰구간에 사용할 자료집단을 발생시켰다. 본 연구에서는 극치강우사상에 적합한 것으로 알려진 Gumbel 분포와 일반극치 분포(GEV 분포) 모형을 선정하였으며 각 확률분포모형에 대한 매개변수 추정방법으로 최우도법, 확률가중모멘트법 그리고 베이지안 추론방법을 사용하여 각 매개변수의 최후 추정치를 산정하였다. 또한 원 자료를 이용하여 최우도법, 확률가중모멘트법 그리고 베이지안 추론방법을 통해 매개변수를 산정 후 강우-빈도 곡선을 추정하여 합성강우자료의 Bootstrap 방법에 의해 발생된 자료로부터 산정한 강우-빈도 곡선의 신뢰구간과 비교함으로서 불확실성이 낮은 확률강우량을 산정할 수 있는 매개변수 추정방법을 평가하고자하였다.

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A Robust Fault Location Algorithm for Single Line-to-ground Fault in Double-circuit Transmission Systems

  • Zhang, Wen-Hao;Rosadi, Umar;Choi, Myeon-Song;Lee, Seung-Jae;Lim, Il-Hyung
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes an enhanced noise robust algorithm for fault location on double-circuit transmission line for the case of single line-to-ground (SLG) fault, which uses distributed parameter line model that also considers the mutual coupling effect. The proposed algorithm requires the voltages and currents from single-terminal data only and does not require adjacent circuit current data. The fault distance can be simply determined by solving a second-order polynomial equation, which is achieved directly through the analysis of the circuit. The algorithm, which employs the faulted phase network and zero-sequence network with source impedance involved, effectively eliminates the effect of load flow and fault resistance on the accuracy of fault location. The proposed algorithm is tested using MATLAB/Simulink under different fault locations and shows high accuracy. The uncertainty of source impedance and the measurement errors are also included in the simulation and shows that the algorithm has high robustness.

Implementation of Robust Direct Seek Control System for High-Speed Rotational Optical Disk Drives (고배속 광 디스크 드라이브를 위한 강인 직접 검색 제어 시스템의 구현)

  • Jin, Gyeong-Bok;Lee, Mun-No
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.539-546
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a new direct seek control scheme that provides fast data access capability and robust performance for high-speed rotational optical disk drives (ODD). When a disk is rotating at a high speed to obtain fast data transfer in ODD, the magnitude and frequency of velocity disturbance caused by eccentric rotation of the disk increase in proportion to the rotational speed of the disk. Such disturbances make it almost impossible for the conventional seek control scheme to achieve stable and satisfactory seek performance. We analyze the problems that may arise when the conventional seek control scheme is applied to the high-speed rotational ODD and propose a new direct seek control scheme that will solve such problems. In the proposed scheme, a seek control system is designed such that its performance is guaranteed for a set of plants with parameter perturbations. The performance of the proposed seek control scheme is shown by experiments using a high-speed rotational ODD.

Study on Streamflow Prediction Using Artificial Intelligent Technique (인공지능기법을 이용한 하천유출량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • An, Seung Seop;Sin, Seong Il
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.611-618
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    • 2004
  • The Neural Network Models which mathematically interpret human thought processes were applied to resolve the uncertainty of model parameters and to increase the model's output for the streamflow forecast model. In order to test and verify the flood discharge forecast model eight flood events observed at Kumho station located on the midstream of Kumho river were chosen. Six events of them were used as test data and two events for verification. In order to make an analysis the Levengerg-Marquart method was used to estimate the best parameter for the Neural Network model. The structure of the model was composed of five types of models by varying the number of hidden layers and the number of nodes of hidden layers. Moreover, a logarithmic-sigmoid varying function was used in first and second hidden layers, and a linear function was used for the output. As a result of applying Neural Networks models for the five models, the N10-6model was considered suitable when there is one hidden layer, and the Nl0-9-5model when there are two hidden layers. In addition, when all the Neural Network models were reviewed, the Nl0-9-5model, which has two hidden layers, gave the most preferable results in an actual hydro-event.

Reliability-Based Analysis of Slope Stability Due to Infiltration (침투에 대한 불포화 사면의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Cho, Sung-Eun;Lee, Jong-Wook;Kim, Ki-Young;Jeon, Je-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.649-654
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    • 2005
  • Shallow slope failures in residual soil during periods of prolonged infiltration are common over the world. One of the key factors that dominate slope stability is hydrological response associated with infiltration. Hence, the soil-water profile during rainfall infiltration into unsaturated soil must me examined to evaluate slope stability. However, the hydraulic response of unsaturated soil is complicated by inherent uncertainties of the soil hydraulic properties. This study presents a methodology for assessing the effects of parameter uncertainty of hydraulic properties on the response of a analytical infiltration model using first-order reliability method. The unsaturated soil properties are considered as uncertain variables with means, standard deviations, and marginal probability distributions. Sensitivities of the probabilistic outcome to the basic uncertainties in the input random variables are provided through importance factors.

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Robust Adaptive Wavelet-Neural-Network Sliding-Mode Speed Control for a DSP-Based PMSM Drive System

  • El-Sousy, Fayez F.M.
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.505-517
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, an intelligent sliding-mode speed controller for achieving favorable decoupling control and high precision speed tracking performance of permanent-magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) drives is proposed. The intelligent controller consists of a sliding-mode controller (SMC) in the speed feed-back loop in addition to an on-line trained wavelet-neural-network controller (WNNC) connected in parallel with the SMC to construct a robust wavelet-neural-network controller (RWNNC). The RWNNC combines the merits of a SMC with the robust characteristics and a WNNC, which combines artificial neural networks for their online learning ability and wavelet decomposition for its identification ability. Theoretical analyses of both SMC and WNNC speed controllers are developed. The WNN is utilized to predict the uncertain system dynamics to relax the requirement of uncertainty bound in the design of a SMC. A computer simulation is developed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed intelligent sliding mode speed controller. An experimental system is established to verify the effectiveness of the proposed control system. All of the control algorithms are implemented on a TMS320C31 DSP-based control computer. The simulated and experimental results confirm that the proposed RWNNC grants robust performance and precise response regardless of load disturbances and PMSM parameter uncertainties.