• 제목/요약/키워드: outbreak scale

검색결과 82건 처리시간 0.024초

민간소비 이상징후에 대한 속보성 모형 구축 (Establishment of Quick Model for Private Consumption Symptom)

  • 안성희;이준기;하지은
    • 한국빅데이터학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2017
  • 재난 경제학 분야의 선행연구는 대부분 뒤늦은 거시지표 또는 특정 업종에 국한된 분석형태이다. 재난 예방이 무엇보다 중요하지만, 재난 발생 즉시 파급되는 실시간 영향도 분석 및 그에 따른 재건 정책 또한 예방 못지 않은 중요한 분야이다. 본 연구는 카드사의 실시간 빅데이터를 활용한 사건 연구로 세월호 참사와 메르스 사태로 인한 민간소비의 파급효과를 분석하였으며 Marketing Mix Modeling 방법론의 Idea를 활용하였다. 분석 결과 세월호 참사는 3개월에 걸쳐 민간소비가 위축된 반면 메르스 사태는 비슷한 규모로 1개월동안 일시적인 급격한 민간소비 감소현상을 보이고, 바로 회복하는 모습을 보였다. 본 연구의 초점은 재난이 종료되지 않은 시점에서 속보성으로 피해규모가 파악이 가능한지 알아보고자 한 것이며 분석모형을 주간 단위로 설계하여 시점을 이동하면서 분석했을 경우 속보성 지표로도 의미가 있다는 것을 확인하였다. 향후 재난 또는 사건 발생시 본 연구가 직관적인 모니터링 지표로서의 초석이 되길 기대한다.

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Beyond SARS-CoV-2: Lessons That African Governments Can Apply in Preparation for Possible Future Epidemics

  • Oboh, Mary Aigbiremo;Omoleke, Semeeh Akinwale;Imafidon, Christian Eseigbe;Ajibola, Olumide;Oriero, Eniyou Cheryll;Amambua-Ngwa, Alfred
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제53권5호
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    • pp.307-310
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    • 2020
  • Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has placed unprecedented pressure on healthcare systems, even in advanced economies. While the number of cases of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa compared to other continents has so far been low, there are concerns about under-reporting, inadequate diagnostic tools, and insufficient treatment facilities. Moreover, proactiveness on the part of African governments has been under scrutiny. For instance, issues have emerged regarding the responsiveness of African countries in closing international borders to limit trans-continental transmission of the virus. Overdependence on imported products and outsourced services could have contributed to African governments' hesitation to shut down international air and seaports. In this era of emerging and re-emerging pathogens, we recommend that African nations should consider self-sufficiency in the health sector as an urgent priority, as this will not be the last outbreak to occur. In addition to the Regional Disease Surveillance Systems Enhancement fund (US$600 million) provided by the World Bank for strengthening health systems and disease surveillance, each country should further establish an epidemic emergency fund for epidemic preparedness and response. We also recommend that epidemic surveillance units should create a secure database of previous and ongoing pandemics in terms of aetiology, spread, and treatment, as well as financial management records. Strategic collection and analysis of data should also be a central focus of these units to facilitate studies of disease trends and to estimate the scale of requirements in preparation and response to any future pandemic or epidemic.

터널발파작업에 따른 방음시설의 설치시기와 방법에 대한 고찰. (A Study on the installation time and method of soundproofing facilities according to a Tunnel blasting work.)

  • 원연호;손영복;정재형
    • 대한화약발파공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한화약발파공학회 2006년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.119-140
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    • 2006
  • 발파를 통한 암반 굴착작업은 폭약의 폭발 시 발생하는 충격압과 가스압을 이용하여 암석을 파괴하며, 폭원으로 부터 3차원적으로 전파되어온 충격압에 의한 충격파는 발파에 의한 에너지의 $0.5{\sim}20%$가 탄성파의 형태로 균열대 외부의 지반속으로 전파되면서 공기매체를 타고 전달되는 것이 발파소음이다. 발파소음은 공기의 진동에 의한 음파 가운데 가청범위 ($20{\sim}20000Hz$)의 주파수를 갖는 충격성 소음으로 인체 감응에 의해 영향이 제기되는 것으로, 정신적 고통에 의한 민원발생으로 공사정지, 발파규모 축소 등으로 발파작업에 지장을 주고 있다. 본 연구는 터널발파작업에 따른 발파소음 저감을 위해 현장마다 설치하고 있는 방음시설의 설치시기와 설치방법 그리고 재질에 대하여 현장시공 사례를 통하여 고찰하였다.

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2011년 2월 11~12일 부산 근해에서 발달한 극저기압에 대한 사례연구 (A Case Study on the Polar Low Developed over the Sea Near Busan on 11~12 February 2011)

  • 이재규;김해민;김유진
    • 대기
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.301-319
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    • 2016
  • The evolutionary process of the polar low, which caused the heavy snowfall in the East Coast area on 11~12 February 2011, was investigated to describe in detail using synoptic weather charts, satellite imageries, and ERA (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis) -Interim reanalysis data. It was revealed that 1) the polar low was generated over the sea near Busan where a large cyclonic shear in the inverted trough branched from the parent low existed, 2) during the developing and mature stages, there was a convectively unstable region in the lower layer around the polar low and its south side, 3) the polar low was developed in the region where the static stability in the 500~850 hPa layer was the lowest, 4) the result from the budget analysis of the vorticity equation indicated that the increase in the vorticity at the lower atmosphere, where the polar low was located, was dominated mainly by the stretching term, 5) the warm core structure of the polar low was identified in the surface-700 hPa layer during the mature stage, 6) there was a close inverse relationship between a development of the polar low and the height of the dynamic tropopause over the polar low, and 7) for generation and development of the polar low, large-scale circulation systems, such as upper cold low and its combined short wave trough, major low (parent low), and polar air outbreak, should be presented, indicating that the polar low has the nature of the baroclinic disturbance.

우리나라 먹는물의 크립토스포리디움에 의한 건강위해도 평가 연구 (Health Risk Assessment of Cryptosporidium in Tap Water in Korea)

  • 이목영;박상정;조은주;박수정;한선희;권오상
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.32-42
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Cryptosporidium, a protozoan parasite, has been recognized as a frequent cause of waterborne disease due to its extremely strong resistance against chlorine disinfection. Although there has as yet been no report of a Cryptosporidium outbreak through drinking water in Korea, it is important to estimate the health risk of Cryptosporidium in water supply systems because of the various infection cases in human and domestic animals and frequent detection reports on their oocysts in water environments. Methods: This study evaluated the annual infection risk of Cryptosporidium in tap water using the quantitative microbial risk assessment technique. Exposure assessment was performed upon the results of a national survey on Cryptosporidium on the water sources of 97 large-scale water purification plants in Korea, water treatment efficacy, and daily unboiled tap water consumption. The estimates of the US Environmental Protection Agency on the mean likelihood of infection from ingesting one oocyst were applied for effect assessment. Results: Using probabilistic methods, mean annual infection risk of Cryptosporidiosis by the intake of tap water was estimated to fall within the range of $2.3{\times}10^{-4}$ to $1.0{\times}10^{-3}$ (median $5.7{\times}10^{-4}$). The risk in using river sources was predicted to be four times higher than with lake sources. With 0.5-log higher removal efficacy, the risk was estimated to be $1.8{\times}10^{-4}$, and could then be lowered by one-third. Conclusions: These estimations can be compared with acceptable risk and then used to determine the adequacy and priority of various drinking water quality strategies such as the establishment of new treatment technology.

코로나바이러스감염증-19 (COVID-19) 백신 접종 후 재발한 대상포진 치험 1례 (A Case of Recurrent Herpes Zoster after Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) Vaccination)

  • 송지훈;박수연
    • 한방안이비인후피부과학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.181-197
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    • 2021
  • Objectives : This study reports a 42-year old female inpatient who visited for recurrent herpes zoster on the right hand and right side of the face on 5 days after coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination. She already had 2 times of herpes zoster prior to this outbreak. Methods : During 10 days of hospitalization, both treatments were simultaneously applied to her. For Korean medical treatment, acupuncture, herbal medicine including Sipjeondaebo-tang, and Hominis Placenta pharmacopuncture were mainly used. Collaborating with internal medicine of our hospital, essential medications for herpes zoster including antihistamine, corticosteroid, and acyclovir were administered. To assess symptoms, taking photos and numerical rating scale(NRS) were used. Results : On the 3rd day of hospitalization, erythema on the right hand disappeared. On the 4th day, discomfort arisen by zoster lesions dropped from NRS 8, which was initially evaluated, to NRS 0. Facial lesion also steadily improved. At the moment of discharge, erythema on the right side of oral angle disappeared and mild traces of vesicular lesions remained on the right hand. Conclusions : Considering her medical history, the recent recurrent herpes zoster was suspected as an adverse event of COVID-19 vaccination. Unlike general course of herpes zoster, the skin lesions and discomfort were rapidly improved owing to the collaborated treatment during the 10 days. This study may be the first literature on herpes zoster following COVID-19 vaccination in Korea.

A comparative study of the psychological impacts of tasks related and unrelated to COVID-19 on nurses: a cross-sectional study

  • Kim, Hyun Ji;Lee, Geon Ho
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2022
  • Background: This study assessed the psychological impact of the outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on university hospital nurses. It provides an assessment of mental health issues, including depression, anxiety, distress, and burnout of nurses dealing directly and indirectly with COVID-19. Methods: In a web-based, cross-sectional study, 111 nurses from Daegu Catholic University Hospital in Korea were enrolled from August 4 to August 9, 2020. Patient Health Questionnaire-9, Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7, Impact of Event Scale-Revised, and Maslach Burnout Inventory were used to assess the psychological symptoms of depression, anxiety, psychological distress, and burnout among the study participants. Results: Of 111 nurses, 35 (31.5%), nine (8.1%), 26 (23.4%), and 49 (44.1%) experienced depression, anxiety, distress, and burnout, respectively. Nurses who performed COVID-19-related tasks were more likely to have moderate depression (related vs. unrelated, 52.0% vs. 25.6%; p=0.037). There were no differences in anxiety, distress, and burnout between nurses with and without COVID-19-related tasks. More than 50% of the participants showed receptive and positive attitudes toward caring for COVID-19 patients. Conclusion: Nurses who performed COVID-19-related tasks had a higher risk of depression. There were no significant differences in anxiety, distress, and burnout between the two groups. Since nurses who perform COVID-19-related tasks are more prone to psychological distress, continued psychiatric interventions are required for infectious disease outbreaks with a high mortality rate for healthcare workers who are emotionally vulnerable.

코로나바이러스 감염증(COVID-19) 전담병원 중환자실 간호사의 외상 후 스트레스 장애 영향 요인 (Factors Influencing Post-traumatic Stress Disorder in Intensive Care Unit Nurses in Dedicated Hospitals for Coronavirus 19)

  • 정현옥;박혜자
    • 동서간호학연구지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.170-178
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aimed to identify the factors influencing post-traumatic stress disorder in intensive care unit nurses in dedicated hospitals for coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) during the peak of the outbreak. Methods: This study used a cross-sectional correlational design. A total of 100 participants completed questionnaires comprising the Impact of Event Scale-Revised (IES-R), coping strategy indicator, social support, and post-traumatic growth. Post-traumatic stress disorder was classified as normal, mild risk, and high risk. Data were analyzed using 𝛘2 test, Fisher's exact test, Kruskal-Wallis test with multiple comparison analysis, Pearson correlation coefficient, and multinominal logistic regression analysis. Results: Fifty seven nurses (57.0%) had a high risk of post-traumatic stress. Higher levels of post traumatic stress were associated with higher levels of social support seeking, and higher levels of avoidance, and lower levels of social support from supervisors. Higher post traumatic growth was correlated with higher social support for seeking coping, and problem solving coping strategies, and social support from supervisors and colleagues. Post-traumatic stress risk was associated with social support seeking and supervisors' social support. In addition, a higher risk of post-traumatic stress was related to COVID-19 work duration and supervisors' social support. Conclusion: Supportive programs, including increasing social support and building coping skills, may be suggested to safeguard the mental health of critical care nurses during the pandemic.

한국 코로나19 유행기에 대한 제안 (Suggestions for Setting on Period of Epidemic Waves in COVID-19 Epidemic of South Korea)

  • 이무식
    • 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: In the epidemiology of communicable diseases, the term epidemic period, also referred to as "wave" is often used in the general and academic milieu. A wave refers to a natural pattern of increase in the number of sick individuals, a defined peak, and then a decline in the number of cases. It implies a pattern of peaks and valleys after a particular peak is taken. The idea of epidemic waves is a useful tool for predicting the course as well as helping to accurately describe an epidemic. However, in many domestic and foreign news as well as in various research results in Korea, most of the reports either had no standard, were inaccurate, had a questionable classification of the period of the epidemic, or the basis for classification of a given wave was not presented. Methods: The author reviewed and organized related literature with epidemic wave. The author made several suggestions of an epidemic wave as follows. Results: To start with, it should be based on the number of incident cases in consideration of the size of the outbreak, then the period from the bottom to the peak and then reaching the next bottom; also, the period over a certain scale based on the number of incident cases; and the period according to the change in the major infection type (mutation-dominant species). In addition, according to the period of change in the vaccination rate (formation of herd immunity), as well as the content and duration of the intervention, that is, classification according to the applied quarantine stage. Furthermore, the classification of epidemic periods by the time-dependent reproduction number or time-varying reproduction number (Rt), and lastly the application of mathematical methodology. Conclusions: Therefore, classifying the epidemic period into generally known and accepted time frames is considered to be a very important task for future research analysis and development of intervention strategies.

Factors Affecting Mobile Payment Acceptance and Intention: A Case Study of Hospitality Customers in Vietnam

  • PHAN, Dinh Tram Anh;NGUYEN, Thi Thuy Ngan;NGUYEN, Thi Khanh Nhi;NGUYEN, Tran Thien An;PHAN, Van Si Dan;HO, Ngoc Phuong Thao;DO, Kim Xuan;NGUYEN, Trong Luan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2022
  • The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the Vietnamese economy. In the midst of a complex disease that compelled people to limit their interaction, customers' shopping habits shifted from "offline" to "online" transactions. Mobile payments have also grown in popularity. The goal of this study is to figure out what factors influence the use of mobile payments by hotel clients in Can Tho after COVID-19. The research team also examines how those factors influence customers' willingness to use mobile payment and makes recommendations to better the current situation. Primary data was collected from 227 persons using online surveys and processed with SPSS software for this study. To analyze the correlation relationship between the elements determining the intention to use, the Cronbach alpha, EFA, Correlation, and Regression methods used to assess the scale are applied. Perceived Trustworthiness, Perceived Usefulness, and Perceived Ease of Use all have positive effects on customers' propensity to use, according to the findings. Perceived Security, on the other hand, has no bearing. The findings of this study have significant theoretical and practical implications for the development of mobile payment services in Can Tho, particularly following the implementation of COVID-19.