• Title/Summary/Keyword: option market

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A Study on the 'Extended' DSM Programs in Korean LNG Market (산업용 천연가스 수요관리 프로그램 최적화를 위한 동태적 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Han-Soo;Choi, Ki-Ryun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.211-231
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    • 2002
  • This paper summarizes the results of a study that assess how a demand side management (DSM) system addresses key economic and environmental challenges facing in the Korean natural gas sector considering; ${\bullet}$ high discrepancies of seasonal consumption volume and of load factor in unmatured domestic LNG market, ${\bullet}$ unfavorable and volatile international LNG market, imposing with the contestable "take-or-pay" contract terms, ${\bullet}$ low profile of LNG and existence of market barriers against an optimal fuel mix status in the industrial energy sector. A particular focus of this study is to establish an 'extended' DSM system in the unmatured gas market, especially in industry sector, that could play a key role to assure an optimum fuel mix scheme. Under the concept of 'extended' DSM, a system dynamics modeling approach has been introduced to explore the option to maximize economic benefits in terms of the national energy system optimization, entailing different ways of commitments accounting for different DSM measures and time delay scenarios. The study concludes that policy options exist that can reduce inefficiencies in gas industry and end-use system at no net costs to national economy. The most scenarios find that, by the year 2015, it is possible to develop a substantial potential of increased industrial gas end-uses under more reliable and stable load patterns. Assessment of sensitivity analysis suggests that time delay factor, in formulating DSM scenarios, plays a key role to overcome various market barriers in domestic LNG market and provides a strong justification for the policy portfolios 'just in time' (time accurateness), which eventually contribute to establish an optimum fuel mix strategy. The study indicates also the needs of advanced studies based on SD approach to articulate uncertainty in unmatured energy market analysis, including gas.

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Understanding Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model

  • Lee, Eun-Kyung;Lee, Yoon-Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.459-479
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    • 2007
  • Theories related to financial market has received big attention from the statistics community. However, not many courses on the topic are provided in statistics departments. Because the financial theories are entangled with many complicated mathematical and physical theories as well as ambiguously stated financial terminologies. Based on our experience on the topic, we try to explain the rather complicated terminologies and theories with easy-to-understand words. This paper will briefly cover the topics of basic terminologies of derivatives, Black-Scholes pricing idea, and related basic mathematical terminologies.

THE EXISTENCE OF THE RISK-EFFICIENT OPTIONS

  • Kim, Ju Hong
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2014
  • We prove the existence of the risk-efficient options proposed by Xu [7]. The proof is given by both indirect and direct ways. Schied [6] showed the existence of the optimal solution of equation (2.1). The one is to use the Schied's result. The other one is to find the sequences converging to the risk-efficient option.

특허가치 평가방법론의 이론적 고찰

  • 원정욱;전학성;박태웅
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.165-181
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    • 2002
  • A variety of methods of patent valuation are written in this paper. The typical methods such as scoring method, income approach method, market approach method, DCF method, real option method, are introduced in this paper and each of them is criticized respectively. A new method, so called "GVP Method", is introduced and shows how much effective it is when patent valuation is required. And specially MPEG patent licensing method is introduced in this paper.his paper.

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RISK MEASURE PRICING AND HEDGING IN THE PRESENCE OF TRANSACTION COSTS

  • Kim, Ju-Hong
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.23 no.1_2
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    • pp.293-310
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    • 2007
  • Recently a risk measure pricing and hedging is replacing a utility-based maximization problem in the literature. In this paper, we treat the optimal problem of risk measure pricing and hedging in the friction market, i.e. in the presence of transaction costs. The risk measure pricing is also verified with the contexts in the literature.

A Study on Valuation of Foreign Real Estate Investment using Real Option (실물옵션을 이용한 해외 부동산 투자 가치평가 연구)

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan;Ping, Wang;Jang, Seong Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.5465-5475
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    • 2013
  • In this study, when to invest in real estate abroad, to present a real option in the way of decision-making. Thus, by using the binomial option model of one of the real thing and DCF, we compared the choice of real estate investment in China and South Korea. Research concerns the real estate market of Shanghai and Seoul, Analyzed the data between 2001-2009. Results were calculated NPV investment period (Net Present Value), Seoul appears in 435.44, Shanghai was 398.26. Investment decision by NPV method will select Seoul. However, as a result of calculating the value using the real option, it was found that for Seoul appear in 615.4, Shanghai has been shown to 626.1, and is suitable for investment in Shanghai. Assuming on the basis of this, that it has invested in practice, and compare the results, Seoul is intended for since 2010, real estate prices fell to 2013 currently, damage has occurred, profit's occurred Shanghai. This ensures that when making decisions in real estate investment and to use the real option than the existing DCF is appropriate.

The Non-Market Value of Science Museum (과학관 시설의 비시장적 가치)

  • Gwak Seung Jun;Yu Seung Hun;Heo Jae Yong;Lee Ju Seok
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2005
  • As a scientific educational facility, the role of science museum has been enlarged. However there are few study to evaluate the public value of science museum. This paper applies a conjoint analysis to measuring the public value of science museum. At first, this paper chose the attributes of science museum and derived the marginal willingness to pay, As a result, the choice works for selecting a preferred option among three alternatives were within respondents' ability and the derived marginal willingness-to-pay estimates were statistically different from zero. This paper contributes to complementing the existing valuation methods by estimating the attributes of science museum and providing policy-makers with useful methodological framework and quantitative information in the decision-making process related to the policy of cultural facilities.

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Optimal Asset Allocation with Minimum Performance and Inflation Risk (최소 자산제약 및 인플레이션을 고려한 자산 할당에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.167-181
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    • 2013
  • We investigate the dynamic asset allocation problem under inflation risk when the wealth of an investor is constrained with minimum requirements. To capture the investor's risk preference, the CRRA utility function is considered and he maximizes his expected utility at predetermined date of the refund by participation in the financial market. The financial market is supposed to consist of three kinds of financial instruments which are a risk free asset, a risky asset, and an index bond. The role of an index bond is managing inflation risk represented by price process. The optimal wealth and the optimal asset allocation are derived explicitly by using the method to get the European call option pricing formula. From the numerical results, it is confirmed that the investments on index bond is high when the investor's wealth level is low. However, as his wealth increases, the investments on index bond decreases and he invests on risky asset more. Furthermore, the minimum wealth constraint induces lower investment on risky asset but the effect of the constraints is reduced as the wealth level increases.

Current Status and Future Prospect of Terrestrial Solar Cell Applications

  • Jung, Sung-Wook;Kim, Young-Kuk;Yi, Jun-Sin
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.1125-1128
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    • 2009
  • Conversion of light energy to electrical energy by using a solar cell has long been considered as one of the option for an electrical energy supply in the future. In the past, commercial use was restricted largely to remote area applications where conventional electricity is expensive. Recently, the major application of the solar cells changed to become generation of residential electricity in urban areas where the electricity is already supplied by the conventional grid. This paper covers the current market and technology status of the solar cells and future prospect of their terrestrial applications. Reviewing market trend, this paper discusses high efficiency approach in silicon solar cells, low cost approach in silicon solar cells and finally covers future prospects of silicon solar cells.

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Analysis of Chinese Provinces for Introduction of Reverse Mortgage Scheme Using Principal Component Analysis (주성분분석을 활용한 중국 행정구역별 역모기지 도입 순위 분석)

  • Wang, Ping;Kim, Jipyo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.205-214
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    • 2014
  • As a result of the rapid economic growth and birth control policy, China is experiencing low fertility rates and increasing life expectancy, which makes Chinese population aging very quickly and unprepared for their retired life. The reverse mortgage may be an attractive option for the elderly because it is a loan against a house that they do not have to pay back as long as they live there. In this paper, in order to introduce the reverse mortgage scheme in China the factors that could influence the demand of reverse mortgage are reviewed and the Chinese market environment is analyzed. Then the principal component analysis is performed in order to recommend the regions or cities that have higher potential for successful implementation of a reverse mortgage than any other ones in China.