• 제목/요약/키워드: opportunity cost theory

검색결과 22건 처리시간 0.024초

연기옵션을 고려한 옵션가치의 일반적 기회비용 모델 (The Multi-Period Opportunity Cost Model to Evaluate an Option Value based on a Deferral Option)

  • 김규태
    • 산업공학
    • /
    • 제18권2호
    • /
    • pp.184-192
    • /
    • 2005
  • In recent research there has been intense interest in understanding how real option valuation (ROV) approaches might usefully complement conventional discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques. However, investment decision makers in a real world have been worried about adopting the ROV approaches mainly because of difficulty in technically understanding the theory of the ROV approaches as indicated by many researchers. With this difficulty in mind, we propose the opportunity cost model as another discrete-time model to value a deferral option. The main advantage of observing a real options value in terms of the opportunity cost concept is to provide a technique for practitioners to estimate a wide range of real options values without sticking to a financial option modelling. The fundamental ground for developing the opportunity cost model proposed in this paper lies in the work of dissecting the structure of the real options value into three categories: capital gain, expected opportunity loss, and expected opportunity gain. At the end of the paper, we will present a short illustrative example to demonstrate the applicability of the model.

무효전력 기회비용을 반영한 전력시장 입찰전략 연구 (Bidding Strategies with the Opportunity Cost of Reactive Power in a Competitive Market)

  • 이광호
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제53권1호
    • /
    • pp.67-72
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper addresses the bidding strategies of generating firms in a competitive market where the firms are provided with payment for generating reactive power. Reactive support for voltage control is an integral and critical part of power system operations. Since reactive support is unbundled in a competitive market under open access transmission, it is treated as one of ancillary services. The operation costs and opportunity costs for reactive support are compensated by payment to the firms, hence their bidding strategies will be affected. The opportunity costs are evaluated from the foregone profits of a generator in making sales in real power market by providing reactive support instead of real power. Game theory approach is used to analysis the transaction strategies of real power by the bimatrix method in this paper. Through computing the Nash equilibrium in a sample system, an incentive of a generator for improving the reactive generating capacity is found to be effective and the variations of the profits are analyzed as the demand power factor changes.

Contemporary Chinese Households' Food Away From Home Expenditure and Becker's Household Production Theory

  • Kim Eon-Jin;Chern Wen S.
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
    • /
    • 제6권1호
    • /
    • pp.17-28
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study examines factors determining contemporary Chinese households' food away from home (FAFH) expenditures using Becker's household production theory. Data came from the 2000 urban household survey in Guangdong Province, collected by National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. It was revealed that the contemporary urban Chinese wives also substitute their household work by time-saving product, FAFH, as Becker's household production theory postulated. This suggests the important role of time-value (opportunity cost) in determining household FAFH expenditure across the cultures.

KOSPI200 선물 유지증거금률에 대한 실증연구 (Analysis of the maintenance margin level in the KOSPI200 futures market)

  • 김준;김영식
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제8권2호
    • /
    • pp.85-95
    • /
    • 2005
  • The margin level in the futures market platys an important role in balancing the default probability with the investor's opportunity cost. In this paper, we investigate whether the movement of KOSPI200 futures daily prices can be modeled with the extreme value theory. Based on this investigation, we examine the validity of the margin level set by the extreme value theory. Moreover, we propose an expected profit-maximization model for securities companies. In this model, the extreme value theory is used for cost estimation, and a regression analysis is used for revenue calculation. Computational results are presented to compare the extreme value distribution with the empirical distribution of margin violation in KOSPI200 and to examine the suitability of the expected profit-maximization model.

  • PDF

Fixed Versus Floating Interest Rates in Shipping Finance: A Behavioral Finance Perspective

  • Kim, Wu-Seok
    • 한국항해항만학회지
    • /
    • 제45권5호
    • /
    • pp.259-275
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the decision-making process in ship finance for the choice between fixed and floating interest rates using behavioral finance theories. Results confirmed that causes and background of decision-making processes could be explicitly explained by the framework of behavioral finance theories. This study also determined whether decisions were irrational. A case-study research was applied as the methodology. Decision-making data on ship finance collected through narrative and questionnaire responses were analyzed and evaluated using behavioral finance theories. Theories of behavioral finance used in the analysis and research of this study included availability heuristic, anchoring effect, and opportunity cost theory. Narrative and survey responses were clearly explained by theories of behavioral finance. It was found that a shipping company suffered additional losses owing to decisions that included behavioral finance errors. Behavioral finance theories largely influenced the decision-making process of choosing between a fixed interest rate and a floating interest rate. Shipping finance decisions related to interest rate selections could be clearly explained by behavioral finance theories. Errors related to behavioral finance could result in irrational decisions. Thus, managers who are responsible for shipping finance should remain vigilant toward any behavioral finance errors when making shipping finance decisions.

기회비용개념을 이용한 실물옵션가치분석 (Pricing Real Options Value Based On the Opportunity Cost Concept)

  • 김규태;김윤배
    • 경영과학
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.29-39
    • /
    • 2001
  • Traditionally, companies have been concerned with making an investment decision either to go now or never to go forever. However, owing to the development of the theory of options pricing in a financial investment field and its introduction to the appraisal of real investments in these days, we are now partially allowed to derive the value of a managerial flexibility of real investment projects. In this paper, we derived a general mathematical model to price the option value of real investment projects assuming that they have only one-period of time under which uncertainty exists. This mathematical model was developed based on the opportunity cost concept. We will show a simple numerical example to illustrate how the mathematical model works comparing it with the existing models.

  • PDF

건설공사의 공기지연과 기회이익의 손실보전에 관한 연구 (A Study on Recoverability of Opportunity Profits Loss upon Time-Delay in Construction Contract)

  • 전재열;이경국
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국건설관리학회 2003년도 학술대회지
    • /
    • pp.359-364
    • /
    • 2003
  • 공기지연과 관련하여 발생하는 간접비(Markup)에 구성된 잠재적 기회이익부분이 계약금액의 조정에서 제한된 계약제도, 배상요건으로서의 법익침해 해석문제, 또는 회계의 비용으로서 인식되지 않음으로 인해 배상되지 않고 있다. 국내외적으로 회계기준은 발생주의, 법익의 개념상 손해배상의 범위를 주로 제한배상주의에 기하여 채택하고 있어 불법행위에 의한 후속적 특수손해인 기회이익의 직접상실손해는 채무로서 인정되지 않아 배상되어지지 않기 때문이다. 따라서 일방의 계약위반으로 공기가 지연된다면, 그로 인한 계약당사자간의 직${\cdot}$간접적인 후속 손해가 발생하게 되므로 그 손해의 크기를 정량화하고 법규정의 배상적용타당성 검증과 배상체계에 관한 합리적 적용방안을 마련할 필요가 있다.

  • PDF

The Fundamental Understanding Of The Real Options Value Through Several Different Methods

  • Kim Gyutai;Choi Sungho
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2003년도 춘계공동학술대회
    • /
    • pp.620-627
    • /
    • 2003
  • The real option pricing theory has emerged as the new investment decision-making techniques superceding the traditional discounted cash flow techniques and thus has greatly received muck attention from academics and practitioners in these days the theory has been widely applied to a variety of corporate strategic projects such as a new drug R&D, an internet start-up. an advanced manufacturing system. and so on A lot of people who are interested in the real option pricing theory complain that it is difficult to understand the true meaning of the real option value. though. One of the most conspicuous reasons for the complaint may be due to the fact that there exit many different ways to calculate the real options value in this paper, we will present a replicating portfolio method. a risk-neutral probability method. a risk-adjusted discount rate method (quasi capital asset pricing method). and an opportunity cost concept-based method under the conditions of a binomial lattice option pricing theory.

  • PDF

대리문제가 자본구조에 미치는 효과에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effect of Agency Problems in the Determination of Capital Structure)

  • 김형준;황동섭
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제18권36호
    • /
    • pp.365-370
    • /
    • 1995
  • In recent years, there have been attempts to explain firms' capital structure based upon the agency theory which considers agency problems arising due to ownership structure. Agency theory starts from the coctractual relationship (explicit or implicit) between principals and agents. Since uncertainty exists in real world and information is distributed asymmetrically, there are conflicts between principals and agents. The objectives of this study are to analyze, based upon agency theory, factors which are expected to affect firms' capital structure and to test empirically the relevance of agency cost hypothesis about the determination of capital structure, For these purposes, this paper carried out multiple regression in order to examine whether the factors of agency costs affect significantly the determination of capital structure. The results of empirical analysis are summarrized as follows; First, insider-equity ration has been negatively correlated with capital structure. Second, growth opportunity variabless has been insignificant coefficients with capital structure.

  • PDF

An Integrated Sequential Inference Approach for the Normal Mean

  • Almahmeed, M.A.;Hamdy, H.I.;Alzalzalah, Y.H.;Son, M.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제31권4호
    • /
    • pp.415-431
    • /
    • 2002
  • A unified framework for statistical inference for the mean of the normal distribution to derive point estimates, confidence intervals and statistical tests is proposed. This optimal design is justified after investigating the basic information and requirements that are possible and impossible to control when specifying practical and statistical requirements. Point estimation is only credible when viewed in the larger context of interval estimation, since the information required for optimal point estimation is unspecifiable. Triple sampling is proposed and justified as a reasonable sampling vehicle to achieve the specifiable requirements within the unified framework.