• Title/Summary/Keyword: operational estimation

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Study on Relationship between Turn-back Time and Assignment of Trainsets (철도 차량의 반복시간과 소요량 사이의 관계 고찰)

  • Ki, Hyung-seo;Oh, Suk-mun;Park, Dongjoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.802-814
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    • 2016
  • This study examines the relationship between the operational turnaround time and the rolling stock requirements. In this study, the operational turnaround time of rolling stock is divided into physical turnback time and waiting time. This paper presents a variety of models and estimation results of the existing studies on operational turnaround time. The proposed estimation model of the operational turnaround time in this study is designed to minimize the operational turnaround time in terminus stations, while the rolling stock requirement is reduced. The developed estimation model was applied in a real-world example, and it was found that the operational turnaround time and the required rolling stocks were lessened compared with the current condition. The method presented in this paper is expected to be utilized in train operational planning and rolling stock routing plans, thereby minimizing the rolling stock requirements of existing railway operating authorities.

Improvement of Radar Rainfall Intensity and Real-time Estimation of Areal Rainfall (레이더에 의한 개선된 강우강도와 면적 강우량의 실시간 추정)

  • Jung, Sung-Hwa;Kim, Kyung-Eak;Kim, Gwang-Seob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.643-646
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    • 2006
  • An operational calibration is applied to improve radar rainfall intensity using rainfall obtained from rain gauge. The method is applied under the assumption of the temporal continuity of rainfall, the rainfall intensity from rain gauge is linearly related to that from radar. The method is applied to the cases of typhoon and rain band using the reflectivity of CAPPI at 1.5km obtained from Jindo radar. The CAPPI is obtained by bilinear interpolation. For the two cases, the rainfall intensities obtained by operational calibration are very consistent with the ones by the rain gauges. The present study shows that the correlation between the rainfall intensity by operational calibration and rain gauges is better than the one between the rainfall intensity by M-P relationship and rain gauges. The correlation coefficients between the total rainfall intensity obtained by operational calibration and rain gauges in typhoon and rain band cases are 0.99 and 0.97, respectively. Areal rainfalls are estimated using the field of calibration factor interpolated by Barnes objective analysis. The method applied here shows an improvement in the areal rainfall estimation. For the cases of typhoon and rain band, the correlation between the areal rainfall by operational calibration and rain gauges is better than the one between the area rainfall by M-P relationship and rain gauges. The correlation coefficients between the areal rainfall obtained by operational calibration and rain gauges in typhoon and rain band cases are 0.97 and 0.84, respectively. The present study suggests that the operational calibration is very useful for the real-time estimation of rainfall intensity and areal rainfall.

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Comparison of Sampling and Estimation Methods for Economic Optimization of Cumene Production Process (쿠멘 생산 공정의 경제성 최적화를 위한 샘플링 및 추정법의 비교)

  • Baek, Jong-Bae;Lee, Gibaek
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.564-573
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    • 2014
  • Economic optimization of cumene manufacturing process to produce cumene from benzene and propylene was studied. The chosen objective function was the operational profit per year that subtracted capital cost, utility cost, and reactants cost from product revenue and other benefit. The number of design variables of the optimization are 6. Matlab connected to and controlled Unisim Design to calculate operational profit with the given design variables. As the first step of the optimization, design variable points was sampled and operational profit was calculated by using Unisim Design. By using the sampled data, the estimation model to calculate the operational profit was constructed, and the optimization was performed on the estimation model. This study compared second order polynomial and support vector regression as the estimation method. As the sampling method, central composite design was compared with Hammersley sequence sampling. The optimization results showed that support vector regression and Hammersley sequence sampling were superior than second order polynomial and central composite design, respectively. The optimized operational profit was 17.96 MM$ per year, which was 12% higher than 16.04 MM$ of base case.

Estimation of Earth Outgoing Longwave Radiation from Satellite Observation

  • Oh, Sung-Nam
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.12-12
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    • 1992
  • Results from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) will help interpret the data from the operational satellite system. However, a major problem exists because a follow-on experiment to ERBE is not planned until the late 1990`s. Meanwhile, it will be necessary to provide OLR estimates from the operational satellite system. Since 1973the outgoing long wave radiation(OLR) data have been obtained by the 10#m window radiance(AVHRR) estimation technique from he observation NOAA operational satellites. However, those data have not been universall if accepted because they are estimated from the radiance in but one narrow spectral regiou. However , this type of technique has not been exploited for use with data from the ]fIRS multispectral radiometer. Since the radiance data measured by HIRS contains more: information on atmospheric variables than the AVHRR, it is a potentially better instrument for operational estimates of the OLR In this study, results from model are better flux estimates than the AVHRR, The technique is then tested by comparing simultalleous AVHRR and HIRS OLR estimations with a radiation model flux calculation froml homogeneous atmospheric scenes at the regions of desert and subtropic ocean.

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Modal Testing of Mechanical Structures Subject to Operational Excitation Forces

  • Gade, Svend;Moller, Nis B.;Herlufsen, Henrik;Brincker, Rune;Andersen, Palle
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.1162-1165
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    • 2001
  • Operational Modal Analysis also known as Output Only Modal Analysis has in the recent years been used for extracting modal parameters of civil engineering structures and is now becoming popular for mechanical structures. The advantage of the method is that no artificial excitation need to be applied to the structure or force signals to be measured. All the parameter estimation is based upon the response signals, thereby minimising the work of preparation for the test. This test case is a controlled lab set-up enabling different parameter estimation methods techniques to be used and compared to the Operational Modal Analysis. For Operational Modal Analysis two different estimation techniques are used: a non-parametric technique based on Frequency Domain Decomposition (FDD), and a parametric technique working on the raw data in time domain, a data driven Stochastic Subspace Identification (SS!) algorithm. These are compared to other methods such as traditional Modal Analysis.

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Truck Weight Estimation using Operational Statistics at 3rd Party Logistics Environment (운영 데이터를 활용한 제3자 물류 환경에서의 배송 트럭 무게 예측)

  • Yu-jin Lee;Kyung Min Choi;Song-eun Kim;Kyungsu Park;Seung Hwan Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2022
  • Many manufacturers applying third party logistics (3PLs) have some challenges to increase their logistics efficiency. This study introduces an effort to estimate the weight of the delivery trucks provided by 3PL providers, which allows the manufacturer to package and load products in trailers in advance to reduce delivery time. The accuracy of the weigh estimation is more important due to the total weight regulation. This study uses not only the data from the company but also many general prediction variables such as weather, oil prices and population of destinations. In addition, operational statistics variables are developed to indicate the availabilities of the trucks in a specific weight category for each 3PL provider. The prediction model using XGBoost regressor and permutation feature importance method provides highly acceptable performance with MAPE of 2.785% and shows the effectiveness of the developed operational statistics variables.

Development of Predicting Models of the Operating Speed Considering on Traffic Operation Characteristics and Road Alignment Factors In Express Highways (고속도로 교통운영 특성 및 도로선형요소를 반영한 주행속도 예측모형 개발)

  • Lee, Jeom-Ho;Hong, Da-Hui;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.5 s.91
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2006
  • The road should be designed in the consistent alignment which the driver can drive safely. Also, proper highway environments in order to maintain optimal operational speeds on highway sections should be provided In design stage, for highway environments, it is essential for an operational speed estimation model to different highway environments. If a method which could evaluate the status of the road safety is developed through this operational speed estimation model, it is possible to provide safe and more comfortable highways to road users. In the study factors to effect on operational speeds are classified into three groups horizontal & vertical alignments and traffic operation characteristic factors. Factors are chosen to effect on operational speeds by using collation analysis as classifications of tangent sections, horizontal curve sections and vertical curve sections. In order to develop operational speed estimation models in express highways, multi-regression analysis has been used in this study using the selected factors. This study has meaning that the developed estimation models for operational speeds and evaluation of degree of safety to horizontal and vortical alignments simultaneous. In order to represent whole area of the country with the developed models, the models should be re-analyzed with vast data related with road alignment factors in the near future.

Operational Risk Measurement of Financial Institutions via AHP (AHP 분석을 이용한 금융기관 운영리스크 측정)

  • Choi, Seung-Il
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2011
  • Basel II advanced measurement approaches for operational risk need to estimate the frequency and severity distribution of operational losses. Due to lack of internal loss data, the estimation is impossible in many cases and so external loss data might be used by scaling on asset or gross income. To get around lack of loss data, scenario analysis combined with loss distribution approach can be useful in calculating the capital charge of operational risk. However, scenario based loss distribution approach requires much time and effort. Instead we may apply the analytic hierarchy process to measure operational risk of financial institutions. The analytic hierarchy process combined with loss distribution approach is to estimate the capital charge of operational risk in other areas based on the operational VaR in an area with sufficient loss data. AHP provides a tool for timely measurement of operational risk in this rapidly changing global environment.

A Block Pulse Operational Matrices by Interpolation Polynomial (보간 다항식을 이용한 일반형 블록펄스 적분연산행렬)

  • Lee, Hae-Ki;Kim, Tai-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.07e
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    • pp.45-48
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new method for finding the Block Pulse series coefficients, deriving the Block Pulse integration operational matrices and generalizing the integration operational matrices which are necessary for the control fields using the Block Pulse functions. In order to apply the Block Pulse function technique to the problems of state estimation or parameter identification more efficiently. it is necessary to find the more exact value of the Block Pulse series coefficients and integral operational matrices.

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A MATRIX FORMULATION OF THE MIXED TYPE LINEAR VOLTERRA-FREDHOLM INTEGRAL EQUATIONS

  • Fazeli, S.;Shahmorad, S.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.29 no.5_6
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    • pp.1409-1420
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we present an operational method for solving linear Volterra-Fredholm integral equations (VFIE). The method is con- structed based on three matrices with simple structures which lead to a simple and high accurate algorithm. We also present an error estimation and demonstrate accuracy of the method by numerical examples.