• Title/Summary/Keyword: observation-error model

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Estimation of stream flow discharge using the satellite synthetic aperture radar images at the mid to small size streams (합성개구레이더 인공위성 영상을 활용한 중소규모 하천에서의 유량 추정)

  • Seo, Minji;Kim, Dongkyun;Ahmad, Waqas;Cha, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1181-1194
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    • 2018
  • This study suggests a novel approach of estimating stream flow discharge using the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images taken from 2015 to 2017 by European Space Agency Sentinel-1 satellite. Fifteen small to medium sized rivers in the Han River basin were selected as study area, and the SAR satellite images and flow data from water level and flow observation system operated by the Korea Institute of Hydrological Survey were used for model construction. First, we apply the histogram matching technique to 12 SAR images that have undergone various preprocessing processes for error correction to make the brightness distribution of the images the same. Then, the flow estimation model was constructed by deriving the relationship between the area of the stream water body extracted using the threshold classification method and the in-situ flow data. As a result, we could construct a power function type flow estimation model at the fourteen study areas except for one station. The minimum, the mean, and the maximum coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of the models of at fourteen study areas were 0.30, 0.80, and 0.99, respectively.

Retrieval Biases Analysis on Estimation of GNSS Precipitable Water Vapor by Tropospheric Zenith Hydrostatic Models (GNSS 가강수량 추정시 건조 지연 모델에 의한 복원 정밀도 해석)

  • Nam, JinYong;Song, DongSeob
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.233-242
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    • 2019
  • ZHD (Zenith Hydrostatic Delay) model is important parameter in estimating of GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) PWV (Precipitable Water Vapor) along with weighted mean temperature. The ZWD (Zenith Wet Delay) is tend to accumulate the ZHD error, so that biases from ZHD will be affected on the precision of GNSS PWV. In this paper, we compared the accuracy of GNSS PWV with radiosonde PWV using three ZHD models, such as Saastamoinen, Hopfield, and Black. Also, we adopted the KWMT (Korean Weighted Mean Temperature) model and the mean temperature which was observed by radiosonde on the retrieval processing of GNSS PWV. To this end, GNSS observation data during one year were processed to produce PWVs from a total of 5 GNSS permanent stations in Korea, and the GNSS PWVs were compared with radiosonde PWVs for the evaluating of biases. The PWV biases using mean temperature estimated by the KWMT model are smaller than radiosonde mean temperature. Also, we could confirm the result that the Saastamoinen ZHD which is most used in the GNSS meteorology is not valid in South Korea, because it cannot be exclude the possibility of biases by latitude or height of GNSS station.

A Study on the Predictability of the Number of Days of Heat and Cold Damages by Growth Stages of Rice Using PNU CGCM-WRF Chain in South Korea (PNU CGCM-WRF Chain을 이용한 남한지역 벼의 생육단계별 고온해 및 저온해 발생일수에 대한 예측성 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Hyun;Choi, Myeong-Ju;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Hur, Jina;Jo, Sera;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.577-592
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    • 2021
  • This study evaluates the predictability of the number of days of heat and cold damages by growth stages of rice in South Korea using the hindcast data (1986~2020) produced by Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model-Weather Research and Forecasting (PNU CGCM-WRF) model chain. The predictability is accessed in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Standardized Deviations (NSD), Hit Rate (HR) and Heidke Skill Score (HSS). For the purpose, the model predictability to produce the daily maximum and minimum temperatures, which are the variables used to define heat and cold damages for rice, are evaluated first. The result shows that most of the predictions starting the initial conditions from January to May (01RUN to 05RUN) have reasonable predictability, although it varies to some extent depending on the month at which integration starts. In particular, the ensemble average of 01RUN to 05RUN with equal weighting (ENS) has more reasonable predictability (RMSE is in the range of 1.2~2.6℃ and NSD is about 1.0) than individual RUNs. Accordingly, the regional patterns and characteristics of the predicted damages for rice due to excessive high- and low-temperatures are well captured by the model chain when compared with observation, particularly in regions where the damages occur frequently, in spite that hindcasted data somewhat overestimate the damages in terms of number of occurrence days. In ENS, the HR and HSS for heat (cold) damages in rice is in the ranges of 0.44~0.84 and 0.05~0.13 (0.58~0.81 and -0.01~0.10) by growth stage. Overall, it is concluded that the PNU CGCM-WRF chain of 01RUN~05RUN and ENS has reasonable capability to predict the heat and cold damages for rice in South Korea.

Prediction of Sea Water Temperature by Using Deep Learning Technology Based on Ocean Buoy (해양관측부위 자료 기반 딥러닝 기술을 활용한 해양 혼합층 수온 예측)

  • Ko, Kwan-Seob;Byeon, Seong-Hyeon;Kim, Young-Won
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.299-309
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    • 2022
  • Recently, The sea water temperature around Korean Peninsula is steadily increasing. Water temperature changes not only affect the fishing ecosystem, but also are closely related to military operations in the sea. The purpose of this study is to suggest which model is more suitable for the field of water temperature prediction by attempting short-term water temperature prediction through various prediction models based on deep learning technology. The data used for prediction are water temperature data from the East Sea (Goseong, Yangyang, Gangneung, and Yeongdeok) from 2016 to 2020, which were observed through marine observation by the National Fisheries Research Institute. In addition, we use Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM, and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) techniques that show excellent performance in predicting time series data as models for prediction. While the previous study used only LSTM, in this study, the prediction accuracy of each technique and the performance time were compared by applying various techniques in addition to LSTM. As a result of the study, it was confirmed that Bidirectional LSTM and GRU techniques had the least error between actual and predicted values at all observation points based on 1 hour prediction, and GRU was the fastest in learning time. Through this, it was confirmed that a method using Bidirectional LSTM was required for water temperature prediction to improve accuracy while reducing prediction errors. In areas that require real-time prediction in addition to accuracy, such as anti-submarine operations, it is judged that the method of using the GRU technique will be more appropriate.

Media Access Control Protocol Considering MANET of Underwater Environment (수중 환경의 MANET을 고려한 매체 접근 제어 프로토콜)

  • Shin, Seung-Won;Yun, Nam-Yeol;Lee, Jin-Young;Lee, Seung-Joo;Park, Soo-Hyun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2013
  • Underwater wireless communication systems can be useful for underwater environment observation, catastrophe prevention, ocean resources exploration, ocean organism research, vessel sinking exploration, and so on. However, unlike terrestrial wireless communication, underwater wireless communication should consider factors such as long propagation delay, limited transmission capacity, high bit-error rate due to potential loss in power, ambient noise, man-made noise, multi-path, etc., because of the inherent characteristics of water. Thus, in this paper, we propose a suitable media access control(MAC) protocol that applies a combination of the ALOHA MAC protocol and the CSMA/CA MAC protocol to underwater environment. We further propose a mathematical analysis model to evaluate performance. We also verify performance improvement in the proposed scheme in comparison with existing MAC protocols.

ORBIT DETERMINATION OF GPS AND KOREASAT 2 SATELLITE USING ANGLE-ONLY DATA AND REQUIREMENTS FOR OPTICAL TRACKING SYSTEM (GPS 위성과 무궁화 2호의 광학관측데이터를 이용한 궤도 결정 및 정밀 궤도 결정을 위한 광학관측시스템 제안)

  • Lee, Woo-Kyoung;Lim, Hyung-Chul;Park, Pil-Ho;Youn, Jae-Hyuk;Yim, Hong-Suh;Moon, Hong-Kyu
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2004
  • Gauss method for the initial orbit determination was tested using angle-only data obtained by orbit propagation using TLB and SGP4/SDP4 orbit propagation model.. As the analysis of this simulation, a feasible time span between observation time of satellite resulting the minimum error to the true orbit was found. Initial orbit determination is performed using observational data of GPS 26 and Koreasat 2 from 0.6m telescope of KAO(Korea Astronomy Observatory) and precise orbit determination is also performed using simulated data. The result of precise orbit determination shows that the accuracy of resulting orbit is related to the accuracy of the observations and the number of data.

Enhancement of Evoked Potential Waveform using Delay-compensated Wiener Filtering (지연보상 위너 필터링에 의한 유발전위 파형개선)

  • Lee, JeeEun;Yoo, Sun K.
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, the evoked potential(EP) was represented by additive delay model to comply with the variational noisy response of stimulus-event synchronization. The hybrid method of delay compensated-Wiener filtered-ensemble averaging(DWEA) was proposed to enhance the EP signal distortion occurred during averaging procedure due to synchronization timing mismatch. The performance of DWEA has been tested by surrogated simulation, which is composed of synthesized arbitrary delay and arbitrary level of added noise. The performance of DWEA is better than those of Wiener filtered-ensemble averaging and of conventional ensemble averaging. DWEA is endurable up to added noise gain of 7 for 10 % mean square error limit. Throughout the experimentation observation, it has been demonstrated that DWEA can be applied to enhance the evoked potential having the synchronization mismatch with added noise.

Numerical Investigation, Calibration Method of the Interaction between Ieodo Ocean Research Station and Ocean Current (수치해석을 이용한 이어도 기지 구조물이 해수 유동에 미치는 영향 분석과 해류 관측 평가 및 보정방안 연구)

  • Hong, Woo-Ram;Shim, Jae-Seol;Min, In-Ki;Kim, Chong-Am
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.476-483
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    • 2007
  • One of the main function of Ieodo Ocean Research Station is to service the information about the weather and fishing grounds condition which are collected through calibrating convection flow and ocean current around the station. However, due to the influence of the station's structure below sea level, it is difficult to obtain the exact flow data. Therefore, it is required to research on the effect of the structure and the method to evaluate and revise the observed data. In this paper, as a basic study, it deals with the algorithm that simulate the interaction between ocean current and the station structure, followed by discussions about the way to applicate the algorithm. Through 3-dimensional computational fluid dynamics analyses (using Navier-Stokes equations with K-turbulence model), the influence of the station and submerged rocks are quantitatively evaluated, and we would suggest methods how to obtain accurate flow information from the measured rough data.

Minimum Temperature Mapping in Complex Terrain Considering Cold Air Drainage (냉기침강효과를 고려한 복잡지형의 최저기온 분포 추정)

  • 정유란;서형호;황규홍;황범석;윤진일
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2002
  • Site-specific minimum temperature forecasts are critical in a short-term decision making procedure for preventive measures as well as a long-term strategy such as site selection in fruits industry. Nocturnal cold air pools frequently termed in mountainous areas under anticyclonic systems are very dangerous to the flowering buds in spring over Korea, but the spatial resolution to detect them exceeds the current weather forecast scale. To supplement the insufficient spatial resolution of official forecasts, we developed a GIS - assisted frost risk assesment scheme for using in mountainous areas. Daily minimum temperature data were obtained from 6 sites located in a 2.1 by 2.1 km area with complex topography near the southern edge of Sobaek mountains during radiative cooling nights in spring 2001. A digital elevation model with a 10 m spatial resolution was prepared for the entire study area and the cold air inflow was simulated for each grid cell by counting the number of surrounding cells coming into the processing cell. Primitive temperature surfaces were prepared for the corresponding dates by interpolating the Korea Meteorological Administration's automated observational data with the lapse rate correction. The cell temperature values corresponding to the 6 observation sites were extracted from the primitive temperature surface, and subtracted from the observed values to obtain the estimation error. The errors were regressed to the flow accumulation at the corresponding cells, delineating a statistically significant relationship. When we applied this relationship to the primitive temperature surfaces of frost nights during April 2002, there was a good agreement with the observations, showing a feasibility of site-specific frost warning system development in mountainous areas.

Derivation of Geostationary Satellite Based Background Temperature and Its Validation with Ground Observation and Geographic Information (정지궤도 기상위성 기반의 지표면 배경온도장 구축 및 지상관측과 지리정보를 활용한 정확도 분석)

  • Choi, Dae Sung;Kim, Jae Hwan;Park, Hyungmin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.583-598
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents derivation of background temperature from geostationary satellite and its validation based on ground measurements and Geographic Information System (GIS) for future use in weather and surface heat variability. This study only focuses on daily and monthly brightness temperature in 2012. From the analysis of COMS Meteorological Data Processing System (CMDPS) data, we have found an error in cloud distribution of model, which used as a background temperature field, and in examining the spatial homogeneity. Excessive cloudy pixels were reconstructed by statistical reanalysis based on consistency of temperature measurement. The derived Brightness temperature has correlation of 0.95, bias of 0.66 K and RMSE of 4.88 K with ground station measurements. The relation between brightness temperature and both elevation and vegetated land cover were highly anti-correlated during warm season and daytime, but marginally correlated during cold season and nighttime. This result suggests that time varying emissivity data is required to derive land surface temperature.