• Title/Summary/Keyword: observation model

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Estimation Method of Predicted Time Series Data Based on Absolute Maximum Value (최대 절대값 기반 시계열 데이터 예측 모델 평가 기법)

  • Shin, Ki-Hoon;Kim, Chul;Nam, Sang-Hun;Park, Sung-Jae;Yoo, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we introduce evaluation method of time series prediction model with new approach of Mean Absolute Percentage Error(hereafter MAPE) and Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error(hereafter sMAPE). There are some problems using MAPE and sMAPE. First MAPE can't evaluate Zero observation of dataset. Moreover, when the observed value is very close to zero it evaluate heavier than other methods. Finally it evaluate different measure even same error between observations and predicted values. And sMAPE does different evaluations are made depending on whether the same error value is over-predicted or under-predicted. And it has different measurement according to the each sign, even if error is the same distance. These problems were solved by Maximum Mean Absolute Percentage Error(hereafter mMAPE). we used the absolute maximum of observed value as denominator instead of the observed value in MAPE, when the value is less than 1, removed denominator then solved the problem that the zero value is not defined. and were able to prevent heavier measurement problem. Also, if the absolute maximum of observed value is greater than 1, the evaluation values of mMAPE were compared with those of the other evaluations. With Beijing PM2.5 temperature data and our simulation data, we compared the evaluation values of mMAPE with other evaluations. And we proved that mMAPE can solve the problems that we mentioned.

Feasibility Study on Producing 1:25,000 Digital Map Using KOMPSAT-5 SAR Stereo Images (KOMPSAT-5 레이더 위성 스테레오 영상을 이용한 1:25,000 수치지형도제작 가능성 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Suk;Jung, Hyung-Sup
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_3
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    • pp.1329-1350
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    • 2018
  • There have been many applications to observe Earth using synthetic aperture radar (SAR) since it could acquire Earth observation data without reference to weathers or local times. However researches about digital map generation using SAR have hardly been performed due to complex raw data processing. In this study, we suggested feasibility of producing digital map using SAR stereo images. We collected two sets, which include an ascending and a descending orbit acquisitions respectively, of KOMPSAT-5 stereo dataset. In order to suggest the feasibility of digital map generation from SAR stereo images, we performed 1) rational polynomial coefficient transformation from radar geometry, 2) digital resititution using KOMPSAT-5 stereo images, and 3) validation using digital-map-derived reference points and check points. As the results of two models, root mean squared errors of XY and Z direction were less than 1m for each model. We discussed that KOMPSAT-5 stereo image could generated 1:25,000 digital map which meets a standard of the digital map. The proposed results would contribute to generate and update digital maps for inaccessible areas and wherever weather conditions are unstable such as North Korea or Polar region.

The Method for Colorizing SAR Images of Kompsat-5 Using Cycle GAN with Multi-scale Discriminators (다양한 크기의 식별자를 적용한 Cycle GAN을 이용한 다목적실용위성 5호 SAR 영상 색상 구현 방법)

  • Ku, Wonhoe;Chun, Daewon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_3
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    • pp.1415-1425
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    • 2018
  • Kompsat-5 is the first Earth Observation Satellite which is equipped with an SAR in Korea. SAR images are generated by receiving signals reflected from an object by microwaves emitted from a SAR antenna. Because the wavelengths of microwaves are longer than the size of particles in the atmosphere, it can penetrate clouds and fog, and high-resolution images can be obtained without distinction between day and night. However, there is no color information in SAR images. To overcome these limitations of SAR images, colorization of SAR images using Cycle GAN, a deep learning model developed for domain translation, was conducted. Training of Cycle GAN is unstable due to the unsupervised learning based on unpaired dataset. Therefore, we proposed MS Cycle GAN applying multi-scale discriminator to solve the training instability of Cycle GAN and to improve the performance of colorization in this paper. To compare colorization performance of MS Cycle GAN and Cycle GAN, generated images by both models were compared qualitatively and quantitatively. Training Cycle GAN with multi-scale discriminator shows the losses of generators and discriminators are significantly reduced compared to the conventional Cycle GAN, and we identified that generated images by MS Cycle GAN are well-matched with the characteristics of regions such as leaves, rivers, and land.

Numerical Simulation of the Flood Event Induced Temporally and Spatially Concentrated Rainfall - On August 17, 2017, the Flood Event of Cheonggyecheon (시공간적으로 편중된 강우에 의한 홍수사상 수치모의 - 2017년 8월 17일 청계천 홍수사상을 대상으로)

  • Ahn, Jeonghwan;Jeong, Changsam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2018
  • This study identifies the cause of the accident and presents a new concept for safe urban stream management by numerical simulating the flood event of Cheonggyecheon on August 17, 2017, using rain data measured through a dense weather observation network. In order to simulate water retention in the CSO channel listed as one of the causes of the accident, a reliable urban runoff model(XP-SWMM) was used which can simulate various channel conditions. Rainfall data measured through SK Techx using SK Telecom's cell phone station was used as rain data to simulate the event. The results of numerical simulations show that rainfall measured through AWSs of Korea Meteorological Administration did not cause an accident, but a similar accident occurred under conditions of rainfall measured in SK Techx, which could be estimated more similar to actual phenomena due to high spatial density. This means that the low spatial density rainfall data of AWSs cannot predict the actual phenomenon occurring in Cheonggyecheon and safe river management needs high spatial density weather stations. Also, the results of numerical simulation show that the residual water in the CSO channel directly contributed to the accident.

Establishment and Application of Subway Line Chain OD Using SSA (SSA를 이용한 지하철 노선 Chain OD 구축 및 활용)

  • Lee, Mee Young;Nam, Doohee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.100-111
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    • 2019
  • The existing selected station analysis (SSA) method analyzes the link transfer mode data between origin and destination of individuals passing through stations from a microscopic standpoint. As such, existing SSA is insufficient as it uses integrated analysis using macroscopic data such as subway lines. This research builds a line chain OD based on path search of individual passenger's movement through the subway, and explores means to utilize the findings. First, a method is proposed that searches the traversed subway path from the linked passage modes that the passenger uses and applies the results to SSA line analysis. Compared to the existing SSA, this method provides for analysis of commonly conflicting features such as the line on which the station is passed, and the stations included on the line thanks to the presence of complete information of the individual passenger's traversed path. It also allows for integrated observation of the line chain OD that approaches a certain station. For enhanced understanding, Seoul Metro Line 9 is used as a case study to demonstrate the integrated formulation concept of line chain OD centered around a certain station as well as the macroscopic features of the traversed path that approaches stations included on the line.

Effect of Critical Cooling Rate on the Formation of Intermetallic Phase During Rapid Solidification of FeNbHfBPC Alloy

  • Kim, Song-Yi;Oh, Hye-Ryeong;Lee, A-Young;Jang, Haneul;Lee, Seok-Jae;Kim, Hwi-Jun;Lee, Min-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.235-240
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    • 2021
  • We present the effect of the critical cooling rate during rapid solidification on the nucleation of precipitates in an Fe75B13P5Nb2Hf1C4 (at.%) alloy. The thermophysical properties of the rapidly solidified Fe75B13P5Nb2Hf1C4 liquids, which were obtained at various cooling rates with various sizes of gas-atomized powder during a high-pressure inert gas-atomization process, were evaluated. The cooling rate of the small-particle powder (≤20 ㎛) was 8.4×105 K/s, which was 13.5 times faster than that of the large-particle powder (20 to 45 mm; 6.2×104 K/s) under an atomized temperature. A thermodynamic calculation model used to predict the nucleation of the precipitates was confirmed by the microstructural observation of MC-type carbide in the Fe75B13P5Nb2Hf1C4 alloy. The primary carbide phase was only formed in the large-particle gas-atomized powder obtained during solidification at a slow cooling rate compared to that of the small-particle powder.

Characteristic of cultivating theory in fables of Sam Guk Yu Sa(三國遺事; The Heritage of the Three States) reflected to "Experience-Learning" theory - In the central figure of Three Fables with Naksan temple, Bunhwang temple, and Geumsan temple ('경험-학습' 이론에 비추어 본 『삼국유사』 설화의 수양론적 특징 - 낙산사·분황사·금산사에 얽힌 세 설화를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Seung Hyun;Kim, Young Hoon;Shin, Chang Ho
    • The Journal of Korean Philosophical History
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    • no.32
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    • pp.371-394
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    • 2011
  • Buddhism have affected Korea traditional education very much. Sam Guk Yu Sa is a book which includes the public disposition grounded on world view of Buddhism. In the wide scope, the public disposition relates to their cultivating education. This paper reviewed cultivating education grounded on John Dewey "experience-learning" model about the Buddhistic public disposition appearing in Sam Guk Yu Sa. "Meaning-experience" as "adult-becoming" appearing in Sam Guk Yu Sa shows a strong characteristic of cultivating education when we see on a creative horizon in the Buddhistic world. Dewey-Deleuze's cultivating education which modernizes the theory of John Dewey meets at the place of the public disposition and three fables of Sam Guk Yu Sa grounded on the Buddhistic world. This could open possibility to interpret the cultivating theory of Korea traditional thought and western educational theory with interdigitation. Fables of Sam Guk Yu Sa dealt with growth and maturity of the public from Buddhist monk to folk wishes to achieve Bulgukto(佛國土; the land with Buddha) through the process of cultivating education which leads to "impulse-observation-knowledge-determination." In these series of process for "adult-becoming," life itself possesses characteristic of cultivating theory. In this respect, fables of Sam Guk Yu Sa shows Korea traditional cultivating theory and can be a role of a discourse book for cultivating educational theory which could relate to western educational theory.

A Study on Science Teaching Orientation and PCK Components as They Appeared in Science Lessons by an Experienced Elementary Teacher: Focusing on 'Motion of Objects' and 'Light and Lens' (한 초등 경력교사의 과학수업에서 나타나는 과학 교수지향과 PCK 요소들 사이의 관련성 탐색 -물체의 운동과 빛과 렌즈 단원을 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Chaeyeon;Song, Jinwoong
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.155-169
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    • 2021
  • This study aims at exploring the features of science teaching orientation (STO) and its relationships with other PCK (pedagogical content knowledge) components. To do this, based on the definition of STO by Friedrichsen, Driel, & Abell(2011) and PCK model by Magnusson, Krajcik, & Borko(1999), we observed one experienced elementary teacher's science lessons for 21 lesson hours (10 hours of 'Motion of Objects' and 11 hours of 'Light and Lens') and carried out qualitative analyses of the data obtained from lessons observation, teacher interviews, and CoRe (content representation) responses. We analyzed the teacher's three aspects of STO (i.e. beliefs about the goals and purpose of science teaching, beliefs about the nature of science, and beliefs about science teaching and learning) which can converge into an overall STO of 'inquiry'. And these aspects of STO appear to interact differently with four PCK components (i.e. curriculum knowledge, learner knowledge, instructional knowledge, and assessment knowledge) depending on the topic of the lesson. It is hoped that this in-depth understanding of the features of STO and its relationship with other PCK components would provide useful information on how to monitor and improve STO and PCK of elementary teachers.

Development and Application of Literacy Education program using Coaching methods (코칭기법을 활용한 문해교육프로그램 개발 및 적용)

  • Yang, Bog Yi;Kim, Jin Sook
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.261-268
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    • 2021
  • After developing literacy education programs using coaching techniques, applying them to literacy learners, in order to see how they have an impact on improving learning achievement, we selected 13 senior literacy learners in U city and chose qualitative research method based on in-depth interviews, observation journals, and learning materials. Literature education programs using coaching techniques are a process-oriented model consisting of four stages of mind-opening, introducing positivity, strengthening learning competence and assistance, confidence and persistence. You can find the results as following. Firstly, communication between teachers and learners was expanded in the first stage, and secondly, self-directed learning ability was strengthened in the second stage by forming a positive mind. Thirdly, the results of utilizing the three-stage balanced literacy teaching method and interaction teaching method resulted in confidence in reading and writing, leading to an increase in self-efficacy. Fourthly, the fourth stage showed the results of improving learning achievement, which overcame the fear of learning with active praise and continuous encouragement and implied hope for higher courses. As a result of the above-mentioned research, I think literacy education programs using coaching techniques can be useful as an educational method for learners in the field of literacy education.

Changes in the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Precipitation Due to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 강수량의 시공간적 발생 패턴의 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Dae-Jun;Kang, DaeGyoon;Park, Joo-Hyeon;Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Yongseok
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.424-433
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    • 2021
  • Recent climate change has caused abnormal weather phenomena all over the world and a lot of damage in many fields of society. Particularly, a lot of recent damages were due to extreme precipitation, such as torrential downpour or drought. The objective of this study was to analyze the temporal and spatial changes in the precipitation pattern in South Korea. To achieve this objective, this study selected some of the precipitation indices suggested in previous studies to compare the temporal characteristics of precipitation induced by climate change. This study selected ten ASOS observatories of the Korea Meteorological Administration to understand the change over time for each location with considering regional distribution. This study also collected daily cumulative precipitation from 1951 to 2020 for each point. Additionally, this study generated high-resolution national daily precipitation distribution maps using an orographic precipitation model from 1981 to 2020 and analyzed them. Temporal analysis showed that although annual cumulative precipitation revealed an increasing trend from the past to the present. The number of precipitation days showed a decreasing trend at most observation points, but the number of torrential downpour days revealed an increasing trend. Spatially, the number of precipitation days and the number of torrential downpour days decreased in many areas over time, and this pattern was prominent in the central region. The precipitation pattern of South Korea can be summarized as the fewer precipitation days and larger daily precipitation over time.