• 제목/요약/키워드: national statistical system

검색결과 1,557건 처리시간 0.034초

고속축중계 자료를 이용한 차량하중 다차로재하계수 결정 (Determination of Multi-Lane Loading Factors for Vehicular Load of Bridges using Weigh-In-Motion Data)

  • 황의승;응위엔 티 행
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문의 목적은 인접차로에서 동시에 주행하는 차량재하의 확률과 실제 차량의 중량을 고려하여 합리적인 다차로 재하계수를 제시하는 것이다. 차량동시재하의 확률은 국내 여러 곳에서 촬영한 비디오영상으로부터 분석되었으며 중차량의 중량은 국내 두 곳에서 Weigh-In-Motion시스템으로부터 계측한 자료를 이용하였다. 이 두 자료를 대표적인 2차로교량과 5차로교량에 각각 적용하여 다차로재하계수를 계산하였다. 또한 본 논문에서 제시한 동시재하확률 및 WIM자료의 중량이 국내의 지역별 특성을 대표하는 값으로 가정하여 다차로재하계수의 통계적인 특성을 산출하였다. 본 논문의 결과는 국내외의 교량 설계기준과 비교하였으며 그 결과 현행 국내의 도로교설계기준의 값보다는 작고, 유로코드 및 AASHTO LRFD기준보다는 큰 값을 나타냈으며 전체적으로 캐나다의 설계기준과 유사한 값을 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

The Operational Procedure on Estimating Typhoon Center Intensity using Meteorological Satellite Images in KMA

  • Park, Jeong-Hyun;Park, Jong-Seo;Kim, Baek-Min;Suh, Ae-Sook
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.278-281
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    • 2006
  • Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) has issued the tropical storm(typhoon) warning or advisories when it was developed to tropical storm from tropical depression and a typhoon is expected to influence the Korean peninsula and adjacent seas. Typhoon information includes current typhoon position and intensity. KMA has used the Dvorak Technique to analyze the center of typhoon and it's intensity by using available geostationary satellites' images such as GMS, GOES-9 and MTSAT-1R since 2001. The Dvorak technique is so subjective that the analysis results could be variable according to analysts. To reduce the subjective errors, QuikSCAT seawind data have been used with various analysis data including sea surface temperature from geostationary meteorological satellites, polar orbit satellites, and other observation data. On the other hand, there is an advantage of using the Subjective Dvorak Technique(SDT). SDT can get information about intensity and center of typhoon by using only infrared images of geostationary meteorology satellites. However, there has been a limitation to use the SDT on operational purpose because of lack of observation and information from polar orbit satellites such as SSM/I. Therefore, KMA has established Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique(AODT) system developed by UW/CIMSS(University of Wisconsin-Madison/Cooperative Institude for Meteorological Satellite Studies) to improve current typhoon analysis technique, and the performance has been tested since 2005. We have developed statistical relationships to correct AODT CI numbers according to the SDT CI numbers that have been presumed as truths of typhoons occurred in northwestern pacific ocean by using linear, nonlinear regressions, and neural network principal component analysis. In conclusion, the neural network nonlinear principal component analysis has fitted best to the SDT, and shown Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) 0.42 and coefficient of determination($R^2$) 0.91 by using MTSAT-1R satellite images of 2005. KMA has operated typhoon intensity analysis using SDT and AODT since 2006 and keep trying to correct CI numbers.

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연속적 결측이 존재하는 기온 자료에 대한 결측복원 기법의 비교 (A comparison of imputation methods for the consecutive missing temperature data)

  • 김희경;강인경;이재원;이영섭
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.549-557
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    • 2016
  • 장기간의 기후 자료가 누적되다 보면 자료의 수집과정에서 시스템적 오류나 측정 장비의 고장 등으로 인하여 연속적 결측이 종종 발생하게 된다. 연속적인 결측 형태를 갖는 경우 시계열 결측 자료를 대체하는 것에 어려움이 따른다. 이러한 경우 참조시계열을 이용하여 결측값을 대체할 수 있다. 참조시계열은 결측이 발생한 시계열과 관련성이 높은 주변지점의 시계열로 구성할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 결측값을 대체시킬 수 있는 3가지 결측복원 기법-수정된 정규화비율 방법, 회귀 방법, IDW 방법-을 비교하는 시뮬레이션을 수행하였다. 우리나라 14개 지점의 기후관측소의 일평균기온값을 대상으로 비교한 결과 남쪽 해안가에 위치한 기후관측소의 자료에 대해서는 IDW 방법이 가장 정확한 것으로 나타났으며, 그 외 지역의 기후관측소 자료에 대해서는 회귀 방법이 가장 정확한 것으로 나타났다.

Prevalence and risk factors of helminth infections in cattle of Bangladesh

  • Rahman, A.K.M.A.;Begum, N.;Nooruddin, M.;Rahman, Md. Siddiqur;Hossain, M.A.;Song, Hee-Jong
    • 한국동물위생학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.265-273
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    • 2009
  • A cross-sectional survey was undertaken to identify risk factors and clinical signs associated with parasitic helminth infections of cattle in Mymensignh district of Bangladesh. A nonrandom convenience sampling method was used to select 138 animals from 40 farmers/herds. The eggs per gram of faeces (epg) for nematodes and trematodes were determined by McMaster and Stoll's methods respectively. Animal-level and herd-level data were recorded by means of a questionnaire. Multi-collinearity amongst explanatory variables were assessed using $2{\times}2{\times}\;X^2$ test and one variable in a pair was dropped if $P{\leq}0.05$ formultiple logistic regression models. Association study between outcome and explanatory variables was conducted using classification tree, random forests and multiple logistic regression. A positive epg was considered as infected. Analyses were performed using $STATA^{(R)}$, version 8.0/Intercooled and $R^{(R)}$, Version 2.3.0. Seventy eight percent of the cattle were found to be infected with at least one type of helminth. Twenty four pairs of combinations of explanatory variables showed significant associations. Male animals (OR=3.3, P=.006, 95% CI=1.4, 7.7) were associated with significantly increased prevalence of nematode infection. Female cattle of the study area are mostly cross-breed, kept indoor, fed relatively good diet and not used for draught purpose. Males are used for draught purpose thereby more exposed to nematode infective stage and provided with relatively poor diet. So stressed male cattle may become more susceptible to nematode infection. All of the three statistical techniques selected gender and lumen motility as most important variables in association with nematode infection in cattle. The result of this survey can only be extrapolated to the periurban cattle population of traditional management system.

Eddy Kinetic Energy in the East Sea Estimated from Topex/Poseidon Altimeter Measurements

  • Cho Kwangwoo;Cho Kyu-Dae
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2002
  • Based on the five-year (October 1992 through September 1997) Topex/Poseidon altimeter measurements, we describe the statistical characteristics of the eddy variability in the East Sea in terms of sea surface height anomaly, slope variability, and eddy kinetic energy (EKE). The sea surface height anomalies in the East Sea are produced with standard corrections from Topex/Poseidon measurements. In order to eliminate the high frequency noise in the sea surface height anomaly data, the alongtrack height anomaly data was filtered by about 40 km low-pass Lanczos filter based on Strub et al. (1997) and Kelly et a1. (1998). We find that there exists a distinct spatial contrast of high eddy variability in the south and low eddy energy in the north, bordering the Polar Front. In the northwestern area $(north\;of\;39^{\circ}N\;and\;west\;of\;133^{\circ}E)$ from the Polar Front where the eddies frequently appear, the EKE is also considerabel. The high kinetic energy in the southern East Sea reveals a close connection with the paths of the Tsushima Warm Current, suggesting that the high variability in the south is mainly generated by the baroclinic instability process of the Tsushima Warm Current. This finding is supported by other studies (Fu and Zlontnicki, 1989; Stammer, 1997) wh.ch have shown the strong eddy energy coupled in the major current system. The monthly variation of the EKE in both areas of high and low eddy variability shows a strong seasonality of a high eddy kinetic energy from October to February and a relatively low one from March to September. The sequential pattern of wind stress curl shows resemblance with those of monthly and seasonal EKE and the two sequences have a correlation of 0.82 and 0.67, respectively, providing an evidence that wind stress curl can be the possible forcing for the monthly and seasonal variation of the EKE in the East Sea. The seasonality of the EKE also seems to correlate with the seasonality of the Tsushima Warm Current. There also exists the large spatial and interannual variabilities in the EKE.

상지 외골격 로봇 제어를 위한 인체 팔 동작의 기구학 및 동역학적 분석 - 파트 2: 제한조건의 선형 결합 (Analysis on the Kinematics and Dynamics of Human Arm Movement Toward Upper Limb Exoskeleton Robot Control - Part 2: Combination of Kinematic and Dynamic Constraints)

  • 김현철;이춘영
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제20권8호
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    • pp.875-881
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    • 2014
  • The redundancy resolution of the seven DOF (Degree of Freedom) upper limb exoskeleton is key to the synchronous motion between a robot and a human user. According to the seven DOF human arm model, positioning and orientating the wrist can be completed by multiple arm configurations that results in the non-unique solution to the inverse kinematics. This paper presents analysis on the kinematic and dynamic aspect of the human arm movement and its effect on the redundancy resolution of the seven DOF human arm model. The redundancy of the arm is expressed mathematically by defining the swivel angle. The final form of swivel angle can be represented as a linear combination of two different swivel angles achieved by optimizing two cost functions based on kinematic and dynamic criteria. The kinematic criterion is to maximize the projection of the longest principal axis of the manipulability ellipsoid of the human arm on the vector connecting the wrist and the virtual target on the head region. The dynamic criterion is to minimize the mechanical work done in the joint space for each of two consecutive points along the task space trajectory. The contribution of each criterion on the redundancy was verified by the post processing of experimental data collected with a motion capture system. Results indicate that the bimodal redundancy resolution approach improved the accuracy of the predicted swivel angle. Statistical testing of the dynamic constraint contribution shows that under moderate speeds and no load, the dynamic component of the human arm is not dominant, and it is enough to resolve the redundancy without dynamic constraint for the realtime application.

한미 FTA에 대비한 미국 섬유시장 진출 전략 (Marketing Strategy of Korean Textile Industry for US market in Post Korea-Us FTA era.)

  • 고중현;김주남
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.95-116
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    • 2009
  • Korea-Us FTA negotiation started in February 2006 with a view to overcoming those uncertainties in the global market and was finally concluded in April, 2007. The Agreement was officially signed between ministers two month later and it is expected to be ratified this year even though the process is most likely to be painful in both countries by the political resistances. For the new President of the United States, effective leadership will depends largely on how to encourage domestic industries such as Automobile industry and Iron and Steel industry from the financial crisis. Many trading partners of US worry about US foreign trade policy changes to protectionism that might be unequal to bear. Korea textile industry is one of the major industry in Korea as it occupies 15% of total number of manufacturers, 11% of total employment and 5% of national GDP. Korea-US FTA will provide a breakthrough for bouncing back by exploring new market. US agreed to remove all tariff and non-tariff barriers to 87% of textile items under trading. This study shows that Korean textile industry has been losing it's competitiveness as textile quota system abolished in the year 2005 and has been traced by pursuers such as China, India and Vietnam. In case of woven fabric which was a representing export item of Korea lost price competitiveness against China after 2005. This study seeks the strategy of Korea textile industry in the US market by utilizing the capacity of KOTRA offices in US. All possible statistical data obtained in the US were used for analysing the competitiveness. Fabrics and Garments are analysed independently with a view to finding out real trends of textile market in US. This study also suggest Korea's textile industry strategic ideas obtained from the potential buyers to show the way to penetrate into US market.

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농촌의 혼인 관련 인구학적 현황과 농촌미혼남성의 혼인과 국제결혼 관련 태도분석 (An Analysis of the Demographic Characteristics & the Attitude about International Marriage of Unmarried Farmers in the Rural Area of Korea)

  • 정현숙;양순미
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this paper is to examine the demographic characteristics and the attitude about marriage and the policy of the unmarried male farmers. The contents of research are two folds: 1) Analyze the marriage related demographic statistics of rural area using the data from Korea Statistical Information System and marriage statistics in 2007, 2) survey analyses of the attitude toward marriage, perception and needs of international marriage, and related policies from data of 170 unmarried male farmers. The results are as follows: first, the marriage rates among over 15 years old of the rural area is 78.2% for men while 1.8% for 20${\sim}$24 age group and 9.3% for 25${\sim}$29 age group. The marriage rates in this area are varied by region especially low in Kyunggido & Jejudo. Second, the portion of international marriages of Korean male farmers with foreign partner are 11% among all international marriages of Korean males. There are high rates of male farmers' international marriage in Junranamdo and Kyungsangbukdo which are characterized by low level of urbanization, low inter-city mobility, low rates of age group of under 15 years and high portion of over age 65. Finally, the survey results showed that 83% of the sample lived with their parents; event though 80% of farmers think marriage is necessary, 60% had no plan of marriage because of difficulties to meet marriage partners and of lacking economic resources; they showed a negative perception toward the handicapped, foreigners, Afro-Americans, Westerners and divorcees as a marriage partner; they also showed negative recognition to international marriage because of observed problems of neighboring international marriage couples and concerns of cultural differences; they pointed out that the government's concern about improving quality of the environment of the rural area and reforming the international marriage aid law was the most necessary. The discussion and the future research directions were added.

판별분석을 이용한 효율적인 3차원 모델 검색 (Efficient 3D Model Retrieval using Discriminant Analysis)

  • 송주환;최성희;권오봉
    • 전자공학회논문지 IE
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.34-39
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 통계 기법인 판별 분석 함수를 이용하여 효율적으로 3차원 모델을 검색하는 시스템을 구현하였다. 제안한 방법은 판별분석 함수를 이용하여 색인으로 검색하는 기법으로, 색인의 생성은 Osada의 D2방법에 의해 추출된 128개의 특징벡터에 통계치(범위, 최소값, 평균, 표준편차, 왜도, 척도)를 변수로 판별분석 함수의 값을 색인 값으로 생성하였다. 쿼리 모델 검색 시 1차 검색으로 쿼리와 저장된 클래스(동종의 모델 그룹)의 색인을 비교하여 상위 2%이내(98% 이상)의 클래스를 추출하여 추출된 클래스에 속하는 모델만을 검색하였다. 이 방법은 검색시간을 단축시키는 효율적인 검색 기법임을 구현을 통해 알 수 있었다. 제안한 방법은 기존의 방법(Osada)보다 3차원 모델 검색 시간을 57%로 단축시켰으며, 쿼리 모델 검색 시 유사모델이 최초로 발견되는 정확도(pecision)가 0.362로 기존의 방법보다 44.8%의 효율이 있었음을 알 수 있었다.

차대차 교통사고에 대한 상해 심각도 예측 연구 (A Study on Injury Severity Prediction for Car-to-Car Traffic Accidents)

  • 고창완;김현민;정영선;김재희
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2020
  • 자동차는 우리의 일상에 필수재가 된 지 오래지만 자동차 교통사고로 인한 사회적 비용이 국가 예산의 9%를 넘을 정도로 심각하여 이에 대한 국가적인 예방 및 대응 체계 구축이 매우 필요한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 빅데이터 분석 기법을 활용하여 차대차 교통사고의 상해 심각도를 정확히 예측할 수 있는 모형을 제시하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 과거 3년간의 전국교통사고 발생 데이터를 토대로, K-최근접 이웃, 로지스틱 회귀분석, 나이브베이즈, 의사결정나무, 앙상블 알고리즘을 적용하여 각 모델의 상해 심각도 분류의 성능을 비교 분석하였다. 특히 이 과정에서 각 상해 심각도 수준 간의 데이터 수에 차이가 있음에 주목하여 표본수가 많은 그룹에 대해서는 과소표본추출을 시행하는 등의 방법을 통해 분류 예측의 정확도를 높일 수 있었고, 분산 분석을 통해 모델의 유의성을 검증하였다.