• Title/Summary/Keyword: multiple regression function

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Price Discovery in the Korean Treasury Bond Futures Market (한국국채선물시장에서의 가격발견기능에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Sang-Gu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.257-275
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    • 2011
  • The price relationship between the futures market and the underlying spot market has attracted the attention of academics, practitioners, and regulators due to their roles during periods of turbulence in financial markets. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the dynamic of price relationship(or lead-lag relationship) between Korean Treasury Bond futures market and spot market. To examine the nature of the price relationship, descriptive statistics, serial correlation, and cross-correlation are used as a preliminary statistics in the Korean Treasury Bond spot and futures market. Next, following Stoll-Whaley(1990) and Chan(1992), the multiple regression method is used to examine the lead-lag patterns between the two markets. The empirical results are summarized as follows. The mean returns of spot markets and future markets are positive(+) and negative(-) respectively and the standard deviation of both stock and futures returns increase through the sub-periods. For the most periods, there is negative skewness in the both markets. The zero excess kurtosis due to the heavy tails of the distribution are relatively large. The autocorrelations in the spot returns for the sample periods are positive in time lag 1, but the autocorrelations in the future returns shows no significant evidence. The results of the daily cross-correlations between the KTB spot and futures returns indicate that a lead-lag relationship don't exist for price changes of futures and spot markets as a preliminary analysis. Finally, empirical results of regression analysis for both market indicate that there is no evidence that the KTB futures lead the KTB spot market, or the KTB spot market lead the KTB futures market. These results are robust for all sub-periods.

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Effect of the Characteristics of Temple Food on Satisfaction : Moderating Effect of Religion (사찰음식특성이 사찰음식만족에 미치는 영향; 종교의 조절효과)

  • Jeon, Hyo-Woon;Cho, Sung-Ho;Lee, Myung-Ho
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.40-55
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to suggest a way for temple food to take a differentiated position in the foodservice industry along with providing useful data for efficient management of temple food. To do this, it examines what influence the characteristics of temple food has on satisfaction with the food and verifies how the types of religion adjust the relationships between the characteristics and the satisfaction. The consumers who frequent temple food restaurants in Seoul and Gyeonggi areas were selected as the sample for this study, and a survey was conducted to those over the age of 20 via self-administered questionnaire from May 1st to June 30th, 2012. A total of 500 copies were distributed and 476 copies were selected as suitable from 488 copies collected for reliability and factor analyses using SPSS 18.0. The proposed research hypotheses were verified with a regression analysis and a multiple regression analysis. The results of this study are as follows. First, the characteristics of temple food have a positive influence on satisfaction with the food. Their subordinate factors such as situation, function, and consistency have positive(+) effects on the satisfaction. Next, it shows that religion does not play a regulatory role in the relationships between the characteristics of temple food and satisfaction with the food.

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Effects of Ozone, Cloud and Snow on Surface UV Irradiance (지표 자외선 복사 변화에 미치는 오존 전량, 구름 및 적설 효과)

  • Lee, Yun-Gon;Kim, Jhoon;Lee, Bang-Yong;Cho, Hi-Ku
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.439-451
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    • 2004
  • Total solar irradiance (750), total UV irradiunce (TUV) and erythemal UV irradiance (EUV) measured at King Sejong station $(62.22^{\circ}S,\;58.78^{\circ}W)$ in west Antarctica have been used together with total ozone, cloud amount and snow cover to examine the effects of ozone, cloud and snow surface on these surface solar inadiunce over the period of 1998-2003. The data of three solar components for each scan were grouped by cloud amount, n in oktas $(0{\leq}n<3,\;3{\leq}n<4,\;4{\leq}n<5,\;5{\leq}n<6,\;6{\leq}n<7\;and\;7{\leq}n<8)$ and plotted against solar zenith angle (SZA) over the range of $45^{\circ}\;to\;75^{\circ}$. The radiation amplification factor (RAE) is used to quantify ozone effect on EUV. RAF of EUV decreases from 1.51 to 0.94 under clear skies but increases from 0.94 to 1.85 under cloudy skies as SZA increases, and decreases from 1.51 to 1.01 as cloud amount increases. The effects of cloud amount and snow surface on EUV are estimated as a function of SZA and cloud amount after normalization of the data to the reference total ozone of 300 DU. In order to analyse the transmission of solar radiation by cloud, regression analyses have been performed for the maximum values of solar irradiance on clear sky conditions $(0{\leq}n<3)$ and the mean values on cloudy conditions, respectively. The maximum regression values for the clear sky cases were taken to represent minimum aerosol conditions fur the site and thus appropriate for use as a normalization (reference) factor for the other regressions. The overall features for the transmission of the three solar components show a relatively high values around SZAs of $55^{\circ}\;and\;60^{\circ}$ under all sky conditions and cloud amounts $4{\leq}n<5$ and $5{\leq}n<6$. The transmission is, in general, the largest in TUV and the smallest in EUV among the three components of the solar irradiance. If the ground is covered with snow on partly cloudy days $(6{\leq}n<7)$, EUV increases by 20 to 26% compared to snow-free surface around SZA $60^{\circ}-65^{\circ}$, due to multiple reflections and scattering between the surface and the clouds. The relative difference between snow surface and snow-free surface slowly increases from 9% to 20% as total ozone increases from 100 DU to 400 DU under partly cloud conditions $(3{\leq}n<6)$ at SZA $60^{\circ}$. The snow effects on TUV and TSO are relatively high with 32% and 34%, respectively, under clear sky conditions, while the effects changes to 36% and 20% for TUV and TSO, respectively, as cloud amount increases.

Analysis of Important Indicators of TCB Using GBM (일반화가속모형을 이용한 기술신용평가 주요 지표 분석)

  • Jeon, Woo-Jeong(Michael);Seo, Young-Wook
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.159-173
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    • 2017
  • In order to provide technical financial support to small and medium-sized venture companies based on technology, the government implemented the TCB evaluation, which is a kind of technology rating evaluation, from the Kibo and a qualified private TCB. In this paper, we briefly review the current state of TCB evaluation and available indicators related to technology evaluation accumulated in the Korea Credit Information Services (TDB), and then use indicators that have a significant effect on the technology rating score. Multiple regression techniques will be explored. And the relative importance and classification accuracy of the indicators were calculated by applying the key indicators as independent features applied to the generalized boosting model, which is a representative machine learning classifier, as the class influence and the fitness of each model. As a result of the analysis, it was analyzed that the relative importance between the two models was not significantly different. However, GBM model had more weight on the InnoBiz certification, R&D department, patent registration and venture confirmation indicators than regression model.

The Intraday Lead-Lag Relationships between the Stock Index and the Stock Index Futures Market in Korea and China (한국과 중국의 현물시장과 주가지수선물시장간의 선-후행관계에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Sang-Gu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.189-207
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    • 2013
  • Using high-frequency data for 2 years, this study investigates intraday lead-lag relationship between stock index and stock index futures markets in Korea and China. We found that there are some differences in price discovery and volatility transmission between Korea and China after the stock index futures markets was introduced. Following Stoll-Whaley(1990) and Chan(1992), the multiple regression is estimated to examine the lead-lag patterns between the two markets by Newey-West's(1987) heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix(HAC matrix). Empirical results of KOSPI 200 shows that the futures market leads the cash market and weak evidence that the cash market leads the futures market. New market information disseminates in the futures market before the stock market with index arbitrageurs then stepping in quickly to bring the cost-of-carry relation back into alignment. The regression tests for the conditional volatility which is estimated using EGARCH model do not show that there is a clear pattern of the futures market leading the stock market in terms of the volatility even though controlling nonsynchronous trading effects. This implies that information in price innovations that originate in the futures market is transmitted to the volatility of the cash market. Empirical results of CSI 300 shows that the cash market is found to play a more dominant role in the price discovery process after the Chinese index started a sharp decline immediately after the stock index futures were introduced. The new stock index futures markets does not function well in its price discovery performance at its infancy stage, apparently due to high barriers to entry into this emerging futures markets. Based on EGAECH model, the results uncover strong bi-directional dependence in the intraday volatility of both markets.

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Analysis of Component Factors Concerned in Taste of Korean Hot Pepper by Sensory Evaluation (관능평가를 이용한 고추의 맛에 관여하는 성분 요인 분석)

  • Soh, Jae-Woo;Choi, Ki-Young;Lee, Yong-Beom;Nam, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.297-303
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    • 2011
  • The contents of capsaicinoid, free sugars and organic acids of six varieties of Korean hot pepper, Supermanita, Dokyacheongcheong, Shinseokyeoi, Wangdaebak, Hanbando, and Chungyang, were measured. The sensory evaluations of its extracts were compared in order to investigate the indirect effect or reaction of the composition of taste components on sensory acceptability of Korean hot pepper. The contents of capsaicinoid were considerably from $37.8mg{\cdot}100g^{-1}$ to $164.1mg{\cdot}100g^{-1}$, and the contents of free sugars were from 9.3% to 18.2%, and the contents of organic acids were from 8.1% to 14.7% in Korean hot peppers. Although the pungent sensory evaluation of water extract of pepper powder was completely accordant with instrumental analysis result of capsaicinoid contents, they did not show a significant relationship to the sensory of taste. Multiple regression with capsaicinoid (CAP), total sugars (TS) and total organic acid (TOA) contents increased the correlation coefficient for sensory of taste to r = 0.927 and the coefficient of determination for them to $R^2=0.906$. However, we suggest the more efficient function for it which is composed of two independent variables only. As the result, a regression equation of Y = 0.69 X + 0.11 with $R^2=0.884$ was obtained for quantitative analysis of sensory evaluation of pepper taste by two factors between capsaicinoid and total free sugar.

Statistical analyses in an occupational health study (산업보건연구에서의 통계학적 분석)

  • 백도명;최정근;손미아
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.201-215
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    • 1993
  • The health status of workers in a foundry was analyzed in a study which consisted of evaluations of respiratory health together with environmental measurements. The results from environmental measurements showed values exceeding permissible exposure limits. A t-test was done with log transformed and untransformed data to examine the statistical significance for the noncompliance with exposure standards. For the analysis of categorical health outcomes, $\chi$-square test with 2 $\times$ 2 tables and logistic regression analysis were employed. For continuous variables, multiple linear regression was done against assessed risk factors. Pros and cons of different parameters in the compliance (or noncompliance) testing were presented. Respiratory function did not show any relation with occupational exposures, which may be due to the healthy worker effects. Strategies for controlling time dependent covariates were discussed in relation to the healthy worker effect. The scope of statistical analysis in occupational health studies is still limited in Korea without a suitable external comparison group such as credible vital statistics for the whole nation. Internal comparisons between different exposure status often result in unstable estimates of effect, and proportional morbidity study is discussed as an alternative potential research tool.

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Safety Accident Prevention Activities & Actual Conditions According to Physical Education Teacher's Value Orientation (체육교사의 가치정향에 따른 안전사고 예방활동 및 실태)

  • Jeong, Suk-Bum;Park, Young-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Society for School & Community Health Education
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    • v.4
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    • pp.79-95
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    • 2003
  • This dissertation aims to analyze various safety accidents taking place during physical education class according to physical education teacher's value orientation, to identify teacher's value orientation that can minimize safety accidents, and to provide basic materials for safe and smooth class management. For this purpose, data have been collected from 261 physical education teachers at some middle and high schools in G City in Kyung-Ki Province and Busan Metropolitan City. The materials were treated as follows: The variables on demographic characteristics of physical education teachers are determined by t-test ; The analysis of one-way ANOVA and relationship between value orientation and safety accident prevention activities was conducted through Pearson's linear correlation analysis and multiple regression; The analysis of the relationship between value orientation and actual conditions of safety accidents was conducted through logistic regression. First, there is almost no awareness difference of physical education teachers' value orientation according to demographical variables. The value orientation physical education teachers consider to be the most important is, however, mainly 'mastery of disciplinary lesson.' There is a statistically significant difference in safety accident prevention activities according to demographical variables. Teachers' focuses in class contents showed a significant difference according to teaching experience and working area, while the dependency on facility has a significant difference according to teaching experience and school type. Second, there is no correlation between physical education teacher's value orientation and safety accident prevention activities because there is virtually no statistically significant difference between them. It means that safety accident prevention activities are not related with on which teachers place emphasis among mastery of disciplinary lesson, social reconstruction, self-realization, ecological integration and value orientation on learning process. Third, the analysis of safety accident prevention activities according to physical education teachers' value orientation revealed that the lower value orientation in social reconstruction is, the more safety accidents teachers experience. It is also found that crashes among students, ball games and leg injuries are inter-related with social reconstruction in value orientation, over-motivation and unskilled motor function ; athletic sports with value orientation on learning process and safety prevention training ; unskilled motor functions with value orientation in ecological integration and disobedience to teacher's directions ; winter accidents with mastery of disciplinary lesson in value orientation. In conclusion, the research indicates that physical education teacher's value orientation according to demographical variables didn't show any significant difference, while one according to safety accident prevention activities showed significant difference. Besides, physical education teachers' value orientation is not related to safety accident prevention activities, but the relationship between value orientation and actual conditions of safety accidents showed correlations according to each variable. Especially, teachers with lower value orientation in social reconstruction experienced more safety accidents. Therefore, physical education teachers can manage physical education class more safely with more emphasis on value orientation in social reconstruction.

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The Effects of Science Question Enhancement Instruction on the Science Question Level and Achievement of Middle School Students (질문 강화 수업이 중학생들의 질문 수준과 학업 성취도에 미치는 영향)

  • Chung, Young-Lan;Bae, Jae-Hee
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.872-881
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    • 2002
  • Student questioning is included in the priority of science literacy, to enable students to solve problems by exploring questions, communicating and constructing knowledge(AAAS, 1989). Also, the essence of student questioning in science lies in its function as a link between thinking and learning. But educators did not pay much attention to students' questioning in Korea. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of science question enhancement instruction on students' science questioning level and achievement. Also, this study showed the effects of other variables(logical thinking, science achievement, interest, and gender) on students' science questioning level. The pretest-posttest control group design group design was used. The sample was consisted of 80 second grade middle school students in experimental group(Science question enhancement instruction) and 74 students in control group(Traditional learning). Students in both groups were received identical content instruction on the unit 'Structures and functions of plant'. These groups were treated for 15 hours during 6 weeks. Students' questions were rated using the four levels described by the Middle School Students' Science Question Rating Scale(r= .96,)(Cuccio-Schirripa & Steinner, 2000). Science achievement data were collected using a 17 item multiple choice test(Cronbach ${\alpha}$= .84). To investigate students' logical thinking ability, a abridged GALT(Cronbach ${\alpha}$= .69) was used. Five-way ANOVA, ANCOVA, and multiple regression analysis were used to analyze the results. The results indicated that students who received instruction on researchable questioning outperformed those students who were not instructed on high-order questioning(p< .01). Results of correlations indicated that instruction(r= .640), science achievement(r= .311) and logical thinking ability(r= .212) was significantly and positively related with students' questioning level. But, interest and gender did not show any significant correlation with students' questioning level. Science question enhancement instruction was more effective on science achievement than the traditional instruction(p< .01).

Prediction Equations of Pulmonary Function Parameters Derived from the Forced Expiratory Spirogram for Healthy Adults over 50 years old in rural area (농촌지역 50세 이상 인구의 노력성호기곡선을 이용한 폐활량측정법 검사지표의 추정정상치)

  • Kim, Won-Young;Kim, Kwang-Hyun;Youn, Boung-Han;Lee, Seung-Uk;Cho, Chul-Hyun;Choi, Jin-Su;Kim, Hun-Nam
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.536-545
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    • 1998
  • Background: The studies on prediction equations of pulmonary function parameters for adults in Korea have been performed in a reference population mainly consisted of young and middle ages. So they included a relatively few elderly who conducted pulmonary function test frequently in clinic. We established prediction equations of pulmonary function parameters for healthy adults over 50 years old in rural area and compared this results with those of other studies. Therefore we attempted to consider normative values of pulmonary function tests for elderly in Korea. Method: Five hundred thirty-three women and men over 50 years old in rural area were participated. A "healthy" subgroup of 110 women and 32 men were identified by excluding those who had conditions that negatively influenced pulmonary function. We derived prediction equations for FVC, $FEV_1$ and $FEV_1%$ by multiple linear regression method from their age, heights and weights in each sex. Results: Prediction equations for FVC and $FEV_1$ in each sex were derived as follows Male; FVC (L)=0.02488Height(cm)-0.0269Age(years)+0.493 $FEV_1(L)$=0.01874Weight(kg)-0.0282Age(years)+2.906 Female; FVC(L)=0.02160Height(cm)-0.0192Age(years)-0.0125 $FEV_1(L)$=0.01720Height(cm)-0.0194Age(years)+0.3890 Prediction equations for $FEV_1%$ were not derived because $FEV_1%$ didn't have statistically significant terms. Comparing Predicted values that were calculated by substitution into the equations of various studies of mean values of age, heights and weights from this study, FVC and $FEV_1$ values in men of this study were lower than those of other studies. In women, FVC and $FEV_1$ values of this study were as similar as or lower than those of the study conducted for healthy elderly blacks in U.S.A respectively. Conclusion: We have got prediction equations of pulmonary function parameters which were driven from forced expiratory spirogram in adults over 50 years old in rural area. Predicted values of this study were lower than those of other studies which were conducted in Korea. So we consider that the study for spirometry reference values for elderly Korean using the method compatible with ATS recommendation need to be conducted more frequently forward.

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