• Title/Summary/Keyword: multi linear regression

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Development of Regional Flood Debris Estimation Model Utilizing Data of Disaster Annual Report: Case Study on Ulsan City (재해연보 자료를 이용한 지역 단위 수해폐기물 발생량 예측 모형 개발: 울산광역시 사례 연구)

  • Park, Man Ho;Kim, Honam;Ju, Munsol;Kim, Hee Jong;Kim, Jae Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Waste Management
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.777-784
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    • 2018
  • Since climate change increases the risk of extreme rainfall events, concerns on flood management have also increased. In order to rapidly recover from flood damages and prevent secondary damages, fast collection and treatment of flood debris are necessary. Therefore, a quick and precise estimation of flood debris generation is a crucial procedure in disaster management. Despite the importance of debris estimation, methodologies have not been well established. Given the intrinsic heterogeneity of flood debris from local conditions, a regional-scale model can increase the accuracy of the estimation. The objectives of this study are 1) to identify significant damage variables to predict the flood debris generation, 2) to ascertain the difference in the coefficients, and 3) to evaluate the accuracy of the debris estimation model. The scope of this work is flood events in Ulsan city region during 2008-2016. According to the correlation test and multicollinearity test, the number of damaged buildings, area of damaged cropland, and length of damaged roads were derived as significant parameters. Key parameters seems to be strongly dependent on regional conditions and not only selected parameters but also coefficients in this study were different from those in previous studies. The debris estimation in this study has better accuracy than previous models in nationwide scale. It can be said that the development of a regional-scale flood debris estimation model will enhance the accuracy of the prediction.

Sports Media Value in New Media Platform Era: The Role of Media Engagement and Empathy (뉴미디어 플랫폼 시대의 스포츠미디어 가치: 미디어 인게이지먼트와 공감의 역할)

  • Choi, Eui-Yul;Jeon, Yong-Bae;Kim, Hyun-Duck
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.433-441
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between media engagement, media empathy, and media value of MCN sports broadcasting. To achieve this purpose, a survey was conducted on 324 MCN sports broadcast viewers. Exploratory factor analysis was performed to confirm validity, and Cronbach's α test was performed to investigate reliability. In addition, correlation analysis was performed to verify discriminant validity, and linear regression analysis was performed to verify the research hypothesis, and the following conclusions were drawn. Media engagement had a positive effect on media value. Media engagement had a positive effect on media empathy. Media empathy has a positive effect on media value.

Soil moisture estimation of YongdamDam watershed using vegetation index from Sentinel-1 and -2 satellite images (Sentinel-1 및 Sentinel-2 위성영상기반 식생지수를 활용한 용담댐 유역의 토양수분 산정)

  • Son, Moobeen;Chung, Jeehun;Lee, Yonggwan;Woo, Soyoung;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.161-161
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 금강 상류의 용담댐 유역(930.0 km2)을 대상으로 Sentinel-1 SAR(Synthetic Aperture Radar) 및 Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument(MSI) 위성영상을 활용한 토양수분 산출연구를 수행하였다. 연구에 사용된 자료는 10 m 해상도의 Sentinel-1 IW(Interferometric Wide swath) mode GRD(Ground Range Detected) product의 VV(Vertical transmit-Vertical receive) 및 VH(Vertical transmit-Horizontal receive) 편파자료와 Sentinel-2 Level-2A Bottom of Atmosphere(BOA) reflectance 자료를 2019년에 대해 각 6일 및 5일 간격으로 구축하였다. 위성영상의 Image processing은 SNAP(SentiNel Application Platform)을 활용하여 Sentinel-1 영상의 편파 별(VV, VH) 후방산란계수와 Sentinel-2의 적색(Band-4) 및 근적외(Band-8) 영상을 생성하였다. 토양수분 산출 모형은 다중선형회귀모형(Multiple Linear Regression Model)을 활용하였으며, 각 지점에 해당하는 토양 속성별로 모형을 생성하였다. 모형의 입력자료는 Sentinel-1 위성의 편파별 후방산란계수, Sentinel-1 위성에서 산출된 식생지수 RVI(Radar Vegetation Index)와 Sentinel-2 위성에서 산출된 NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index)를 활용하여 식생의 영향을 반영하고자 하였다. 모의 된 토양수분을 검증하기 위해 6개 지점의 TDR(Time Domain Reflectometry) 기반 실측 토양수분 자료를 수집하고, 상관계수(Correlation Coefficient, R), 평균제곱근오차(Root Mean Square Error, RMSE) 및 IOA(Index of Agreement)를 활용하여 전체 기간 및 계절별로 나누어 검증할 예정이다.

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Demand Forecast For Empty Containers Using MLP (MLP를 이용한 공컨테이너 수요예측)

  • DongYun Kim;SunHo Bang;Jiyoung Jang;KwangSup Shin
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.85-98
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    • 2021
  • The pandemic of COVID-19 further promoted the imbalance in the volume of imports and exports among countries using containers, which worsened the shortage of empty containers. Since it is important to secure as many empty containers as the appropriate demand for stable and efficient port operation, measures to predict demand for empty containers using various techniques have been studied so far. However, it was based on long-term forecasts on a monthly or annual basis rather than demand forecasts that could be used directly by ports and shipping companies. In this study, a daily and weekly prediction method using an actual artificial neural network is presented. In details, the demand forecasting model has been developed using multi-layer perceptron and multiple linear regression model. In order to overcome the limitation from the lack of data, it was manipulated considering the business process between the loaded container and empty container, which the fully-loaded container is converted to the empty container. From the result of numerical experiment, it has been developed the practically applicable forecasting model, even though it could not show the perfect accuracy.

Study on the Testing Method for Moisture Permeability of Packaging Containers according to the Amount of Desiccant (흡습제 투입량에 따른 포장용기의 투습도 시험 방법 고찰)

  • Doyoung Kim;Yeeun Noh;Kyoungmin Kim;Jimin Jang
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2023
  • In the field of ammunition, storage performance is recognized as important, and the moisture-proof performance of packaging containers is very important. In the ammunition field, paper cans with a multi-layered structure are mainly used as packaging containers. It is made by layering materials that play various roles. These packaging containers are mainly evaluated for moisture-proof performance according to the Korean Industrial Standard KS T 1314. The moisture permeability is determined through linear regression analysis of the change in weight of the moisture absorbent added inside. In this study, the effect of the amount of desiccant added on the moisture permeability test results of packaging containers was confirmed. It is considered appropriate that the amount of desiccant used in testing ammunition packaging containers be approximately 70% or more of the internal volume.

A Study of Anomaly Detection for ICT Infrastructure using Conditional Multimodal Autoencoder (ICT 인프라 이상탐지를 위한 조건부 멀티모달 오토인코더에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Byungjin;Lee, Jonghoon;Han, Sangjin;Park, Choong-Shik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.57-73
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    • 2021
  • Maintenance and prevention of failure through anomaly detection of ICT infrastructure is becoming important. System monitoring data is multidimensional time series data. When we deal with multidimensional time series data, we have difficulty in considering both characteristics of multidimensional data and characteristics of time series data. When dealing with multidimensional data, correlation between variables should be considered. Existing methods such as probability and linear base, distance base, etc. are degraded due to limitations called the curse of dimensions. In addition, time series data is preprocessed by applying sliding window technique and time series decomposition for self-correlation analysis. These techniques are the cause of increasing the dimension of data, so it is necessary to supplement them. The anomaly detection field is an old research field, and statistical methods and regression analysis were used in the early days. Currently, there are active studies to apply machine learning and artificial neural network technology to this field. Statistically based methods are difficult to apply when data is non-homogeneous, and do not detect local outliers well. The regression analysis method compares the predictive value and the actual value after learning the regression formula based on the parametric statistics and it detects abnormality. Anomaly detection using regression analysis has the disadvantage that the performance is lowered when the model is not solid and the noise or outliers of the data are included. There is a restriction that learning data with noise or outliers should be used. The autoencoder using artificial neural networks is learned to output as similar as possible to input data. It has many advantages compared to existing probability and linear model, cluster analysis, and map learning. It can be applied to data that does not satisfy probability distribution or linear assumption. In addition, it is possible to learn non-mapping without label data for teaching. However, there is a limitation of local outlier identification of multidimensional data in anomaly detection, and there is a problem that the dimension of data is greatly increased due to the characteristics of time series data. In this study, we propose a CMAE (Conditional Multimodal Autoencoder) that enhances the performance of anomaly detection by considering local outliers and time series characteristics. First, we applied Multimodal Autoencoder (MAE) to improve the limitations of local outlier identification of multidimensional data. Multimodals are commonly used to learn different types of inputs, such as voice and image. The different modal shares the bottleneck effect of Autoencoder and it learns correlation. In addition, CAE (Conditional Autoencoder) was used to learn the characteristics of time series data effectively without increasing the dimension of data. In general, conditional input mainly uses category variables, but in this study, time was used as a condition to learn periodicity. The CMAE model proposed in this paper was verified by comparing with the Unimodal Autoencoder (UAE) and Multi-modal Autoencoder (MAE). The restoration performance of Autoencoder for 41 variables was confirmed in the proposed model and the comparison model. The restoration performance is different by variables, and the restoration is normally well operated because the loss value is small for Memory, Disk, and Network modals in all three Autoencoder models. The process modal did not show a significant difference in all three models, and the CPU modal showed excellent performance in CMAE. ROC curve was prepared for the evaluation of anomaly detection performance in the proposed model and the comparison model, and AUC, accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score were compared. In all indicators, the performance was shown in the order of CMAE, MAE, and AE. Especially, the reproduction rate was 0.9828 for CMAE, which can be confirmed to detect almost most of the abnormalities. The accuracy of the model was also improved and 87.12%, and the F1-score was 0.8883, which is considered to be suitable for anomaly detection. In practical aspect, the proposed model has an additional advantage in addition to performance improvement. The use of techniques such as time series decomposition and sliding windows has the disadvantage of managing unnecessary procedures; and their dimensional increase can cause a decrease in the computational speed in inference.The proposed model has characteristics that are easy to apply to practical tasks such as inference speed and model management.

A Study on Variation of Earth Pressure (토압의 변동에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Sang Kun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.179-193
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    • 1994
  • In the development of engineering designs, decisions are required irrespective of the state of completeness and quality of information, and are formulated under conditions of uncertainty. Furthermore, under conditions of uncertainty the design invokes risks. Thus, in the design of the structures, the currently used deterministic design method does not provide a realistic assessment of the actual safety or the reliability of the structures. It is desirable that decisions required in The process of the design invariably must be made based on the reliability analysis. Properties of soil material are subject to more uncertainty than those of other structural material. In the field of soil mechanics and foundation engineering, it needed to develop reliability-based design methods. In order to simplify the reliability analysis or the reliability-based design process of the structures associated with the active earth pressure, it is necessary to find the variation and the distribution type of the active earth pressure calculated from the basic properties of soils. Monte Carlo simulation is performed to obtain the relationship between the variation of the active earth pressure for cohessionless soils calculated by using Rankine formula and the basic soil properties and the distribution type of the earth pressure. A series of regression equations obtained by utilizing the multi-linear regression analysis is suggested in this paper and the sensitivity of the basic soil properties to the variation of The earth pressure is investigated. The type of distribution of the active earth pressure was found to be the beta distribution in most cases or to be very similar to the beta distribution, if the basic soil variables are normally distributed.

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The Variation of Water Temperature and Turbidity of Stream Flows entering Imha Reservoir (임하호 유입지천의 수온과 탁도 변화)

  • Kim, Woo-Gu;Jung, Kwan-Soo;Yi, Yong-Kon
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.39 no.1 s.115
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2006
  • The changing patterns of water temperature and turbidity in streams entering Imha Reservoir were studied. The turbidity variation near the intake tower in Imha Reservoir was investigated in relation with the variation of water temperature and turbidity in streams. Water temperature was estimated using multi-regression method with air temperature and dew point as independent variables. Peak turbidity was also estimated using non-linear regression method with rainfall intensity as an independent variable. Although more independent variables representing watershed characteristics seem to be needed to increase estimation accuracies, the methodology used in this study can be applied to estimate water temperature and peak turbidity in other streams.

Estimation of Groundwater Storage Change and Its Relationship with Geology in Eonyang Area, Ulsan Megacity (울산광역시 언양지역의 지하수 저류 변화량 산정 및 지질과의 관련성)

  • Kim, Nam-Hoon;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Kim, Tae-Yong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;An, Jeong-Hoon;Jeon, Hang-Tak;Kim, Hyoung-Soo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2008
  • In diverse hydrogeologic fields, estimation of groundwater storage change is one of the most critical issues. Accurate estimation methods for determining groundwater storage change are required more and more. For Yeonyang area of Ulsan Megacity, groundwater storage change was estimated by using water balance method and hydrogeological analyses. The estimates of groundwater storage change was 240 mm corresponding to 18.7% of mean annual precipitation. Direct runoff was calculated as 137 mm (10.6% of mean annual precipitation) by using SCS-CN method. Evapotranspiration based on the Thornthwaite method was calculated as 776 mm (60.5% of mean annual precipitation). Hydraulic properties of the soil types do not show any distinct relation with hydraulic conductivity of the rocks. This fact suggests that hydraulic property on the surface is different from that of subsurface geology. According to multi-linear regression analysis between groundwater storage change and hydraulic parameters, a regression equation of groundwater storage change, which was explained by precipitation and evapotranspiration, was established.

A study to Explore the Effect Relationship of Character and Life Goal on Happiness for Gifted Elementary Students in Science (초등과학영재학생의 인성, 생애목표와 행복감의 관계)

  • Chang, Heesun
    • Journal of Gifted/Talented Education
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.161-185
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate for gifted elementary students in science the feature of character, life goals and happiness, and the effect relationship on happiness based on the relationship between factors. For this, independent t-test, multi-linear regression analysis and hierarchical regression were conducted. The results from this study are as follows. First, scientifically gifted elementary students show higher level of responsibility, ethics, positive self-understanding and contribution goal, but lower in material and image goal than general students. Second, character, life goal and happiness are correlated. Third, female students rather than male students and students with consideration/service character have intrinsic goals. While, the students with higher level of consideration/service and lower level of sympathy show extrinsic goals. The higher the level of consideration/service and the lower of self-control they have the higher their happiness are. Fourth, as scientifically gifted elementary students have more consideration and relationship goal, their happiness go up. While, the more they have self-growth and material goal, the lower the happiness. Fifth, the character of scientifically gifted elementary students is the factor that explains the effect on happiness more easily than life goal, relatively. The factor of life goal mediates the consideration/service and happiness. In conclusion, I hope that this study contribute to raise the happiness of scientifically gifted elementary students, and considerate the character education and counseling program for character development.