• Title/Summary/Keyword: moving average method

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Monthly rainfall forecast of Bangladesh using autoregressive integrated moving average method

  • Mahmud, Ishtiak;Bari, Sheikh Hefzul;Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2017
  • Rainfall is one of the most important phenomena of the natural system. In Bangladesh, agriculture largely depends on the intensity and variability of rainfall. Therefore, an early indication of possible rainfall can help to solve several problems related to agriculture, climate change and natural hazards like flood and drought. Rainfall forecasting could play a significant role in the planning and management of water resource systems also. In this study, univariate Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was used to forecast monthly rainfall for twelve months lead-time for thirty rainfall stations of Bangladesh. The best SARIMA model was chosen based on the RMSE and normalized BIC criteria. A validation check for each station was performed on residual series. Residuals were found white noise at almost all stations. Besides, lack of fit test and normalized BIC confirms all the models were fitted satisfactorily. The predicted results from the selected models were compared with the observed data to determine prediction precision. We found that selected models predicted monthly rainfall with a reasonable accuracy. Therefore, year-long rainfall can be forecasted using these models.

A Method for Hybrid Message Transmission based on User-Customized Analysis (사용자 맞춤형 분석 기반의 Hybrid 메시지 전송 기법)

  • Kim, Yong-Hyun;Bong, Jae-Sic;Huh, Eui-Nam
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.939-945
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    • 2015
  • From 2009, the market of smart devices has been rapidly increasing. These devices provide various services to users. The cloud messaging service, especially, is applied to many various services, and sends messages asynchronously. In the cloud messaging service, there are two methods for message transmission, message transmission based on an IP address and a publish/subscribe technique. Each technique uses basic messages in order to send messages to mobile devices. In this paper, the hybrid message transmission, based on user-customized analysis to reduce basic messages, is proposed. The hybrid message transmission uses Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and K-means algorithms for user-customized analysis, and determines the message transmission techniques in each timeslot.

QRS Detection Algorithm in ECG Signal for Measuring Stress Condition (스트레스 상태 측정을 위한 심전도 신호 QRS 검출 알고리즘)

  • Jung, Woo-Hyuk;Lee, Dong-Hwa;Lee, Hee-Jae;Kim, Jae-Ho;Lee, David;Lee, Sang-Goog
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2014.04a
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    • pp.978-980
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 스트레스 상태 측정을 위한 심전도 신호 QRS 검출 알고리즘을 제안한다. 심전도 신호의 QRS 검출 과정은 4단계로 wavelet, moving average, squaring, threshold method로 구성된다. wavelet은 기저선 변동과 노이즈를 제거하고 moving average는 전체 신호를 부드럽게 하고 잔여 노이즈를 제거하며 squaring은 신호를 강조하는 역할을 한다. 마지막으로 threshold 기법을 이용해 검출간격을 설정하여 QRS를 검출하였다. 그 결과 Sensitivity는 99.54%, Positive Predictivity는 99.69%, Detection Error는 0.76%를 보였다. 또한, 피험자를 대상으로 게임을 이용해 스트레스 상태 변화에 대한 실험을 하였고, HRV 시간-주파수 파라미터를 분석함으로써 스트레스 상태 변화를 관찰할 수 있었다.

Early Fire Detection System for Embedded Platforms: Deep Learning Approach to Minimize False Alarms (임베디드 플랫폼을 위한 화재 조기 감지 시스템: 오경보 최소화를 위한 딥러닝 접근 방식)

  • Seong-Jun Ro;Kwangjae Lee
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.298-304
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    • 2024
  • In Korea, fires are the second most common type of disaster, causing large-scale damages. The installation of fire detectors is legislated to prevent fires and minimize damage. Conventional fire detectors have limitations in initial suppression of failures because they detect fires when large amounts of smoke and heat are generated. Additionally, frequent malfunctions in fire detectors may cause users to turn them off. To address these issues, recent studies focus on accurately detecting even small-scale fires using multi-sensor and deep-learning technologies. They also aim at quick fire detection and thermal decomposition using gas. However, these studies are not practical because they overlook the heavy computations involved. Therefore, we propose a fast and accurate fire detection system based on multi-sensor and deep-learning technologies. In addition, we propose a computation-reduction method for selecting sensors suitable for detection using the Pearson correlation coefficient. Specifically, we use a moving average to handle outliers and two-stage labeling to reduce false detections during preprocessing. Subsequently, a deep-learning model is selected as LSTM for analyzing the temporal sequence. Then, we analyze the data using a correlation analysis. Consequently, the model using a small data group with low correlation achieves an accuracy of 99.88% and a false detection rate of 0.12%.

A New Least Mean Square Algorithm Using a Running Average Process for Speech Enhancement

  • Lee, Soo-Jeong;Ahn, Chan-Sik;Yun, Jong-Mu;Kim, Soon-Hyob
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.3E
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2006
  • The adaptive echo canceller (AEC) has become an important component in speech communication systems, including mobile station. In these applications, the acoustic echo path has a long impulse response. We propose a running-average least mean square (RALMS) algorithm with a detection method for acoustic echo cancellation. Using colored input models, the result clearly shows that the RALMS detection algorithm has a convergence performance superior to the least mean square (LMS) detection algorithm alone. The computational complexity of the new RALMS algorithm is only slightly greater than that of the standard LMS detection algorithm but confers a major improvement in stability.

A New Hydrodynamic Simulation Using Unstructured Moving Meshes

  • Yun, Kiyun;Yoon, Suk-Jin;Kim, Juhan;Kim, Sungsoo
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.50.1-50.1
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    • 2015
  • We present a new hydrodynamic simulation based on the unstructured moving mesh scheme. The simulation utilizes the Voronoi tessellation technique that produces polygonal cells composed of, on average, 13 surfaces each in 3D. We devise the incremental expanding method (IEM) and hybrid-neighbor searching algorithm and achieve the CPU time just proportional to the number of particles, i.e., O(N). We show the results of requisite tests for hydrodynamic simulations and demonstrate superiority of our code over the conventional codes using the stationary meshes. The applications in the context of cosmological and galactic simulations are also discussed.

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Marine Object Detection Based on Kalman Filtering

  • Hwang, Jae-Jeong;Pak, Sang-Hyon;Park, Gil-Yang
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.347-352
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, although Radar has been used for a long time, integrated scheme with visual camera is an efficient way to enhance marine surveillance system. Camera image is focused by radar information but it is easy to be fallen into inaccurate operation due to environmental noises. We have proposed a method to filter the noises by moving average filter and Kalman filter. It is proved that Kalman filtered results preserves linearity while the former includes larger variance.

Study on Shape Distribution of Wear Particles with Histogram (히스토그램에 의한 마멸분의 형태분포에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Yon-Sang;Moon, Sung-Dong;Park, Heung-Sik
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.32 no.11
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    • pp.963-969
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    • 2008
  • The wear particles are relative to the failure and the life of machine elements directly. But it is not laid down to calculate shape parameters of wear particle. To analyze a variation of distributed characteristics of wear particles on moving conditions, its shape parameters such as diameter and roundness were calculated the quantitative values by digital image processing, and had to be defined the effective method of using those data. Up to the present, the shape parameters have been used simply into the average values. But these values are not effective to analyze a variation of distributed characteristics of occurred wear particles on moving conditions. In this study, the relative histograms of shape parameters of wear particles were used for the purpose of analyzing the distribution of wear particles in various conditions. The results showed that the relative histogram of shape parameters can be effectively represented to study a wear mechanism.

EWM-MR chart for individual measurements in start-up process (초기공정에서 개별관측치를 이용한 EWM-MR 관리도)

  • 지선수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.21 no.47
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 1998
  • In start-up process control applications it may be necessary to limit the sample size to one measurement. A control chart for individual measurements is used whenever it is desirable to examine each individual value from the process immediately. A possible option would be to use an exponential weighted moving(EWM), using modifying statistics with individual measurement, chart for monitoring the process center, and using a moving range (MR) chart for monitoring process variability. In this paper it is shown that there is scheme in using the EWM procedure based on average run length. An expression for the ARL is given in terms of an integral equation, approximated using numerical quadrature. In this case, where it is reasonable to assume normality and negligible autocorrelation in the observations, provide graphs that simplify the design of EWM-MR chart and taking method of exponential smoothing constant(λ) and constant(K) are suggested. The charts suggested above evaluate using the conditional probability.

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Real-time Vision-based People Counting System for the Security Door

  • Kim, Jae-Won;Park, Kang-Sun;Park, Byeong-Doo;Ko, Sung-Jea
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2002.07c
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    • pp.1416-1419
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    • 2002
  • This paper describes an implementation method for the people counting system which detects and tracks moving people using a fixed single camera. This system counts the number of moving objects (people) entering the security door. Moreover, the detected objects are tracked by the proposed tracking algorithm before entering the door. The proposed system with In-tel Pentium IV operates at an average rate of 10 frames a second on real world scenes where up to 6 persons come into the view of a vertically mounted camera.

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