• 제목/요약/키워드: most probable number

검색결과 109건 처리시간 0.028초

신뢰성 해석을 위한 결합분포함수의 통계모델링 (Statistical Modeling of Joint Distribution Functions for Reliability Analysis)

  • 노유정;이상진
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
    • /
    • 제15권5호
    • /
    • pp.2603-2609
    • /
    • 2014
  • 기계시스템의 신뢰성 해석을 위해서는 기계시스템에 성능을 미치는 변수의 확률 분포와 파라미터를 결정하는 통계적 모델링은 반드시 필요하다. 하지만, 신뢰성 해석에서 상당수의 변수는 상관관계가 있음에도 불구하고 독립변수로 취급되거나 실험데이터 수가 부족하다는 이유로 통계 모델에 대한 잘못된 가정을 하는 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 베이지안 방법을 이용하여 상관관계를 갖는 데이터의 결합분포함수를 copula를 이용하여 모델링함으로써 적은 수의 데이터로부터 정확한 입력모델을 산정하는 방법을 제안하였으며, 방법의 검증을 위해 다양한 상관계수와 데이터 수에 대해 통계 시뮬레이션을 수행하였다. 그 결과 Bayesian방법은 상관계수가 낮아 후보함수가 유사하거나 샘플수가 적어 정확한 모델을 산정하기 어려운 경우에도 후보 copula 중 실제 copula와 가장 근사한 후보 copula를 선정하였다. 이러한 근사 후보 copula는 신뢰성 해석결과 역시 실제 copula 함수를 이용한 신뢰성 해석 결과와 유사한 결과를 가짐을 확인할 수 있으므로 베이지안 방법은 신뢰성 해석을 위해 정확한 통계모델링을 제공함을 알 수 있다.

An efficient simulation method for reliability analysis of systems with expensive-to-evaluate performance functions

  • Azar, Bahman Farahmand;Hadidi, Ali;Rafiee, Amin
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제55권5호
    • /
    • pp.979-999
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a novel reliability analysis method which computes reliability index, most probable point and probability of failure of uncertain systems more efficiently and accurately with compared to Monte Carlo, first-order reliability and response surface methods. It consists of Initial and Simulation steps. In Initial step, a number of space-filling designs are selected throughout the variables space, and then in Simulation step, performances of most of samples are estimated via interpolation using the space-filling designs, and only for a small number of the samples actual performance function is used for evaluation. In better words, doing so, we use a simple interpolation function called "reduced" function instead of the actual expensive-to-evaluate performance function of the system to evaluate most of samples. By using such a reduced function, total number of evaluations of actual performance is significantly reduced; hence, the method can be called Reduced Function Evaluations method. Reliabilities of six examples including series and parallel systems with multiple failure modes with truncated and/or non-truncated random variables are analyzed to demonstrate efficiency, accuracy and robustness of proposed method. In addition, a reliability-based design optimization algorithm is proposed and an example is solved to show its good performance.

소.돼지 도체표면의 미생물학적 고찰 (Survey on the microbiological quality of meat in Seoul)

  • 변정옥;모의원;문호판;이양수;이병동
    • 한국동물위생학회지
    • /
    • 제23권2호
    • /
    • pp.105-112
    • /
    • 2000
  • This survey was conducted to evaluate the microbiological quality of raw beef and pork products from January to December in 1999. A total of 107 beef and 157 hog carcasses were collected from two abattoirs located in Seoul. The result showed that beef carcasses had an average bacterial loading around 139,000 bacteria/$\textrm{cm}^2$ of carcass surface, indicating a little bit higher count than the results reported in USA and Australian meat. However, overall hygienic status was found to be acceptable for all examined carcasses because 84.4% of product rated excellent, good or acceptable comparable to USA of 91.6% and Australia of 88%. The analysis of data on overnight-chilled to weekend-chilled carcasses indicated that the microbiological growth occurred in the chiller during the weekend chill with increases in total viable count from 130,000cfu/$\textrm{cm}^2$ to 400,000cfu/$\textrm{cm}^2$. Qualitative testing for escherichia coli, EC + MUG was used as a most probable number (MPN) method along with the petrifilm method. The average of MPN/$\textrm{cm}^2$ of E coli biotype 1 was 29MPN/$\textrm{cm}^2$ for beef carcasses and 1,100 MPN/$\textrm{cm}^2$ for hog carcasses, respectively. However, 41% of beef and 16.3% of hog carcasses were shown to be less than < 3 MPN/$\textrm{cm}^2$ in E coli biotype 1 examination. Although salmonella enteritis, S typhimurium and E coli O157:H7 were all negative, listeria monocytogenes was recovered from only one hog surface samples of the 89 carcasses tested.

  • PDF

농법에 따른 메탄생성과 메탄생성 세균의 T-RFLP 패턴 (Methane Production and T-RFLP Patterns of Methanogenic Bacteria Dependent on Agricultural Methods)

  • 김훈수;조주식;박경량
    • 미생물학회지
    • /
    • 제45권1호
    • /
    • pp.17-25
    • /
    • 2009
  • 농법에 따른 토양의 토양 성분과, 메탄생성량, 메탄생성 세균의 수, 그리고 terminal restriction fragment length polymorphism (T-RFLP) 패턴을 계절별로 조사하였다. 조사기간 동안의 대부분 토양 성분은 큰 차이를 나타내지 않았고, 토양내 물 함량은 5월 시료 보다 10월 시료가 높게 나타났다. 그리고 most probable number (MPN) 방법을 이용한 메탄생성 세균 계수에서, 모든 논토양에 메탄생성 세균이 비교적 많이 존재하였으나 수소를 이용하는 메탄생성 세균과 포름산을 이용하는 메탄생성 세균에 비해 아세트산을 이용하는 메탄 세균수가 상대적으로 적은 것을 확인하였다. 또 포름산 이용 실험에서 대부분 토양이 1주부터 빠른 포름산 이용능을 보여, 4주에는 미량만이 검출되었으나, 아세트산을 첨가한 실험에서는 3주까지 아세트산이 증가된 후, 그 이후에야 아세트산이 이용되어 감소됨을 확인하였다. 그리고 수소를 첨가해준 모든 시료에서는 많은 양의 메탄생성이 있음을 확인하였다. 또 Sou96I을 처리한 mcrA 유전자의 T-RFLP 패턴을 분석한 결과, 농법에 따라 토양성분이 크게 차이가 없는 것과 같이 농법과 계절에 의해서도 뚜렷한 차이를 나타내지 않았지만 일부 통계분석 자료는 유의성이 있음을 확인하였다. 따라서 토양 미생물의 군집비교 기법을 미생물학적 지표로 활용할 수 있다고 판단된다.

Domain Structure of Liguid Water According to the Theory of Intermolecular Forces

  • 전무식;조웅인
    • 대한화학회지
    • /
    • 제16권3호
    • /
    • pp.135-141
    • /
    • 1972
  • In the past years, a number of theories have been published to elucidate the structure of liquid water. common to most of these theories is that water mainly consist of several different kinds of clusters and also hydrogen bonds in water may be bent to some degree. Recentrly, in a series of paper, Jhon and Eyring successfully explained thermodynamic, dielectric, surface and transport properites of water, assuming that it contains small domains of about 46 molecules. According to the theory, the cluster size does not change with temperature, but the cluster concentration changes. In this paper, the potential function for the hydrogen bond, the dispersion energy and dipole-dipole interaction terms. The calculated results show that the domain of nearly 46 molecules is energetically most probable, and its size is independent of temperature. And also, we evaluated the effect of angel variation of the bent hydrogen bond. In addition, the relaxation energy different for ice and water is also explained by this method.

  • PDF

혐기성소화의 물질분해 및 메탄생성에 대한 $CO_2$ 분압의 영향 (Effects of $PCO_2$ on Methane Production Rate and Matter degradation in Anaerobic Digestion)

  • 이국의;김영철;서명교
    • 한국환경보건학회지
    • /
    • 제26권2호
    • /
    • pp.59-66
    • /
    • 2000
  • Effects of carbon dioxide partial pressure(PCO2) on bacterial population, methane production rate and matter degradation in anaerobic digestion were investigated by using anaerobic chemostat type reactors at 35$\pm$1$^{\circ}C$, at the HRT of 7 days. At PCO2 of 0.5 atm, the specific methane production rate and specific substrate removal rate reached the maximum rates. The methane production rates in the reactors fed by mixed substrate were 26% higher than those obtained under the controlled condition. The number of acetate consuming methanogenic bacteria enumerated by the MPN(most probable number) method, decreased when PCO2 exceeded 0.7 atm. Hydrogen consuming methanogenic bacteria and homoacetogenic bacteria increased as PCO2 increased from 0.1 to 0.6 atm, however, decreased slightly at PCO2 above 0.7 atm. The number of hydrolytic bacteria, sulfate-reducing bacteria and H2-producing acetogenic bacterial were not much influenced by the change of PCO2. The potential methanogenic activity reached the maximum at PCO2 0.5 atm, however, decreased significantly when PCO2 exceeded 0.7 atm, would depend on free PCO2 concentration in solution.

  • PDF

HEVC에서 후보 모드 표를 이용한 화면내 모드 부호화 (Intra Mode Coding using Candidate Mode Table in HEVC)

  • 최정아;호요성
    • 한국통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제37권3A호
    • /
    • pp.157-162
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 후보 모드표를 이용한 새로운 화면내 모드 부호화 방법을 제안한다. 기존의 HEVC는 예측한 최고확률모드(most probable mode, MPM)가 현재 블록의 실제 모드와 동일하지 않을 경우 고정길이 부호(fixed length code, FLC)를 이용해 실제 모드 정보를 이진화한다. 하지만 HEVC는 화면내 블록은 많은 수의 모드를 사용하기 때문에 FLC를 이용해 이진화를 하면 코드워드의 길이가 길어진다. 본 논문에서는 예측한 MPM이 실제 모드와 동일하지 않은 경우 인접한 블록을 통해 생성한 후보 모드표를 이용해 부호화할 인덱스를 얻고, 이를 FLC 대신 통계적 특성을 고려한 Golomb-Rice 코드를 이용해 이진화하는 방법을 제안한다. 실험을 통해 제안한 방법이 기존의 HEVC 화면내 모드 부호화 방법에 비해 평균 약 0.5%의 비트 수를 감소시키는 것을 확인했다.

VVC의 화면 내 예측에서 적응적 TBC를 사용하는 방법 (Adaptive TBC in Intra Prediction on Versatile Video Coding)

  • 이원준;박광훈
    • 방송공학회논문지
    • /
    • 제25권1호
    • /
    • pp.109-112
    • /
    • 2020
  • VVC는 화면 내 예측에서 67가지의 모드를 사용한다. 이때 화면 내 예측 모드 표현을 위한 데이터를 감소시키기 위하여 MPM(Most Probable Mode)을 사용한다. 시그널링 되는 모드가 MPM 후보 내에 존재하는 경우 MPM 리스트의 해당 index를 송신하는 방법을 사용하고 MPM 후보 내에 존재하지 않는 경우에는 TBC 부호화를 적용한다. 화면 내 예측에서 TBC가 적용될 때 MPM 후보를 제외하고 낮은 번호의 모드 순서대로 3가지가 선택되어 5비트로 부호화되고 나머지 모드는 6비트로 부호화된다. 본 논문에서는 VVC의 화면 내 예측에서 사용하는 TBC 기술의 한계점을 알아보고 화면 내 예측에서 TBC를 사용할 때 기존의 방법보다 효율적으로 부호화 할 수 있는 적응적인 방법을 제안한다. 그 결과 기존의 부호화 방법과 비교해서 overall 부호화 성능이 AI와 RA에서 각각 0.01%, 0.04%의 부호화 효율이 증대되었다.

Effect of Moisture Content on Reductive Dechlorination of Polychlorinated Biphenyls and Population Dynamics of Dechlorinating Microorganisms

  • Kwon, O-Seob;Kim, Young-Eui;Park, Jong-Gyu
    • Journal of Microbiology
    • /
    • 제39권3호
    • /
    • pp.195-201
    • /
    • 2001
  • The effect of moisture content an the reductive dechlorination of polychlorinated biphenyls and population dynamics of dechlorinating microorganisms was investigated in sediments spiked with Aroclor 1248. In sediment slurry with an overlying water layer, dechlorination ensued after a 4-week lag period and reduced the average number of chlorines per biphenyl from 3.91 to 3.15 after 48 weeks. In the sediments of reduced moisture content, however, dechlorination occurred after a lag period of 12 weeks and decreased the average number of chlorines per biphenyl to only 3.62, and the dechlorination rate was also slower. When the population size of dechlorinators, methanogens, and sulfate-reducing bacteria was determined by the most probable number techniques, however, no difference was found between the slurry and the low-moisture sediments, except for methanogens. The growth of dechlorinating populations coincided with the end of the lag period and they then increased by 3 orders of magnitude in two conditions. Specific growth rate of dechlorinators showed little difference between the slurry and the low-moisture sediments; however, growth yield was high in the sediments of reduced moisture content. The reduction of sediment moisture decreased the dechlorination rate and extent of PCBs but did not inhibit the growth of PCB dechlorinators.

  • PDF

Prevalence and Quantification of Vibrio parahaemolyticus in Raw Salad Vegetables at Retail Level

  • Tunung, R.;Margaret, S.P.;Jeyaletchumi, P.;Chai, L.C.;Zainazor, T.C. Tuan;Ghazali, F.M.;Nakaguchi, Y.;Nishibuchi, M.;Son, R.
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.391-396
    • /
    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the biosafety of Vibrio parahaemolyticus in raw salad vegetables at wet markets and supermarkets in Malaysia. A combination of the most probable number-polymerase chain reaction (MPN-PCR) method was applied to detect the presence of V. parahaemolyticus and to enumerate their density in the food samples. The study analyzed 276 samples of common vegetables eaten raw in Malaysia (Wild cosmos=8; Japanese parsley=21; Cabbage=30; Lettuce=16; Indian pennywort=17; Carrot=31; Sweet potato=29; Tomato=38; Cucumber=28; Four-winged bean=26; Long bean=32). The samples were purchased from two supermarkets (A and B) and two wet markets (C and D). The occurrence of V. parahaemolyticus detected was 20.65%, with a higher frequency of V. parahaemolyticus in vegetables obtained from wet markets (Wet market C=27.27%; Wet Market D=32.05%) compared with supermarkets (Supermarket A=1.64%; Supermarket B=16.67%). V. parahaemolyticus was most prevalent in Indian pennywort (41.18%). The density of V. parahaemolyticus in all the samples ranged from <3 up to >2,400 MPN/g, mostly <3 MPN/g concentration. Raw vegetables from wet markets contained higher levels of V. parahaemolyticus compared with supermarkets. Although V. parahaemolyticus was present in raw vegetables, its numbers were low. The results suggest that raw vegetables act as a transmission route for V. parahaemolyticus. This study will be the first biosafety assessment of V. parahaemolyticus in raw vegetables in Malaysia.