• Title/Summary/Keyword: mortality model

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Analysis of the Current Status and Correlation of Traffic Demand according to the COVID-19 Indicator (코로나 19 지표에 따른 교통수요 현황 및 상관관계 분석)

  • Han, Kyeung-hee;Kim, Do-kyeong;Kang, Wook;So, Jaehyun (Jason);Lee, Choul-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2021
  • In January 2020, the first COVID-19 confirmed patient occurred in Korea, and the pandemic continues to this day. In unprecedented situations, COVID-19 also affected the transportation sector, and there were no appropriate measures against changes in traffic volume and use of public transportation due to changes in citizens' lifestyles. Currently, each local government has not established separate measures for pandemic disease measures. In order to establish future disease countermeasures in the transportation sector, a predictive model was developed by analyzing the traffic volume and the number of public transportation uses, and conducting correlation analysis with the current status of COVID-19. As a result of the analysis, the traffic volume decreased, but the traffic volume decreased due to the increase in personal transportation, but it did not reach the number of public transportation uses. In addition, it was analyzed that the use of public transportation was initially affected by the number of confirmed cases, but over time, it was more sensitive to death and mortality than to the number of confirmed cases.

Development of A Quantitative Risk Assessment Model by BIM-based Risk Factor Extraction - Focusing on Falling Accidents - (BIM 기반 위험요소 도출을 통한 정량적 위험성 평가 모델 개발 - 떨어짐 사고를 중심으로 -)

  • Go, Huijea;Hyun, Jihun;Lee, Juhee;Ahn, Joseph
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2022
  • As the incidence and mortality of serious disasters in the construction industry are the highest, various efforts are being made in Korea to reduce them. Among them, risk assessment is used as data for disaster reduction measures and evaluation of risk factors at the construction stage. However, the existing risk assessment involves the subjectivity of the performer and is vulnerable to the domestic construction site. This study established a DB classification system for risk assessment with the aim of early identification and pre-removal of risks by quantitatively deriving risk factors using BIM in the risk assessment field and presents a methodology for risk assessment using BIM. Through this, prior removal of risks increases the safety of construction workers and reduces additional costs in the field of safety management. In addition, since it can be applied to new construction methods, it improves the understanding of project participants and becomes a tool for communication. This study proposes a framework for deriving quantitative risks based on BIM, and will be used as a base technology in the field of risk assessment using BIM in the future.

Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients with Node-Negative Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer with Satellite Pulmonary Nodules in the Same Lobe

  • Park, Jiyoun;Lee, Junghee;Jeon, Yeong Jeong;Shin, Sumin;Cho, Jong Ho;Kim, Hong-Kwan;Choi, Yong Soo;Kim, Jhingook;Zo, Jae Ill;Shim, Young Mog
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.10-19
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    • 2022
  • Background: According to the eighth TNM (tumor-node-metastasis) staging system, the presence of separate tumor nodules in the same lobe is designated as a T3 descriptor. However, it remains unclear whether adjuvant chemotherapy confers survival advantages in this setting. Methods: We retrospectively identified 142 pathologic T3N0M0 patients with additional pulmonary nodules in the same lobe from a single-institutional database from 2004 to 2019. The main outcomes were overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Multivariable Cox regression was used to identify the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy while adjusting for other variables. Results: Sixty-one patients received adjuvant chemotherapy (adjuvant group) and 81 patients did not receive adjuvant therapy after surgery (surgery-only group). There were no demonstrable differences between the 2 groups regarding hospital mortality and postoperative complications, indicating that treatment selection had not significantly occurred. However, the use of adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with improved 5-year overall survival (70% vs. 59%, p=0.006) and disease-free survival (60% vs. 46%, p=0.040). A multivariable Cox model demonstrated that adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with a survival advantage (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.54; p<0.001). In exploratory analyses of subgroups, the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy seemed to be insufficient in those with small main tumors (<4 cm). Conclusion: Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with better survival in T3 cancers with an additional tumor nodule in the same lobe. However, the role of adjuvant chemotherapy in patient subgroups with small tumors or those without risk factors should be determined via large studies.

Characteristics of Patients with Surgical Closure of an Atrial Septal Defect during Infancy

  • Byeong A Yoo;Su Jin Kwon;Yu-Mi Im;Dong-Hee Kim;Eun Seok Choi;Bo Sang Kwon;Chun Soo Park;Tae-Jin Yun
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2023
  • Background: Surgical closure of an atrial septal defect (ASD) is infrequently indicated during infancy. We evaluated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients who underwent surgical ASD closure during infancy. Methods: A single-center retrospective review was performed for 39 patients (19 males) who underwent surgical ASD closure during infancy between 1993 and 2020. The median body weight percentile at the time of operation was 9.3. Results: During a median follow-up of 60.9 months, 4 late deaths occurred due to chronic respiratory failure. A preoperative history of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) was the only risk factor for late mortality identified in Cox regression (hazard ratio, 3.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-163.04; p=0.015). The 5-year survival rate was significantly lower in patients with preoperative history of BPD (97.0% vs. 50.0%, p<0.001) and preoperative ventilatory support (97.1% vs. 40.4%, p<0.001). There were significant postoperative increases in left ventricular end-diastolic (p=0.017), end-systolic (p=0.014), and stroke volume (p=0.013) indices. A generalized estimated equation model showed significantly better postoperative improvement in body weight percentiles in patients with lower weight percentiles at the time of operation (<10th percentile, p=0.01) and larger indexed ASD diameter (≥45 mm/m2, p=0.025). Conclusion: Patients with ASD necessitating surgical closure during infancy are extremely small preoperatively and remain small even after surgical closure. However, postoperative somatic growth was more prominent in smaller patients with larger defects, which may be attributable to an increase in postoperative cardiac output due to changes in ventricular septal configuration. The benefits of ASD closure in patients with BPD are undetermined.

Berberine Suppresses Hepatocellular Carcinoma Proliferation via Autophagy-mediated Apoptosis (베르베린을 처리한 간세포암에서 자가포식 경로와 관련된 세포자멸사)

  • Yun Kyu Kim;Myeong Gu Yeo
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2024
  • Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, necessitating novel therapeutic strategies. The chemotherapeutic agents used to treat HCC patients are toxic and have serious side effects. Therefore, we investigated the efficacy of anticancer drugs that reduce side effects by targeting tumor cells without causing cytotoxicity in healthy hepatocytes. Berberine, an isoquinoline alkaloid derived from plant compounds, has emerged as a potential candidate for cancer treatment due to its diverse pharmacological properties. The effect of berberine on HepG2 cell viability was determined using the 3-[4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl]-2,5-diphenyl tetrazolium bromide assay. HepG2 cell proliferation was determined through a colony-forming assay. The effects of berberine on HepG2 cell migration were evaluated using a wound-healing assay. Berberine inhibited the proliferation of HepG2 cells, as well as colony formation and migration. Berberine treatment increased the expression of autophagy-related genes and proteins, including Beclin-1 and LC3-II, and elevated the activities and mRNA expression of Caspase-9 and Caspase-3. Additionally, in experiments utilizing the Cell-Derived Xenograft animal model, berberine treatment reduced tumor size and weight in a concentration-dependent manner. These results demonstrate the potential of berberine as a versatile anticancer agent with efficacy in both cellular and animal models of hepatocellular carcinoma. The findings herein shed light on berberine's efficacy against HCC, presenting opportunities for targeted and personalized therapeutic interventions.

Angioembolization performed by trauma surgeons for trauma patients: is it feasible in Korea? A retrospective study

  • Soonseong Kwon;Kyounghwan Kim;Soon Tak Jeong;Joongsuck Kim;Kwanghee Yeo;Ohsang Kwon;Sung Jin Park;Jihun Gwak;Wu Seong Kang
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: Recent advancements in interventional radiology have made angioembolization an invaluable modality in trauma care. Angioembolization is typically performed by interventional radiologists. In this study, we aimed to investigate the safety and efficacy of emergency angioembolization performed by trauma surgeons. Methods: We identified trauma patients who underwent emergency angiography due to significant trauma-related hemorrhage between January 2020 and June 2023 at Jeju Regional Trauma Center. Until May 2022, two dedicated interventional radiologists performed emergency angiography at our center. However, since June 2022, a trauma surgeon with a background and experience in vascular surgery has performed emergency angiography for trauma-related bleeding. The indications for trauma surgeon-performed angiography included significant hemorrhage from liver injury, pelvic injury, splenic injury, or kidney injury. We assessed the angiography results according to the operator of the initial angiographic procedure. The term "failure of the first angioembolization" was defined as rebleeding from any cause, encompassing patients who underwent either re-embolization due to rebleeding or surgery due to rebleeding. Results: No significant differences were found between the interventional radiologists and the trauma surgeon in terms of re-embolization due to rebleeding, surgery due to rebleeding, or the overall failure rate of the first angioembolization. Mortality and morbidity rates were also similar between the two groups. In a multivariable logistic regression analysis evaluating failure after the first angioembolization, pelvic embolization emerged as the sole significant risk factor (adjusted odds ratio, 3.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-10.33; P=0.041). Trauma surgeon-performed angioembolization was not deemed a significant risk factor in the multivariable logistic regression model. Conclusions: Trauma surgeons, when equipped with the necessary endovascular skills and experience, can safely perform angioembolization. To further improve quality control, an enhanced training curriculum for trauma surgeons is warranted.

Blood-Blister Aneurysms of the Internal Carotid Artery in Tibetan and Han Populations : A Retrospective Observational Study

  • Bowen Huang;Yanming Ren;Hao Liu;Anqi Xiao;Lunxin Liu;Hong Sun;Yi Liu;Hao Li;Lu Ma;Chang-Wei Zhang;Chao-Hua Wang;Min He;Yuekang Zhang;Chao You;Jin Li
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.67 no.3
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    • pp.345-353
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    • 2024
  • Objective : Blood-blister aneurysms (BBAs) of the internal carotid artery (ICA) are challenging lesions with high morbidity and mortality rates. Although research on BBAs is well documented in different populations, the study of BBAs in the Tibetan population is extremely rare. This study aimed to evaluate the characteristics of BBAs and analyze the treatment modalities and long-term outcomes in the Tibetan population in comparison with the Han population. Methods : The characteristics of patients with BBAs of the ICA from January 2009 to January 2021 at our institution were reviewed. The features of aneurysms, treatment modalities, complications, and follow-up outcomes were retrospectively analyzed. Results : A total of 130 patients (41 Tibetan and 89 Han patients) with BBAs of the ICA who underwent treatment were enrolled. Compared with the Han group, the Tibetan group significantly demonstrated a high ratio of BBAs among ICAs (8.6%, 41/477 vs. 1.6%, 89/5563; p<0.05), a high ratio of vasospasm (34.1%, 14/41 vs. 6.7%, 6/89; p=0.001), a high risk of ischemic events (43.9%, 18/41 vs. 22.5%, 20/89; p<0.05), and a low ratio of good outcomes (modified Rankin scale, 0-2) at the 1-year follow-up (51.2%, 21/41 vs. 74.2%, 66/89; p<0.05). The multivariate regression model showed that ischemic events significantly contributed to the prediction of outcomes at 1 year. Further analysis revealed that microsurgery and vasospasm were associated with ischemic events. Conclusion : In comparison with Han patients, the Tibetan population had a high ratio of BBA occurrence, a high incidence of ischemic events, and a high ratio of poor outcomes. The endovascular approach showed more benefits in BBA patients.

Development Model of the Foxglove Aphid, Aulacorthum solani (Kaltenbach) on Lettuce (상추에서의 싸리수염진딧물(Aulacorthum solani)의 발육과 발육모형)

  • Lee, Sang-Guei;Kim, Hyeong-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Heung;Park, Gil-Jun;Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Ji-Soo
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2008
  • The development of Aulacorthum solani (Kaltenbach) was studied at temperatures ranging from 12.5 to $27.5^{\circ}C$ under $65{\pm}5%$ RH, and a photoperiod of 16:8 (L:D). Mortality of $1st{\sim}2nd$ nymph was higher than that of $3rd{\sim}4th$ nymph at the most temperature ranges whereas at high temperature of $27.5^{\circ}C$, more $3{\sim}4th$ nymph stage individuals died. The total developmental time ranged from 16.9 days at $12.5^{\circ}C$ to 6.6days at $22.5^{\circ}C$, suggesting that higher the temperature, faster the development. However, at higher temperature of $25^{\circ}C$ the development took 7.4 days. The lower developmental threshold temperature and effective accumulative temperatures for the total immature stage were $0.08^{\circ}C$ and 162.8 day-degreeslated development. The nonlinear shape of temperature rewas well described by the modified Sharpe and DeMichele model. When the normalized cumulative frequency distributions of developmental times for each life stage were fitted to the three-parameter Weibull function, attendance of shortened developmental times was apparent with in $1{\sim}2nd$ nymph, $3{\sim}4th$ nymph, and total nymph stages in descending order. The coefficient of determination $r^2$ ranged between 0.86 and 0.91.

Temperature-dependent developmental models and fertility life table of the potato aphid Macrosiphum euphorbiae Thomas on eggplant (감자수염진딧물(Macrosiphum euphorbiae Thomas)의 온도발육모형과 출산생명표)

  • Jeon, Sung-Wook;Kim, Kang-Hyeok;Lee, Sang Guei;Lee, Yong Hwan;Park, Se Keun;Kang, Wee Soo;Park, Bueyong;Kim, Kwang-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.568-578
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    • 2019
  • The nymphal development of the potato aphid, Macrosiphum euphorbiae (Thomas), was studied at seven constant temperatures (12.5, 15.0, 17.5, 20.0, 22.5, 25.0, and 27.5±1℃), 65±5% relative humidity (RH), and 16:8 h light/dark photoperiods. The developmental investigation of M. euphorbiae was separated into two steps, the 1st through 2nd and the 3rd through 4th stages. The mortality was under 10% at six temperatures. However, it was 53.0% at 27.5℃. The developmental time of the entire nymph stage was 15.5 days at 15.0℃, 6.7 days at 25.0℃, and 9.7 days at 27.5℃. In the immature stage, the lower threshold temperature of the larvae was 2.6℃ and the thermal constant was 144.5 DD. In our analysis of the temperature-development experiment, the Logan-6 model equation was most appropriate for the non-linear regression models (r2=0.99). When the distribution completion model of each development stage of M. euphorbiae larvae was applied to the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull functions, each of the model's goodness of fit was very similar (r2=0.92 and 0.93, respectively). The adult longevity decreased as the temperature increased but the total fecundity of the females at each temperature was highest at 20℃. The life table parameters were calculated using the whole lifespan periods of M. euphorbiae at the above six temperatures. The net reproduction rate (R0) was highest at 20.0℃(63.2). The intrinsic rate of increase (rm) was highest at 25℃(1.393). The finite rate of doubling time (Dt) was the shortest at 25.0℃(2.091). The finite rate of increase (λ) was also the highest at 25.0℃(1.393). The mean generation time(T) was the shortest at 25.0℃(9.929).

The Influences of Obstructive Apneas on Changes of Cardiovascular Function in Anesthetized Dogs with $\alpha$-chloralose ($\alpha$-chloralose로 마취한 개에서 폐쇄성 무호흡이 심혈관계 기능변화에 미치는 영향)

  • Jang, Jae-Soon;Kang, Ji-Ho;Lee, Sang-Haak;Choi, Young-Mee;Kwon, Soon-Seog;Kim, Young-Kyoon;Kim, Kwan-Hyoung;Song, Jeong-Sup;Park, Sung-Hak;Moon, Hwa-Sik
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2000
  • Background : Patients with obstructive sleep apnea syndrome are known to have high long-term mortality compared to healthy subjects because of their cardiovascular dysfunction. The observation of hemodynamic changes by obstructive apneas is helpful when attempting to understand the pathophysiological mechanism of the development of cardiovascular dysfunction in those patients. Therefore, we studied the changes in cardiovascular function with an animal model and tried to obtain the basic data for an ideal experimental model (this phrase is unclear), a requirement for a more advanced study. Methods : Sixteen anesthetized dogs with ${\alpha}$-chloralose delete were divided into two groups : 8 dogs of room air breathing group and 8 dogs of oxygen breathing group. We measured $PaO_2$, $PaCO_2$, heart rate, cardiac output, mean femoral artery pressure, and mean pulmonary artery pressure at specified times during the apnea-breathing cycle before endotracheal tube occlusion (baseline), 25 seconds after endotracheal tube occlusion (apneic period), 10 seconds (early phase of postapneic period, EPA) and 25 seconds (late phase of postapneic period, LPA) after spontaneous breathing. Results : In room air breathing group, the heart rate significantly decreased during the apneic period compared to that at baseline (P<0.01) and increased at EPA and LPA compared to that during the apneic period (P<0.01). But, the heart rate showed no significant changes during apneic and postapneic periods in the oxygen breathing group. Cardiac output tended to decrease during apneic period compared to that at baseline, but was statistically significant. Cardiac output significantly decreased at LP A compared to at baseline (P<0.01). Mean femoral artery pressure was significantly decreased at during apneic period compared to that at baseline (P<0.05). Conclusion : Through this experiment, we were partially able to understand the changes of cardiovascular function indirectly, but delete new experimental animal model displaying physiological mechanism close to natural sleep should be established, and the advanced study in the changes of cardiovascular function and their causes should be continued.

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