• Title/Summary/Keyword: monte carlo method

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Application of the Health Risk Models Estimating Skin Cancer Caused by UVB Radiation (자외선(UVB) 노출 증가에 대한 피부암 위해도 예측 모델의 적용)

  • Shin, Dong-Chun;Lee, Jong-Tae;Chung, Yong;Kang, Na-Kyung;Yang, Ji-Yeon
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.11 no.1_2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1996
  • A decrease in stratospheric ozone probably caused by chloroflurocarbons (CFCs) emissions, has been observed large parts of-the globe. It is generally accepted that if ozone levels in the stratosphere are depleted, greater amounts of shortwave ultraviolet radiationB (UVB) will reach the earth's surface, resulting in increased incidence of nonmelanoma skin cancer. In this study, we evaluated several mathematical models, such as a power and an exponential model, and a geometric model considering the surface area of a human body part and ages for the prediction of Skin cancer incidence caused by exposure to the UVB radiation. These models basically estimated the risk of skin cancer based on those measurements of the local ozone in stratosphere and UVB. Both were measured at a part of Seoul with a Dobson ozone spectrometer and Robertson-Berger UV Biometer for 1995. As a result, we calculated the point estimation applying a biological amplification factor (BAF), UVB radiation and other factors. We used a Monte-Carlo simulation technique with assumption on the distribution of each considered factor. The sensitivity analysis of model by there components conducted using Gaussian sensitivity method. The annual integral of UVB radiation was 2275 MED (minimal erythema dose)/yr. Also, an estimate of the annual amount of UVB reaching the earth's surface at a korea's latitude and altitude was 3328 MED/yr. The values of the radiation amplification factor (RAF) were ranged from 0.9 to 1.5 in Seoul. To give the effective factors required to model the prediction of skin cancer incidence caused by exposure to the UVB radiation in Korea, we studied the pros and cons of above mentioned models with the application of those parameters measured in Seoul, Korea.

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Station Capacity Calculation on High-Speed Railway Considering the number of Sidings and Train Halting Patterns (부본선 및 정차패턴을 고려한 고속철도 정거장 용량산정)

  • Joo, JinHyeong;Kim, KyungMin;Oh, SukMun;Lim, KwangMan;Park, OhSung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.539-549
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes an analytical methodology of station capacity calculation on high - speed railway. Our method explicitly takes into account the effect of the number of sidings and the combination of train halting patterns (stop - stop, pass - stop, stop - pass, pass - pass) on the capacity of a station. To verify the reliability of our model, we conducted capacity analysis of selected stations using the Railsys simulator. We found that the difference in calculated capacity between our model and Railsys was less than 10%. After Monte Carlo simulation, our model was determined to be a good one. In addition, the consistency in capacity between our model and the train-path allocation program (Korea Rail Network Authority) was statistically significant.

Simulation study of ion-implanted 4H-SiC p-n diodes (이온주입 공정을 이용한 4H-SiC p-n diode에 관한 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Sang;Bahng, Wook;Kim, Sang-Cheol;Kim, Nam-Kyun;Koo, Sang-Mo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.131-131
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    • 2008
  • Silicon carbide (SiC) has attracted significant attention for high frequency, high temperature and high power devices due to its superior properties such as the large band gap, high breakdown electric field, high saturation velocity and high thermal conductivity. We performed Al ion implantation processes on n-type 4H-SiC substrate using a SILVACO ATHENA numerical simulator. The ion implantation model used a Monte-Carlo method. We studied the effect of channeling by Al implantation simulation in both 0 off-axis and 8 off-axis n-type 4H-SiC substrate. We have investigated the Al distribution in 4H-SiC through the variation of the implantation energies and the corresponding ratio of the doses. The implantation energies controlled 40, 60, 80, 100 and 120 keV and the implantation doses varied from $2\times10^{14}$ to $1\times10^{15}cm^{-2}$. In the simulation results, the Al ion distribution was deeper as increasing implantation energy and the doping level increased as increasing implantation doses. After the post-implantation annealing, the electrical properties of Al-implanted p-n junction diode were investigated by SILV ACO ATLAS numerical simulator.

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Error analysis of acoustic target detection and localization using Cramer Rao lower bound (크래머 라오 하한을 이용한 음향 표적 탐지 및 위치추정 오차 분석)

  • Park, Ji Sung;Cho, Sungho;Kang, Donhyug
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.218-227
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, an algorithm to calculate both bearing and distance error for target detection and localization is proposed using the Cramer Rao lower bound to estimate the minium variance of their error in DOA (Direction Of Arrival) estimation. The performance of arrays in detection and localization depends on the accuracy of DOA, which is affected by a variation of SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio). The SNR is determined by sonar parameters such as a SL (Source Level), TL (Transmission Loss), NL (Noise Level), array shape and beam steering angle. For verification of the suggested method, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to probabilistically calculate the bearing and distance error according to the SNR which varies with the relative position of the target in space and noise level.

Human Risk Assessment of Perchloroethylene Considering Multi-media Exposure (다매체 노출을 고려한 Perchloroethylene의 인체위해성평가연구)

  • Seo, Jungkwan;Kim, Taksoo;Jo, Areum;Kim, Pilje;Choi, Kyunghee
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.397-406
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: Perchloroethylene (PCE) is a volatile chemical widely used as a solvent in the dry-cleaning and textile processing industries. It was evaluated as Group 2 "probably carcinogenic to humans" by the Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS) of the United State Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) in 2012. In order to provide a scientific basis for establishing risk management measures for chemicals on the national priority substances list, aggregate risk assessment was conducted for PCE, included in the top-10 substances. Methods: We conducted the investigation and monitoring of PCE exposure (e.g., exposure scenario, detection levels, and exposure factors, etc.) and assessed its multi-media (e.g., outdoor air, indoor air, and ground water) exposure risk with a deterministic and probabilistic approach. Results: In human risk assessment (HRA), the level of human exposure was higher in the younger age group. The exposure level through inhalation at home was the highest among the exposure routes. Outdoor air or uptake of drinking water represented less than 1% of total contributions to PCE exposure. These findings suggested that the level of risk was negligible since the Hazard Index (HI) induced by HRA was below one among all age groups, with a maximum HI value of 0.17 when reasonable maximum exposure was applied. Conclusion: In conclusion, it was suggested that despite low exposure risk, further studies are needed considering main sources, including occupational exposure.

A Study on Development of a PIN Semiconductor Detector for Measuring Individual Dose (개인 선량 측정용 PIN 반도체 검출기 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, B.J.;Lee, W.N.;Khang, B.O.;Chang, S.Y.;Rho, S.R.;Chae, H.S.
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2003
  • The fabrication process and the structure of PIN semiconductor detectors have been designed optimally by simulation for doping concentration and width of p+ layer, impurities re-contribution due to annealing and the current distribution due to guard ring at the sliced edges. The characteristics to radiation response has been also simulated in terms of Monte Carlo Method. The device has been fabricated on n type, $400\;{\Omega}cm$, orientation <100>, Floating-Zone silicon wafer using the simulation results. The leakage current density of $0.7nA/cm^2/100{\mu}m$ is achieved by this process. The good linearity of radiation response to Cs-137 was kept within the exposure ranges between 5 mR/h and 25 R/h. This proposed process could be applied for fabricating a PIN semiconductor detector for measuring individual dose.

Real-Time Simulation of Single and Multiple Scattering of Light (빛의 단일 산란과 다중 산란의 실시간 시뮬레이션 기법)

  • Ki, Hyun-Woo;Lyu, Ji-Hye;Oh, Kyoung-Su
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2007
  • It is significant to simulate scattering of light within media for realistic image synthesis; however, this requires costly computation. This paper introduces a practical image-space approximation technique for interactive subsurface scattering. We use a general two-pass approach, which creates transmitted irradiance samples onto shadow maps and computes illumination using the shadow maps. We estimate single scattering efficiently using a method similar to common shadow mapping with adaptive deterministic sampling. A hierarchical technique is applied to evaluate multiple scattering, based on a diffusion theory. We further accelerate rendering speed by tabulating complex functions and utilizing level of detail. We demonstrate that our technique produces high-quality images of animated scenes with blurred shadow at hundreds frames per second on graphics hardware. It can be integrated into existing interactive systems easily.

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Simulation of Groundwater Flow in Fractured Porous Media using a Discrete Fracture Model (불연속 파쇄모델을 이용한 파쇄 매질에서의 지하수 유동 시뮬레이션)

  • Park, Yu-Chul;Lee, Kang-Kun
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.503-512
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    • 1995
  • Groundwater flow in fracture networks is simulated using a discrete fracture (DF) model which assume that groundwater flows only through the fracture network. This assumption is available if the permeability of rock matrix is very low. It is almost impossible to describe fracture networks perfectly, so a stochastic approach is used. The stochastic approach assumes that the characteristic parameters in fracture network have special distribution patterns. The stochastic model generates fracture networks with some characteristic parameters. The finite element method is used to compute fracture flows. One-dimensional line element is the element type of the finite elements. The simulation results are shown by dominant flow paths in the fracture network. The dominant flow path can be found from the simulated groundwater flow field. The model developed in this study provides the tool to estimate the influences of characteristic parameters on groundwater flow in fracture networks. The influences of some characteristic parameters on the frcture flow are estimated by the Monte Carlo simulation based on 30 realizations.

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Measurement and Prediction of 3-Dimensional Thermo-Mechanical Propertoes of Carbon-phenolic 8-harness Satin Weave Composites (탄소/페놀 8-매 주자직 복합재료의 3차원 열기계적 등가물성치에 관한 연구)

  • U,Gyeong-Sik;Kim,Pil-Jong;Yun,Gwang-Jun;Gu,Nam-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.31 no.7
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, three-dimensional thermo-mechanical properties of carbon-phenolic 8-hamess satin weave composites were predicted considering geometric parameters of microstructures. The effective properties were calculated by a series of numerical experiments based on unit cell analysis. The microstructural details were modeled through macro-elements, and the periodic boundary conditions were derived for corresponding un it cell types. The Monte Carlo method was employed to consider the random phase shift between the layers, and the results were investigated on the effect of the geometric parameters of shift, number of layers and waviness ratios. Experimental tests were also performed and the results were compared.

A New Process for the Requirements Based Aerospace System Design and Optimization (요구도 기반 항공우주 시스템 강건최적설계 기법 연구)

  • Park, Hyeong-Uk;Lee, Jae-Woo;Byun, Yung-Hwan;Chung, Joon;Behdinan, Karman
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.255-266
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a robust aerospace system design process for the aerospace system is developed by considering the uncertainties of user requirements, manufacturing errors, and operational environment variation. User requirements are analyzed and quantified by decision making models and system engineering methods to select alternative concepts which satisfies the various requirements. Robust design and optimization method is applied to derive the robust solution of the selected system. First, a variance of objective function is calculated, and a mean value and a variance of target value are determined by the deterministic design optimization results of the system. A robust optimum design formulation is then needed to derive the robust solution that minimizes the variance of the response and moves the mean values to the target value. It is applied to Very Light Jet (VLJ) aircraft to which much attention is paid recently in civil aerospace market.