• 제목/요약/키워드: monetary approach

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The Dynamics of Monetarists Versus Keynesians Perspectives and Their Role in Economic Growth of Pakistan

  • MANSOOR, Abdul;HUSSAIN, Syed Tahir;RAIS, Syed Imran;BASHIR, Malik Fahim;TARIQ, Yasir Bin;KAUSAR, Maria
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2022
  • The study intends to investigate a short-run and a long-run causality among money, income, and prices in the Keynesian and Monetarists framework. This study emphasizes the importance of unrecorded money, which exists alongside legal monetary assets and plays a dual function in determining economic prosperity. The underground economy, which is a hidden component of aggregate economic activity, is determined using Tanzi's monetary approach (Tanzi, 1980). This research uses a time series of annual data from 1990 to 2019 for this purpose. The data is extracted from the World Bank database for the monetary and development indicators. The study keeping in view the trending nature in data follows a unit root testing followed by the Autoregressive Distributive Lag Model (ARDL) to assess the long and short-run dynamics of causality among the variables. In both the pricing and income equations, the study finds a significant level link among the variables; however, there is no evidence of the presence of a level association in the money equation. The short-run causal relationship provides evidence of bi-directional causation between the supply of money and national income. The outcome of this study advise that though the view point of both the Monetarist and Keynesian school holds in both short and long run, however, in Pakistan only the Monetarists' role of money supply and income holds in Pakistan. This evidence would be of precise interest to the policy-makers.

비재무적인 효과의 화폐가치화를 위한 IT ROI의 평가 (An Assessment of IT ROI by Estimating the Monetary Value of Non-financial Benefits)

  • 김영운;정기원
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.91-112
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    • 2006
  • IT 투자는 기업의 일반적인 투자와는 달리 직접적인 효과를 계량화하기 어려운 부분이 있기 때문에 재무적 측정지표만으로 IT 투자의 성과를 제대로 평가 할 수 없다. 따라서 본 논문은 IT 투자와 그 투자에서 얻어지는 비재무적 효과를 포함한 효과를 화폐가치로 변환 후 투자수익률을 분석하는 방법론을 제시한다. 이 방법론은 IT 소유비용을 체계적으로 분석해서 가시적 인 비용뿐만 아니라 숨겨진 비용도 파악한다. 또한 IT투자로 인한 재무적인 효과와 비재무적인 효과를 화폐가치화 하여 IT ROI를 산출한다. 본 논문은 정보시스템이 기업의 활동에 기여하는 효과를 객관적인 타당성을 확보하여 IT투자 의사결정을 도와주고, IT 투자우선순위를 보다 합리적으로 결정할 수 있어 효율적인 IT투자가 이루어질 수 있는 체계를 제시한다.

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An Analysis of Money Supply in Indonesia: Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Approach

  • YULIADI, Imamudin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.241-249
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    • 2020
  • The role of money in the modern economy highly determines the intensity and the development of the macroeconomy. The money supply is assumed to be as much as money demand, which reflects the economic character of a country and indicates the growth and development of macroeconomy. In Indonesia, the money supply (M1) is related to the economic dynamics in either the monetary market or the goods market. This research aims at analyzing factors that influence the money supply and to what extent the economic factors affect the money supply in Indonesia. The analysis method used in this research was Vector Autoregressive (VAR) with some variables, such as money supply (M1), interest rate, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from the 1st quarter of 2001 until the 1st quarter of 2013. The data collection method was in the form of data compilation from credible sources, such as Bank of Indonesia (BI), Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), and International Financial Statistics (IFS). To obtain adequate analysis results, several tests were taken, such as unit-root test, Granger causality test, and optimal lag. VAR analysis formulates the correlation among independent variables, so it also sees the study of impulse response and matrix decomposition.

E-Banking Performance in Uganda: A Case Study of Bank of Uganda

  • Nuwagaba, Alfred
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2015
  • Online or e-banking has been adopted as key banking innovation in Uganda adopted by all financial institutions in the country. This research explored the state of e-banking and its efficacy in Uganda banking industry. A correlation analysis approach was adopted for this research. In Uganda, the banking sector has been liberalized with telecommunications allowed to effect e-banking and ecommerce transactions. The study concentrated on the periods of years 2011/2012 and 2012/2013. Findings from this research revealed that BOU uses UNISS for real time gross settlement (RTGS). Since its adoption a +1 coefficient correlation was realized. With the use of mobile money, also a +1 coefficient correlation was achieved for the period under consideration. As regards the use of e-cheques, there was a drop reflected by -2.8 percent which could have been attributed to perception of the users, though there was a +1 coefficient correlation when considering e-cheque transactions and the monetary value. The use of EFT in Uganda generated a +1 coefficient correction considering the number of users and the monetary value involved. Bank of Uganda should work hard and make or go live with electronic banking supervision software which would aid them with their supervisory roles.

국제유가의 변동성이 한국 거시경제에 미치는 영향 분석 : EGARCH 및 VECM 모형의 응용 (A Study on the Impact of Oil Price Volatility on Korean Macro Economic Activities : An EGARCH and VECM Approach)

  • 김상수
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제11권10호
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - This study examines the impact of oil price volatility on economic activities in Korea. The new millennium has seen a deregulation in the crude oil market, which invited immense capital inflow into Korea. It has also raised oil price levels and volatility. Drawing on the recent theoretical literature that emphasizes the role of volatility, this paper attends to the asymmetric changes in economic growth in response to the oil price movement. This study further examines several key macroeconomic variables, such as interest rate, production, and inflation. We come to the conclusion that oil price volatility can, in some part, explain the structural changes. Research design, data, and methodology - We use two methodological frameworks in this study. First, in regards to the oil price uncertainty, we use an Exponential-GARCH (Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity: EGARCH) model estimate to elucidate the asymmetric effect of oil price shock on the conditional oil price volatility. Second, along with the estimation of the conditional volatility by the EGARCH model, we use the estimates in a VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). The study thus examines the dynamic impacts of oil price volatility on industrial production, price levels, and monetary policy responses. We also approximate the monetary policy function by the yield of monetary stabilization bond. The data collected for the study ranges from 1990: M1 to 2013: M7. In the VECM analysis section, the time span is split into two sub-periods; one from 1990 to 1999, and another from 2000 to 2013, due to the U.S. CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) deregulation on the crude oil futures that became effective in 2000. This paper intends to probe the relationship between oil price uncertainty and macroeconomic variables since the structural change in the oil market became effective. Results and Conclusions - The dynamic impulse response functions obtained from the VECM show a prolonged dampening effect of oil price volatility shock on the industrial production across all sub-periods. We also find that inflation measured by CPI rises by one standard deviation shock in response to oil price uncertainty, and lasts for the ensuing period. In addition, the impulse response functions allude that South Korea practices an expansionary monetary policy in response to oil price shocks, which stems from oil price uncertainty. Moreover, a comparison of the results of the dynamic impulse response functions from the two sub-periods suggests that the dynamic relationships have strengthened since 2000. Specifically, the results are most drastic in terms of industrial production; the impact of oil price volatility shocks has more than doubled from the year 2000 onwards. These results again indicate that the relationships between crude oil price uncertainty and Korean macroeconomic activities have been strengthened since the year2000, which resulted in a structural change in the crude oil market due to the deregulation of the crude oil futures.

INTEGRATED LIFE-CYCLE COST ANALYSIS CONSIDERING ENVIRONMENTAL COSTS: A HIGHWAY PROJECT CASE

  • Woo-Sik Jang;Heedae Park;Sungmin Kim;Seung Heon Han;Jong Seo Jeon
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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    • pp.273-279
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    • 2011
  • Concerns over the environment have spawned a number of research studies in the construction industry, as the construction of built environments and large infrastructures involves diverse environmental impacts and loads of hazardous emissions. Many researchers have attempted to quantify these environmental loads, including greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and sulfur dioxide, to name a few. However, little research has been conducted regarding integrating the life-cycle assessment (LCA) of environmental loads with the current life-cycle cost analysis (LCCA) approach. This study aims to estimate the environmental loads as a monetary value using the European Climate Exchange (ECX) rate and, then, to integrate those impacts with the pure construction cost. Toward this end, this study suggests an integrated approach that takes into account the environmental effect on the evaluation of the life-cycle cost (LCC). The bill of quantity (BOQ) data of a real highway project are collected and analyzed for this purpose. As a result, considering the environmental loads in the pavement process, the total LCC increased 16% from the traditional LCC cost. This study suggests an integrated approach that will account the environmental effect on the LCC. Additionally, this study is expected to contribute to better decision-making, from the perspective of more sustainable development, for government as well as for contractors.

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Turnbull 분포무관모형을 이용한 월악산국립공원의 자산가치 평가 (Estimating the Stock Value of Woraksan National Park Using Turnbull Distribution-Free Model)

  • 한상열
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제96권3호
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    • pp.283-289
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    • 2007
  • 편익-비용분석은 국립공원 보전과 같은 공공투자 정책의 상대적 가치에 관련된 정보를 파악하는데 매우 유용한 분석도구이다. 편익과 비용이 화폐단위로 계산될 수 있으면 순편익을 계산하여 공공후생을 최대로 얻을 수 있는 정책적 대안을 규명할 수 있다. 그러나 국립공원에서 파생되는 재화와 용역은 일반시장에서 판매되지 않기 때문에 국립공원의 보존정책 결과를 금액으로 계산하는 것은 그리 쉽지 않다. 이 경우 비시장재의 편익가치를 측정하기 위하여 이선선택형 가상가치평가법이 가장 널리 적용된다. 본 연구는 이선선택형 가상가치평가법의 일종인 Turnbull 분포무관모형을 이용하여 월악산국립공원의 경제적 가치를 추정하고 최종적으로 자산가치를 평가하였다. 평가결과, 연간이용가치는 65억원, 연간보존가치는 1,374억원으로, 프로우(flow)인 연간총가치는 1,439억원으로 추정되었으며, 스톡(stock)인 총자산가치는 약 3조217억원으로 평가되었다.

Object detection in financial reporting documents for subsequent recognition

  • Sokerin, Petr;Volkova, Alla;Kushnarev, Kirill
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2021
  • Document page segmentation is an important step in building a quality optical character recognition module. The study examined already existing work on the topic of page segmentation and focused on the development of a segmentation model that has greater functional significance for application in an organization, as well as broad capabilities for managing the quality of the model. The main problems of document segmentation were highlighted, which include a complex background of intersecting objects. As classes for detection, not only classic text, table and figure were selected, but also additional types, such as signature, logo and table without borders (or with partially missing borders). This made it possible to pose a non-trivial task of detecting non-standard document elements. The authors compared existing neural network architectures for object detection based on published research data. The most suitable architecture was RetinaNet. To ensure the possibility of quality control of the model, a method based on neural network modeling using the RetinaNet architecture is proposed. During the study, several models were built, the quality of which was assessed on the test sample using the Mean average Precision metric. The best result among the constructed algorithms was shown by a model that includes four neural networks: the focus of the first neural network on detecting tables and tables without borders, the second - seals and signatures, the third - pictures and logos, and the fourth - text. As a result of the analysis, it was revealed that the approach based on four neural networks showed the best results in accordance with the objectives of the study on the test sample in the context of most classes of detection. The method proposed in the article can be used to recognize other objects. A promising direction in which the analysis can be continued is the segmentation of tables; the areas of the table that differ in function will act as classes: heading, cell with a name, cell with data, empty cell.

전자상거래 고객의 클러스터링 분석방법 고찰을 통한 효과적인 군인체력 모형 RSC 클러스터링 분석방법 도출 (Derivation of an effective military fitness model RSC clustering analysis method through review of e-commerce customers clustering analysis methods)

  • 이준호;노병인;신동규
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2023
  • 군에서 군인들의 체력 관리와 전투력 향상을 위한 필수적인 요소로서, 군인들의 운동 능력, 체력, 건강 수준을 효과적으로 측정하고 모니터링하는 중요성을 강조한다. 체력의 효과적인 측정이 관리의 핵심이며, 이는 현대경영학의 원칙과 일치하고 있다. 특히, 전장의 동적인 변화에 대비하기 위해서는 강인한 체력을 가진 군인을 양성하는 것이 중요하다. 이 연구에서는 RFM(Recency, Frequency, Monetary) 고객 분석 및 클러스터링 방법을 전자상거래에서 검증된 방법으로 소개하며, 이를 기반으로 머신러닝 알고리즘이 적용된 AI 고객 분석 방법을 군인 체력 평가에 적용하기 위해, RSC(Reveal, Sustainable, Control) 분석 모형을 도입하여 군인 체력을 효과적으로 분류하고 모니터링하는 방법을 검토하였다. RFM 기법을 적용한 RSC 분석 모형을 통해 군인 체력을 계량화하고 모델링함으로써 지속적인 발전을 도모하고 체력 관리의 효과를 높일 수 있는 전략을 모색하였다. 이러한 방법을 통해 군인의 체력을 향상하고 유지하는데 있어서 AI 고객 분석 기법을 응용한 RSC 클러스터링 분석방법을 도출하였다.

The Asymmetric Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Vietnam: Evidence by Nonlinear ARDL Approach

  • NGOC, Bui Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2020
  • Low inflation and sustainable growth have been the major macroeconomic goals being pursued by every developing country, Vietnam inclusive. The effect of inflation on economic growth has been intensively analyzed by a variety of studies, but the empirical evidence more often than not remains controversial and ambiguous. One common hypothesis of previous studies is that they have assumed that the effect of inflation on growth is symmetric. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the asymmetric effect of inflation and money supply on economic growth using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach introduced by Shin, Byungchul, and Greenwood-nimmo (2013) for Vietnam over the period 1990-2017. Empirical results provide evidence that the effects of inflation on economic growth are negative and asymmetric in the long run. The impact of money supply on growth is positive in both the short-run and long-run. Accordingly, the impact of the increase in the inflation rate is bigger than the decreasing in the long-run. This different impact is significant and high inflation will destruct economic activities. As a result, the study provides empirical evidence for the authorities to plan monetary policies and control the rate of inflation to achieve sustainable economic development in the long-run.