• Title/Summary/Keyword: model-based estimator

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Estimating survival distributions for two-stage adaptive treatment strategies: A simulation study

  • Vilakati, Sifiso;Cortese, Giuliana;Dlamini, Thembelihle
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.411-424
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    • 2021
  • Inference following two-stage adaptive designs (also known as two-stage randomization designs) with survival endpoints usually focuses on estimating and comparing survival distributions for the different treatment strategies. The aim is to identify the treatment strategy(ies) that leads to better survival of the patients. The objectives of this study were to assess the performance three commonly cited methods for estimating survival distributions in two-stage randomization designs. We review three non-parametric methods for estimating survival distributions in two-stage adaptive designs and compare their performance using simulation studies. The simulation studies show that the method based on the marginal mean model is badly affected by high censoring rates and response rate. The other two methods which are natural extensions of the Nelson-Aalen estimator and the Kaplan-Meier estimator have similar performance. These two methods yield survival estimates which have less bias and more precise than the marginal mean model even in cases of small sample sizes. The weighted versions of the Nelson-Aalen and the Kaplan-Meier estimators are less affected by high censoring rates and low response rates. The bias of the method based on the marginal mean model increases rapidly with increase in censoring rate compared to the other two methods. We apply the three methods to a leukemia clinical trial dataset and also compare the results.

A BERRY-ESSEEN TYPE BOUND OF REGRESSION ESTIMATOR BASED ON LINEAR PROCESS ERRORS

  • Liang, Han-Ying;Li, Yu-Yu
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.1753-1767
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    • 2008
  • Consider the nonparametric regression model $Y_{ni}\;=\;g(x_{ni})+{\epsilon}_{ni}$ ($1\;{\leq}\;i\;{\leq}\;n$), where g($\cdot$) is an unknown regression function, $x_{ni}$ are known fixed design points, and the correlated errors {${\epsilon}_{ni}$, $1\;{\leq}\;i\;{\leq}\;n$} have the same distribution as {$V_i$, $1\;{\leq}\;i\;{\leq}\;n$}, here $V_t\;=\;{\sum}^{\infty}_{j=-{\infty}}\;{\psi}_je_{t-j}$ with ${\sum}^{\infty}_{j=-{\infty}}\;|{\psi}_j|$ < $\infty$ and {$e_t$} are negatively associated random variables. Under appropriate conditions, we derive a Berry-Esseen type bound for the estimator of g($\cdot$). As corollary, by choice of the weights, the Berry-Esseen type bound can attain O($n^{-1/4}({\log}\;n)^{3/4}$).

Crack Detection, Localization and Estimation of the Depth In a Turbo Rotor

  • Park, Rai-Wung
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.722-729
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    • 2000
  • The goal of this paper is to describe an advanced method of a crack detection: a new way to localize position and to estimate depth of a crack on rotating shaft. As a first step, the shaft is physically modelled with a finite element method and the dynamic mathematical model is derived using the Hamilton principle; thus, the system is represented by various subsystems. The equations of motion of the shaft with a crack are established by adapting the local stiffness change through breathing and gaping from the crack to an undamaged shaft. This is the reference system for the given system. Based on a model for transient behavior induced from vibration measured at the bearings, a nonlinear state observer is designed to detect cracks on the shaft. This is the elementary NL-observer (Beo). Using the observer, an Estimator (Observer Bank) is established and arranged at the certain position on the shaft. When a crack position is localized, the procedure for estimating of the depth is engaged.

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control of a Flexible Robot Manipulator (유연한 로봇 팔의 제어 방법)

  • 박정일;박종국
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 1994
  • The dynamic equation of a flexible robot manipulator is formulated by the assumed-mode method and the Lagrange equation. The controller is designed for a flexible robot manipulator including a joint actuator. The controller consists of a parmaeter estimator and the adaptive controller. A parameter estimator evaluates ARMA model`s parameter using RLS algorithm. An adaptive controller is designed based on a reference model and a minimum prediction error controller.

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Fault Detection and Diagnosis of the Deaerator Level Control System in Nuclear Power Plants

  • Kim Kyung Youn;Lee Yoon Joon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2004
  • The deaerator of a power plant is one of feedwater heaters in the secondary system, and it is located above the feedwater pumps. The feedwater pumps take the water from the deaerator storage tank, and the net positive suction head(NSPH) should always be ensured. To secure the sufficient NPSH, the deaerator tank is equipped with the level control system of which level sensors are critical items. And it is necessary to ascertain the sensor state on-line. For this, a model-based fault detection and diagnosis(FDD) is introduced in this study. The dynamic control model is formulated from the relation of input-output flow rates and liquid-level of the deaerator storage tank. Then an adaptive state estimator is designed for the fault detection and diagnosis of sensors. The performance and effectiveness of the proposed FDD scheme are evaluated by applying the operation data of Yonggwang Units 3 & 4.

Sensorless Vector Control of Induction Motors for Wind Energy Applications Using MRAS and ASO

  • Jeong, Il-Woo;Choi, Won-Shik;Park, Ki-Hyeon
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.873-881
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    • 2014
  • Speed sensorless modes of operation are becoming standard solution in the area of electric drives. This paper presents flux estimator and speed estimator for the speed sensorless vector control of induction motors. The proposed sensorless methods are based on the model reference adaptive system (MRAS) observer and adaptive speed observer (ASO). The proposed speed estimation algorithm can be employed in the power control of grid connected induction generator for wind power applications. Two proposed schemes are verified through computer simulation PSIM and compared their simulation results.

A Detection and Isolation Scheme for Nonlinear Systems with a Actuator and Sensor Faults (비선형 시스템의 액츄에이터 고장과 센서 고장을 위한 감지 및 분리 기법)

  • Han, Byung-Jo;Hwang, Young-Ho;Kim, Hong-Pil;Yang, Hai-Won
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.07a
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    • pp.1724-1725
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a fault detection and isolation(FDI) scheme for a nonlinear systems with a actuator and sensor faults. A residual generator based on the observer model generate the information for a fault detection. The proposed fault estimators are activated for a fault isolation and applied to estimate the time-varying lumped faults(model uncertainty + fault). but a fault estimator error dose not converge to zero since the derivative of lumped fault is not zero. Then the fuzzy neural network(FNN) is used to estimate the fault estimator error. Simulation results are presented to illustrate the effectiveness and the applicability of the approaches proposed.

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Estimation of Hysteretic Behaviors of a Seismic Isolator Using a Regularized Output Error Estimator (정규화된 OEE를 이용한 지진격리장치의 이력거동 추정)

  • 박현우;전영선;서정문
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2003
  • Hysteretic behaviors of a seismic isolator are identified by using the regularized output error estimator (OEE) based on the secant stiffness model. A proper regularity condition of tangent stiffness for the current OEE is proposed considering the regularity condition of Duhem hysteretic operator. The proposed regularity condition is defined by 12-norm of the tangent stiffness with respect to time. The secant stiffness model for the OEE is obtained by approximating the tangent stiffness under the proposed regularity condition by the secant stiffness at each time step. A least square method is employed to minimize the difference between the calculated response and measured response for the OEE. The regularity condition of the secant stiffness is utilized to alleviate ill-posedness of the OEE and to yield numerically stable solutions through the regularization technique. An optimal regularization factor determined by geometric mean scheme (GMS) is used to yield appropriate regularization effects on the OEE.

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System reliability estimation in multicomponent exponential stress-strength models

  • Pandit, Parameshwar V.;Kantu, Kala J.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2013
  • A stress-strength model is formulated for a multi-component system consisting of k identical components. The k components of the system with random strengths ($X_1$, $X_2$, ${\ldots}$, $X_k$) are subjected to one of the r random stresses ($X_{k+1}$, $X_{k+2}$, ${\ldots}$, $X_{k+r}$). The estimation of system reliability based on maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and Bayes estimators in k component system are obtained when the system is either parallel or series with the assumption that strengths and stresses follow exponential distribution. A simulation study is conducted to compare MLE and Bayes estimator through the mean squared errors of the estimators.

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THE SOC ESTIMATION OF THE LEAD-ACID BATTERY USING KALMAN FILTER

  • JEON, YONGHO
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.5_6
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    • pp.851-858
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    • 2021
  • In general, secondary batteries are widely used as an electric energy source. Among them, the state of energy storage of mobile devices is very important information. As a method of estimating a state, there is a method of estimating the state by integrating the current according to an energy storage state of a battery, and a method of designing a state estimator by measuring a voltage and estimating a charge amount based on a battery model. In this study, we designed the state estimator using an extended Kalman filter to increase the precision of the state estimation of the charge amount by including the error of the system model and having the robustness to the noise.